Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

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TIME SERIES

Party: LU      Submission year: 2024

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2022
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2022
PMs: 2000 - 2022

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
NMVOC	1A2a	593	542	532	548	472	338	390	390	262	318	360	389	370	321	304	253	262	403	318	250	196	198	178	150	140	132	147	103	109	69	94	100	89
NMVOC	1A2gviii	10	59	65	73	69	63	64	90	358	259	76	70	58	56	54	48	78	77	52	46	69	27	15	18	15	27	186	96	89	289	308	336	341
NMVOC	1A4bi	498	516	493	500	464	478	448	444	431	429	418	444	409	414	431	417	411	371	406	452	468	364	448	492	538	421	503	424	459	255	185	93	255
NMVOC	2D3g	280	269	258	262	268	280	379	448	475	595	459	463	422	436	417	438	381	377	674	534	475	534	456	448	454	400	964	530	590	699	486	398	508
SOx	1A2c	643	900	639	718	662	350	343	184	23	31	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	1	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	6
SOx	1A2e	10	11	7	4	4	5	5	4	6	4	2	13	13	12	11	12	14	15	16	17	21	16	16	17	18	20	18	16	14	18	18	18	18
SOx	1A3ai(i)	27	28	30	29	32	32	33	36	37	41	42	42	41	42	43	45	45	44	44	40	40	41	41	42	43	45	48	51	55	56	30	36	51
SOx	1A4ai	578	718	638	615	589	573	627	628	648	554	250	307	285	259	254	234	142	134	57	55	102	66	81	97	86	127	11	9	9	9	7	10	8
NH3	3Da1	668	696	751	685	651	638	641	632	619	638	630	537	560	456	578	577	573	533	536	530	575	597	561	545	515	508	522	513	509	515	502	546	340
NH3	3Da2c				1	1	1	1	2	4	6	10	7	11	13	27	46	66	77	86	113	110	163	159	154	179	163	167	191	215	167	156	150	138
CO	1A2f	30167	28710	29351	24456	28072	13079	13226	13222	13217	13833	1846	5256	4460	3933	4439	4353	4898	7350	3734	1327	1414	1715	1564	2462	967	1303	2077	2458	859	3081	1207	2580	2672
CO	1A3ai(i)	318	329	352	338	373	376	388	415	433	474	490	489	474	487	500	524	517	506	510	466	460	480	478	486	498	521	557	596	633	644	349	414	595
CO	1A4bi	3988	4219	3923	4016	3561	3739	3362	3304	3147	3111	3021	3181	2918	2929	3050	2962	2908	2629	2861	3171	3296	2593	3140	3457	3746	3052	3591	3065	3267	1904	1472	901	1983

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
PM2.5	1A2gviii	11	10	7	5	3	2	4	3	3	6	5	5	6	6	5	18	62	26	26	96	146	301	127
PM2.5	1A4bi	504	538	495	502	523	505	500	451	493	550	564	437	544	596	653	511	614	517	564	307	226	125	318
PM2.5	5E	38	39	42	51	41	38	44	39	46	46	42	45	43	38	38	44	79	44	43	43	43	45	57
PM10	1A2gviii	11	10	7	5	3	2	4	3	3	6	5	5	6	6	5	18	62	26	26	96	146	301	127
PM10	1A4bi	517	553	508	515	537	518	513	463	506	564	579	449	558	612	671	524	630	530	578	314	231	127	326
PM10	2A5b	26	39	238	426	49	45	32	30	41	129	23	23	22	23	33	196	34	107	51	31	31	32	143
PM10	5E	38	39	42	51	41	38	44	39	46	46	42	45	43	38	38	44	79	44	43	43	43	45	57
TSP	1A2gviii	11	10	7	5	3	2	4	3	3	6	5	5	6	6	5	18	62	26	26	96	146	301	127
TSP	1A4bi	545	582	535	542	565	545	540	487	532	593	609	472	588	644	706	551	663	558	608	330	242	133	342
TSP	2D3b	323	289	282	468	123	125	119	137	121	140	120	151	126	103	58	44	40	30	22	40	19	5	65
TSP	NATIONALTOTAL	3782	4012	4457	5524	4046	3996	3812	3495	3437	3569	3212	3064	3007	2934	2895	3142	2706	2805	2694	2422	2103	2184	2531
TSP	NTCOMPL(NECD)	3782	4012	4457	5524	4046	3996	3812	3495	3437	3569	3212	3064	3007	2934	2895	3142	2706	2805	2694	2422	2103	2184	2531
TSP	NTCOMPLIANCE	3782	4012	4457	5524	4046	3996	3812	3495	3437	3569	3212	3064	3007	2934	2895	3142	2706	2805	2694	2422	2103	2184	2531

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
Pb	1A2a	40	42	46	44	38	33	22690	6625	27454	27174	31858	29921	32421	31951	37122	44722	35822	34722	58923	38117	62619	121016	19611	13911	18511	79711	160911	23211	29512	46111	41610	56811	20210
Pb	1A2gviii	38515	48213	39623	32464	65994	41591	51335	41245	34840	47755	65113	57473	52314	62847	22772	42973	40467	42932	44056	40109	53400	46952	45956	40802	44374	39629	62109	55927	61316	32775	25301	41358	79199
Pb	1A3bi	1891283	1761469	1435275	1090555	891894	891843	549397	439283	476596	192898	1066	1066	1059	1098	1090	1019	943	931	915	869	830	879	857	794	778	748	730	744	798	823	624	727	743
Pb	1A3bvi	484558	588226	641364	655620	683028	647749	669513	720881	756316	826785	915241	962077	1000519	1090456	1222099	1259813	1210476	1204090	1227056	1162021	1210291	1295765	1258504	1229434	1203011	1151043	1127835	1159028	1231052	1258076	985769	1059545	988555
Pb	2A3	150896	137098	161331	164070	170796	170010	168300	165846	144560	167832	170300	170156	169296	170520	174238	174029	174322	177238	176215	174928	172056	173470	169232	121781	171531	166783	170515	5970	7133	9091	6791	2911	2738
Pb	2C1	16386829	15578079	14162510	15557613	12782416	7027465	6572937	4063226	465024	13031	14196	14037	43741	57802	158770	157265	156444	166981	290309	44175	23610	83712	275	227	270	368	291	384	203	179	209	269	261
Pb	2G	526	635	766	924	1116	1347	1628	1963	2367	4782	3371	2744	5566	6507	11917	11917	5645	28459	33947	30890	21168	37710	41395	57781	37005	64366	42806	34104	23990	15288	4782	2644	2255
Pb	NATIONALTOTAL	19420517	18646825	16985193	18071222	15221261	9355947	8626806	5900526	2354164	1710595	1535223	1600009	1649466	1789123	1985790	2038886	1932532	1959604	2154486	1806119	1876465	2092628	1862628	1748242	1785529	1854856	1937571	1666510	1728032	1717890	1457484	1577917	1542421
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	19420517	18646825	16985193	18071222	15221261	9355947	8626806	5900526	2354164	1710595	1535223	1600009	1649466	1789123	1985790	2038886	1932532	1959604	2154486	1806119	1876465	2092628	1862628	1748242	1785529	1854856	1937571	1666510	1728032	1717890	1457484	1577917	1542421
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	19420517	18646825	16985193	18071222	15221261	9355947	8626806	5900526	2354164	1710595	1535223	1600009	1649466	1789123	1985790	2038886	1932532	1959604	2154486	1806119	1876465	2092628	1862628	1748242	1785529	1854856	1937571	1666510	1728032	1717890	1457484	1577917	1542421
Cd	1A2f	4296	4103	4151	3452	3895	1784	1761	1820	1829	1920	105	2198	2278	2005	2208	2172	2126	2024	3983	2126	0	991	1635	2660	1650	826	684	499	693	823	117	3089	226
Cd	1A2gviii	450	415	455	346	673	343	534	483	411	572	575	476	438	642	244	12168	11365	12257	12963	10065	11531	10501	9196	9818	11612	11030	19876	17218	19127	717	594	260	538
Cd	2A3	25652	23307	27426	27892	29035	28902	28611	28194	24575	28531	28951	28927	28780	28988	29620	29585	29635	30130	29957	29738	29250	29490	28770	20703	29160	28353	28988	2270	2626	456	479	494	979
Cd	2C1	32518	30913	28104	30873	25366	22880	22585	17728	5706	3164	3446	3409	3827	3553	15880	13784	13308	13066	337020	31961	2713	3007	8	9	12	16	17	12	8	6	8	8	4455
Cd	2C3	5814	5819	5820	5818	7758	7942	11199	4799	5606	5575	5644	5358	5444	6585	7295	6580	6554	11205	7922	4208	3306	3435	3333	4145	3756	3167	3373	3625	3231	2925	2600	3256	2837
Cd	2G	3951	4004	4059	4113	4170	4227	4290	4345	4400	4460	4522	4577	4635	5148	4919	4345	4082	4186	4263	4170	4223	3980	4269	4024	4077	4226	4082	4370	5247	3439	3358	3661	3722
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	89887	86824	88142	90644	88896	80196	84497	72028	58561	60090	58498	62525	62282	63904	77801	88889	86984	92208	416012	98513	68246	66942	64670	59951	70737	69187	80019	50652	55519	28118	26622	30733	42443
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	89887	86824	88142	90644	88896	80196	84497	72028	58561	60090	58498	62525	62282	63904	77801	88889	86984	92208	416012	98513	68246	66942	64670	59951	70737	69187	80019	50652	55519	28118	26622	30733	42443
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	89887	86824	88142	90644	88896	80196	84497	72028	58561	60090	58498	62525	62282	63904	77801	88889	86984	92208	416012	98513	68246	66942	64670	59951	70737	69187	80019	50652	55519	28118	26622	30733	42443
Hg	1A1a	5209	5450	5436	5423	5553	5645	4571	5680	5905	250	214	13066	3463	3414	3905	6187	6534	6613	5417	3575	5038	2228	3648	3016	2686	3044	2053	2962	3578	3218	4358	3663	9931
Hg	1A2a	2337	2191	2096	2106	1815	1758	33976	27087	55024	74905	104834	101822	94600	108467	139149	105924	102192	104555	108057	104638	120648	114281	97349	98339	71960	137592	93155	93291	133428	142585	116588	131895	103009
Hg	1A2f	41651	39772	40245	33471	37757	17699	17470	18062	18148	19047	1938	7131	7392	6514	7164	7048	6899	2718	15287	2350	6476	4314	13702	7907	7586	5273	7338	4757	4550	4364	5054	2438	7936
Hg	2C1	279859	266047	241872	265698	218302	119350	110975	67008	6955	57060	62220	61972	11402	21790	42352	42590	43128	46761	10150	8028	6645	2823	2004	1990	1993	2041	1952	1967	2048	2057	1819	1924	14518
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	387986	375473	351191	368030	330728	180209	203702	142196	111485	178405	199136	213728	170097	197115	253766	223900	221871	224606	198197	170311	204701	188897	180615	178996	148785	206821	165835	171371	208588	214451	182598	206049	190518
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	387986	375473	351191	368030	330728	180209	203702	142196	111485	178405	199136	213728	170097	197115	253766	223900	221871	224606	198197	170311	204701	188897	180615	178996	148785	206821	165835	171371	208588	214451	182598	206049	190518
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	387986	375473	351191	368030	330728	180209	203702	142196	111485	178405	199136	213728	170097	197115	253766	223900	221871	224606	198197	170311	204701	188897	180615	178996	148785	206821	165835	171371	208588	214451	182598	206049	190518

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
DIOX	1A1a	4	5	5	4	4	5	4	4	5	3	6	42	14	15	17	112	117	32	14	18	23	15	24	18	43	53	44	70	111	186	297	92	92
DIOX	1A4bi	733	770	723	737	667	693	635	627	602	596	580	613	563	566	590	571	564	508	553	615	634	495	608	668	728	585	696	591	637	359	276	175	175
DIOX	2C3	370	372	372	371	492	504	524	127	174	172	172	172	188	201	236	227	262	258	204	187	266	277	255	239	233	182	168	222	195	185	179	189	189
DIOX	5E	340	349	302	300	291	344	372	364	380	443	422	431	467	568	451	425	486	439	516	516	448	507	469	430	430	512	974	507	496	491	494	519	519
HCB	2C3	166645	175730	177878	173139	201038	208866	233649	176189	183896	175811	159106	169995	178557	183050	202932	188638	204721	184362	192609	187705	198507	202606	212645	205531	199310	205209	202945	194874	191509	190786	180235	182383	182383
PCB	1A1a	4402	4606	4593	4413	4356	4194	3274	4047	4090	11	33435	671548	3308	3232	2568	120015	605	18750	21822	24041	1446	11307	13360	7281	9473	9863	19743	10485	9359	15794	25664	8098	8098
PCB	2C1	1816068	1726438	1569558	1724170	1416609	23387548	1357133	1075254	4458041	5441441	2690340	1293949	978738	2196025	267979	315270	622754	322437	1463956	143044	242979	209761	64831	123024	79380	268609	62301	668402	149601	630800	220000	83900	83900
PCB	2K	20640000	20640000	20640000	20640000	20640000	11580000	14220000	1560000	12660000	9900000	7860000	10260000	13680000	10980000	12000000	10860000	5760000	8700000	9780000	17340000	17760000	25200000	7980000	2100000	4020000	2100000	2160000	1030146	1075482	1078716	1093248	1061052	1061052
PCB	NATIONALTOTAL	39012626	39601875	39574679	39371706	42603126	35817689	16505153	3280889	17771642	15996300	11218208	12856099	15307680	13843499	12941579	11930449	6696434	9339609	11540188	17776811	18309050	25784788	8239943	2312779	4188234	2451090	2323266	1780680	1307908	1794408	1403242	1227157	1227157
PCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	39012626	39601875	39574679	39371706	42603126	35817689	16505153	3280889	17771642	15996300	11218208	12856099	15307680	13843499	12941579	11930449	6696434	9339609	11540188	17776811	18309050	25784788	8239943	2312779	4188234	2451090	2323266	1780680	1307908	1794408	1403242	1227157	1227157
PCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	39012626	39601875	39574679	39371706	42603126	35817689	16505153	3280889	17771642	15996300	11218208	12856099	15307680	13843499	12941579	11930449	6696434	9339609	11540188	17776811	18309050	25784788	8239943	2312779	4188234	2451090	2323266	1780680	1307908	1794408	1403242	1227157	1227157