Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

TIME SERIES

Party: SI Submission year: 2024

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2022
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2022
PMs: 2000 - 2022

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
NOx	1A2gvii	1256	1041	861	767	894	1197	1240	1302	1410	1224	1471	1212	1075	996	1373	1374	2109	1659	1744	1407	993	825	814	754	735	778	784	847	832	877	946	982	1110
NOx	3Da1	1087	950	1558	1335	1358	1289	1252	1360	1392	1375	1366	1391	1336	1380	1211	1167	1215	1185	1002	1128	1099	1085	1052	1091	1144	1133	1084	1083	1092	1122	1108	1166	1113
NMVOC	1A3bi	16877	15814	16976	19315	19059	19111	19926	17190	13462	11517	10603	9613	7431	6635	5466	4693	3968	3416	3267	2628	2457	2115	1779	1553	1289	1203	1136	996	856	734	521	556	512
NMVOC	2D3a	3641	3686	3718	3749	3766	3810	3849	3874	3898	3935	3965	3964	3940	3972	3919	4193	4393	4756	4944	4716	4987	4711	4937	4509	4593	4643	4677	4445	4453	4469	6761	5028	5009
SOx	1A2a	1862	962	153	50	21	12	8	163	165	165	138	183	191	193	138	148	221	174	188	94	153	177	146	162	174	148	148	167	172	159	128	119	112
NH3	3Da1	1473	1294	2132	1836	1868	1905	1682	1909	1938	1916	1927	1960	1978	1984	1723	1730	1767	1617	1315	1793	1613	1443	1579	1507	1437	1382	1385	1284	1456	1398	1509	1450	1409
NH3	NATIONALTOTAL	22264	20768	21739	20231	20192	20307	19571	19512	19729	19702	20493	20222	21046	19778	18542	18704	18871	19267	18110	18438	17814	17066	16996	16741	16840	16864	17074	16751	16872	16747	16733	16746	16153
NH3	NTCOMPL(NECD)	22264	20768	21739	20231	20192	20307	19571	19512	19729	19702	20493	20222	21046	19778	18542	18704	18871	19267	18110	18438	17814	17066	16996	16741	16840	16864	17074	16751	16872	16747	16733	16746	16153
NH3	NTCOMPLIANCE	22264	20768	21739	20231	20192	20307	19571	19512	19729	19702	20493	20222	21046	19778	18542	18704	18871	19267	18110	18438	17814	17066	16996	16741	16840	16864	17074	16751	16872	16747	16733	16746	16153

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
PM2.5	2A5b	189	200	214	225	237	249	268	297	320	96	232	191	151	110	29	25	121	117	132	144	188	309	324
PM10	2A2	400	429	398	417	411	578	648	597	30	20	25	25	20	16	15	16	16	16	16	15	15	18	14
PM10	2A5b	1892	2001	2136	2248	2371	2486	2678	2968	3205	959	2324	1913	1511	1102	291	254	1214	1167	1324	1437	1882	3092	3241
TSP	2A5b	6331	6696	7147	7520	7933	8317	8960	9930	10721	3203	7774	6399	5055	3686	969	841	4039	3880	4397	4765	6256	7320	10813
BC	1A3bvi	40	42	43	44	46	50	53	61	71	59	61	65	66	63	63	62	66	68	70	68	57	65	71

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
Pb	1A1a	831639	750955	840363	806002	782396	769464	697807	764957	810150	712061	743151	810071	849937	801172	818811	826587	850265	868869	875694	822541	839885	856684	816275	788943	602261	636993	686409	687010	670122	649967	635351	593356	483831
Pb	1A2d	264437	267185	276858	191456	135336	192414	164007	179773	279217	291281	280099	332514	356525	325090	297489	308013	269794	205025	190831	172343	195171	199302	182315	189668	185747	173708	161700	163259	158485	160669	100079	46042	96530
Pb	1A2f	235292	208378	184391	182493	225677	219725	297360	319228	207063	206324	217085	201991	196649	200023	219058	185122	188627	177575	194325	170328	135664	136697	140471	159578	166329	132376	121292	140002	145472	153344	149581	153481	155027
Pb	1A3bi	28336270	24891378	24388305	26029444	25959568	16132189	6116988	5207332	3866437	3219030	2575888	1114669	330564	322862	287179	282451	275362	265591	277567	252736	246700	238821	215290	195763	182605	178151	176690	175793	5839	5606	4322	5007	5835
Pb	1A3bvi	945485	896553	932726	1135402	1284742	1429230	1622567	1710585	1443559	1384228	1385112	1433521	1466850	1473346	1530226	1611014	1705150	1927345	2180997	1824637	1889614	2006663	2029317	1931771	1926363	1881326	1985811	2022864	2062945	2007053	1653693	1891366	2112193
Pb	1A4bi	852136	996224	880445	781398	682868	646134	627635	590793	577733	590057	584230	675898	534121	568542	536583	642137	567592	654711	635510	617639	623965	627535	609859	628615	517587	585821	589499	555863	462552	462141	458772	512706	407352
Pb	1A4cii	8054230	7864454	6267670	4297057	4752489	2218008	645443	493368	492861	335170	155604	20705	145	154	144	144	147	142	146	128	134	129	136	136	155	152	147	151	155	154	144	144	163
Pb	2C1	1643333	952721	1014689	926315	1121617	1078428	872586	1011405	1031177	1050949	1208358	1202323	1251011	1407715	1484444	1574888	1702795	1739130	1758843	1190345	1667039	1786272	1745768	1722709	1686295	1642984	1672437	1759332	1733313	1662434	1582927	1776909	1618475
Pb	2C7a	344352	248952	267720	180384	140760	154656	152256	216111	272053	271497	316216	302952	315666	304523	284052	269142	282385	341462	323109	223629	228921	140241	5534	7594	12855	14652	14417	14869	15192	14594	13057	13562	7015
Pb	2G	196000	196000	196000	196000	196000	196000	196000	196000	196000	190512	159779	208387	248606	319637	387139	725984	493606	363933	374242	374242	492979	357582	316344	316344	316344	366755	346998	227987	392096	243557	11649	206699	121342
Cd	1A2gviii	46989	39031	40487	39296	40296	37607	44628	38840	42720	10380	11857	9150	11326	27304	25024	28222	33310	37394	33459	28836	33228	24159	18259	21628	32246	28067	25985	25968	26796	25841	30299	30678	31357
Hg	1A2d	14946	18159	17835	13409	9846	13215	11967	10095	16226	17304	16801	17602	18654	17694	17843	18466	17032	14791	13650	12464	13537	13367	12386	12722	12405	11663	10924	10938	10756	10824	7400	4375	6927
Hg	1A3bi	4963	4645	5120	6121	6809	7340	8242	8231	7252	7103	7364	7353	7296	7266	6926	7036	7237	7686	8697	7755	8067	8337	8147	7676	7474	7339	7616	7668	7843	7583	5958	6888	7862
Hg	1A4bi	26528	31992	27303	23817	19837	18549	18229	16817	16213	16754	15486	17738	14556	15183	14160	15940	14260	15566	15384	14925	15053	14806	14272	14448	11853	13347	13414	12682	10666	10639	10608	11669	9470

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
DIOX	1A2d	509	457	482	326	265	372	321	410	563	578	554	736	790	717	596	617	494	316	309	279	314	325	299	309	305	288	274	282	269	280	181	93	168
DIOX	5E	2243	2243	2243	2243	2243	2243	2243	2243	2243	2243	2243	2243	2243	2243	2243	2243	2351	2345	2243	2233	1898	2180	2143	2036	1938	2099	2200	2493	2230	2002	2029	2162	2067
HCB	1A2gviii	17994	14949	15529	15073	15456	14422	17145	14923	16416	3979	4549	3508	4312	10493	9616	10845	12801	14376	12863	11086	12775	9288	7018	8315	12399	10792	9991	9984	10302	9936	11650	11796	12058
HCB	5C1bii	1630	1630	1630	1630	912	536	778	146	670	2062	2522	2380	1892	2764	2731	2650	3232	3973	4182	5169	5671	5721	5989	13765	16470	22221	17985	21812	16619	16430	15407	11106	11682