Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA

Inv. comparison

Time series

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TIME SERIES

Party: ME      Submission year: 2022

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2020
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2020
PMs: 2000 - 2020

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
NOx	1A1a	5184	5268	4339	4051	3226	174	4591	4219	5660	5471	6006	4354	6920	6416	6041	5224	6292	4502	6747	3366	6214	7094	6678	7040	6942	7387	6341	6653	7595	7350	7892
NOx	1A2a	614	882	559	469	449	430	501	372	325	278	213	258	217	174	315	267	256	266	347	222	196	96	94	311	43	79	52	52	14	17	16
NOx	1A2b	753	1303	765	496	640	599	579	386	374	388	610	624	642	652	600	1361	1175	1797	1671	515	21	41						55	32	2	4
NOx	1A2e	8	5	5	5	5	5	7	21	14	19	5	5	7	2	2	87	322	200	177	86	129	48	91	135	323	212	208	72	75	91	241
NOx	NATIONALTOTAL	7579	8460	6403	5643	4863	1866	6415	5787	7201	6972	7624	5998	8612	8061	7734	7552	8738	7554	10055	5191	7113	7666	7422	8526	8587	8876	7787	7185	8069	7786	9417
NOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	7579	8460	6403	5643	4863	1866	6415	5787	7201	6972	7624	5998	8612	8061	7734	7476	8738	7554	10055	5191	7113	7666	7422	8526	8587	8876	7787	7185	8069	7786	9360
NOx	NTCOMPLIANCE	7579	8460	6403	5643	4863	1866	6415	5787	7201	6972	7624	5998	8612	8061	7734	7552	8738	7554	10055	5191	7113	7666	7422	8526	8587	8876	7787	7185	8069	7786	9417
NMVOC	1A4bi	2184	1873	2009	2212	1534	1741	1656	1513	1379	1434	1489	1252	1817	1872	1903	1803	1832	1834	1837	1932	2019	2054	2079	1969	1911	2035	2035	2156	2039	2081	2113
NMVOC	2D3a	696	700	703	705	708	711	714	717	720	723	726	729	732	735	736	737	738	739	740	742	696	744	745	745	746	747	747	747	747	746	746
NMVOC	2H2	184	172	135	93	125	138	129	131	144	174	183	192	124	168	161	170	178	181	185	159	184	138	141	130	126	127	128	134	129	125	125
NMVOC	NTCOMPL(NECD)	5311	5041	4969	5042	4444	4708	4654	4495	4394	4486	4487	4240	4766	4839	4830	3348	4341	4426	4415	4375	4322	4382	4414	4363	4343	4507	4529	4583	4407	4469	3735
SOx	1A1a	42666	43368	35815	33443	26621	1411	37901	34813	46713	45143	49554	35925	57241	53049	49962	43275	52121	37291	55894	27885	51479	58764	55324	58319	57509	61192	52532	55118	62920	60885	65377
SOx	1A2gviii	308	325	250	206	194	196	281	283	308	290	232	224	182	84	66	192	132	110	142	101	28	19	27	57	71	89	92	36	35	38	102
SOx	1A4ai	353	364	268	194	190	202	276	403	411	438	264	260	299	276	237	93	214	104	88	143	109	3	3	11	81	93	94	71	76	85	90
SOx	2C3	527	512	446	191	57	130	527	403	383	527	478	541	582	601	604	602	609	621	557	317	413	466	372	242	214	212	198	202	201	183	183
SOx	NATIONALTOTAL	44772	45569	37524	34703	27710	2611	39900	37094	48967	47658	51481	37836	59420	55067	51826	45038	53931	38895	57453	28976	52491	59677	56288	59054	58335	62263	53598	55960	63544	61542	66103
SOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	44772	45569	37524	34703	27710	2611	39900	37094	48967	47658	51481	37836	59420	55067	51826	45038	53931	38895	57453	28976	52491	59677	56288	59054	58335	62263	53598	55960	63544	61542	66103
SOx	NTCOMPLIANCE	44772	45569	37524	34703	27710	2611	39900	37094	48967	47658	51481	37836	59420	55067	51826	45038	53931	38895	57453	28976	52491	59677	56288	59054	58335	62263	53598	55960	63544	61542	66103
NH3	1A4bi	264	226	244	269	186	211	201	181	164	171	179	150	218	225	229	220	223	225	225	236	246	252	255	242	234	249	249	265	250	255	259
CO	1A2gviii	323	341	262	216	203	205	294	293	321	301	240	233	190	88	70	217	162	138	172	127	34	147	166	202	124	144	148	68	65	66	153
CO	1A4bi	4376	3800	4000	4380	3087	3483	3351	3143	2914	3066	3052	2617	3751	3849	3874	3556	3666	3591	3612	3826	4012	4000	4052	3821	3721	3971	4011	4170	3939	4021	4079
CO	2C3	12650	12279	10700	4572	1380	3129	12650	9672	9187	12650	11463	12975	13978	14426	14496	14446	14616	14908	13361	7605	9907	11189	8926	5799	5132	5100	4747	4855	4820	4386	4386
CO	NATIONALTOTAL	18383	17557	15759	9786	5278	7343	17006	13967	13320	16846	15414	16505	18638	19009	19200	18843	19364	19621	18196	12259	14669	15765	13514	10277	9608	9932	9599	9724	9498	9185	9345
CO	NTCOMPL(NECD)	18383	17557	15759	9786	5278	7343	17006	13967	13320	16846	15414	16505	18638	19009	19200	18843	19364	19621	18196	12259	14669	15765	13514	10277	9608	9932	9599	9724	9498	9185	9345
CO	NTCOMPLIANCE	18383	17557	15759	9786	5278	7343	17006	13967	13320	16846	15414	16505	18638	19009	19200	18843	19364	19621	18196	12259	14669	15765	13514	10277	9608	9932	9599	9724	9498	9185	9345

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
PM2.5	1A2b	24	24	25	25	23	53	46	69	65	20	1	2			0			2	1	0	0
PM2.5	1A2e	0	0	0	0	0	3	13	8	7	3	5	2	3	5	53	42	42	36	37	45	49
PM2.5	1A4ai	38	39	43	42	36	18	44	63	60	65	27	41	40	46	43	53	53	52	56	62	52
PM2.5	1A4bi	815	689	996	1025	1038	972	991	987	990	1043	1091	1103	1117	1057	1026	1093	1096	1155	1092	1114	1131
PM10	1A2b	24	24	25	25	23	53	46	69	65	20	1	2			0			2	1	0	0
PM10	1A2e	0	0	0	0	0	3	13	8	7	3	5	2	4	5	54	43	43	37	38	46	50
PM10	1A4ai	41	42	47	46	39	20	46	65	62	68	28	42	41	47	45	55	56	54	58	64	55
PM10	1A4bi	834	706	1020	1049	1062	992	1012	1006	1009	1064	1113	1125	1139	1077	1046	1115	1118	1178	1113	1136	1153
TSP	1A2b	24	24	25	25	23	53	46	69	65	20	1	2			0			2	1	0	0
TSP	1A4ai	43	44	50	48	41	21	49	68	65	71	29	44	43	49	47	57	58	56	60	67	57
TSP	1A4bi	870	736	1063	1094	1108	1034	1056	1050	1053	1110	1161	1173	1188	1124	1091	1163	1167	1229	1161	1185	1203
TSP	2A5a	64	62	62	55	62	69	67	68	69	5	78	16		6	16	5		95	48	79	79
BC	1A2b	13	14	14	14	13	30	26	39	36	11	0	1			0			1	1	0	0
BC	1A2e	0	0	0	0	0	2	7	4	4	2	3	1	2	3	18	14	14	11	11	13	16
BC	1A2gviii	2	2	1	1	1	5	5	9	17	15	3	10	13	17	18	17	18	4	4	4	20
BC	1A4ai	6	6	6	6	6	3	7	15	15	14	4	12	11	13	12	15	15	13	14	16	15
BC	1A4bi	228	192	277	285	289	269	272	273	274	287	300	306	310	294	284	303	303	321	304	310	315
BC	NATIONALTOTAL	259	223	309	316	322	317	326	350	356	337	321	335	343	345	344	362	360	357	341	349	375
BC	NTCOMPL(NECD)	259	223	309	316	322	317	326	350	356	337	321	335	343	345	344	362	360	357	341	349	375
BC	NTCOMPLIANCE	259	223	309	316	322	317	326	350	356	337	321	335	343	345	344	362	360	357	341	349	375

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
Pb	1A1a	166361	169189	139399	130171	103849	6079	147513	135161	181284	175242	192344	139481	221655	205601	193610	166333	188851	147682	226566	121158	256683	262485	234164	227671	220626	230434	185792	191194	219699	226629	236484
Pb	1A2gviii	44446	47038	35806	29632	28392	28395	40739	41962	45666	43195	34556	33322	27152	12344	9874	25944	17302	11154	11130	6190	2478	6887	7265	8139	994	4801	4938	4768	4651	5250	4410
Pb	1A4bi	229314	203823	208428	226086	164570	182753	180722	175845	167384	180573	165018	147444	206701	210431	208996	183616	194763	182510	184978	199438	210728	201080	203321	189899	186941	200452	206979	206197	194339	198432	200798
Pb	2C1	539869	510549	371215	299783	290735	230337	266466	344141	367757	228805	220451	285368	215363	153494	390429	265842	419466	452174	524394	269045	539869	159026	68019	51280	37258	95165	117436	117580	117502	109736	109736
Pb	NATIONALTOTAL	1035489	988622	797251	716436	617141	478986	680636	764148	829631	700867	655553	648092	720766	627948	841977	662658	860274	822791	972494	627989	1030467	638741	523025	486708	470477	561057	544751	548697	565219	572683	578827
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1035489	988622	797251	716436	617141	478986	680636	764148	829631	700867	655553	648092	720766	627948	841977	662658	860274	822791	972494	627989	1030467	638741	523025	486708	470477	561057	544751	548697	565219	572683	578827
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	1035489	988622	797251	716436	617141	478986	680636	764148	829631	700867	655553	648092	720766	627948	841977	662658	860274	822791	972494	627989	1030467	638741	523025	486708	470477	561057	544751	548697	565219	572683	578827
Cd	1A1a	463459	444516	199911	169880	147439	729	191243	247608	320631	329547	360523	257768	151934	178931	148569	19960	22662	17722	27188	14539	30802	31498	28100	27321	26475	27652	22295	22943	26364	27195	28378
Cd	1A2b	8805	15237	8952	5802	7490	7008	6767	4515	4371	4540	7135	7304	7506	7626	7023	15915	13745	20738	19547	6028	241	482			13			643	371	25	50
Cd	1A2e	33	39	33	33	33	33	50	182	145	178	33	33	50	17	17	998	3761	2300	2014	1007	1510	537	1040	1527	7369	5482	5535	3836	3955	4770	6377
Cd	1A2gviii	1803	1837	1686	1362	864	1105	1512	657	799	580	464	448	365	286	133	2561	2225	4596	8768	7710	1544	3761	4948	7526	9403	8745	9016	1861	1785	1566	10269
Cd	1A4ai	58085	51728	45142	38554	44967	51614	45127	51933	51851	45525	51785	45239	45310	45392	45213	732	8167	4272	4199	4159	1259	3341	3289	16188	53608	60468	60523	17799	19303	19725	55967
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	826876	786172	458801	426768	369477	257958	411336	522840	602563	590308	659034	526231	472548	493987	470921	166199	184635	191206	198093	147016	173660	148675	154237	194222	223630	251811	223056	153074	153292	155209	222127
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	826876	786172	458801	426768	369477	257958	411336	522840	602563	590308	659034	526231	472548	493987	470921	166199	184635	191206	198093	147016	173660	148675	154237	194222	223630	251811	223056	153074	153292	155209	222127
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	826876	786172	458801	426768	369477	257958	411336	522840	602563	590308	659034	526231	472548	493987	470921	166199	184635	191206	198093	147016	173660	148675	154237	194222	223630	251811	223056	153074	153292	155209	222127
Hg	1A1a	31963	32519	26868	25097	20017	1175	28441	26027	34914	33741	37034	26858	42797	39680	37375	32158	36511	28552	43803	23424	49625	50747	45272	44016	42654	44551	35920	36964	42475	43815	45720
Hg	1A2gviii	2669	2822	2134	1766	1683	1688	2420	2476	2721	2572	2037	1990	1626	755	607	1800	1438	972	827	516	176	362	390	611	300	505	518	365	361	375	496
Hg	1A4ai	3027	3159	2292	1632	1564	1651	2363	3538	3606	3894	2223	2224	2588	2375	2007	896	2025	1121	973	1476	1063	144	142	164	582	688	710	722	771	873	687
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	55059	55109	44652	40625	33980	14406	44455	45313	54793	51778	51227	41900	58292	52827	54224	45902	54437	45213	62009	36771	67595	59894	52928	50812	49529	53575	45697	45981	50887	52380	54297
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	55059	55109	44652	40625	33980	14406	44455	45313	54793	51778	51227	41900	58292	52827	54224	45902	54437	45213	62009	36771	67595	59894	52928	50812	49529	53575	45697	45981	50887	52380	54297
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	55059	55109	44652	40625	33980	14406	44455	45313	54793	51778	51227	41900	58292	52827	54224	45902	54437	45213	62009	36771	67595	59894	52928	50812	49529	53575	45697	45981	50887	52380	54297

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
DIOX	1A1a	111	113	93	87	69	4	98	90	121	117	128	93	148	137	129	111	126	98	151	81	171	175	156	152	147	154	124	127	146	151	158
DIOX	1A4ai	77	81	59	42	40	42	60	90	92	100	57	57	66	60	51	22	51	24	21	34	26	0	0	0	12	14	14	15	15	18	14
HCB	1A1a	73555	74851	61954	57881	46157	2715	65595	59979	80466	77751	85341	61892	98793	91573	86266	74295	84353	65965	101199	54117	114652	117243	104593	101693	98546	102927	82987	85400	98132	101227	105629
HCB	1A4bi	35836	30677	33150	36522	25251	28660	27251	24699	22421	23297	24282	20363	29639	30587	31159	29873	30273	30456	30467	32031	33453	34117	34532	32715	31722	33778	33740	35838	33877	34573	35116
HCB	NATIONALTOTAL	111545	107734	96809	95830	72832	32952	95307	88212	106159	104584	112164	84538	131265	124773	119653	106536	116970	99525	134745	88566	149146	154560	142869	137529	133991	141619	121564	125765	135915	140215	144633
HCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	111545	107734	96809	95830	72832	32952	95307	88212	106159	104584	112164	84538	131265	124773	119653	106536	116970	99525	134745	88566	149146	154560	142869	137529	133991	141619	121564	125765	135915	140215	144633
HCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	111545	107734	96809	95830	72832	32952	95307	88212	106159	104584	112164	84538	131265	124773	119653	106536	116970	99525	134745	88566	149146	154560	142869	137529	133991	141619	121564	125765	135915	140215	144633
PCB	1A1a	36	37	31	29	23	1	32	30	40	38	42	30	49	45	42	37	42	32	50	27	56	58	52	50	49	51	41	42	48	50	52
PCB	1A2gviii	56	60	45	38	36	36	52	53	58	55	44	42	34	16	13	33	22	14	14	8	3	14	15	16	2	7	7	7	7	8	6
PCB	1A4bi	473	415	434	473	337	378	368	349	327	347	333	290	413	423	423	386	403	388	391	417	439	430	436	409	400	428	436	446	421	430	435