Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

RecalculationsKCATime seriesTrend graphsAdd Comments


TIME SERIES

Party: MK      Submission year: 2025

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2023
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2023
PMs: 2000 - 2023

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key

 

Indicates a dip in the time series data

 

Indicates a jump in the time series data

 

Indicates time series data with large sigma


MAIN (Unit = Mg)
1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
NOx1A2a18349771250100249070017139181413211269791861119511962070263833992919205427532020300926982019152213569261089141813441281776555
NOx1A4ai14325422626262626899118339222128911113813164313241250711119611374896055815206176646035435254223385540
NMVOC1A2a202219258207101203129504341246208171312348579684873763425641549778660549439412268349501529494309176
NMVOC1A2gviii105106102999182181144160128157154162188206714170194201138135146145134142171298296295286145205163179
NMVOC1A3biv9981058159017408411335156619922066203121604416706288001314141012565653461722273022156123124
NMVOC1A4bi5630494053836017574957465742573854515740678352755239582358155205516848334817481647445166559654865717548145915228433644534594462744564127
NMVOC1B2av26652058125226875283728150620672180231417754316801152317261811184320462053201323242550257628192692297233563872392542433745416646074746
NMVOC2D3a2434244124672479234923702390240324152426243724462428243624421099154918781843146723202176217821542301244924972627266727872857262324032605
NMVOC2D3d3779344632323033275325622707276628292739280428092797285127621517254126662752230025942848342533153205330930912683252226272487263425782796
NMVOC3B1b104110211032999100310121040999912902870861828889853833845830803892880803799686718808810828792667716497403497
NMVOC3De11351114112511171116110911101105111211041063107011321121108810571054926915872964963106510841086108710901089108710881085108410811076
NMVOCNATIONALTOTAL40829357733734039792339193873336784380323870038881398423449331532310813141923245244772515724980230482431324927250002447924251235382339823934232452292021719218072215121255
NMVOCNTCOMPL(NECD)40829357733734039792339193873336784380323870038881398423449331532310813141918648244772515724980230482431324927250002447924251235382339823934232452292017847183191870918126
NMVOCNTCOMPLIANCE40829357733734039792339193873336784380323870038881398423449331532310813141923245244772515724980230482431324927250002447924251235382339823934232452292021719218072215121255
SOx1A1a102149817947888581346838028883985118883689698188482978871009958893787246876378682384412877356735497049774779604882925750277690169507562674918853855108035888688313791863102187
SOx1A2a14021976228218288941921225447343165213617581292265130204866581076746778350654104968686358814964399737292308280943693401356220071290
SOxNATIONALTOTAL1124039144388657911339027596527905419483910936899310106257108281961229471495641947699317998522768771030988568810345391344820638270975032632935474459821115445934538861294945105122
SOxNTCOMPL(NECD)1124039144388657911339027596527905419483910936899310106257108281961229471495641947699317998522768771030988568810345391344820638270975032632935474459821115445934538861294945105122
SOxNTCOMPLIANCE1124039144388657911339027596527905419483910936899310106257108281961229471495641947699317998522768771030988568810345391344820638270975032632935474459821115445934538861294945105122
NH311B          9610511038366272689301219417438657236343268563142524639115
NH31B2d        456375382566317322288243245261242297297299258207178164160148146136130129122117
NH33B1b949931941911914922948911831823794785755811778759770757732813803732729625655737738755722608653453368453
NH33B38738538659779239249859941016114510299511009975816812882134412379739629498728558189071003982932652769868864906
CO1A1a265720962021208521472277218122642503228425362614230422492248222721712283101918031748251233541982203419081684176310301803109580710311179
CO1A2a15042064238819139361999226549283299224018551382279631785155613980607106370557145197721161595193418039032431300746163843391722571403
CO1A3biii2736375844504641402445124472457446344619479339284238135105765405885425454343833243231628175918221777163215771353135816881648
CO1A4bi38327340443700941252394343939039346393023722839322462513596835845397813978235476351323288332673326133214834953378203777836986385723702131043293453014931122313863022928037
CONATIONALTOTAL10665789626993481054439455710005496614997931039951051691128768901091108892609401274125697727077166081621936133162942653406292760673615006147053735530065356648821500714661344179
CONTCOMPL(NECD)10665789626993481054439455710005496614997931039951051691128768901091108892609401274125697727077166081621936133162942653406292760673615006147053735530065356648821500714661344179
CONTCOMPLIANCE10665789626993481054439455710005496614997931039951051691128768901091108892609401274125697727077166081621936133162942653406292760673615006147053735530065356648821500714661344179

PM (Unit = Mg)
200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
PM2.511B49336121717630790428124711143867081061332251225754066556339686131
PM2.52C2101121517260711627143701233310229599774511355525497838988114945999396525922131475044237
PM1011B6029748209933791105232302131747286512916227514970349813694150106160
PM102A5a2461741433717141230348355289342355352389361379416392393419389366343381
PM102C21432621493693164712035817472144918496105551919744313859127331611184515563367229446770633310
PM102D3b9844123593734485423933055106968606907789521116121014161617171617
PM103Dc192819412053203319731917191116801660158217491747193119661971197219771975197219731968196619611951
TSP11B93171155323144571417080854672027730133720025142523010867612561076414163248
TSP2A5a5023562917535288470709724590698725718794736773848799802855794746699777
TSP2C21685425284344193782395020555170499995124182258875616304149801895499426524432035527983743912
TSP3Dc192819412053203319731917191116801660158217491747193119661971197219771975197219731968196619611951
BC11B444551573183852211356410122011524605306812
BC1A2gviii3537394028105435858394144444244353232343741434542
BC1A4ai4879550416358554165592535272827292725242121126
BC2C21011152261116314371233102360074513552597889911496003872592355421

HM (Unit = g)
1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
Pb1A1a886861698921677444695471723704762979729038755477839771763404808791863143750280749606752756744492700787715496794746766962706416803194765509657006669989604567498748432566475308566897435987358343464860483650
Pb1A2a18730228594732857626324512874028147333650869238946150030633625630218478838637544235671246284734611183509884585042117844697258101001068854928725227585537547220338003414327645908511099531996301146190370
Pb1A2gviii65077625225568357257552225581445394128032125564113199147197158392165517205601292505168600118908125749116535732867862384453817597806069286181600430908426559416557385908117498222117110139160467
Pb1A3bi890935066860277576903399723198797231987978564788780468067947077679326235796510398232421081595190868904658238493817134064231217242244260272297268300199205223223227236175208226248
Pb1A4bi280371268395287261314746301325299876298428296980275768297162339189262913267906294565296900257693250049234796228466225115222806239949260502260341254327265611256025216232205923212472220262222909214137199402
Pb2C140710693475916252292516275816442073836725893381059260160009210920812014496268354344168193498475383330937157974164251452019035250263245608349565039690042594648167388022929112147496259670416398408622370526277995482180380202455968
Pb2C513106415011682770013955680013044605012468235013404305014117605015564300016919330011854330010224266781401978720672003972060020827800197200266800104400121800226200     291349198235116341205811373113731292261645
Pb2G3419809258484930317292714209221715321991212175601257622525354572429617195529718808171770273205408119215851859648197881618800321438640143315223331853457441331161620266403019969328496023418082572304270636933461123853360401643246859684758096
PbNATIONALTOTAL236187514199294497230346140214952452205689789224032770231367689246832568261892002210220396196926319173756330172008980133474647470367997916461856957089611277448009673643578886229534633827635158372917322716739982546998954783412500052659319865770271621943965623466691607
PbNTCOMPL(NECD)236187514199294497230346140214952452205689789224032770231367689246832568261892002210220396196926319173756330172008980133474647470367997916461856957089611277448009673643578886229534633827635158372917322716739982546998954783412500052659319865770271621943965623466691607
PbNTCOMPLIANCE236187514199294497230346140214952452205689789224032770231367689246832568261892002210220396196926319173756330172008980133474647470367997916461856957089611277448009673643578886229534633827635158372917322716739982546998954783412500052659319865770271621943965623466691607
Cd1A2a253138474422354217323784049193136213412334482488523059761062712276154421340967991121898031432411550979579237387456468499891132291142073093344
Cd1A2gviii501748064252438741064042412557574849525269377373755972888606330579228918395735790627670646855598658376810115101145411401109107413902374227939
Cd1A4bi1218971058571156191295301237461237271237081236881178001237221467891141771130671258321255391127451122621049461048611049941034071127221224911224891204711260811214291022619770710094010475610607110273695663
Cd2C535073831612537240334707533093035655637716741509644961931773927225021835219421011055553865510690270315585     1322243745295485175175872802
Cd2C689207588394577205037568036854014288151622145407525595115407100260000260000280000140000125000                   
CdNATIONALTOTAL1528107143960213845839781989349472026611223657910665901317807990442835607745507730747521293453727288524264756264412264771253161250813269587272397246385249460246725243082226961227687243002224569235347234978230177
CdNTCOMPL(NECD)1528107143960213845839781989349472026611223657910665901317807990442835607745507730747521293453727288524264756264412264771253161250813269587272397246385249460246725243082226961227687243002224569235347234978230177
CdNTCOMPLIANCE1528107143960213845839781989349472026611223657910665901317807990442835607745507730747521293453727288524264756264412264771253161250813269587272397246385249460246725243082226961227687243002224569235347234978230177
Hg1A2a11400169951955715668766316670421734102627370182701564011536235182685842914509916710559317306374717343424596495115143390350323285720571249653858830202316391807311712
Hg2C18850275563548463538214004834112812230273478523741437935833896018760548333380778905279826576631705577599286283564053638949846466851315721098207041877314085244301926423102
Hg2K19573197481991420023195731974819914200232012720216203112038720237202992035220385204192045220486205272057320598206232065820692207132073720753207712076320688183771830018262

POP (Unit = mg)
1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
DIOX1A2a2884355004001964270561051701466390282588672108812921701150276811961103152513001102889831514635986806828473293
DIOX1A2b467371372373343313018737435741639025412100000000000000000000
HCB1A2a8651323152012185951302 1693204213714171186855180020573699425953274617233738843374496239743371272825431571241034554817410826511183
HCB1A4bi46856406644442049772475494754347537475314527647544564224388743453483624824743339431594034440318403733976143346471034710346329484874669839325375753881940287407923951236792
PCB2C512425710012613020012762520011481170010616910011758130013106090014131240014648780011462500090937333794390227428880056442400114912001088001472005760067200124800     688480011627200194636002749760028501200268814002688140030542200145706600
PCB2K202800000203396400205600000206600000195726500197480000199139800200234000201270500202157800203111200203865100202365400202989200203519600203851400204194100204517700204861900205272200205728400205979400206229400206576900206917200207127800207370200207530100207713200207713200208713200209713200210713200211713200