Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

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TIME SERIES

Party: MT      Submission year: 2024

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2022
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2022
PMs: 2000 - 2022

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key

 

Indicates a dip in the time series data

 

Indicates a jump in the time series data

 

Indicates time series data with large sigma


MAIN (Unit = Mg)
199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
NOx1A3bi1187128311471439149915671585156715291502144914431439142813971326128412491211117810311060104910601037104810301012983871602753734
NOx1A3biii68474177596910071067111511251145115111281113109911501140114011301115112410831151129112381215112811251123110610461010676801838
NMVOC1A3bv623625527684754723703710702685624582498512444408416415376367297295292871264262252260147144202217222
NMVOC1B2av13013414017017024014816216415414413615014011813213212912512211811511210810510198959188848181
NMVOC2H2545454545454545456545353546742514957627371898880101988799102104938890
NMVOC3B4gii145144144144144148147147145144142173140124104849096979797848990858164646769798087
SOx1A2gviii31324144465451555253505555586040405151183572417233025232830343638
SOx1A3ai(i)66117111111817171616168888899991011111315166813
SOx1A3dii16161616161616161716161516221312111516151515151515151717192391111
SOx1A4ai46445761687371838073706461626647415252204892745465743432323232628
SOx1A4cii00111111111111133333332112281620171724
SOx1A4ciii23344566678799111033336310666651214444
NH31A3bi1215202122283440474950515253545657586059605756555555525245323738
NH31A5b7102421252944434659713335222910181582363705042424940502849708265
NH33B1b1491561561521411311481481351431381211311241401441431471331151001021071069510494949192959593
NH33B4gii9493939393959595949391112908067545862626363545858555241414444515256
CO1A3biii288312314392408398411410409402390381372379370368361351349332352394373364340337332325309297198234242
CO1A4cii4448545557596563626364575657577467347437417307387287197117117711305344386293312389

PM (Unit = Mg)
20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
PM2.51A3bi6464666766625855545344454342393734333124161917
PM2.51A3bii5756565656534948474635242527282929323026201822
PM2.51A3bvi3031323333343434353635363739394143434542333941
PM2.51A3bvii1011111112121212121212131414141515151615121415
PM2.51A4ai2212111111223334355688744334
PM2.52D3b02111114151691212121213131414141518252226
PM2.52G141415161881420232633192435191920192123191920
PM101A3bi6464666766625855545344454342393734333124161917
PM101A3bii5756565656534948474635242527282929323026201822
PM101A3bvi6062646667686970717270737679808487889185667883
PM103Dc8084697675717073757579798079797882828082787979
TSP1A3bi6464666766625855545344454342393734333124161917
TSP1A3bii5756565656534948474635242527282929323026201822
TSP1A3bvi7476788182838485878986909397981021061081111058196103
TSP3Dc8084697675717073757579798079797882828082787979
BC1A1a202524262626262423810121381343100111
BC1A2gviii33444000010013333223444
BC1A3bii3433343434323130292922151618181919211917131215
BC1A3bvi66677777777788889998788
BC1A4ai136555111112123344422112
BC1A4cii21121434433211110134334
BC1A5b2612138114763823251815151714171016232621
BC2G4445513688116913556667666

HM (Unit = g)
199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Pb1A1a11622410430399189136590115209957599656194682961931002459344811651211408112545612064886006871598859685830805477986441615163290557217376523615106832047812910
Pb1A2gviii6240598679488469948610175991911662117661068910281902687869108912362946295789578953792618821885282106331213512110113119619965511418159721684518414
Pb1A3bi489635303855017690897185074977780927932180185812548114580603805358116581766833138470286212878519173290113179177180180189193187200182137161169
Pb1A3bvi127621137816147487187102195481203847220709232485241091250967260198267797274254283922288285292639296312299975304464310830304144317612328375341806344105360462374006378058390846367314282513337244357767
Cd1A1a23240216302103128462252852406925870251772552526840255233179231202347543276828744292762991227275256312505726370283472317122773124778752232045555
Cd1A2gviii9592121129144155151177177162156137133138139959511911957933379160183183171145146172241254278
Cd1A3bvi5355776187848198549259741010105210911122114911901208122612421257127613031273132813741430144115091567158316381539118514141502
Cd2G20031997199520012021199819711982203421221883184120372293256967216723030356239755280292440435823243425622975283930423311276127312961
Cd3F306843000829950301083027630326294343030930196300823000730213318213360832600318363199732095333143444935802351343459534041344113479834930372903618434749335713434
CdNATIONALTOTAL5747555157547476253659742585695954360008603326148159883659836717072797700886320364875670546619266031683086645269181653696201552376492134494841667404723865551745519
CdNTCOMPL(NECD)5747555157547476253659742585695954360008603326148159883659836717072797700886320364875670546619266031683086645269181653696201552376492134494841667404723865551745519
CdNTCOMPLIANCE5747555157547476253659742585695954360008603326148159883659836717072797700886320364875670546619266031683086645269181653696201552376492134494841667404723865551745519
Hg1A3bi4935355566997287648048258418648848989159349459609729859981037101710991102112911281188120911781249113885410191056
Hg1A3biii97105112140145151159161164166164163162172171173173172176172185223217215207216226247243255173229249
Hg3F498549274917492449314930485549174903488948774888516054505297517051865211539555805795568756015512557156315658603458535630544055
HgNATIONALTOTAL226402080018970240482053115998159581525015113163491761519791201112334720179152731543015688152181503015324158991645514695146101170310682942886488441816228352869
HgNTCOMPL(NECD)226402080018970240482053115998159581525015113163491761519791201112334720179152731543015688152181503015324158991645514695146101170310682942886488441816228352869
HgNTCOMPLIANCE226402080018970240482053115998159581525015113163491761519791201112334720179152731543015688152181503015324158991645514695146101170310682942886488441816228352869

POP (Unit = mg)
199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
DIOX1A2gviii434556666655555334423135666556899
DIOX2G3434343435343434353632313540451129546472945273104414452505358494853
DIOXNATIONALTOTAL2592432482952762442412532562582502532572742832402522852811952796610571674184716751552144614181349186174175181
DIOXNTCOMPL(NECD)2592432482952762442412532562582502532572742832402522852811952796610571674184716751552144614181349186174175181
DIOXNTCOMPLIANCE2592432482952762442412532562582502532572742832402522852811952796610571674184716751552144614181349186174175181
HCB1A1a50240407033433550240341678724               22534269202     
PCB1A1a24745200481691124745168284297               11520156121