Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

TIME SERIES

Party: MT Submission year: 2025

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2023
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2023
PMs: 2000 - 2023

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023
NOx	1A3bi	1187	1283	1147	1439	1499	1567	1586	1567	1528	1502	1449	1442	1439	1428	1397	1325	1284	1249	1211	1178	1030	1059	1048	1060	1058	1050	1032	998	952	834	576	716	699	658
NMVOC	1A3bv	623	625	527	684	754	723	703	710	702	685	624	583	498	512	444	408	416	415	376	367	297	295	293	871	264	262	254	262	149	146	207	225	344	341
NMVOC	2H2	54	54	54	54	54	54	54	54	56	54	53	53	54	67	42	51	49	57	62	73	71	89	88	80	101	98	87	99	102	104	93	89	90	90
SOx	1A2gviii	45	47	59	65	68	79	75	82	78	79	74	82	83	87	90	61	61	78	78	27	53	10	36	23	32	39	31	28	36	40	44	48	49	41
SOx	1A3ai(i)	9	9	1	1	9	1	2	2	15	25	23	23	22	22	21	8	8	8	8	8	9	9	9	9	10	11	11	13	15	15	6	8	12	15
SOx	1A3dii	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	17	16	16	15	16	22	13	12	11	15	16	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	17	17	19	23	9	13	11	12
SOx	1A4ai	60	59	77	83	91	100	95	110	107	100	95	93	89	92	97	71	62	79	79	29	73	12	39	66	68	78	55	55	30	31	33	38	40	38
SOx	1A4cii	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	2	1	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	5	9	10	9	9	12	9
SOx	1A4ciii	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	6	7	8	7	9	9	11	10	3	3	3	3	6	3	10	6	6	6	6	5	12	14	4	4	4	5
NH3	1A3bi	1	2	15	20	21	22	28	34	40	47	49	50	51	52	53	54	56	56	58	60	58	60	57	56	55	55	54	51	51	44	32	38	42	40
NH3	1A5b	7	10	24	21	25	29	44	43	46	59	71	33	35	22	29	10	18	15	8	23	63	70	50	42	42	49	39	49	28	49	69	71	56	89
NH3	3B4gii	64	63	63	63	63	65	65	64	64	63	62	76	61	55	46	37	40	43	62	63	63	54	58	58	55	52	41	41	44	44	51	52	56	61
CO	1A3ai(i)	93	81	5	5	52	9	10	10	92	225	200	182	1832	156	164	92	89	94	80	77	83	81	83	85	92	98	91	108	131	129	47	72	104	120
CO	1A4cii	44	48	54	55	57	59	65	63	62	63	64	57	56	57	57	746	734	743	741	730	738	728	719	711	711	7	711	305	345	387	295	313	390	378

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023
PM2.5	1A3bvi	30	31	31	32	33	34	34	34	35	36	36	38	39	40	41	42	44	43	45	42	33	40	42	42
PM2.5	1A3bvii	10	11	11	11	12	12	12	12	12	13	13	14	14	14	14	15	15	15	16	15	12	14	15	15
PM2.5	1A4ai	22	12	11	11	11	2	2	3	3	3	4	3	5	5	6	8	8	7	4	4	3	3	4	3
PM2.5	2D3b	0	2	1	1	11	14	15	16	9	12	12	12	12	13	13	14	14	14	5	13	9	23	16	9
PM2.5	2G	14	14	15	16	18	8	14	20	23	26	33	19	24	35	19	19	20	19	21	23	19	19	20	20
PM10	1A3bvi	60	62	64	66	67	68	69	70	71	72	72	78	79	82	84	86	89	88	91	85	67	80	86	85
TSP	1A3bvi	74	76	78	81	82	83	84	85	87	89	89	95	97	100	103	105	109	108	112	104	82	98	105	104
BC	1A1a	20	25	24	26	26	26	26	24	23	8	10	12	13	8	13	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	0
BC	1A2gviii	3	3	4	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	3	3	3	3	2	2	3	4	4	4	3
BC	1A3bvi	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	8	8	8	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	8	9	9
BC	1A4ai	13	6	5	5	5	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	3	3	4	4	4	2	2	1	1	2	1
BC	1A4cii	2	1	1	2	1	4	3	4	4	3	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	1	3	4	3	3	4	3
BC	1A5b	26	12	13	8	11	4	7	6	3	8	23	25	18	15	15	17	14	17	10	16	23	23	18	29
BC	2G	4	4	4	5	5	1	3	6	8	8	11	6	9	13	5	5	6	6	6	7	6	6	6	6

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023
Pb	1A1a	116224	104303	99189	136590	115209	95759	96561	94682	96193	100245	93448	116512	114081	125456	120648	86006	87159	88596	85830	80547	79864	41615	163290	55722	73765	23615	10683	205	7	8	12	9	10	8
Pb	1A2gviii	6240	5986	7948	8469	9486	10175	9919	11662	11766	10689	10281	9026	8786	9108	9123	6294	6295	7895	7895	3792	6188	2188	5282	10633	12135	12110	11311	9619	9655	11418	15972	16845	18414	11976
Pb	1A3bi	48963	53038	55017	69090	71850	74979	78114	79323	80182	81265	81159	80626	80535	81167	81775	83317	84705	86223	87912	91801	90197	179	177	180	185	191	195	187	199	182	140	167	179	177
Cd	1A1a	23240	21630	21031	28462	25285	24069	25870	25177	25525	26840	25523	31792	31202	34754	32768	28744	29276	29912	27275	25631	25057	26370	28347	23171	22773	12477	8752	2320	4	5	5	5	5	5
Cd	1A2gviii	95	92	121	129	144	155	151	177	177	162	156	137	133	138	139	95	95	119	119	57	93	33	79	160	183	183	171	145	146	172	241	254	278	181
Cd	2G	2003	1997	1995	2001	2021	1998	1971	1982	2034	2122	1883	1841	2037	2293	2569	672	1672	3030	3562	3975	5280	2924	4043	5823	2434	2562	2975	2839	3042	3311	2761	2731	2961	2961
Cd	3F	40240	34288	34502	35069	35224	34992	29880	32994	33418	32226	32034	32880	29293	32133	31002	29334	29230	30023	31367	31784	33664	33955	34417	33106	33091	32766	34429	34835	34482	34894	32995	33	33	33
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	67032	59438	59300	67498	64690	63230	59985	62688	63550	63622	61906	68650	64638	71315	68492	60691	62118	64969	64238	63419	66225	65358	69168	64552	60918	50580	48916	42762	40224	41017	38414	5567	5734	5680
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	67032	59438	59300	67498	64690	63230	59985	62688	63550	63622	61906	68650	64638	71315	68492	60691	62118	64969	64238	63419	66225	65358	69168	64552	60918	50580	48916	42762	40224	41017	38414	5567	5734	5680
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	67032	59438	59300	67498	64690	63230	59985	62688	63550	63622	61906	68650	64638	71315	68492	60691	62118	64969	64238	63419	66225	65358	69168	64552	60918	50580	48916	42762	40224	41017	38414	5567	5734	5680
Hg	1A3bi	493	535	556	699	728	764	804	825	841	864	884	898	915	934	945	960	972	985	999	1038	1018	1101	1104	1134	1162	1197	1220	1179	1243	1137	869	1049	1112	1097
Hg	1A3biii	96	104	111	138	144	143	151	153	157	159	158	157	157	164	164	166	166	166	170	167	173	190	189	190	185	191	204	209	208	218	162	192	212	203
Hg	3F	6505	5608	5641	5713	5718	5672	4926	5345	5416	5230	5200	5312	4758	5215	5042	4772	4746	4882	5086	5156	5454	5499	5572	5364	5361	5308	5578	5643	5582	5653	5348	5	5	5
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	24160	21480	19693	24836	21317	16729	16019	15667	15616	16681	17929	20209	19702	23103	19915	14866	14983	15351	14903	14604	14997	15753	16464	14573	14448	11399	10621	9033	8369	8457	8098	2866	2920	3073
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	24160	21480	19693	24836	21317	16729	16019	15667	15616	16681	17929	20209	19702	23103	19915	14866	14983	15351	14903	14604	14997	15753	16464	14573	14448	11399	10621	9033	8369	8457	8098	2866	2920	3073
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	24160	21480	19693	24836	21317	16729	16019	15667	15616	16681	17929	20209	19702	23103	19915	14866	14983	15351	14903	14604	14997	15753	16464	14573	14448	11399	10621	9033	8369	8457	8098	2866	2920	3073

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023
DIOX	1A2gviii	4	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	5	3	3	4	4	2	3	1	3	5	6	6	6	5	5	6	8	9	9	6
DIOX	2G	34	34	34	34	35	34	34	34	35	36	32	31	35	40	45	11	29	54	64	72	94	52	73	104	41	44	52	50	53	58	49	48	53	53
DIOX	NATIONALTOTAL	265	246	251	297	279	246	241	254	257	259	251	254	256	273	281	238	250	284	280	1674	7966	1061	1448	1597	1443	1336	915	1218	1159	188	180	188	184	186
DIOX	NTCOMPL(NECD)	265	246	251	297	279	246	241	254	257	259	251	254	256	273	281	238	250	284	280	1674	7966	1061	1448	1597	1443	1336	915	1218	1159	188	180	188	184	186
DIOX	NTCOMPLIANCE	265	246	251	297	279	246	241	254	257	259	251	254	256	273	281	238	250	284	280	1674	7966	1061	1448	1597	1443	1336	915	1218	1159	188	180	188	184	186
HCB	1A1a	50240	40703	34335	50240	34167	8724																2	25	34	26	9	20	2
HCB	1A4ai	131	126	151	152	178	173	179	198	145	136	138	84	82	89	94	7	6	7	7	11	15	13	20	22	28	35	39	35	19	18	13	13	17	11
PCB	1A1a	24745	20048	16911	24745	16828	4297																1	15	20	15	6	12	1
PCB	1A4ai	78	75	89	90	105	102	106	117	86	81	81	50	49	52	56	4	3	4	4	7	9	8	12	13	16	21	23	20	11	10	8	8	10	7