Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA for CLRTAP

Inv. comparison

Time series

Trend graphs

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TIME SERIES

Party: NO      Submission year: 2023

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2021
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2021
PMs: 2000 - 2021

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
NOx	1A3ai(ii)	2358	2147	2311	2353	2297	2105	2507	2811	3015	3484	3376	3075	2713	2782	3137	3536	4270	4437	4408	4279	5092	5450	6130	6628	7007	6899	6639	7224	7625	7614	2449	2209
NOx	2C2	9280	8107	7790	8715	9765	9968	9729	10286	10746	10707	11114	10659	9814	9258	10570	9741	7002	8086	9253	5926	9392	9516	7997	7715	8755	8613	8489	7950	7437	7169	7586	7522
NOx	3Da1	4407	4416	4421	4362	4322	4425	4470	4505	4482	4230	4290	4017	4043	4163	4201	4272	4162	4300	4117	3748	3401	3871	3827	3880	4090	4169	4098	3987	4096	4271	4235	4291
NMVOC	1B2aiv	8781	8684	7690	8909	10791	11998	11825	13182	10877	9464	8505	8176	8104	8130	7688	6472	6548	6544	6186	5556	4746	5239	6917	7035	6403	6995	5527	4152	3589	3389	1050	932
NMVOC	1B2av	9928	9546	9376	9278	9540	9213	8708	8246	8102	7852	6492	6429	6116	6125	5938	5995	5751	5540	5207	4822	4441	4295	4515	4353	4066	4086	3667	3282	3080	2914	2220	2079
NMVOC	2D3a	8096	8128	8174	8223	8272	8317	8358	8402	8449	8502	8566	8613	8653	8707	8755	9808	8839	8336	7570	10215	9398	10063	13245	13158	13501	14670	16530	18210	18385	15776	18709	18941
NMVOC	2D3i	24784	19574	21353	19474	22258	22322	25227	24763	26446	24509	23649	24876	26102	27312	28528	22551	22810	26052	24465	17430	21858	24599	22845	24244	29745	25861	28057	27664	26279	17273	29122	29122
SOx	1A1a	1115	1171	1198	1108	1305	1148	1208	1076	1062	1554	1514	1464	1594	1572	1337	1231	1177	1132	982	1031	1649	1747	1777	1849	1833	1842	1842	1943	2068	1997	1954	1707
SOx	2A1	584	375	250	488	502	655	773	867	754	643	566	596	470	629	488	713	740	696	629	617	710	628	631	476	499	553	435	536	669	544	397	327
SOx	2B5	4438	3719	3591	3466	3661	4427	4015	3225	2700	2697	2375	1861	2145	1250	1974	1866	1192	997	993	602	1048	978	665	663	724	726	757	815	796	744	662	595
SOx	2C2	12021	9693	7779	9519	9995	10381	9453	9040	8973	9078	9316	7987	6474	6116	7592	6490	4020	4645	5877	3509	5711	6144	5680	5861	6218	5643	5589	5477	5617	5472	5991	5801
SOx	2C3	4307	4094	2997	1846	1612	1544	1669	1807	1845	1653	1392	1414	1545	1510	1639	1697	1869	1613	1455	1250	1356	1460	1308	1241	1199	1267	1311	1222	1296	1410	1280	1472
SOx	2C7c	448	336	248	285	356	438	401	450	434	427	547	520	467	467	570	935	596	623	615	298	489	461	499	700	724	961	741	772	1209	887	513	784
SOx	NATIONALTOTAL	49474	42183	36583	35265	35163	34475	33552	30937	29783	29213	26835	25234	22846	22914	24523	22930	21158	19401	19623	14571	18486	18325	16691	17065	17000	16638	15466	15301	16268	16272	15410	14684
SOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	49474	42183	36583	35265	35163	34475	33552	30937	29783	29213	26835	25234	22846	22914	24523	22930	21158	19401	19623	14571	18486	18325	16691	17065	17000	16638	15466	15301	16268	16272	15410	14684
SOx	NTCOMPLIANCE	49474	42183	36583	35265	35163	34475	33552	30937	29783	29213	26835	25234	22846	22914	24523	22930	21158	19401	19623	14571	18486	18325	16691	17065	17000	16638	15466	15301	16268	16272	15410	14684
NH3	3Da1	1633	1636	1638	1616	1601	1639	1656	1669	1661	1567	1423	1316	1365	1382	1472	1389	1349	1461	1367	1260	833	1131	1168	1180	1190	1185	1114	1107	1066	1140	1173	1257
NH3	3I	1463	1159	1938	2055	1814	2110	2015	1385	1234	1069	810	626	713	605	684	695	759	556	534	359	445	365	421	427	416	262	199	301	1725	378	488	441

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
Pb	1A1a	2024697	2026264	2026427	2026400	2028799	992552	1050666	934492	1096098	623831	422820	305816	148548	148869	45960	70105	76631	69030	68787	49537	58510	49543	95884	52374	59632	47285	59011	67905	69065	91627	119805	77151
Pb	1A2c	55980	56066	38543	35251	55088	43242	59081	108505	95842	95953	75823	54797	42672	47079	42547	56092	52583	43704	32815	40304	48573	58511	62501	250974	420264	388957	258003	138209	197771	260308	108317	18006
Pb	1A2d	178713	191185	174151	175858	292304	289477	330740	272513	259987	247064	252165	309629	339652	425057	430022	410078	496476	386727	404298	379048	431617	365507	289308	243265	153079	140310	120305	140122	119363	19689	15343	19759
Pb	1A2f	231019	293470	338968	371458	436839	447569	443135	494460	482071	298613	254901	119574	160730	101913	48206	22219	12367	3672	116790	157733	251941	216159	222831	234849	214918	240823	231628	205539	245186	222778	136017	169513
Pb	1A3ai(ii)	11479	10450	11252	11453	11182	10249	12204	13683	14679	16962	16435	14972	13208	13545	15273	17216	20786	21599	21459	20830	28773	35784	33507	34563	38333	42118	36114	35521	269973	230144	10775	10021
Pb	1A3aii(i)	331986	288511	272416	257221	251203	252222	269831	267928	245438	287325	291383	284976	447566	377484	454784	256233	206827	187964	201494	206077	453191	554205	386669	303237	383760	738884	459413	639956	604786	362500	446166	498095
Pb	1A3aii(ii)	1973192	1712363	1615453	1524516	1486557	1491280	1594751	1582503	1447033	1694638	1721437	1685416	2662613	2241927	2704981	1515220	1218583	1105029	1184592	1213240	1018745	1204274	820023	746435	875639	1580750	1010760	1377388	1220147	741337	945733	992706
Pb	1A3bi	149568925	112743935	98981837	64456604	10656664	10416599	225716	51664	52801	54637	54225	58332	60899	63552	68078	72094	78557	88049	92984	97900	106697	110027	115555	119629	124554	129194	135252	132005	127908	121407	110647	111733
Pb	1A3bii	13411528	10280087	9158184	5974249	987248	964366	34478	22385	24872	28395	29333	32425	33000	33588	35027	36045	38739	41180	43084	43735	46627	46856	47853	48450	49444	50139	52474	51416	50783	50335	48396	52831
Pb	1A3di(i)	359033	282970	310220	287470	262654	382966	449490	524079	499654	447342	429928	420447	303065	339678	347022	403624	400235	389658	369380	325879	263120	267792	235361	228887	139497	68233	44668	51151	58580	60770	46214	46082
Pb	1A4ai	46112	33470	26264	25511	24361	24831	29772	26984	17470	19913	22446	80416	102414	128500	98491	141105	170264	154748	186415	188514	48221	36561	64519	131212	210172	166064	221489	211887	253724	251267	260946	260743
Pb	1A4bi	537266	482582	468406	528674	562232	550469	588535	605795	575962	586732	593182	615716	703801	700242	653803	646750	668724	646883	645377	654241	732536	644602	672545	545517	472148	499921	479840	510570	496944	451536	490471	546823
Pb	1A4bii	7820192	6055788	5447266	3608179	604959	605346	14359	4696	4794	4886	4954	5081	5169	5260	5356	5430	5533	5581	5628	5678	5719	5709	5645	5569	5497	5428	5376	5301	5288	5276	5292	5293
Pb	2A3	1525000	1525000	1525000	1513000	1146000	1337800	1361800	995200	849300	191800	138000	31400	80300	173300	24600	13100	2400	220	900	350	150	11	250	250	1700	1600	18000	4300
Pb	2B5	576700	576700	576700	567600	631400	655900	581300	571000	637000	506700	441300	472200	410400	164200	191600	167800	119330	162690	114080	35970	70170	29120	31200	57019	45500	52000	31970	26545	75870	27220	34456	19993
Pb	2B6	260030	260030	260030	116830	97430	123230	59930	79830	103530	89630	407930	585130	133500	255200	156300	25800	57100	248700	189440	209750	250000	65200	76300	92900	174800	99200	68600	214900	208400	456000	535330	366600
Pb	2C1	2449000	2449000	2449000	2399000	2749000	2761000	2777121	2773400	2695890	2739750	2628580	2172790	2742980	2707770	3229410	2557930	2600380	2695400	1929800	257600	128700	1069400	591100	743180	467510	1008800	762800	532100	405000	508800	234600	462100
Pb	2C2	1360664	1235710	1308890	1536430	1809900	1249240	1503160	1460860	1819170	1745000	642700	351800	337160	311460	439810	415280	349760	562880	498745	256547	431078	347879	253520	239350	186467	162410	194571	278694	180618	258374	296976	294233
Pb	2C3	595580	575990	566780	537130	513930	489540	494560	519290	492500	495887	502160	486818	468602	440511	405175	445216	162654	301437	227063	205837	206870	188591	226750	191987	198758	202276	174647	237454	216194	329030	206090	232980
Pb	2C7c	198700	198700	198700	198700	198700	198700	198700	198700	198700	198700	198700	198700	198700	198700	198700	200000	151000	210000	168000	119000	138000	107000	160000	186000	196000	240000	248000	237000	352000	263000	17000	25000
Pb	2G	436818	447369	455918	485029	419918	733690	694075	854851	1169939	1999424	1735546	1458624	1787898	2088814	1938496	1990482	1623534	196	200	203	191	166	145	136	145	144	132	130	115	103	135	129
Pb	5C1a	2000000	2000000	2000000	2000000	2000000	400000	400000	400000	400000	400000	350000	90000	170000	130000	6000	6000	6000		18060	5000	400000	5700	10000	11200	4000	8901	1901	9	3	3	2	3
Pb	5E	330512	294393	297581	308173	327512	323261	357304	357330	361334	366187	348557	333200	340932	343611	299333	335967	343757	310726	309970	307640	217401	217445	172175	185821	158977	115124	215013	212096	219063	206757	198243	207910
Pb	NATIONALTOTAL	188981341	146026727	130473908	90288532	27730561	24952778	13355824	12937668	13561421	12916445	11197787	9845756	10522957	10795183	10951719	9785498	9236883	8202780	7303194	5201502	6022648	6201328	5570603	5745984	5600487	6390317	5831376	5934892	6070544	6093869	5298484	5450262
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	188981341	146026727	130473908	90288532	27730561	24952778	13355824	12937668	13561421	12916445	11197787	9845756	10522957	10795183	10951719	9785498	9236883	8202780	7303194	5201502	6022648	6201328	5570603	5745984	5600487	6390317	5831376	5934892	6070544	6093869	5298484	5450262
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	188981341	146026727	130473908	90288532	27730561	24952778	13355824	12937668	13561421	12916445	11197787	9845756	10522957	10795183	10951719	9785498	9236883	8202780	7303194	5201502	6022648	6201328	5570603	5745984	5600487	6390317	5831376	5934892	6070544	6093869	5298484	5450262
Cd	1A2d	120874	123935	112936	114506	134545	138751	133502	130743	129416	125850	118541	136412	126687	129912	121784	120891	127137	121166	127360	98255	134223	132422	86065	62081	18533	18201	14214	18121	18425	15400	15389	17795
Cd	1A3bi	15757	15326	14996	14970	14891	14646	15342	15120	15344	15469	15133	15909	16096	16241	16640	16683	16973	17454	17394	17383	17879	17555	17654	17637	17823	17945	18450	17972	17399	16451	15045	15070
Cd	1A4ai	3597	2896	2416	2347	2300	2250	2854	2511	1682	1983	1645	4063	5137	7531	6171	7613	9928	10333	10891	11533	6362	7984	8862	11640	14302	11165	13749	13242	16293	16467	16727	14751
Cd	2A1	700	300	700	700	700	800	800	800	800	800	7100	5300	23480	43390	6800	1200	2690	740	320	220	450	222	230	8090	289	288	88	346	134	427	219	118
Cd	2B5	88200	88200	88200	88100	89000	89500	88100	79400	66400	64100	63990	65170	68740	23300	25990	25410	22460	29300	28270	18210	20670	8440	4160	1000	600	600	470	1121	1050	520	5020	244
Cd	2C1	47000	47000	51000	53500	51000	51000	49000	49000	47000	44000	43000	48000	49000	56000	58000	50000	52000	61000	48000	3600	1620	24000	7200	7710	4740	6690	5630	4470	5180	3390	2820	3070
Cd	2C2	253880	224840	232370	288180	308020	184980	255090	236210	309450	280500	69400	38460	33940	12110	21140	8190	53669	14800	20661	6564	37651	34405	14330	15910	13329	21571	20890	19754	17440	17989	8476	8451
Cd	2C6	153000	153000	153000	153000	153000	153000	153000	153000	153000	133000	54200	54200	54000	58700	44100	22000	30100	15850	13100	7000	9500	23600	6900	11700	6650	18700	6900	17300	32300	6930	9240	3230
Cd	5C1a	100000	100000	100000	100000	100000	10000	10000	10000	10000	10000	60000	1000	700	6700	700	700	700		2150	2000	26000	400	100	500	200	507	206	8	6	4	5	3
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	1655343	1529000	1402225	1535280	1521748	1302978	1400987	1337335	1394666	1323138	1052879	964708	941778	902033	828761	776331	822852	754848	738158	592737	736823	677457	583285	540441	464840	511316	477461	495865	520078	497669	475327	484424
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1655343	1529000	1402225	1535280	1521748	1302978	1400987	1337335	1394666	1323138	1052879	964708	941778	902033	828761	776331	822852	754848	738158	592737	736823	677457	583285	540441	464840	511316	477461	495865	520078	497669	475327	484424
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	1655343	1529000	1402225	1535280	1521748	1302978	1400987	1337335	1394666	1323138	1052879	964708	941778	902033	828761	776331	822852	754848	738158	592737	736823	677457	583285	540441	464840	511316	477461	495865	520078	497669	475327	484424
Hg	1A3ai(ii)	4920	4479	4822	4908	4792	4392	5230	5864	6291	7270	7043	6417	5661	5805	6546	7378	8908	9257	9197	8927	10624	11182	12431	13284	13988	13488	13112	13825	14489	14436	4589	4258
Hg	1A3aii(ii)	4661	4792	4950	4937	5543	5953	6615	6791	6934	7947	7297	7501	6449	6747	6746	6608	6932	7008	7577	7563	7462	7934	8106	7778	8523	8101	7657	7855	8138	7856	5515	5735
Hg	1A4ai	12892	11571	9982	9704	9348	9157	11884	9212	6956	8990	5891	9169	10731	14389	11709	9842	10292	9851	9541	11889	11142	9716	8432	10382	10565	7412	8116	7835	8765	9940	9331	7680
Hg	2A1	25500	23000	25500	28000	30000	21000	23800	42100	51000	35400	39500	40500	17440	11990	26410	49500	16090	15080	18800	21500	47020	14708	13200	27087	16654	3800	19736	10908	17367	13418	6977	17732
Hg	2A6	6330	6330	6330	6300	6760	6850	7300	7670	7990	8290	8093	6830	6105	5806	10880	16720	17260	7554	9680	4713	4415	4126	4590	4984	4896	4470	3347	2304	3742	4200	3684	4500
Hg	2B10a	71000	69600	59600	60700	61900	58930	65190	86807	21522	8519	1937	714	366	229	9	6	8	17	8	11	12	11	17	9	6	5	10	203	208	334	104	7
Hg	2C1	100100	100100	124100	138100	124100	124100	110100	112100	98100	100100	100100	116100	130100	132100	110100	113100	84100	63000	83000	16110	10055	12900	9800	15300	3400	6700	2500	5400	4100	2500	1400	1050
Hg	5C1a	60000	60000	60000	60000	60000	30000	30000	30000	30000	30000	7000	7000	20000	150000	3200	3300	3300		9460	26000	3400	7000	3400	1600	400	2504	2204	11	4	3	3	2

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
DIOX	5E	2110	2101	2041	2266	2177	2457	2660	2471	2245	2441	2293	2410	2725	2592	2049	2150	2123	1927	1956	1827	2839	1876	2184	2298	2064	1448	2783	3172	3100	2702	3040	3353
HCB	2C3	112078	112078	112078	155574	136436	133400	132956	154898	165772	183769	193059	198923	203682	240147	172660	168145	162577	192388	157709	162298	34498	216480	198515	184296	179656	183922	195526	210623	211692	222654	229699	244857
HCB	2C4	123000000	123000000	123000000	135000000	126000000	83000000	46600000	62000000	53400000	37400000	45000000	49000000	6600000	155000	107500	60000
HCB	NATIONALTOTAL	124127308	124221676	124409601	136525000	127625845	84059550	47663726	63147604	54660025	38681265	46364505	50362362	8072162	1760043	1699605	912247	961489	1001142	995375	1012418	989755	1237083	1247796	1258906	1277758	1320520	1354784	1368522	1373154	1321281	1292524	1329782
HCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	124127308	124221676	124409601	136525000	127625845	84059550	47663726	63147604	54660025	38681265	46364505	50362362	8072162	1760043	1699605	912247	961489	1001142	995375	1012418	989755	1237083	1247796	1258906	1277758	1320520	1354784	1368522	1373154	1321281	1292524	1329782
HCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	124127308	124221676	124409601	136525000	127625845	84059550	47663726	63147604	54660025	38681265	46364505	50362362	8072162	1760043	1699605	912247	961489	1001142	995375	1012418	989755	1237083	1247796	1258906	1277758	1320520	1354784	1368522	1373154	1321281	1292524	1329782
PCB	1A3bi	162644859	122656098	107696168	70169699	11676183	11421144	351813	117251	124138	144539	152100	178224	206293	237196	283956	337711	415481	527573	598047	666340	768250	826985	899383	956304	1016978	1076219	1139923	1113971	1080000	1027605	934493	948477
PCB	1B2c	5479375	5011875	10780000	4576000	7647640	3814800	6474600	7722000	4730000	3386240	2683560	7071680	2806980	1565740	577548	867544	1882679	869206	1539120	1374602	5497532	1882116	2396113	1067936	2147170	1088	901	1426	2182	538	66	2536