Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

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KCA for CLRTAP

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Time series

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TIME SERIES

Party: ME      Submission year: 2023

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2021
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2021
PMs: 2000 - 2021

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
NOx	1A1a	5184	5268	4339	4051	3226	174	4591	4219	5660	5471	6006	4354	6920	6416	6041	5224	6292	4502	6747	3366	6214	7094	6678	7040	6942	7387	6341	6653	7595	7350	7892	7123
NOx	1A2b	643	1237	722	474	619	577	557	342	330	344	544	559	598	608	557	1361	1175	1797	1649	515	21	41						55	32	2	2	0
NOx	1A2gviii	164	167	149	121	78	98	135	54	62	59	45	46	39	30	16	210	179	316	160	134	67	66	65	183	142	126	126	130	128	107	97	126
NOx	NATIONALTOTAL	9331	10700	7749	6740	6085	3165	8030	7374	9563	10139	11038	9153	11054	10409	10780	10704	11866	11921	14368	10957	12732	13268	12710	12943	11810	12800	12738	13593	15043	15127	15649	14882
NOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	9331	10700	7749	6740	6085	3165	8030	7374	9563	10139	11038	9153	11054	10409	10780	10602	11866	11921	14368	10957	12732	13268	12710	12943	11810	12800	12738	13593	15043	15127	15583	14806
NOx	NTCOMPLIANCE	9331	10700	7749	6740	6085	3165	8030	7374	9563	10139	11038	9153	11054	10409	10780	10704	11866	11921	14368	10957	12732	13268	12710	12943	11810	12800	12738	13593	15043	15127	15649	14882
NMVOC	1A3dii	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	10	12	13	14	13	22	25	25	26	25	30	378	385	30	22	21	19
NMVOC	1A4bi	2178	1868	2007	2210	1532	1739	1653	1507	1372	1428	1481	1247	1809	1865	1898	1803	1830	1834	1836	1932	2019	2054	2079	1968	1911	2035	2035	2156	2039	2081	2113	1754
NMVOC	5D1	152	152	152	152	151	151	150	150	150	149	150	151	151	152	152	152	182	182	213	171	171	130	136	136	142	158	158	173	242	242	310	167
NMVOC	NTCOMPL(NECD)	8154	8074	7523	7325	6794	7097	7207	7119	7578	7942	7769	7237	7492	7753	7766	6226	7357	7612	7616	7863	7636	7711	7707	6940	7047	7317	7452	7608	7558	7662	6865	6260
SOx	1A1a	42666	43368	35815	33443	26621	1411	37901	34813	46713	45143	49554	35925	57241	53049	49962	43275	52121	37291	55894	27885	51479	58764	55324	58319	57509	61192	52532	55118	62920	60885	65377	59007
SOx	1A4ai	321	336	244	174	166	174	251	375	383	414	240	236	275	252	213	93	210	104	88	143	109	3	3	7	52	65	66	71	76	85	64	73
SOx	2C3	527	512	446	191	57	130	255	403	383	405	478	541	582	601	604	602	609	621	557	317	413	466	372	242	214	212	181	197	201	185	192
SOx	NATIONALTOTAL	44709	45514	37484	34673	27676	2569	39591	37032	48902	47481	51418	37834	59380	55025	51798	45086	53945	38973	57389	29090	52675	59680	56268	58963	58211	62151	53476	55966	63555	61563	66005	59589
SOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	44709	45514	37484	34673	27676	2569	39591	37032	48902	47481	51418	37834	59380	55025	51798	45086	53945	38973	57389	29090	52675	59680	56268	58963	58211	62151	53476	55966	63555	61563	66005	59589
SOx	NTCOMPLIANCE	44709	45514	37484	34673	27676	2569	39591	37032	48902	47481	51418	37834	59380	55025	51798	45086	53945	38973	57389	29090	52675	59680	56268	58963	58211	62151	53476	55966	63555	61563	66005	59589
NH3	1A4bi	264	226	244	269	186	211	201	181	164	171	179	150	218	225	229	220	223	225	225	236	246	252	255	242	234	249	249	265	250	255	259	215
CO	1A3dii	20	20	20	20	20	20	20	20	20	20	26	32	36	38	36	59	65	67	68	65	79	1187	1207	79	57	55	50
CO	1A4bi	4353	3776	3988	4372	3079	3471	3339	3115	2882	3038	3017	2593	3715	3813	3850	3556	3659	3591	3608	3826	4012	4000	4048	3817	3721	3971	4011	4170	3939	4021	4079	3392
CO	2C3	12650	12279	10700	4572	1380	3129	6129	9672	9187	9710	11463	12975	13978	14426	14496	14446	14616	14908	13361	7605	9907	11189	8926	5799	5132	5100	4341	4721	4814	4448	4618
CO	NATIONALTOTAL	25824	26193	21516	13943	9879	12159	16301	20271	21872	24437	24588	24207	24596	26094	26435	25373	26282	27051	25406	21355	22746	23479	20852	14871	15052	15789	15538	16263	16369	16226	16409	10933
CO	NTCOMPL(NECD)	25824	26193	21516	13943	9879	12159	16301	20271	21872	24437	24588	24207	24596	26094	26435	25373	26282	27051	25406	21355	22746	23479	20852	14871	15052	15789	15538	16263	16369	16226	16409	10933
CO	NTCOMPLIANCE	25824	26193	21516	13943	9879	12159	16301	20271	21872	24437	24588	24207	24596	26094	26435	25373	26282	27051	25406	21355	22746	23479	20852	14871	15052	15789	15538	16263	16369	16226	16409	10933

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
PM2.5	1A4ai	33	34	39	37	31	18	43	63	60	65	27	41	40	45	37	47	48	52	56	62	47	60
PM2.5	1A4bi	808	685	989	1018	1034	972	990	987	989	1043	1091	1103	1116	1056	1026	1093	1096	1155	1092	1114	1131	939
PM10	1A4bi	826	701	1012	1041	1057	992	1010	1006	1008	1064	1113	1125	1138	1076	1046	1115	1118	1178	1113	1136	1153	958
PM10	1B1a	66	50	76	68	64	54	64	51	73	40	81	83	75	71	70	74	59	62	67	67	70	65
PM10	2A5a	44	43	43	40	44	48	48	50	51	19	20	26	9	18	27	25	24	72	40	54	32	45
TSP	1A4bi	862	731	1055	1086	1102	1034	1054	1050	1052	1110	1161	1173	1187	1123	1091	1163	1167	1229	1161	1185	1203	999
TSP	1B1a	139	106	161	144	136	115	135	107	155	85	172	176	159	151	147	158	124	131	142	143	148	138
TSP	2A5a	90	88	88	82	90	98	99	102	105	39	41	53	19	37	56	52	49	148	81	110	65	91
BC	1A2e	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	3	2	1	1	0	1	1	13	11	11	11	11	13	13	2
BC	1A2gviii	2	2	1	1	1	5	3	6	4	3	2	9	10	12	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	4
BC	1A4bi	224	189	273	281	287	269	272	273	273	287	300	306	310	293	284	303	303	321	304	310	315	261

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
Pb	1A1a	166361	169189	139399	130171	103849	6079	147513	135161	181284	175242	192344	139481	221655	205601	193610	166333	188851	147682	226566	121158	256683	262485	234164	227671	220626	230434	185792	191194	219699	226629	236484	205553
Pb	1A2gviii	44446	47038	35806	29632	28392	28395	40739	41961	45664	43195	34556	33322	27152	12344	9874	25944	17302	11154	11130	6190	2478	6887	7265	8139	994	4801	4938	4768	4651	5250	4410	5450
Pb	1A4bi	229314	203823	208428	226086	164570	182753	180722	175845	167384	180573	165018	147444	206701	210431	208996	183616	194763	182510	184978	199438	210728	201080	203321	189899	186941	200452	206979	206197	194339	198432	200798	167790
Pb	2C1	539869	510549	371215	299783	290735	230337	266466	344141	367757	228805	220451	285368	215363	153494	390429	265842	419466	452174	524394	269045	125507	159026	68019	51280	37258	95165	117436	117580	117502	63081	89110	7909
Pb	NATIONALTOTAL	1039742	993575	800278	718801	619794	481861	684224	767879	834938	707490	662360	653952	725449	632667	847757	667789	865776	829848	980827	637655	624390	648331	532208	495875	477735	569175	554497	559388	576868	538239	570412	422628
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1039742	993575	800278	718801	619794	481861	684224	767879	834938	707490	662360	653952	725449	632667	847757	667789	865776	829848	980827	637655	624390	648331	532208	495875	477735	569175	554497	559388	576868	538239	570412	422628
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	1039742	993575	800278	718801	619794	481861	684224	767879	834938	707490	662360	653952	725449	632667	847757	667789	865776	829848	980827	637655	624390	648331	532208	495875	477735	569175	554497	559388	576868	538239	570412	422628
Cd	1A1a	463459	444516	199911	169880	147439	729	191243	247608	320631	329547	360523	257768	151934	178931	148569	19960	22662	17722	27188	14539	30802	31498	28100	27321	26475	27652	22295	22943	26364	27195	28378	24666
Cd	1A2b	7524	14468	8440	5546	7234	6752	6511	4003	3858	4027	6366	6535	6993	7114	6511	15915	13745	20738	19291	6028	241	482			13			643	371	25	25	0
Cd	1A2gviii	1803	1837	1686	1362	864	1105	1512	564	613	580	464	448	365	286	133	2049	1457	3315	1849	1560	775	3249	3410	4451	1972	1826	1841	1861	1785	1566	1388	479
Cd	1A4ai	6833	6882	6703	6522	6528	6768	6688	7088	7005	7086	13346	6800	6871	6953	6774	732	1761	4272	4199	4159	1259	3341	3289	9781	8763	15622	15678	17799	19303	19725	15017	4213
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	735904	702119	400630	381666	317969	193637	353421	432395	505655	506399	562167	448584	375938	397377	393531	159280	156190	188900	177080	133435	133073	147906	138606	139894	141883	165708	149509	153074	153292	151620	151309	107051
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	735904	702119	400630	381666	317969	193637	353421	432395	505655	506399	562167	448584	375938	397377	393531	159280	156190	188900	177080	133435	133073	147906	138606	139894	141883	165708	149509	153074	153292	151620	151309	107051
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	735904	702119	400630	381666	317969	193637	353421	432395	505655	506399	562167	448584	375938	397377	393531	159280	156190	188900	177080	133435	133073	147906	138606	139894	141883	165708	149509	153074	153292	151620	151309	107051
Hg	1A1a	31963	32519	26868	25097	20017	1175	28441	26027	34914	33741	37034	26858	42797	39680	37375	32158	36511	28552	43803	23424	49625	50747	45272	44016	42654	44551	35920	36964	42475	43815	45720	39740
Hg	1A2gviii	2669	2822	2134	1766	1683	1688	2420	2474	2717	2572	2037	1990	1626	755	607	1790	1423	946	689	393	160	352	359	550	152	367	374	365	361	375	318	391
Hg	1A4ai	2993	3129	2266	1610	1538	1621	2338	3508	3576	3868	2197	2199	2562	2349	1981	896	2021	1121	973	1476	1063	144	142	159	552	658	680	722	771	873	660	758
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	54974	55038	44603	40590	33940	14359	44411	45238	54713	51710	51147	41833	58218	52752	54162	45887	54364	45167	61837	36623	59576	59878	52863	50592	49257	53339	45465	45981	50887	51483	53629	45627
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	54974	55038	44603	40590	33940	14359	44411	45238	54713	51710	51147	41833	58218	52752	54162	45887	54364	45167	61837	36623	59576	59878	52863	50592	49257	53339	45465	45981	50887	51483	53629	45627
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	54974	55038	44603	40590	33940	14359	44411	45238	54713	51710	51147	41833	58218	52752	54162	45887	54364	45167	61837	36623	59576	59878	52863	50592	49257	53339	45465	45981	50887	51483	53629	45627

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
DIOX	1A1a	111	113	93	87	69	4	98	90	121	117	128	93	148	137	129	111	126	98	151	81	171	175	156	152	147	154	124	127	146	151	158	137
DIOX	1A2gviii	68	72	55	45	43	43	62	64	69	65	52	51	41	19	15	40	27	18	17	10	4	2	2	4	0	6	6	6	6	7	6	7
DIOX	1A4ai	77	80	58	41	39	41	60	90	92	99	56	56	66	60	51	22	50	24	21	34	26	0	0	0	11	13	14	15	15	18	13	15
HCB	1A1a	73555	74851	61954	57881	46157	2715	65595	59979	80466	77751	85341	61892	98793	91573	86266	74295	84353	65965	101199	54117	114652	117243	104593	101693	98546	102927	82987	85400	98132	101227	105629	91814
HCB	1A4bi	35836	30677	33150	36522	25251	28659	27251	24698	22420	23297	24282	20363	29639	30587	31159	29873	30273	30456	30467	32031	33453	34117	34532	32715	31722	33778	33740	35838	33877	34573	35116	29131
HCB	NATIONALTOTAL	111545	107734	96808	95829	72831	32951	95306	88211	106158	104583	112164	84538	131264	124773	119653	106536	116970	99525	134745	88566	149146	154560	142869	137529	133991	141619	121564	125765	135915	140215	144633	124323
HCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	111545	107734	96808	95829	72831	32951	95306	88211	106158	104583	112164	84538	131264	124773	119653	106536	116970	99525	134745	88566	149146	154560	142869	137529	133991	141619	121564	125765	135915	140215	144633	124323
HCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	111545	107734	96808	95829	72831	32951	95306	88211	106158	104583	112164	84538	131264	124773	119653	106536	116970	99525	134745	88566	149146	154560	142869	137529	133991	141619	121564	125765	135915	140215	144633	124323
PCB	1A1a	36	37	31	29	23	1	32	30	40	38	42	30	49	45	42	37	42	32	50	27	56	58	52	50	49	51	41	42	48	50	52	45
PCB	1A2gviii	56	60	45	38	36	36	52	53	58	55	44	42	34	16	13	33	22	14	14	8	3	14	15	16	2	7	7	7	7	8	6	8
PCB	1A4bi	472	413	433	472	337	377	368	347	325	346	331	289	411	421	422	386	402	388	391	417	439	430	435	409	400	428	436	446	421	430	435	363