Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

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TIME SERIES

Party: MK      Submission year: 2024

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2022
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2022
PMs: 2000 - 2022

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
NOx	1A2a	1834	977	1250	1002	490	700	17	139	1814	1321	1269	791	861	1195	1196	2070	2638	3399	2919	2054	2753	2020	3009	2698	2019	1522	1356	926	1089	1418	1344	1281	714
NOx	1A3bi	5278	4021	4508	4671	4239	4605	4575	4658	4650	4669	4825	4352	4695	4403	4500	3390	3182	3661	3516	3579	3553	3700	3588	4141	1841	1054	2146	2016	2738	2001	1532	1684	1841
NOx	1A4ai	143	25	42	26	26	26	26	26	899	1183	392	221	2891	1113	813	1643	1324	1250	711	1196	1137	489	605	581	520	617	664	603	543	525	422	338	65
NOx	1A4aii																						551	1135	511	523	530	541	564	566	611	538	622	622
NMVOC	1A3biv	998	1058	1590	1740	841	1335	1566	1992	2066	2031	2160	441	670	628	800	13	14	14	10	12	56	56	53	46	17	23	27	30	22	15	6	12	31
NMVOC	1A3bv	1099	1188	1335	1383	1252	1363	1354	1379	1378	1383	1430	1478	1464	1425	1095	1106	1732	1731	1532	1452	1243	1138	814	774	611		505	460	391	334	191	131	638
NMVOC	1B2av	2665	2058	1252	2687	528	3728	1506	2067	2180	2314	1775	4316	801	1523	1726	1811	1843	2046	2053	2013	2324	2550	2576	2819	2692	2972	3356	3872	3925	4243	3745	4166	4596
NMVOC	2D3a	2434	2441	2467	2479	2349	2370	2390	2403	2415	2426	2437	2446	2428	2436	2442	2225	2676	3007	2974	2600	3455	3313	3316	3294	3443	3592	3642	3772	3814	3934	3999	3578	3362
NMVOC	2D3d	3779	3446	3232	3033	2753	2562	2707	2766	2829	2739	2804	2809	2797	2851	2762	1517	2541	2666	2752	2300	2594	2848	3425	3315	3205	3309	3091	2683	2522	2627	2487	2634	2578
NMVOC	2D3e	1724	1729	1748	1756	1664	1679	1693	1702	1711	1718	1726	1733	1720	1725	1730	1733	1736	1738	1741	1745	1749	1751	1753	1756	1759	1761	1763	1764	1766	1765	1758	1561	1555
NMVOC	3De	1135	1114	1125	1117	1116	1109	1110	1105	1112	1104	1063	1070	1132	1121	1088	1057	1054	926	915	872	964	963	1065	1084	1086	1087	1090	1089	1087	1088	1085	1084	1081
NMVOC	NATIONALTOTAL	48183	42163	44046	46958	40746	45048	43487	44797	44720	45565	47264	40886	37928	37888	38220	27184	28448	29232	29066	27163	28467	29115	29262	28854	28635	27308	27800	28358	27687	27379	26144	25807	26076
NMVOC	NTCOMPL(NECD)	48183	42163	44046	46958	40746	45048	43487	44797	44720	45565	47264	40886	37928	37888	38220	22726	28448	29232	29066	27163	28467	29115	29262	28854	28635	27308	27800	28358	27687	27379	22304	22358	22672
NMVOC	NTCOMPLIANCE	48183	42163	44046	46958	40746	45048	43487	44797	44720	45565	47264	40886	37928	37888	38220	27184	28448	29232	29066	27163	28467	29115	29262	28854	28635	27308	27800	28358	27687	27379	26144	25807	26076
SOx	1A1a	102149	81794	78885	81346	83802	88839	85118	88368	96981	88482	97887	100995	88937	87246	87637	86823	84412	87735	67354	97049	77477	96048	82925	75027	76901	69507	56267	49188	53855	108035	88868	83137	87735
SOx	1A2a	1402	1976	2282	1828	894	1921	2	254	4734	3165	2136	1758	1292	2651	3020	4866	5810	7674	6778	3506	5410	4968	6863	5881	4964	3997	3729	2308	2809	4369	3401	3562	2004
SOx	NATIONALTOTAL	112150	91211	88392	90903	90176	96541	90422	94758	109288	99239	106177	108227	96137	94760	95631	94777	93134	98481	76828	103049	85631	103386	91305	82026	82685	74999	63268	54720	59797	115420	93429	88585	90575
SOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	112150	91211	88392	90903	90176	96541	90422	94758	109288	99239	106177	108227	96137	94760	95631	94777	93134	98481	76828	103049	85631	103386	91305	82026	82685	74999	63268	54720	59797	115420	93429	88585	90575
SOx	NTCOMPLIANCE	112150	91211	88392	90903	90176	96541	90422	94758	109288	99239	106177	108227	96137	94760	95631	94777	93134	98481	76828	103049	85631	103386	91305	82026	82685	74999	63268	54720	59797	115420	93429	88585	90575
NH3	11B											96	105	110	38	36	62	72	689	301	21	94	174	386	57	23	63	43	268	56	314	25	246	39
NH3	1B2d									456	375	382	566	317	322	288	243	245	261	242	297	297	299	258	207	178	164	160	148	146	136	130	129	122
NH3	3B3	873	853	865	977	923	924	985	994	1016	1145	1029	951	1009	975	816	812	882	1344	1237	973	962	949	872	855	818	907	1003	982	932	652	769	868	864
CO	1A2a	1504	2064	2388	1913	936	1999	2	265	4928	3299	2240	1855	1382	2796	3178	5155	6139	8060	7106	3705	5714	5197	7211	6159	5193	4180	3903	2431	3007	4616	3843	3917	2253
CO	1A3biii	2736	3758	4450	4641	4024	4512	4472	4574	4634	4619	4793	3928	4238	1	3510	576	540	588	542	545	434	383	324	323	1628	1058	1822	1777	1632	1577	1353	1358	1688

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
PM2.5	11B	4933	612	171	76	30	7	90	4281	247	11	14	386	708	106	133	225	122	575	40	665	56	3396	86
PM2.5	2C2	10112	1517	2607	11627	14370	12333	10229	5997	7451	1355	5254	9783	8988	11494	5999	3965	2592	21	31	47	50	44	23
PM10	11B	6029	748	209	93	37	9	110	5232	302	13	17	472	865	129	162	275	149	703	49	813	69	4150	106
PM10	2A5a	246	174	143	37	17	141	230	348	355	289	342	355	352	389	361	379	416	392	393	419	389	366	343
PM10	2C2	14326	2149	3693	16471	20358	17472	14491	8496	10555	1919	7443	13859	12733	16111	8451	5563	3672	29	44	67	70	63	33
PM10	2D3b	984	412	359	373	448	542	393	305	510	696	860	1070	1010	1167	1116	12	15	14	16	16	17	17	16
PM10	3Dc	1928	1941	2053	2033	1973	1917	1911	1680	1660	1582	1749	1747	1931	1966	1971	1972	1977	1975	1972	1973	1968	1966	1961
TSP	11B	9317	1155	323	144	57	14	170	8085	467	20	27	730	1337	200	251	425	230	1086	76	1256	107	6414	163
TSP	2A5a	502	356	291	75	35	288	470	709	724	590	698	725	718	794	736	773	848	799	802	855	794	746	699
TSP	2C2	16854	2528	4344	19378	23950	20555	17049	9995	12418	2258	8756	16304	14980	18954	9942	6524	4320	35	52	79	83	74	39
TSP	3Dc	1928	1941	2053	2033	1973	1917	1911	1680	1660	1582	1749	1747	1931	1966	1971	1972	1977	1975	1972	1973	1968	1966	1961
BC	11B	444	55	15	7	3	1	8	385	22	1	1	35	64	10	12	20	11	52	4	60	5	306	8
BC	1A2gviii	35	37	39	40	28	105	43	58	58	39	41	44	44	42	44	35	32	32	34	37	41	43	46
BC	1A4ai	48	7	95	50	41	63	58	55	41	65	59	25	35	27	28	27	29	27	25	24	21	21	12
BC	2C2	1011	152	261	1163	1437	1233	1023	600	745	135	525	978	899	1149	600	387	259	2	3	5	5	4	2

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
Pb	1A1a	886861	698921	677444	695471	723704	762979	729038	755477	839771	763404	808791	863143	750280	749606	752756	744492	700787	715496	794746	766962	706416	803194	765509	657006	669989	604567	498748	432566	475308	566897	435987	358343	464860
Pb	1A2a	187302	285947	328576	263245	128740	281473	3	36508	692389	461500	306336	256302	184788	386375	442356	712462	847346	1118350	988458	504211	784469	725810	1001068	854928	725227	585537	547220	338003	414327	645908	511099	531996	301574
Pb	1A2gviii	65077	62522	55683	57257	55222	55814	45394	128032	125564	113199	147197	158392	165517	205601	292505	168600	118908	125749	116535	73286	78623	84453	81759	78060	69286	181600	430908	426559	416557	385908	117498	222117	74359
Pb	1A3bi	89093506	68602775	76903399	72319879	72319879	78564788	78046806	79470776	79326235	79651039	82324210	81595190	86890465	82384938	17134064	231	217	242	244	260	272	297	268	300	199	191	223	223	227	236	175	208	226
Pb	1A4bii	633439	390037	456021	731335	413944	504952	500014	495345	497487	458814	448275	446617	422557	399792	424380	399792	422585	421876	421208	420500	419660	418729	418219	417712	417009	416324	415900	415414	415094	414728	414903	416397	376861
Pb	2C1	4071069	3475916	2522925	1627581	644207	383672	589338	1059260	1600092	1092081	2014496	2683543	4416819	3498475	3833309	3715797	4164251	4520190	3525026	3245608	3495650	3969004	2594648	1673880	2292911	2147496	259670	416398	408622	370526	277995	482180	380202
Pb	2C5	131064150	116827700	139556800	130446050	124682350	134043050	141176050	155643000	169193300	118543300	102242667	81401978	72067200	39720600	20827800	197200	266800	104400	121800	226200						2913	4919	8235	11634	12058	11373	11373	12922
Pb	NATIONALTOTAL	232526631	196710530	227586808	212781581	203783798	222278698	229662975	244691512	259964504	208309223	195487019	172386015	170790976	131987547	45694357	6449558	7008709	7499249	6427718	5721444	5972450	6493447	5380456	4225900	4717594	4528926	2771759	2624301	2707196	2998577	2329815	2617421	2217619
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	232526631	196710530	227586808	212781581	203783798	222278698	229662975	244691512	259964504	208309223	195487019	172386015	170790976	131987547	45694357	6449558	7008709	7499249	6427718	5721444	5972450	6493447	5380456	4225900	4717594	4528926	2771759	2624301	2707196	2998577	2329815	2617421	2217619
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	232526631	196710530	227586808	212781581	203783798	222278698	229662975	244691512	259964504	208309223	195487019	172386015	170790976	131987547	45694357	6449558	7008709	7499249	6427718	5721444	5972450	6493447	5380456	4225900	4717594	4528926	2771759	2624301	2707196	2998577	2329815	2617421	2217619
Cd	1A2a	2531	3847	4422	3542	1732	3784	0	491	9313	6213	4123	3448	2488	5230	5976	10627	12276	15442	13409	6799	11218	9803	14324	11550	9795	7923	7387	4564	6849	9891	13229	11420	7314
Cd	1A2gviii	5017	4806	4252	4387	4106	4042	4125	5757	4849	5252	6937	7373	7559	7288	8606	33057	9228	9183	9573	5790	6276	7064	6855	5986	5837	6810	11510	11454	11401	10910	7413	9023	6804
Cd	2C5	350738	316125	372403	347075	330930	356556	377167	415096	449619	317739	272250	218352	194210	110555	53865	510	690	270	315	585						132	224	374	529	548	517	517	587
Cd	2C6	892075	883945	772050	375680	368540	1428815	1622145	407525	595115	407100	260000	260000	280000	140000	125000
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	1605623	1507319	1458228	1062088	1015786	2107491	2317508	1146767	1394106	1070917	933008	820603	805189	604026	536469	284939	260968	260809	262022	250436	246384	263044	266128	242541	243748	240501	238651	222183	222572	236679	217290	227761	225556
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1605623	1507319	1458228	1062088	1015786	2107491	2317508	1146767	1394106	1070917	933008	820603	805189	604026	536469	284939	260968	260809	262022	250436	246384	263044	266128	242541	243748	240501	238651	222183	222572	236679	217290	227761	225556
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	1605623	1507319	1458228	1062088	1015786	2107491	2317508	1146767	1394106	1070917	933008	820603	805189	604026	536469	284939	260968	260809	262022	250436	246384	263044	266128	242541	243748	240501	238651	222183	222572	236679	217290	227761	225556
Hg	1A2a	11400	16995	19557	15668	7663	16670	4	2173	41026	27370	18270	15640	11536	23518	26858	42914	50991	67105	59317	30637	47173	43424	59649	51151	43390	35032	32857	20571	24965	38588	30202	31639	18099
Hg	2C1	88502	75563	54846	35382	14004	8341	12812	23027	34785	23741	43793	58338	96018	76054	83333	80778	90527	98265	76631	70557	75992	86283	56405	36389	49846	46685	13157	21098	20704	18773	14085	24430	19264
Hg	2K	19573	19748	19914	20023	19573	19748	19914	20023	20127	20216	20311	20387	20237	20299	20352	20385	20419	20452	20486	20527	20573	20598	20623	20658	20692	20713	20737	20753	20771	20763	20688	18377	18300

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
DIOX	1A2a	288	435	500	400	196	427	0	56	1051	701	466	390	282	588	672	1088	1292	1701	1502	768	1196	1103	1525	1300	1102	889	831	514	635	986	806	828	473
HCB	1A2a	865	1323	1520	1218	595	1302		169	3204	2137	1417	1186	855	1800	2057	3699	4259	5327	4617	2337	3884	3374	4962	3974	3371	2728	2543	1571	2410	3455	4817	4108	2653
PCB	2C5	124257100	126130200	127625200	114811700	106169100	117581300	131060900	141312400	146487800	114625000	90937333	79439022	74288800	56442400	11491200	108800	147200	57600	67200	124800						6884800	11627200	19463600	27497600	28501200	26881400	26881400	30542200
PCB	2K	202800000	203396400	205600000	206600000	195726500	197480000	199139800	200234000	201270500	202157800	203111200	203865100	202365400	202989200	203519600	203851400	204194100	204517700	204861900	205272200	205728400	205979400	206229400	206576900	206917200	207127800	207370200	207530100	207713200	207713200	208713200	209713200	210713200