Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA for CLRTAP

KCA for NECD

Inv. comparison

Time series

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TIME SERIES

Party: SK      Submission year: 2023

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2021
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2021
PMs: 2000 - 2021

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
NOx	1A2a	5128	5134	5145	5154	5158	5206	5228	5257	5346	5542	6089	5523	6605	6295	5722	5751	7419	4887	3721	3465	3820	2832	3387	3298	3068	3067	2575	2191	2535	978	974	2087
NOx	1A2f	5674	5678	5662	5665	5668	5654	5595	5671	5583	5489	5373	5829	5143	5179	5145	5029	5148	5024	5379	5110	4559	4887	4202	4394	4477	4602	4495	4319	3736	4370	4235	4288
NOx	1A3bi	11015	10752	11337	12578	13202	13315	12959	13060	13655	13123	11078	12407	11175	10798	9951	10598	7503	7990	7346	6430	10345	8877	9577	9023	9400	11193	10991	11132	11076	10894	11110	9832
NOx	1A4bi	5197	4927	4824	4023	3763	3622	3840	3667	3913	3987	3886	4257	3818	3951	3797	4146	3922	3726	3645	3568	4020	3659	3775	3692	2754	3254	3479	3670	3175	3300	3348	3763
NOx	2C1	3267	2939	2748	2961	3077	2972	2725	2857	2881	3155	4054	4693	3195	3488	2955	2601	2331	2363	2244	1638	2298	2251	2515	2728	3209	3054	2796	3286	3586	2325	2527	3826
NMVOC	1B1a	10368	10989	11410	10843	11234	11277	11743	11743	11853	11420	10948	10272	10203	9226	8856	7534	6619	6193	7269	7716	7133	7128	6877	7058	6563	5818	5541	5502	4506	4293	2942	3222
NMVOC	2D3e	10524	10265	10007	9748	9489	9230	8971	8712	8454	8195	7936	6700	7940	8066	6443	6882	7044	5935	5580	4985	3737	8821	3036	4156	3808	4632	4011	2648	4410	3870	2259	2125
SOx	1A1b	11236	11245	11232	11231	11251	11252	11181	11285	11284	11149	12261	12273	9992	10917	8653	8188	10473	7389	7129	8170	9058	6099	1975	697	1028	899	1493	2136	1992	1934	1203	1181
SOx	2A6	185	185	185	185	185	186	185	186	187	187	245	128	127	182	301	485	488	760	625	339	312	294	323	304	305	353	422	427	447	421	445	400
SOx	2B10a	1618	1609	1608	1608	1605	1562	1599	1554	1498	1413	912	1184	1301	1296	1218	1067	1234	1257	1171	1049	1198	1336	1269	1395	1289	1363	1500	1402	1384	1324	1259	1182
SOx	2C3	716	705	656	410	349	347	1184	1171	1148	1161	1178	1176	1293	1334	1376	1310	1324	1326	1362	1384	1383	2230	1392	1388	2079	1657	2845	2441	2061	2039	1815	2113
NH3	3B3	6527	6249	5674	5100	4754	4950	4709	4474	3927	3688	3576	3599	3662	3362	2684	2545	2631	2258	1770	1670	1615	1343	1498	1457	1573	1528	1280	1342	1347	1289	1136	926
NH3	3B4gi	1596	1597	1318	1436	1544	1495	1452	1421	1199	1118	1140	1516	1219	1207	1112	1102	1123	1138	1093	1226	1229	1209	1230	1125	1113	1191	1199	1164	1214	1094	630	606
CO	11B	10056	8315	11516	21505	5865	7020	9749	7599	7465	48662	24581	11440	19103	37213	12937	23900	15121	24864	15612	23031	18234	18234	41845	13875	20595	23123	19113	21229	20952	24549	22201	16088
CO	1A2f	11377	11385	11354	11358	11364	11337	11218	11371	11195	11006	9043	9891	10750	12160	11425	10289	9612	10852	16683	15486	12834	11329	9393	7973	9713	7689	7849	8850	10990	9389	9921	10522
CO	2C1	64050	57618	53874	58044	60322	58258	53425	55998	56481	61857	72082	67798	71864	89212	91310	78015	93848	87299	78082	52884	71339	84331	83497	85326	98953	97634	96748	100839	89036	52222	51644	86358
CO	2C3	5701	5608	5219	3265	2774	2757	9423	9320	9135	9237	7887	7865	10220	11618	13010	12991	12956	12942	13604	13470	13472	13545	13341	13307	14062	14239	18005	16552	16458	15581	13190	14107

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
PM2.5	NATIONALTOTAL	43647	42860	32459	32081	29668	35763	32480	28286	25595	23391	26227	24246	25840	23874	16005	20580	20713	21222	17186	17775	17337	18609
PM2.5	NTCOMPL(NECD)	43647	42860	32459	32081	29668	35763	32480	28286	25595	23391	26227	24246	25840	23874	16005	20580	20713	21222	17186	17775	17337	18609
PM2.5	NTCOMPLIANCE	43647	42860	32459	32081	29668	35763	32480	28286	25595	23391	26227	24246	25840	23874	16005	20580	20713	21222	17186	17775	17337	18609
PM10	NATIONALTOTAL	54174	53243	42800	41886	39162	44835	41319	36365	33558	31080	33192	30984	32431	30579	22411	28533	27208	28017	23420	24098	24024	24772
PM10	NTCOMPL(NECD)	54174	53243	42800	41886	39162	44835	41319	36365	33558	31080	33192	30984	32431	30579	22411	28533	27208	28017	23420	24098	24024	24772
PM10	NTCOMPLIANCE	54174	53243	42800	41886	39162	44835	41319	36365	33558	31080	33192	30984	32431	30579	22411	28533	27208	28017	23420	24098	24024	24772
TSP	2C1	9048	8616	7668	4370	4036	2388	2816	2168	1839	1312	1720	2030	2272	2499	2825	2622	2213	2247	1936	674	92	180
BC	1A2a	289	375	264	188	50	16	21	11	6	8	11	8	4	3	4	3	2	2	2	2	1	2
BC	1A4cii	83	85	67	78	81	85	79	79	83	75	77	78	78	74	84	73	72	67	67	62	63	58

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
Pb	1A1a	20228310	19952584	20012643	21254417	18553579	17285923	16957272	18391184	20437272	19874570	23635630	15254251	17965302	7400828	8049359	8395103	705032	643481	685295	625790	670011	466048	387608	328388	266391	336625	153059	124736	88329	87832	85092	64546
Pb	1A2f	277904	196980	247989	195216	211606	219104	208814	230496	345819	346766	226743	231994	221459	171964	222571	230562	253730	276882	298435	230111	162052	241433	221870	228963	254966	256642	271244	282276	291732	308211	314713	347017
Pb	1A3bi	7617476	6907821	6710592	7024132	6967414	6794456	6468817	6548140	6857186	6475615	948	1094	1014	1023	977	1106	965	1045	1028	977	1166	1104	1139	1131	2747	1210	1245	1277	1280	1353	1364	1309
Pb	1A4ai	752222	642375	544419	457684	381750	315615	258481	493147	289629	207278	118443	104596	169678	21633	95710	61269	79047	155338	143422	202205	242201	246402	265662	286875	257839	272201	250327	264539	256830	264925	235183	224880
Pb	1A4bi	1044680	946463	870271	680731	576693	499673	476854	381023	392025	367089	401602	400146	308748	348930	361656	477668	471616	493934	440963	412458	477109	451566	496946	467267	279259	397483	437290	445225	353780	380028	379614	436217
Pb	1B1b	889200	852264	815328	778392	741456	704520	680960	657400	540070	574658	606830	607161	645951	676164	675392	661200	661203	661205	619405	562404	589002	577604	558604	547203	558603	581402	585203	566203	570002	501602	421801	617880
Pb	2A3	272535	309229	345729	305378	264865	305355	303553	310044	381162	184784	301895	300028	324000	313621	314877	453967	445508	556722	589534	486583	502148	509398	465692	471039	459691	450730	453128	465090	468449	370475	547123	569789
Pb	2C7a	761660	1115370	1482354	1211463	929275	737198	1427037	1477326	1157223	55325	5288	327936	256162	273384	586056	802584	318	346	378	302	493	522	522	82	115	157	188	179	186	219	208	212
Pb	2G	26809	24501	43680	65688	51042	92505	190956	173250	200655	532426	418023	398147	696063	495704	513122	613782	222145	271392	240664	263658	93192	519207	624428	793882	693247	769953	808045	1056910	792548	718406	258186	457753
Cd	1A1a	805111	770257	752021	777425	678331	629876	617494	661998	728469	712094	837797	574109	655391	314981	331882	340830	88060	79993	84546	77304	81598	57292	47382	40158	33161	41026	20241	17215	13138	12981	12489	9998
Cd	1A2f	22686	16080	20244	15936	17274	17886	17046	18816	28230	28307	18510	18938	18078	14038	18169	18821	20713	22603	24362	18785	13229	19695	18048	18610	20728	20898	22065	22959	23685	25026	25568	28157
Cd	1A4ai	49354	39391	30924	23852	18078	13496	10002	11385	7539	6045	4418	6504	6567	6697	8442	10820	11522	14316	17030	28153	53536	64338	80276	92661	93813	101502	94631	100116	99346	106323	103104	99368
Cd	1A5a	4523	3833	3225	2692	2229	1832	1495	1213	980	792	480	422	351	300	235	226	201	203	541	205	165	183	18796	23188	25901	28554	25675	33915	11967	10830	10633	10679
Cd	2A3	5791	7312	8821	7151	5473	7161	7071	7348	10295	2198	6955	7019	7949	7548	7410	13937	12563	17953	19111	16860	18174	18474	19270	19491	19022	18651	18750	19245	19384	15330	22640	23577
Cd	2C1	90198	83933	80743	81143	83321	80609	75573	79167	78284	85093	88450	93203	85391	75192	75945	79372	85176	80395	68982	62129	77714	72964	74793	85125	80881	74386	77689	82069	77137	60747	45032	78178
Cd	2C7a	329418	438220	525950	385440	262864	183462	308342	272463	178073	6880	507	31427	24549	26199	56164	76914	70391	76659	83726	66822	109296	115641	115641	2531	3556	4851	5788	5509	719	848	808	823
Cd	2G	3662	2308	6002	25417	19028	26034	30633	33201	31052	35253	29436	36830	32915	29772	37090	36373	34727	38709	42540	30092	48262	48416	49830	43851	46374	47216	47129	50938	49278	52367	43256	50794
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	1475342	1546291	1589689	1503063	1275723	1152815	1288909	1286742	1260451	1075128	1201027	986286	1045645	714756	812970	947186	679177	721428	690705	630007	773484	754669	802665	683579	547485	642548	640710	655653	561912	567449	553935	621730
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1475342	1546291	1589689	1503063	1275723	1152815	1288909	1286742	1260451	1075128	1201027	986286	1045645	714756	812970	947186	679177	721428	690705	630007	773484	754669	802665	683579	547485	642548	640710	655653	561912	567449	553935	621730
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	1475342	1546291	1589689	1503063	1275723	1152815	1288909	1286742	1260451	1075128	1201027	986286	1045645	714756	812970	947186	679177	721428	690705	630007	773484	754669	802665	683579	547485	642548	640710	655653	561912	567449	553935	621730
Hg	1A1a	798155	746136	713399	721282	630487	585368	574938	610189	665249	654368	761244	555720	614655	338537	347804	352101	141319	128362	135135	123732	128974	90638	73892	62191	50956	62942	31367	26916	20581	20424	19733	15695
Hg	1A2d	23109	23109	23141	23179	23499	23241	23738	24070	24820	23777	27968	27367	29865	30337	47917	31468	35385	36215	37434	40200	29720	28351	26751	27825	25003	10609	23290	22845	22313	20394	26818	25055
Hg	1B1b	28080	26914	25747	24581	23414	22248	21504	20760	17055	18147	19163	19173	20398	21353	21328	20880	20880	20880	19560	17760	18600	18240	17640	17280	17640	18360	18480	17880	18000	15840	13320	19512
Hg	5C1bv	8954	9146	9338	9529	9721	10049	10378	10706	11034	11363	11217	11705	11364	11658	13945	15523	15793	17338	19649	11971	19619	18749	18924	23186	22712	25068	25191	21727	27213	30992	35802	47972
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	1917197	1782276	1757445	1605219	1476584	1393829	1367569	1409775	1493457	1475401	1552691	1295662	1296093	851530	897227	869474	627375	625727	638408	572620	558876	555846	523646	518842	499886	519976	503130	508566	495214	498694	500424	534509
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1917197	1782276	1757445	1605219	1476584	1393829	1367569	1409775	1493457	1475401	1552691	1295662	1296093	851530	897227	869474	627375	625727	638408	572620	558876	555846	523646	518842	499886	519976	503130	508566	495214	498694	500424	534509
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	1917197	1782276	1757445	1605219	1476584	1393829	1367569	1409775	1493457	1475401	1552691	1295662	1296093	851530	897227	869474	627375	625727	638408	572620	558876	555846	523646	518842	499886	519976	503130	508566	495214	498694	500424	534509

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
DIOX	11B	671	548	685	1163	427	499	642	557	548	2519	1404	784	1142	2014	904	1527	1045	1511	1113	1455	1268	1268	2199	891	1443	1540	1340	1428	1436	1582	1398	1120
DIOX	1A1b	4551	4555	4550	4549	4561	4559	4532	4580	4587	4515	4554	3922	4247	4803	4893	4194	2980	2090	2721	2812	1032	3774	2332	8757	2613	2483	2274	2685	1515	1674	1056	1036
DIOX	1A1c	1667	1666	1668	1670	1670	1669	1683	1679	1681	1703	1741	1688	1796	1873	1881	1824	1839	1761	1632	1482	1311	1537	1489	1464	1496	1573	1573	1514	1533	1340	1129	2007
DIOX	1B1b	7020	6728	6437	6145	5854	5562	5376	5190	4264	4537	4791	4793	5100	5338	5332	5220	5220	5220	4890	4440	4650	4560	4410	4320	4410	4590	4620	4470	4500	3960	3330	4878
DIOX	2C7a	952	1504	2138	1857	1506	1257	2548	2754	2245	111	11	683	534	570	1221	1672	1985	2162	2362	1885	3083	3262	3262	1540	2164	2952	3523	3353	3479	4105	3907	3982
DIOX	5C1bi	2146	2143	2138	2150	2151	2124	2150	2189	2098	2107	2308	2397	6533	3831	5269	2958	5238	1165	2679	1457	1946	1290	1196	1343	1165	1825	73		758	837	535
HCB	1A2d	82223	82248	82373	82522	83822	82898	84745	86242	89395	85319	101621	99112	109231	111337	185724	123141	134318	140174	141170	153640	117220	110349	104192	109041	97965	40749	91134	89504	87365	79635	105040	98074
HCB	2C1	119460	128030	136600	103650	100590	97530	101220	106080	96570	102750	107967	109884	104568	111618	109756	104835	106482	99987	92149	57955	74404	87604	94253	91811	113727	112208	111375	112432	109797	104043	75492	96261
HCB	5C1biii	218319	217991	217458	218767	218807	216061	218764	222688	213470	214360	234834	215983	211765	200389	214603	191555	95530	117706	101339	89222	113252	157963	66964	65854	65103	52657	26420	11297	26619	15939	17071	22204
PCB	1A1a	952357	952279	966211	1037616	905691	844730	828630	902851	1007215	977285	1167345	734167	876526	910200	1031138	1024082	1118388	997075	961402	1052286	1017421	1082000	956988	962123	1123094	1064082	1147713	1229066	1301750	1288152	1242936	1222789
PCB	2C1	18941452	18709164	18883243	17096325	17433852	17115192	15698288	16461878	15716212	17124900	17830708	18639994	20172977	21825234	21664837	21005612	23715429	23265774	20654636	17697469	21177898	19466934	20603632	21956541	22416080	21247803	22533922	23281564	22976879	18120520	15608179	22650840
PCB	NATIONALTOTAL	24703476	23840008	23739039	21597839	21594972	21046258	19519592	20464485	19558478	20629703	21573360	21153107	22772573	24138161	24216927	23501360	26348532	25884567	23194900	20269005	23663227	22066177	22961305	24371200	24935057	23767012	25142875	25995635	25708884	20838266	18225423	25235177
PCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	24703476	23840008	23739039	21597839	21594972	21046258	19519592	20464485	19558478	20629703	21573360	21153107	22772573	24138161	24216927	23501360	26348532	25884567	23194900	20269005	23663227	22066177	22961305	24371200	24935057	23767012	25142875	25995635	25708884	20838266	18225423	25235177
PCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	24703476	23840008	23739039	21597839	21594972	21046258	19519592	20464485	19558478	20629703	21573360	21153107	22772573	24138161	24216927	23501360	26348532	25884567	23194900	20269005	23663227	22066177	22961305	24371200	24935057	23767012	25142875	25995635	25708884	20838266	18225423	25235177