Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA for CLRTAP

KCA for NECD

Inv. comparison

Time series

Trend graphs

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TIME SERIES

Party: LV      Submission year: 2023

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2021
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2021
PMs: 2000 - 2021

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
NOx	1A3ai(ii)	650	880	247	247	229	229	293	293	266	266	238	238	247	357	308	368	409	506	631	661	783	783	820	853	753	733	859	990	1136	1168	408	558
NOx	1A3di(i)	38049	11404	14500	17102	22465	12112	7833	5694	1179	785	628	15542	16426	15009	16196	20863	15808	14306	16617	22076	20246	17217	19280	18820	18660	20280	25049	20669	2969	22814	16029	16083
NOx	1A4aii	6224	9140	6076	6281	1345	1051	1050	523	327	900	978	1120	1138	1296	1314	975	1257	1182	897	847	793	662	857	842	843	824	448	364	334	192	333	408
NOx	1A4bii	1468	2121	1990	1403	685	98	32	32	32	65	116	149	149	116	116	128	134	134	134	689	852	852	852	852	852	846	916	1028	1088	1088	1075	1052
NOx	1A4cii	4150	6170	4260	3585	2782	2403	2657	2831	2705	2471	2531	2608	2536	2596	2717	2831	3073	3104	2656	2549	2581	2514	2196	2024	1965	1925	1816	1875	1739	1744	1677	1610
NOx	2A1	902	834	375	42	202	237	267	272	264	355	226	274	298	325	351	358	446	457	452	549	492	1017	1517	1539	1795	1864	1305	1672	2055	2028	1890	1976
NOx	3Da1	5256	4496	2640	1588	1160	460	580	776	784	760	920	1264	1104	1500	1408	1636	1708	1844	1900	2076	2380	2392	2608	2788	2916	3032	3132	3096	2980	3228	3372	3384
NOx	NATIONALTOTAL	98936	95291	77652	68002	57985	52991	52665	50127	46403	44830	43343	46685	45466	47217	46800	46424	47610	47817	43540	40756	41972	39324	39517	38783	38415	37760	35971	36307	37195	35469	32862	33769
NOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	98936	95291	77652	68002	57985	52991	52665	50127	46403	44830	43343	46685	45466	47217	46800	43442	47610	47817	43540	40756	41972	39324	39517	38783	38415	37760	35971	36307	37195	35469	28174	29103
NOx	NTCOMPLIANCE	98936	95291	77652	68002	57985	52991	52665	50127	46403	44830	43343	46685	45466	47217	46800	46424	47610	47817	43540	40756	41972	39324	39517	38783	38415	37760	35971	36307	37195	35469	32862	33769
NMVOC	11B	129	34	4206	285	13	268	464	224	106	772	658	135	1182	324	242	60	1684	136	182	323	158	61	45	108	323	218	206	132	1432	411	155	372
NMVOC	2D3a	2325	2316	2303	2253	2214	2179	2152	2130	2109	2091	2072	2051	2022	2004	1984	1960	1536	2790	1450	933	1272	1738	1732	1834	2039	2242	2070	2140	7517	3793	4117	3728
NMVOC	2D3d	5092	5073	5045	4935	4850	4773	4713	4666	4620	4579	4538	4492	4430	4389	4345	4294	4497	4291	3863	3315	4510	3906	4110	4899	4395	3897	3806	3988	3741	3599	4086	4302
NMVOC	2D3g	1323	1318	1311	1282	1260	1240	1225	1213	1201	1190	1179	1167	1151	1140	1129	1116	1136	1108	1044	912	1230	2605	1899	1763	1651	1540	1445	1503	1363	1384	1435	1437
NMVOC	3B1a	11821	11402	9764	7087	6494	6240	6161	6206	5805	4911	5009	5165	4979	4887	4706	4737	4720	4710	4487	4346	4198	4177	4208	4259	4296	4124	4034	4010	3848	3737	3686	3609
NMVOC	3B1b	4019	3874	3214	1621	1154	1150	1151	1049	958	878	804	835	930	994	927	978	1001	1132	1079	1083	1111	1125	1188	1258	1298	1305	1298	1287	1269	1287	1337	1329
NMVOC	NTCOMPL(NECD)	86492	82688	74424	68395	64020	62935	63119	59891	57300	54992	53425	56127	55146	54611	54002	42490	49904	49344	44342	43320	40074	40467	39957	38516	38532	35764	34423	35106	40272	36151	28247	29241
SOx	1A1c	459	420	536	384	396	429	1360	466	1218	1351	585	82	36	46	50	41	37	33	22	28	21	27	18	25	31	29	29	51	38	53	38	43
SOx	1A2a	1399	942	668	445	458	352	448	572	304	309	303	295	246	240	246	158	226	218	229	183	216	8	63	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
SOx	1A2c	3037	1508	1306	2893	3129	4391	3333	3287	330	121	125	130	155	120	2	1	3	3	51	18	12	8	9	20	18	10	8	9	8	7	9	9
SOx	1A3ai(ii)	58	78	22	22	20	20	26	26	24	24	21	21	22	32	37	44	49	60	75	79	93	93	98	102	90	87	102	118	135	139	49	66
SOx	1A3di(i)	20393	6936	9280	10175	12024	7074	4314	2934	162	40	32	5723	7090	6713	7434	9909	7669	3823	4941	6531	5635	4350	4790	4969	5047	502	622	513	76	577	408	409
SOx	1A4cii	466	682	456	373	282	238	258	270	254	230	234	242	242	258	281	305	349	372	170	176	188	192	178	180	184	198	205	231	235	258	271	264
SOx	2A1	3409	3150	1418	157	765	896	1010	1029	998	1341	853	1036	1127	1230	1326	1354	1686	1725	1706	1739	75	374	388	171	153	191	64	67	88	88	185	124
NH3	3B1a	7647	7468	6518	4773	4369	4197	4586	4629	4351	3728	3834	4118	4008	3900	3786	3841	3865	3932	3825	3767	3641	3687	3744	3801	3884	3811	3754	3748	3563	3502	3443	3408
NH3	3B1b	1618	1571	1329	656	467	467	464	420	380	347	321	332	365	392	368	390	408	474	463	465	471	479	492	515	542	550	553	554	539	560	566	575
NH3	3B3	5632	4959	3566	2166	2020	2325	1619	1572	1506	1507	1453	1565	1628	1570	1416	1381	1334	1345	1228	1169	1204	1135	1040	1057	1028	997	981	927	861	908	869	921
NH3	3Da1	4584	3921	2303	1385	1012	401	506	677	684	663	802	1102	1084	1275	1201	1181	1233	1332	1328	1738	1924	1988	2347	2534	2617	2850	3089	3230	3209	3444	3553	3520
NH3	3Da2a	7819	7523	6055	4185	3811	3857	3831	3808	3601	3260	3326	3648	3728	3709	3602	3615	3600	3668	3502	3424	3486	3432	3559	3664	3717	3574	3491	3578	3577	3492	3389	3043
NH3	NATIONALTOTAL	33331	31746	24993	17760	16047	15929	15655	15371	14580	13433	13571	15189	15158	15302	14910	15055	15208	15495	15018	15555	15205	15188	15947	16205	16461	16082	16106	16421	16119	16204	15958	15616
NH3	NTCOMPL(NECD)	33331	31746	24993	17760	16047	15929	15655	15371	14580	13433	13571	15189	15158	15302	14910	15055	15208	15495	15018	15555	15205	15188	15947	16205	16461	16082	16106	16421	16119	16204	15958	15616
NH3	NTCOMPLIANCE	33331	31746	24993	17760	16047	15929	15655	15371	14580	13433	13571	15189	15158	15302	14910	15055	15208	15495	15018	15555	15205	15188	15947	16205	16461	16082	16106	16421	16119	16204	15958	15616
CO	1A4bii	485	700	657	463	226	32	11	11	11	22	2231	2242	2242	2233	2233	3700	4433	4433	4433	4616	4670	4670	4653	4670	4670	3937	3960	3997	4017	4017	4012	3566
CO	3I	207	333	459	8	37	196	457	215	468	1002	844	1791	4307	5347	2505	756	9626	1510	436	1664	931	604	698	703	2543	1215	253	461	753	1002	349	1419

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
PM2.5	2D3b	153	178	201	225	1315	419	402	537	553	302	337	533	571	452	464	621	605	474	455	452	510	692
PM10	2D3b	1144	1338	1508	1689	9860	3146	3015	4030	4149	2264	2530	4000	4279	3389	3483	4655	4539	3556	3410	3388	3827	5189
TSP	2D3b	5338	6246	7036	7884	46015	14679	14070	18806	19362	10564	11808	18667	19971	15815	16254	21722	21181	16594	15914	15811	17861	24216
TSP	NATIONALTOTAL	40253	41458	42124	44588	83419	55689	55382	61676	59992	50806	45503	55732	54867	49227	48844	52791	47108	44666	45575	47276	45956	55363
TSP	NTCOMPL(NECD)	40253	41458	42124	44588	83419	55689	55382	61676	59992	50806	45503	55732	54867	49227	48844	52791	47108	44666	45575	47276	45956	55363
TSP	NTCOMPLIANCE	40253	41458	42124	44588	83419	55689	55382	61676	59992	50806	45503	55732	54867	49227	48844	52791	47108	44666	45575	47276	45956	55363
BC	11B	77	16	143	40	30	8	214	17	24	42	21	8	6	14	43	29	27	18	192	56	20	49

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
Pb	1A1a	225688	197389	183129	190679	209021	164581	193330	190110	195758	157545	126466	117293	123412	122589	109924	97019	104646	104661	100596	98887	112131	101643	125469	194124	231850	254024	323925	372214	390116	411901	395159	461365
Pb	1A2gviii	48171	35932	34947	130074	126196	76372	86549	71330	98278	92052	69432	88142	74614	73103	107498	130940	163751	130460	141437	212978	249993	289306	324242	342395	384130	389282	353863	348157	393652	388397	397219	421543
Pb	1A3bi	38366137	34617295	32216371	31287135	30058310	27990084	21925487	14044691	8456221	3322384	1308025	1431395	1444494	1469734	1524355	1509236	1696388	1886917	1736983	1459062	1329332	1232239	1042007	945433	925770	922630	903121	867950	833453	793501	762214	750844
Pb	1A3bii	5468488	5226158	5153684	5019754	4762066	4328775	3295018	2054361	1021388	341365	117560	104904	88072	76086	66619	60515	55807	50382	39823	30258	26475	24679	22701	20901	19617	19250	18736	16795	16006	14085	13027	13987
Pb	1A3biii	11974047	11302380	11632062	11304197	10448120	9189035	7211218	4208039	2075930	655022	216098	190404	158943	146903	112199	98667	95296	84651	65085	47286	37733	36858	32258	27802	27456	26523	22528	21450	18228	14558	13241	12319
Pb	1A3bvi	954159	888877	825987	814905	781287	737509	722566	714518	711797	711269	807901	972326	1003103	1052614	1106809	1168768	1312228	1482763	1393448	1222311	1293697	1127257	1085442	1119237	1190186	1270363	1275978	1347016	1389230	1406626	1353863	1406764
Pb	1A4ai	2239962	1748380	1691529	1245695	778369	630846	691498	597059	487627	445615	349847	357558	344676	338333	352600	319213	322894	340643	254427	222566	265244	232844	191891	208242	181806	166010	159903	149954	131606	111460	88435	94737
Pb	1A4bi	1906082	2240875	1620451	1771703	1634610	1224689	1287430	1180117	1008244	931372	866535	1091592	982913	1017357	1023379	1059126	1004873	984299	977145	1071617	889781	894696	866629	759273	748268	618337	608936	653301	661386	616052	523846	533301
Pb	2C1	162940208	110648928	72829750	88993136	98459057	82733405	86994851	138600035	140518896	144462080	148940231	149499151	150934399	163584911	165306610	164556870	164541630	167047689	158098295	132005949	160253346	435822	2174721	502294	241	32437
Pb	2G	6157	6134	6099	5967	5863	5770	18461	19417	47027	130985	164605	174275	142476	234470	184730	259544	406930	593374	268791	72241	110236	126956	172098	153659	158311	106472	140131	152373	138261	132429	99622	61390
Pb	NATIONALTOTAL	233483382	168709821	127939698	142477384	149279053	127784061	123683707	162744364	155347527	151403692	153106492	154221309	155484748	168296551	170097346	169540151	170034386	173099975	163436990	136729094	164699053	4646952	6194468	4405374	3993138	3901272	3910183	4040993	4096136	4030597	3780202	3853175
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	233483382	168709821	127939698	142477384	149279053	127784061	123683707	162744364	155347527	151403692	153106492	154221309	155484748	168296551	170097346	169540151	170034386	173099975	163436990	136729094	164699053	4646952	6194468	4405374	3993138	3901272	3910183	4040993	4096136	4030597	3780202	3853175
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	233483382	168709821	127939698	142477384	149279053	127784061	123683707	162744364	155347527	151403692	153106492	154221309	155484748	168296551	170097346	169540151	170034386	173099975	163436990	136729094	164699053	4646952	6194468	4405374	3993138	3901272	3910183	4040993	4096136	4030597	3780202	3853175
Cd	2C1	435844	295972	194810	238045	263289	221313	232606	370093	375192	385661	397919	399433	403286	436628	441977	439952	439961	445720	422271	352101	427561	33525	167286	38638	19	2495
Cd	2G	12878	12830	12756	12480	12264	12069	11943	11826	11762	11817	11775	11677	11461	11531	16404	9805	1909	1434	13727	10859	9938	8971	10072	8975	9411	9195	10096	10646	13804	21878	12630	12498
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	934053	839469	716519	795588	824390	825288	862886	965941	954403	952997	918854	974368	965348	1020879	1064129	1062667	1052620	1044770	996498	1005927	984299	606576	794554	619584	581729	522935	508861	549850	585665	581924	535671	550234
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	934053	839469	716519	795588	824390	825288	862886	965941	954403	952997	918854	974368	965348	1020879	1064129	1062667	1052620	1044770	996498	1005927	984299	606576	794554	619584	581729	522935	508861	549850	585665	581924	535671	550234
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	934053	839469	716519	795588	824390	825288	862886	965941	954403	952997	918854	974368	965348	1020879	1064129	1062667	1052620	1044770	996498	1005927	984299	606576	794554	619584	581729	522935	508861	549850	585665	581924	535671	550234
Hg	1A2a	2552	2080	1934	1871	1784	1359	1443	2255	2288	2221	2246	2321	2220	2259	2503	2516	2364	2339	2173	1928	2399	850	2236	550	7	219	25	3	3	5	4	4
Hg	1A3di(i)	10800	3070	3810	4650	6380	3320	2200	1640	430	300	240	4940	5010	4530	4850	6180	4650	4210	4650	6190	5810	5107	5750	5502	5410	6370	7992	6600	1116	8280	6093	6035
Hg	2A1																					11950	3400	56000	16000	3600	7640	24210	15780	4180	220	30	6900
Hg	2C1	346	235	155	189	190	179	161	128	123	111	193	199	206	104	300	294	306	67	175	22	57	8381	41822	9660	5	624
Hg	5C1biii	3558	3676	3793	3911	4029	4146	4264	4382	4500	8661	2426	9172	1387	1746	4830	4391	11261	15087	532	502	552	548	776	253	445	795	439	1250	59	607	348

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
DIOX	2C1	57	39	26	31	33	29	29	39	39	39	45	45	46	43	55	54	55	41	46	31	39	503	2509	580	0	37
DIOX	5C1biii	3310	3419	3529	3638	3748	3857	3967	4076	4186	8057	2256	8532	1290	1624	4493	4085	10476	14034	494	467	514	510	722	235	414	740	408	1162	55	565	323
DIOX	NATIONALTOTAL	30313	33466	31547	33170	32712	33854	35104	34007	33768	37564	31312	40554	32984	34029	37140	34781	40130	42476	27945	29529	23089	23992	26548	21744	20715	17635	17095	19878	19349	18936	16963	15129
DIOX	NTCOMPL(NECD)	30313	33466	31547	33170	32712	33854	35104	34007	33768	37564	31312	40554	32984	34029	37140	34781	40130	42476	27945	29529	23089	23992	26548	21744	20715	17635	17095	19878	19349	18936	16963	15129
DIOX	NTCOMPLIANCE	30313	33466	31547	33170	32712	33854	35104	34007	33768	37564	31312	40554	32984	34029	37140	34781	40130	42476	27945	29529	23089	23992	26548	21744	20715	17635	17095	19878	19349	18936	16963	15129
HCB	1A3di(i)	60260	19020	24720	28260	35560	19860	12540	8880	1320	800	640	21580	24020	22220	24200	31560	24100	21800	26700	35400	31700	26000	28940	28886	28900	28598	34603	28522	3131	25768	16522	17030
HCB	3Df	5462476	4706696	5259562	3289694	9463	4864	1427	1878	2330	2782	3233	3685	4137	4588	27080	5981	4368	7278	7322	24128	56318	72698	54580	132560	153942	159655	216850	199035	199040	199050	199050	200000
HCB	5C1biii	8274	8548	8822	9095	9369	9643	9917	10190	10464	20142	5641	21331	3225	4061	11232	10213	26189	35086	1236	1166	1284	1274	1805	589	1034	1850	1020	2906	138	1412	809
PCB	1A2a				4760											4590	4590	850				4420	4590	31280	5440					0	0
PCB	1A2e	181716	101647	111337	100967	98697	52522	52523	45396	31130	40651	23827	23848	24021	26903	17905	22502	18066	13472	13454	8869	9370	2742	4622	4277	4108	4096	7844	6825	2919	2410	2926	1891
PCB	1A3di(i)	211394	71972	96330	105564	124640	73378	44726	30400	1634	380	304	59090	73340	69464	76950	102600	79420	71782	95760	126578	109209	84279	92794	96290	97809	81048	93648	76994	2380	33657	9436	13533