Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

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TIME SERIES

Party: MC      Submission year: 2024

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2022
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2022
PMs: 2000 - 2022

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
NOx	1A2gvii	39	39	39	39	39	39	39	39	39	38	37	36	35	34	32	31	29	27	25	23	21	19	7	7	8	17	19	14	19	15	16	14	9
NMVOC	1A3ai(i)	14	15	15	15	16	16	16	17	19	20	23	21	20	19	16	18	20	22	18	14	15	16	17	17	16	16	16	15	15	16	6	10	13
NMVOC	1A3di(i)	31	40	43	38	37	34	25	54	31	39	54	62	54	55	53	50	50	51	52	55	56	55	62	58	53	59	58	60	57	57	47	49	50
NMVOC	1A3dii	11	14	15	14	13	12	9	19	11	13	19	21	18	18	17	16	16	16	15	16	15	15	17	15	14	15	15	17	16	16	13	14	14
NMVOC	2D3d	13	13	13	14	17	17	20	18	17	17	17	19	19	23	22	68	27	24	24	23	21	33	27	28	26	25	24	13	10	8	7	19	16
SOx	1A1a	26	21	23	26	27	27	30	31	30	30	31	32	29	24	22	22	4	4	4	4	3	4	5	5	5	8	3	5	3	1	1	3	2
SOx	1A2gvii	5	5	5	5	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
SOx	1A3ai(i)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
SOx	1A3bi	19	22	26	24	24	20	18	14	13	9	3	3	3	3	3	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
SOx	1A3bii	5	6	7	6	6	5	4	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
SOx	1A3biii	11	12	13	12	11	7	6	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
SOx	1A3di(i)	7	10	9	7	7	5	4	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
SOx	1A4ai	8	7	7	7	6	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	3	3	1	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0
NH3	1A3bi	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	4	5	6	6	6	6	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
NH3	3Da1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
NH3	NATIONALTOTAL	1	1	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	7	7	7	7	6	5	5	4	4	4	3	2	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	2
NH3	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1	1	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	7	7	7	7	6	5	5	4	4	4	3	2	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	2
NH3	NTCOMPLIANCE	1	1	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	7	7	7	7	6	5	5	4	4	4	3	2	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	2
CO	1A2gvii	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	5	5	7	17	22	19	28	24	29	32	21
CO	1A3ai(i)	900	918	965	946	981	1016	1030	1089	1220	1290	1445	1340	1232	1175	1032	1121	1240	1361	1146	905	919	998	1057	1067	1028	1034	986	962	971	983	409	633	810
CO	1A3di(i)	96	122	134	118	114	105	76	167	97	118	166	189	164	166	160	151	150	153	154	161	163	161	182	170	158	175	174	183	174	174	143	149	155
CO	1A3dii	35	44	49	43	41	38	27	61	34	42	59	66	58	58	54	51	50	49	47	48	47	47	52	47	44	47	48	52	50	50	41	42	44
CO	NATIONALTOTAL	2777	3002	3282	3058	2991	2841	2701	2674	2606	2631	2698	2533	2320	2244	2041	2091	2094	2179	1870	1501	1430	1548	1632	1614	1580	1565	1489	1487	1508	1512	835	1067	1264
CO	NTCOMPL(NECD)	2777	3002	3282	3058	2991	2841	2701	2674	2606	2631	2698	2533	2320	2244	2041	2091	2094	2179	1870	1501	1430	1548	1632	1614	1580	1565	1489	1487	1508	1512	835	1067	1264
CO	NTCOMPLIANCE	2777	3002	3282	3058	2991	2841	2701	2674	2606	2631	2698	2533	2320	2244	2041	2091	2094	2179	1870	1501	1430	1548	1632	1614	1580	1565	1489	1487	1508	1512	835	1067	1264

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
PM2.5	1A1a	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
PM2.5	1A2gvii	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0
PM2.5	1A3bi	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
PM2.5	1A3bii	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
PM2.5	1A3biii	3	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
PM2.5	1A3biv	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
PM2.5	1A3bvi	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
PM2.5	1A3dii	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
PM2.5	2A5b	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	1
PM2.5	2G	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
PM10	1A1a	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
PM10	1A2gvii	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0
PM10	1A3bi	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
PM10	1A3bii	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
PM10	1A3biii	3	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
PM10	1A3biv	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
PM10	1A3bvii	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
PM10	1A3dii	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
PM10	2D3b	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
PM10	2G	2	2	2	2	2	1	2	2	2	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	1
TSP	1A1a	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
TSP	1A2gvii	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0
TSP	1A3bi	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
TSP	1A3bii	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
TSP	1A3biii	3	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
TSP	1A3bvi	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1
TSP	1A3dii	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
TSP	2G	2	2	2	2	2	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	1
BC	1A2gvii	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
BC	1A3bi	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BC	1A3bii	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BC	1A3biii	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BC	1A3biv	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BC	1A3di(i)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
Pb	1A3bi	1296320	1022505	809889	637707	457921	333820	243609	171040	116521	79642	83824	24963	17085	7543	10	9	9	9	8	7	5	5	6	6	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4
Pb	1A3bii	104530	78625	56157	45185	33821	25393	18172	12810	9151	6518	7124	2168	1516	707	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Pb	1A3biv	64748	54133	43967	40793	35229	30858	27785	24783	22328	20511	28969	11534	10308	5972	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Pb	1A3bvi	3081	3433	3840	3689	3674	3631	3719	3614	3541	3503	3432	3601	3581	3764	3759	3769	3844	3877	4121	4113	3632	4068	4460	4350	4026	3736	3783	3709	3616	3370	2958	2844	3252
Pb	2G	7405	7406	7406	7405	7405	7405	7405	7561	7562	7562	7562	7170	7797	7796	7874	3170	7560	9755	10226	7168	7905	8266	8485	8422	8156	8344	2809	7309	7513	7277	1413	519	2965
Pb	NATIONALTOTAL	1489708	1177152	929984	742784	545378	407697	307071	226538	165157	123501	137173	55014	45219	29890	15253	10522	13236	16113	16733	13574	13668	14803	15390	14695	14621	13824	10370	13670	12116	11238	4998	4617	7140
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1489708	1177152	929984	742784	545378	407697	307071	226538	165157	123501	137173	55014	45219	29890	15253	10522	13236	16113	16733	13574	13668	14803	15390	14695	14621	13824	10370	13670	12116	11238	4998	4617	7140
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	1489708	1177152	929984	742784	545378	407697	307071	226538	165157	123501	137173	55014	45219	29890	15253	10522	13236	16113	16733	13574	13668	14803	15390	14695	14621	13824	10370	13670	12116	11238	4998	4617	7140
Cd	1A1a	269	273	299	332	357	355	381	424	401	404	416	438	393	332	300	297	150	204	195	187	171	201	199	167	178	190	193	316	144	15	21	223	51
Cd	1A3bvi	15	17	19	18	18	18	18	17	17	17	17	17	17	18	18	18	18	19	20	20	17	19	21	21	19	18	18	18	17	16	14	14	16
Cd	2G	81	90	101	96	99	98	99	95	95	97	92	91	93	91	89	77	88	93	93	81	72	77	84	85	81	77	66	74	75	71	50	48	56
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	371	387	426	453	481	479	507	546	523	529	538	560	517	455	421	406	269	328	321	301	273	310	318	286	289	297	287	415	242	108	90	290	128
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	371	387	426	453	481	479	507	546	523	529	538	560	517	455	421	406	269	328	321	301	273	310	318	286	289	297	287	415	242	108	90	290	128
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	371	387	426	453	481	479	507	546	523	529	538	560	517	455	421	406	269	328	321	301	273	310	318	286	289	297	287	415	242	108	90	290	128