Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

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TIME SERIES

Party: SE      Submission year: 2024

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2022
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2022
PMs: 2000 - 2022

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
NOx	1A3ai(ii)	4969	4050	3348	4578	5027	5722	5819	6098	6713	7627	8191	8196	6734	6649	7697	8580	8802	9649	8282	6830	6912	7527	7039	7407	8064	7638	8932	9897	10115	9735	3524	3704	6510
NOx	1A4bi	9300	9411	9035	8406	8333	7517	7514	6873	6614	6142	6089	5518	5304	5445	5142	4756	4082	4120	4021	4238	4193	4046	3894	3810	3574	3520	3528	3523	3059	3029	3005	3115	3115
NOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	289266	293506	279415	266047	268985	257735	252728	241345	231610	224947	222065	212018	204323	200216	196516	181071	191341	186144	178364	164933	169505	163454	156086	152730	150785	146879	144025	138616	134415	125417	102340	101790	98268
NMVOC	1A1b	61	63	66	67	67	65	68	68	71	70	71	74	72	70	72	75	73	64	75	75	75	71	80	73	69	78	60	54	59	51	55	7273	7319
NMVOC	2D3d	34613	32204	29795	27386	24977	24209	23441	22673	18973	20202	20527	19624	22680	22729	22360	23084	21491	26577	20309	13153	10974	11683	13090	11552	10887	10594	11786	8703	8059	9195	9443	9537	9538
SOx	1A1b	2496	2374	1707	1578	1383	1222	1188	1271	1275	1087	1003	1114	866	855	979	595	542	432	419	362	352	338	309	318	167	183	155	155	145	134	133	596	462
SOx	1A3ai(ii)	391	318	263	360	395	422	435	459	493	556	570	551	474	462	523	570	591	650	729	620	627	672	642	665	675	648	757	831	838	795	278	297	540
SOx	1A3biii	4275	3069	2313	1085	1423	1207	568	110	117	75	53	20	19	19	7	8	7	9	9	10	9	10	10	9	10	9	13	8	11	8	8	8	8
SOx	2A1	5259	4595	4408	4418	4442	5638	4887	4855	4342	553	72	57	91	97	74	57	27	51	18	38	26	46	55	84	130	100	59	48	57	74	198	148
NH3	3Da1	5929	5469	4628	5377	5587	5079	4905	5196	5211	4771	4674	4877	4566	4623	4759	4295	4303	4393	4848	3362	3934	4125	3774	4234	4445	4419	4631	4753	4689	4408	4908	4587	3974
NH3	3Da2a	17475	16873	17312	18016	18298	18168	18341	18236	17914	17554	17149	16806	16900	16558	16630	16415	16029	16024	15920	15615	15580	15997	15742	15656	15465	15471	14829	14741	14594	14113	14123	13869	14193
NH3	NATIONALTOTAL	60353	58354	59418	60657	61703	61138	61224	62491	61879	60368	59664	59112	58607	58615	58874	57408	56474	56135	56599	53788	54330	53977	52842	53774	53690	53758	52492	52705	52533	51898	52111	51144	51212
NH3	NTCOMPL(NECD)	60353	58354	59418	60657	61703	61138	61224	62491	61879	60368	59664	59112	58607	58615	58874	57408	56474	56135	56599	53788	54330	53977	52842	53774	53690	53758	52492	52705	52533	51898	52111	51144	51212
NH3	NTCOMPLIANCE	60353	58354	59418	60657	61703	61138	61224	62491	61879	60368	59664	59112	58607	58615	58874	57408	56474	56135	56599	53788	54330	53977	52842	53774	53690	53758	52492	52705	52533	51898	52111	51144	51212
CO	2C3	6852	6896	5516	5877	5983	6694	6942	6947	6838	7065	7187	7236	7181	6889	7105	7236	7227	8679	5857	4926	7051	8122	11178	10866	11556	9897	11077	12204	13552	12689	12489	10291	10354

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
BC	1A3ai(ii)	55	53	46	44	50	55	57	62	70	60	60	65	62	64	65	62	73	80	80	76	27	28	52

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
Pb	1A1a	2746811	2157331	1987117	1954572	1976837	1737918	2615933	1831755	2014587	1504849	1305232	1591493	1721742	1896263	1763461	1784556	1876599	2123177	2198556	1945725	2700909	2227384	2243754	2214944	1965068	1954775	2123979	2146178	2134307	2142372	1941032	2440884	2369156
Pb	1A2d	949405	914191	975780	1040156	1194454	1121138	1019270	1081813	1000642	857539	968657	1191333	1054923	979756	975261	948688	985841	928828	948892	926838	977266	897598	885925	846687	751900	759405	760707	765477	747075	757913	704188	726465	713315
Pb	1A2gviii	548159	578059	638550	631323	746143	776190	806473	768972	757441	740966	443641	490028	465520	461649	431916	377560	484476	485446	419761	380707	450235	430250	420893	432498	423930	413688	429586	447772	431015	431917	396078	385910	386392
Pb	1A3aii(i)	948360	907900	754880	822967	943833	1060264	931917	851127	788671	819803	872006	866149	781244	649927	604326	565484	543852	489757	467362	468113	440804	487085	355647	375232	291018	232639	216507	197696	170198	131662	129215	124700	125111
Pb	1A3aii(ii)	2845080	2723700	2264640	2468900	2831500	3041736	2929843	2719993	2479489	2671797	2828474	2591291	2368756	2039193	1981754	1934356	1819348	1673523	1561854	1619567	1552236	1582675	1256593	1336688	1049062	899793	827333	811984	662522	520178	541105	483213	483158
Pb	1A3bi	256398694	239063269	222169675	88988399	10906169	878152	4635	4541	4438	4476	4440	4477	4550	4526	4453	4394	4261	4144	3850	3724	3447	3162	2869	2687	2568	2480	2371	2279	2186	2075	1926	1940	1843
Pb	1A3bii	17834841	17620970	16471314	6540655	797617	63613	328	314	287	268	225	206	191	170	151	138	122	112	99	92	79	75	65	57	52	50	38	35	34	32	33	33	29
Pb	1A3bvi	6088310	6142120	6206531	6073589	6145250	6219728	6249884	6269157	6337336	5634690	4764667	3943082	3075640	2223146	1338316	416043	422301	432900	436767	428737	429496	436718	431924	434141	439709	449650	462892	469935	475560	466330	442663	450544	457187
Pb	2A3	1311000	1408000	1194350	1161825	885700	1447800	1392000	1580950	1551000	2729000	2884560	752840	728120	964130	895590	608806	40160	82860	38870	33720	28590	25400	14446	9656	11787	9400	13030	7350	12700	15110	5746	10678	8862
Pb	2C1	24447100	21040718	17332386	9752288	7887180	4677379	2846487	2652925	3010111	1747300	1807870	1269315	1169773	937742	888124	1353031	1407658	1192864	1364368	790498	1115413	795528	896700	638634	539557	622036	518692	360608	445684	695377	520490	515849	689555
Pb	2C7c	52033554	29328043	32868951	22353314	13241330	8839844	6120039	7332043	6381947	5726528	3979728	5223530	3413724	4214980	4467043	3492650	3363638	4231409	2659466	2850595	2575339	2194081	2360247	2096529	3355779	2646729	3421787	3514291	2415280	2514428	1828484	947807	834500
Pb	5C2	4463	4484	4513	4528	4538	4546	269654	311326	278960	214125	147373	151144	181550	148380	124800	400225	471792	400751	407942	332036	239801	332629	231531	371234	70004	124163	98626	125477	199359	160270	848111	188457	77199
Pb	NATIONALTOTAL	369205127	324979906	306516673	143640195	47913938	29521733	24760503	25095599	24199115	21819842	18923457	17206242	14361906	14216840	13192212	11598050	11185442	11955638	10386866	9602701	10420157	9254581	9224761	8727273	8974713	8322213	9202884	9247907	8144619	8417497	7868087	6853197	6739726
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	369205127	324979906	306516673	143640195	47913938	29521733	24760503	25095599	24199115	21819842	18923457	17206242	14361906	14216840	13192212	11598050	11185442	11955638	10386866	9602701	10420157	9254581	9224761	8727273	8974713	8322213	9202884	9247907	8144619	8417497	7868087	6853197	6739726
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	369205127	324979906	306516673	143640195	47913938	29521733	24760503	25095599	24199115	21819842	18923457	17206242	14361906	14216840	13192212	11598050	11185442	11955638	10386866	9602701	10420157	9254581	9224761	8727273	8974713	8322213	9202884	9247907	8144619	8417497	7868087	6853197	6739726
Cd	1A2d	66256	63109	50692	52885	58882	54705	49374	50816	48245	42033	48328	62793	54209	49428	49679	49639	51967	50677	52484	52025	55068	51551	51259	49598	44779	45489	45456	45639	44180	45457	42314	43513	42815
Cd	2C7c	1337102	832952	750535	492422	183162	173512	152572	179897	121532	69327	60312	141242	60102	55031	68404	71343	91932	108346	50833	51716	27695	40701	56781	33390	80262	40149	27774	60044	50073	40078	75090	24134	43051
Cd	2H1	86801	89978	87419	91727	77991	73441	68340	70897	68591	60300	66527	63451	60734	60503	68738	58417	56377	54035	41004	42656	47623	39306	35016	35112	30568	28582	26574	28696	28661	28595	25975	20119	21317
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	2265305	1717265	1356476	1076445	766643	749343	718298	709815	637590	552787	536142	616282	540924	536575	548337	551955	577654	581063	525198	543260	550254	533559	534848	508343	517554	476657	482195	523280	487179	495998	494943	476760	493988
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	2265305	1717265	1356476	1076445	766643	749343	718298	709815	637590	552787	536142	616282	540924	536575	548337	551955	577654	581063	525198	543260	550254	533559	534848	508343	517554	476657	482195	523280	487179	495998	494943	476760	493988
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	2265305	1717265	1356476	1076445	766643	749343	718298	709815	637590	552787	536142	616282	540924	536575	548337	551955	577654	581063	525198	543260	550254	533559	534848	508343	517554	476657	482195	523280	487179	495998	494943	476760	493988
Hg	1A2d	26499	22570	22474	22538	25264	20643	18419	16711	15179	13240	14458	18827	15677	14761	15361	15665	16195	15877	15709	15226	15985	15008	15115	14812	13648	13737	13644	13601	13256	13783	12680	12978	12742
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	1572759	1252676	1181367	1044357	1062423	992546	1049398	863015	868558	872293	753644	593182	629569	710948	727025	675455	526535	570847	515195	551761	535824	522839	488855	514380	448944	420448	451383	434855	421926	416822	394657	415225	399099
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1572759	1252676	1181367	1044357	1062423	992546	1049398	863015	868558	872293	753644	593182	629569	710948	727025	675455	526535	570847	515195	551761	535824	522839	488855	514380	448944	420448	451383	434855	421926	416822	394657	415225	399099
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	1572759	1252676	1181367	1044357	1062423	992546	1049398	863015	868558	872293	753644	593182	629569	710948	727025	675455	526535	570847	515195	551761	535824	522839	488855	514380	448944	420448	451383	434855	421926	416822	394657	415225	399099

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
DIOX	2C1	26789	21554	20443	20324	19076	13849	9117	7966	8195	8057	7895	4162	5407	3378	5348	5529	3425	2558	2987	915	2594	2122	1128	1162	1231	1330	1336	1332	1035	762	1119	945	474
DIOX	5C1bv	524	536	543	551	542	547	556	567	569	583	585	587	599	603	593	609	601	611	621	626	628	636	644	651	642	665	660	673	681	661	731	697	707
DIOX	5E	8071	8071	8071	8071	8071	8071	8071	8071	8201	8088	7483	8291	8030	8336	7154	7772	7855	8122	7954	8423	8726	7708	7858	7498	7189	6916	7749	7715	8206	8194	8003	8374	7728
HCB	1A2d	215350	241978	234215	241056	246772	219934	198365	193164	200892	176915	212494	280857	240784	213503	215820	225948	242156	241177	260404	264073	279488	265051	267393	270023	250814	254817	260042	259690	250511	258974	243618	252015	248778
HCB	2C1	427385	388049	401105	448051	459393	480661	455831	467311	453422	392258	441384	402173	426000	462641	483173	504410	510958	567688	600198	443886	666998	691623	718793	694882	699844	667869	715798	729749	712663	723823	725645	714342
HCB	NATIONALTOTAL	16558077	16606171	16642817	16723269	16818558	16839963	16948181	16794412	16778265	16672001	10642383	5885786	8527401	14398824	3533687	4497966	5252109	5845058	3661206	9897654	6559676	4262400	3770837	4277264	3428813	3833872	2721863	3086128	2799527	2728237	2594259	3054205	2693839
HCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	16558077	16606171	16642817	16723269	16818558	16839963	16948181	16794412	16778265	16672001	10642383	5885786	8527401	14398824	3533687	4497966	5252109	5845058	3661206	9897654	6559676	4262400	3770837	4277264	3428813	3833872	2721863	3086128	2799527	2728237	2594259	3054205	2693839
HCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	16558077	16606171	16642817	16723269	16818558	16839963	16948181	16794412	16778265	16672001	10642383	5885786	8527401	14398824	3533687	4497966	5252109	5845058	3661206	9897654	6559676	4262400	3770837	4277264	3428813	3833872	2721863	3086128	2799527	2728237	2594259	3054205	2693839
PCB	2C1	5932580	5046508	5462917	5859465	6367206	6679548	6295569	7023988	6834263	6351188	7012144	6533438	6817160	6626103	6917257	6763411	7040070	7339212	6975985	4341792	6595682	7084685	6087484	5971004	6515461	6517685	6718859	7075127	6996037	7082554	6762912	7049833	6634641
PCB	NATIONALTOTAL	9208838	8529332	7988472	8569271	8978910	9573586	9168396	9889926	9635077	8690425	9810768	9361287	9456642	8986980	9483669	9444167	9803878	9956077	9534005	6362226	9168434	9792224	8767235	8467119	9009132	9058783	9174017	9532447	9368867	9227155	8777206	9073030	8661064
PCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	9208838	8529332	7988472	8569271	8978910	9573586	9168396	9889926	9635077	8690425	9810768	9361287	9456642	8986980	9483669	9444167	9803878	9956077	9534005	6362226	9168434	9792224	8767235	8467119	9009132	9058783	9174017	9532447	9368867	9227155	8777206	9073030	8661064
PCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	9208838	8529332	7988472	8569271	8978910	9573586	9168396	9889926	9635077	8690425	9810768	9361287	9456642	8986980	9483669	9444167	9803878	9956077	9534005	6362226	9168434	9792224	8767235	8467119	9009132	9058783	9174017	9532447	9368867	9227155	8777206	9073030	8661064