Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA for CLRTAP

KCA for NECD

Inv. comparison

Time series

Trend graphs

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TIME SERIES

Party: LV      Submission year: 2020

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09 and NFR14 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2018
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2018
PMs: 2000 - 2018

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
NOx	1A3ai(ii)	650	880	247	247	229	229	293	293	266	266	238	238	247	357	308	368	409	506	631	661	783	783	820	853	753	733	859	990	1079
NOx	1A3di(i)	38049	11404	14500	17102	22465	12112	7833	5694	1179	785	628	15542	16426	15009	16196	20863	15808	14306	16617	22076	20246	17217	19280	18820	18660	20280	25049	20669	2969
NOx	1A4aii	6224	9140	6076	6281	1345	1051	1050	523	327	900	978	1120	1138	1296	1314	975	1257	1182	897	847	793	662	857	842	843	824	448	364	334
NOx	1A4bii	1468	2121	1990	1403	685	98	32	32	32	65	116	149	149	116	116	128	134	134	134	689	852	852	852	852	852	846	916	1028	1088
NOx	1A4cii	4150	6170	4260	3585	2782	2403	2657	2831	2705	2471	2531	2608	2536	2596	2717	2831	3073	3104	2656	2549	2581	2514	2196	2024	1965	1925	1816	1875	1739
NOx	2A1	902	834	375	42	202	237	267	272	264	355	226	274	298	325	351	358	446	457	452	549	492	1017	1517	1539	1795	1864	1305	1672	2055
NOx	NATIONALTOTAL	96596	93040	75640	66043	56162	51294	50891	48520	44846	43306	41740	44724	43662	45528	44690	44090	44882	45017	41258	38671	39780	37098	37043	36342	35836	34952	33154	33269	34252
NOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	96596	93040	75640	66043	56162	51294	50891	48520	44846	43306	41740	44724	43662	45528	44690	41183	44882	45017	41258	38671	39780	37098	37043	36342	35836	34952	33154	33269	34252
NOx	NTCOMPLIANCE	96596	93040	75640	66043	56162	51294	50891	48520	44846	43306	41740	44724	43662	45528	44690	44090	44882	45017	41258	38671	39780	37098	37043	36342	35836	34952	33154	33269	34252
NMVOC	11B	129	34	4206	285	13	268	464	224	106	772	658	135	1182	324	242	60	1684	136	182	323	158	61	45	108	323	218	206	132	1432
NMVOC	2D3a	1887	1880	1869	1829	1797	1768	1747	1729	1712	1697	1681	1664	1641	1626	1610	1591	1246	2265	1177	757	1032	1411	1406	1489	1655	1819	1680	1737	2552
NMVOC	2D3d	5092	5073	5045	4935	4850	4773	4713	4666	4620	4579	4538	4492	4430	4389	4345	4294	4497	4291	3863	3315	4510	3906	4110	4899	4395	3897	3806	3988	3707
NMVOC	2D3g	1323	1318	1311	1282	1260	1240	1225	1213	1201	1190	1179	1167	1151	1140	1129	1116	1136	1108	1044	912	1230	2605	1899	1763	1651	1540	1445	1503	1357
SOx	1A2a	1399	942	668	445	458	352	448	572	304	309	303	295	246	240	246	158	226	218	229	183	216	8	63	11	0	0	0	0	0
SOx	1A2c	3037	1508	1306	2893	3129	4391	3333	3287	330	121	125	130	155	120	2	1	3	3	51	18	12	8	9	20	18	10	8	9	8
SOx	1A3ai(ii)	58	78	22	22	20	20	26	26	24	24	21	21	22	32	37	44	49	60	75	79	93	93	98	102	90	87	102	118	128
SOx	1A3di(i)	20393	6936	9280	10175	12024	7074	4314	2934	162	40	32	5723	7090	6713	7434	9909	7669	3823	4941	6531	5635	4350	4790	4969	5047	502	622	513	76
SOx	1A4cii	466	682	456	373	282	238	258	270	254	230	234	242	242	258	281	305	349	372	170	176	188	192	178	180	184	198	205	231	235
SOx	2A1	3409	3150	1418	157	765	896	1010	1029	998	1341	853	1036	1127	1230	1326	1354	1686	1725	1706	1739	75	374	388	171	153	191	64	67	88
NH3	3B3	6887	6052	4320	2587	2433	2762	1937	1853	1766	1764	1696	1749	1816	1749	1571	1534	1479	1480	1344	1271	1290	1207	1094	1094	1051	1024	984	923	857
NH3	3B4gi	1123	1131	594	519	457	453	496	488	454	448	436	452	503	442	430	470	503	502	431	474	559	506	511	511	500	490	479	494	576
NH3	NATIONALTOTAL	34671	33057	25942	18459	16664	16525	16166	15843	15003	13844	13952	14552	14407	14428	14076	14485	14714	15048	14400	15012	14630	14608	15231	15414	15653	15476	15513	15912	15455
NH3	NTCOMPL(NECD)	34671	33057	25942	18459	16664	16525	16166	15843	15003	13844	13952	14552	14407	14428	14076	14485	14714	15048	14400	15012	14630	14608	15231	15414	15653	15476	15513	15912	15455
NH3	NTCOMPLIANCE	34671	33057	25942	18459	16664	16525	16166	15843	15003	13844	13952	14552	14407	14428	14076	14485	14714	15048	14400	15012	14630	14608	15231	15414	15653	15476	15513	15912	15455
CO	1A4bii	485	700	657	463	226	32	11	11	11	22	2231	2242	2242	2233	2233	3700	4433	4433	4433	4616	4670	4670	4653	4670	4670	3937	3960	3997	4017
CO	3I	207	333	459	8	37	196	457	215	468	1002	844	1791	4307	5347	2505	756	9626	1510	436	1664	931	604	698	703	2543	1215	253	461	753

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
PM2.5	2D3b	153	178	201	225	1315	419	402	537	553	302	337	533	571	452	464	621	605	474	455
PM10	2D3b	1144	1338	1508	1689	9860	3146	3015	4030	4149	2264	2530	4000	4279	3389	3483	4655	4539	3556	3410
TSP	2D3b	5338	6246	7036	7884	46015	14679	14070	18806	19362	10564	11808	18667	19971	15815	16254	21722	21181	16594	15914
TSP	NATIONALTOTAL	40352	41579	42252	44703	83546	56780	56559	62768	60964	52052	46897	57163	56546	50838	50435	54343	48527	46052	47134
TSP	NTCOMPL(NECD)	40352	41579	42252	44703	83546	56780	56559	62768	60964	52052	46897	57163	56546	50838	50435	54343	48527	46052	47134
TSP	NTCOMPLIANCE	40352	41579	42252	44703	83546	56780	56559	62768	60964	52052	46897	57163	56546	50838	50435	54343	48527	46052	47134
BC	11B	81	17	151	42	32	8	228	19	25	45	22	9	6	16	46	32	30	19	210
BC	1A3di(i)	3	109	120	110	120	156	119	108	130	173	156	129	143	142	142	143	174	144	17

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
Pb	1A1a	225688	197389	183129	190679	209021	164581	193330	190110	195758	157545	126466	117293	123412	122589	109924	97019	104646	104661	100596	98887	112131	101643	125469	194124	231850	254024	323925	372214	390116
Pb	1A2gviii	48171	35932	34947	130074	126196	76372	86549	71330	98278	92052	69432	88142	74614	73103	107498	131456	164396	130989	142046	213901	251074	291347	329272	355703	404258	412629	375188	369357	414345
Pb	1A3bi	39056936	35655278	33501275	31488890	30042024	28523942	22489896	14578763	8692885	3369515	1319656	1447595	1465998	1499523	1544474	1567988	1754560	1940293	1773844	1487177	1351259	1250682	1061606	963132	942714	934512	912248	881649	847725
Pb	1A3bii	6858993	6288679	7004907	6748320	6285400	4396229	3319194	1917466	863986	286771	98915	88147	72306	59881	51852	43166	40782	36297	31739	22845	20303	21960	18426	15838	15737	18542	17442	14065	12314
Pb	1A3biii	9925454	9234496	8513850	9386564	8956682	8606227	6635144	3819843	2001883	664617	223859	191781	153985	133985	107566	57617	52653	45918	36539	26850	22139	21101	17965	16074	15482	14323	12168	7524	5321
Pb	1A4ai	2239963	1748381	1691529	1245696	778369	630846	691498	597059	487627	445615	349847	357558	344676	338333	352600	319213	322894	340643	254427	222566	265244	232844	191891	208242	181806	166010	159903	149954	131606
Pb	1A4bi	1906082	2240875	1620451	1771703	1634610	1224689	1287430	1180117	1008244	931372	866535	1091592	982913	1017357	1023379	1059126	1004873	984299	977145	1071617	889781	894696	866629	759273	748268	618337	608936	653301	661386
Pb	2A3	74066	52912	43924	4820	1901	17324	22164	8858	16458	11831	12488	45901	50897	41482	49198	38466	27365	517899	467443	342005	467608	441701	518361	222965	398933	424773	334333	349803	187058
Pb	2C1	162940208	110648928	72829750	88993136	98459057	82733405	86994851	138600035	140518896	144462080	148940231	149499151	150934399	163584911	165306610	164556870	164541630	167047689	158098295	132005949	160253346	435822	2174721	502294	241	32437
Pb	2G	6157	6134	6099	5967	5863	5770	18461	19417	47027	130985	164605	174275	142476	234470	184730	259544	406930	593374	268791	72241	110236	126956	172098	153659	158311	106472	140131	152373	138261
Pb	NATIONALTOTAL	232811480	168081149	127347824	141900618	148729272	127268579	123174132	162236958	154840266	150894048	152528813	153529729	154770452	167544725	169305576	168703935	169093306	172553279	162904172	136189190	164236497	4278911	5934535	3831920	3551320	3432713	3344557	3440358	3302519
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	232811480	168081149	127347824	141900618	148729272	127268579	123174132	162236958	154840266	150894048	152528813	153529729	154770452	167544725	169305576	168703935	169093306	172553279	162904172	136189190	164236497	4278911	5934535	3831920	3551320	3432713	3344557	3440358	3302519
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	232811480	168081149	127347824	141900618	148729272	127268579	123174132	162236958	154840266	150894048	152528813	153529729	154770452	167544725	169305576	168703935	169093306	172553279	162904172	136189190	164236497	4278911	5934535	3831920	3551320	3432713	3344557	3440358	3302519
Cd	2C1	435844	295972	194810	238045	263289	221313	232606	370093	375192	385661	397919	399433	403286	436628	441977	439952	439961	445720	422271	352101	427561	33525	167286	38638	19	2495
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	931161	836762	714001	793132	822036	823068	860709	963788	952262	950858	916439	971474	962359	1017731	1060813	1060069	1049804	1080829	1029110	1029992	1018036	640544	839703	656590	643955	592619	568084	609827	632235
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	931161	836762	714001	793132	822036	823068	860709	963788	952262	950858	916439	971474	962359	1017731	1060813	1060069	1049804	1080829	1029110	1029992	1018036	640544	839703	656590	643955	592619	568084	609827	632235
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	931161	836762	714001	793132	822036	823068	860709	963788	952262	950858	916439	971474	962359	1017731	1060813	1060069	1049804	1080829	1029110	1029992	1018036	640544	839703	656590	643955	592619	568084	609827	632235
Hg	1A3di(i)	10800	3070	3810	4650	6380	3320	2200	1640	430	300	240	4940	5010	4530	4850	6180	4650	4210	4650	6190	5810	5107	5750	5502	5410	6370	7992	6600	1116
Hg	2A1																					11950	3400	56000	16000	3600	7640	24210	15780	4180
Hg	2C1	346	235	155	189	190	179	161	128	123	111	193	199	206	104	300	294	306	67	175	22	57	8381	41822	9660	5	624
Hg	5C1biii	3558	3676	3793	3911	4029	4146	4264	4382	4500	8661	2426	9172	1387	1746	4830	4391	11261	15087	532	502	552	548	776	253	445	795	439	1250	59

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
DIOX	2C1	57	39	26	31	33	29	29	39	39	39	45	45	46	43	55	54	55	41	46	31	39	503	2509	580	0	37
DIOX	5C1biii	3310	3419	3529	3638	3748	3857	3967	4076	4186	8057	2256	8532	1290	1624	4493	4085	10476	14034	494	467	514	510	722	235	414	740	408	1162	55
DIOX	5E	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2316	2378	2428	2359	2462	2193	2074	2397	2184
HCB	3Df	5462476	4706696	5259562	3289694	9463	4864	1427	1878	2330	2782	3233	3685	4137	4588	27080	5981	4368	7278	7322	24128	56318	72698	54580	132560	153942	159655	216850	199035	199040
HCB	5C1biii	8274	8548	8822	9095	9369	9643	9917	10190	10464	20142	5641	21331	3225	4061	11232	10213	26189	35086	1236	1166	1284	1274	1805	589	1034	1850	1020	2906	138
PCB	1A2e	181716	101647	111337	100967	98697	52522	52523	45396	31130	40651	23827	23848	24021	26903	17905	22502	18066	13472	13454	8869	9370	2742	4622	4277	4108	4096	7844	6825	2919
PCB	1A2f	28900	14450	19380	33832	29071	19386	9691	16151	6462	4763	4766	4770	4773	4437	4434	115952	191603	307542	320991	218463	35862	45241	32123	18142	29728	10151	2246	63	25370
PCB	1A4bi	1162131	1340060	820689	901734	775958	354210	376731	322574	170440	126523	90434	229291	146971	135670	135668	162349	140002	139942	139911	140088	183101	161901	99541	91350	91442	86089	85573	70740	48014
PCB	1A4ci	189147	165008	97275	89628	119051	81764	50995	36403	19419	14490	14564	19321	19319	13328	13334	8873	8872	8883	8859	4463	4454	4442	8859	4448	4100	1219	1564	232	216
PCB	2C1	17315	11758	7740	9457	9477	8948	8030	6380	6150	5558	9645	9952	10288	5202	15010	14682	15318	3355	8745	1105	2832	419060	2091078	482975	231	31190
PCB	NATIONALTOTAL	4290678	3708727	3056352	2675124	1953305	1081624	1153890	954667	707785	589126	445188	583789	481455	451259	447400	552539	611084	699137	676569	524013	441416	823416	2361560	743041	257642	241976	216770	187196	186987
PCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	4290678	3708727	3056352	2675124	1953305	1081624	1153890	954667	707785	589126	445188	583789	481455	451259	447400	552539	611084	699137	676569	524013	441416	823416	2361560	743041	257642	241976	216770	187196	186987
PCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	4290678	3708727	3056352	2675124	1953305	1081624	1153890	954667	707785	589126	445188	583789	481455	451259	447400	552539	611084	699137	676569	524013	441416	823416	2361560	743041	257642	241976	216770	187196	186987