Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

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TIME SERIES

Party: LT      Submission year: 2024

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2022
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2022
PMs: 2000 - 2022

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
NOx	1A1a	20565	22279	13293	10611	11115	9771	10705	9502	10744	7928	6479	6932	6867	6902	6946	7150	6981	6293	5579	5933	6898	5700	6422	5927	5802	6404	6238	6981	6652	6091	5897	6878	5741
NOx	1A3biii	32831	34559	24195	16693	11000	13491	14749	19328	21763	20924	17835	20245	20316	18392	19895	19989	19793	22052	22246	17370	18628	19069	18793	16732	19173	18638	16966	16282	16884	17109	15625	14803	14101
NOx	1A3di(i)	7132	11762	21834	12057	11396	10586	9852	4572	3835	5529	7011	7531	8341	8301	8594	10867	10405	9055	6817	9680	10588	10775	9169	6641	874	5854	12348	13357	15328	14836	14000	14444	11757
NOx	1A4ai	5515	6179	2657	2197	2353	1993	1772	1308	1251	1179	875	781	854	826	819	864	1012	938	831	877	907	985	865	941	869	795	871	864	929	757	661	707	679
NOx	1A4bi	3386	3745	1999	2272	2017	1903	2039	2062	1968	2008	2052	2095	2098	2152	2162	2256	2363	2296	2368	2388	2497	2453	2454	2231	2086	1976	2048	2089	2135	2045	2005	2135	2049
NOx	3Da1	8480	9920	3520	1720	1720	1600	3160	3244	3336	3760	3920	4080	4600	4640	4680	4760	4880	5080	4732	5376	5728	5880	6000	6200	6528	6712	6780	6880	6964	7000	7960	6980	7085
NOx	3Da2a	3962	3758	3123	2500	2196	2023	1953	1935	1850	1670	1521	1469	1527	1583	1605	1538	1622	1614	1564	1545	1545	1509	1476	1443	1455	1453	1419	1386	1364	1327	1259	1164	1142
NOx	NATIONALTOTAL	153475	161117	100001	78019	69777	73915	77108	81777	83515	71130	61657	63102	64450	61095	61798	63593	63616	64355	63048	54060	57084	55747	56078	53066	55851	57606	57398	56272	56887	55804	53567	52625	49459
NOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	153475	161117	100001	78019	69777	73915	77108	81777	83515	71130	61657	63102	64450	61095	61798	56046	63616	64355	63048	54060	57084	55747	56078	53066	55851	57606	57398	56272	56887	55804	43096	43212	39897
NOx	NTCOMPLIANCE	153475	161117	100001	78019	69777	73915	77108	81777	83515	71130	61657	63102	64450	61095	61798	63593	63616	64355	63048	54060	57084	55747	56078	53066	55851	57606	57398	56272	56887	55804	53567	52625	49459
NMVOC	1A3biii	5863	5702	3963	3044	2128	2887	3042	3415	3553	3485	3080	2983	2663	2302	2212	1887	1673	1925	1679	1290	1233	1105	1012	844	901	791	693	613	537	516	480	445	450
NMVOC	1A4bi	9288	9585	5682	7981	7621	7850	8672	8914	9168	9598	9852	10061	9977	10159	10276	10450	10821	10369	10686	10721	10689	10362	10310	9904	9134	8502	8362	8152	8183	7630	7306	7356	6918
NMVOC	1B2aiv	32239	32867	32867	27650	25763	23745	23458	22434	15415	11535	6725	5672	9363	9996	9974	10137	10290	8620	11406	10060	9782	9958	9958	10217	9133	9542	10144	10737	10659	10716	9512	9517	7878
NMVOC	2D3e	2588	2593	2590	2578	2560	2540	2521	2503	2485	2467	2450	2430	1	119	86	125	194	143	141	181	99	102	159	175	150	72	67	105	127	121	90	93	138
NMVOC	2H3																	5	11	12	11	15	24	1478	1408	1545	1225	962	990	1106	358	965	1460	1391
SOx	1A1b	16238	16238	8787	5616	3817	2348	3219	7581	9202	9920	10803	6891	6486	5798	7248	11767	11170	9050	5042	5556	3926	4102	3553	2760	2497	4466	4428	3573	2677	2196	2309	1069	2097
SOx	1A4bi	22142	23332	6457	5419	3718	2343	3364	3436	1881	1899	1364	1409	1747	634	606	675	794	817	852	817	997	983	982	986	864	738	790	865	861	749	628	717	693
SOx	NATIONALTOTAL	199171	221189	108482	101267	99481	75987	75540	69517	85511	63960	39296	42147	37775	24833	25801	27425	25223	21478	19101	18461	17664	18770	16564	14373	12988	14989	14587	12955	12977	11647	11021	11053	11253
SOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	199171	221189	108482	101267	99481	75987	75540	69517	85511	63960	39296	42147	37775	24833	25801	27425	25223	21478	19101	18461	17664	18770	16564	14373	12988	14989	14587	12955	12977	11647	11021	11053	11253
SOx	NTCOMPLIANCE	199171	221189	108482	101267	99481	75987	75540	69517	85511	63960	39296	42147	37775	24833	25801	27425	25223	21478	19101	18461	17664	18770	16564	14373	12988	14989	14587	12955	12977	11647	11021	11053	11253
NH3	2B1				678	720	1287	645	382	257	197	286	420	447	423	417	426	340	383	471	502	301	433	466	427	468	538	575	489	466	463	460	405	334
NH3	3Da1	20511	23994	8514	4160	4160	3870	7643	7846	8069	9094	9481	9868	11126	11223	11320	8985	7990	9396	7844	10295	9299	9387	9699	10230	12871	11739	11731	12086	12096	13185	14973	13787	13993
NH3	3Da2a	17769	16973	14184	11236	9990	9378	9216	9309	9096	8275	7739	7610	8025	8399	8614	7657	9256	9302	9077	9023	9093	8955	8817	8621	8697	8682	8348	8118	7989	7787	6813	8071	7607
NH3	NATIONALTOTAL	82142	82375	56949	43490	39252	37327	39578	39545	38535	36477	34922	34884	37298	38538	39490	36436	38430	39798	37704	39660	38274	37862	37693	37756	40813	39906	39357	39115	38523	38787	38525	40064	37767
NH3	NTCOMPL(NECD)	82142	82375	56949	43490	39252	37327	39578	39545	38535	36477	34922	34884	37298	38538	39490	36436	38430	39798	37704	39660	38274	37862	37693	37756	40813	39906	39357	39115	38523	38787	32793	40064	32793
NH3	NTCOMPLIANCE	82142	82375	56949	43490	39252	37327	39578	39545	38535	36477	34922	34884	37298	38538	39490	36436	38430	39798	37704	39660	38274	37862	37693	37756	40813	39906	39357	39115	38523	38787	38525	40064	37767
CO	1A1a	8567	8621	5974	4474	4014	3678	3758	3591	3333	3490	3456	3732	3970	4437	4757	4771	4803	5023	4560	4868	5328	4773	5140	5304	5707	6989	7112	8105	7292	7140	6993	8642	7118
CO	1A3biii	11941	12145	8470	6156	4165	5354	5747	7037	7655	7359	6253	6633	6293	5576	5753	5477	5232	5871	5675	4417	4594	4520	4421	3896	4473	4367	4109	4020	4243	4321	3980	3756	3706
CO	1A4bi	109484	113655	58023	76881	71551	71946	80410	82610	82883	86673	88663	90571	90210	92141	93023	95370	99463	95872	98681	98749	99601	96791	96141	92767	85374	79557	78723	77552	77885	72729	69648	70870	66844
CO	NATIONALTOTAL	385828	435430	246517	226831	198067	219531	233351	231196	226858	201333	183078	179697	181072	174992	172840	175364	180602	179029	174489	163597	157736	150914	145614	136419	127900	121407	120500	118451	119541	111937	106334	108547	101516
CO	NTCOMPL(NECD)	385828	435430	246517	226831	198067	219531	233351	231196	226858	201333	183078	179697	181072	174992	172840	175364	180602	179029	174489	163597	157736	150914	145614	136419	127900	121407	120500	118451	119541	111937	106334	108547	101516
CO	NTCOMPLIANCE	385828	435430	246517	226831	198067	219531	233351	231196	226858	201333	183078	179697	181072	174992	172840	175364	180602	179029	174489	163597	157736	150914	145614	136419	127900	121407	120500	118451	119541	111937	106334	108547	101516

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
PM2.5	1A3bvi	111	122	127	132	147	158	172	208	208	173	176	175	177	166	186	200	214	226	241	252	238	236	286
PM2.5	1A3di(i)	125	134	149	148	153	194	186	161	122	173	189	192	164	118	16	104	220	238	273	265	250	258	210
TSP	1A3bvi	273	299	311	323	360	387	421	510	511	424	432	430	434	407	457	489	525	555	592	619	583	580	705
TSP	1A3bvii	278	303	316	320	357	380	411	496	499	410	421	424	424	397	452	483	513	542	584	612	574	579	637
BC	1A3di(i)	39	42	46	46	48	60	58	50	38	54	59	60	51	37	5	32	68	74	85	82	77	80	65

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
Pb	1A1a	766373	846900	616520	466507	496652	421313	388237	380932	367179	395871	279811	271524	276644	278600	285385	272042	269681	295290	258450	287776	285693	268805	296114	359244	403771	530041	560016	642601	622287	590556	569898	730286	642257
Pb	1A2f	283088	353888	260163	293393	242219	125324	96471	61663	51483	43037	44054	43538	324332	59285	60518	81621	110088	112769	80822	55102	85441	111070	126419	122615	115656	98617	105924	98614	95047	86294	82476	93088	95425
Pb	1A2gvii	1320241	1078202	787412	690482	750921	787412	423925	557346	508596	423925	320154	286513	252588	96272	96053	119298	69342	65329	61382	37039	1254	1351	1417	1379	1375	1246	1193	1331	1434	1478	1261	1145	1173
Pb	1A2gviii	193818	229724	192023	102854	93987	77318	95820	102294	82635	80921	59966	68673	106903	129769	136450	146466	133876	128016	113739	87512	97803	101436	111716	108961	109233	108160	115203	122863	133215	130988	144115	149582	144116
Pb	1A3bvi	492920	536227	347170	258436	191539	257347	283021	321036	342092	312119	279688	306653	317097	323853	361311	386007	416741	502383	505148	416595	428098	427752	432545	403233	457231	487188	517044	545331	587081	613977	575320	578110	2080656
Pb	1A4ai	2279673	2692515	1414861	1356688	1301740	1185203	962713	676821	681144	523224	354420	293826	340365	337450	328653	363834	477690	370443	286698	345170	345154	406229	293176	341495	300076	228555	269664	277266	307608	242297	167850	197125	190540
Pb	1A4bi	2643496	2773613	956132	999364	819796	704243	851065	879698	748900	777789	727943	743446	770437	810356	804198	848024	935000	936571	968045	955321	1045159	1037035	1028661	1021737	924746	839280	852159	879785	875217	797723	731992	780560	736292
Pb	2D3i																342686	417323	624064	679022	264522	333906	321675	458091	570517	523555	466010	372243	415442	463501	535472	362616	400586	526766
Pb	5C1bv																						3604	42733	63604	83183	105165	114474	112853	114234	147207	221171	272702	307838
Pb	NATIONALTOTAL	9055697	9562062	5067214	4583558	4219698	3879182	3396784	3300366	3198584	2911440	2361010	2306435	2640323	2271266	2294159	2945023	3203637	3409595	3349587	2780632	2980697	3041844	3162641	3371709	3304716	3253593	3285699	3482196	3601784	3562073	3307395	3696690	5215177
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	9055697	9562062	5067214	4583558	4219698	3879182	3396784	3300366	3198584	2911440	2361010	2306435	2640323	2271266	2294159	2945023	3203637	3409595	3349587	2780632	2980697	3041844	3162641	3371709	3304716	3253593	3285699	3482196	3601784	3562073	3307395	3696690	5215177
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	9055697	9562062	5067214	4583558	4219698	3879182	3396784	3300366	3198584	2911440	2361010	2306435	2640323	2271266	2294159	2945023	3203637	3409595	3349587	2780632	2980697	3041844	3162641	3371709	3304716	3253593	3285699	3482196	3601784	3562073	3307395	3696690	5215177
Cd	1A4ai	55457	57789	35615	31260	37401	30838	31428	25131	27258	30061	26081	24562	24704	21775	20239	20345	21543	19184	18038	18602	18857	20904	20121	21956	20195	18593	19651	17630	18254	16604	16022	15680	15241
Cd	1A4bi	51591	53367	28990	39722	37407	38232	42465	43467	44224	46278	48042	49109	48719	49594	50163	51733	54266	52728	54620	55245	55700	54441	54464	52863	49298	46885	46540	45907	46503	44162	43241	44027	41842
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	297506	320776	196167	174814	193107	181952	180398	179007	183828	191220	180385	175119	187057	182584	184563	180908	175620	160551	174321	171730	175385	173889	178512	190726	186456	197138	206271	208651	207561	206427	214391	243429	249423
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	297506	320776	196167	174814	193107	181952	180398	179007	183828	191220	180385	175119	187057	182584	184563	180908	175620	160551	174321	171730	175385	173889	178512	190726	186456	197138	206271	208651	207561	206427	214391	243429	249423
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	297506	320776	196167	174814	193107	181952	180398	179007	183828	191220	180385	175119	187057	182584	184563	180908	175620	160551	174321	171730	175385	173889	178512	190726	186456	197138	206271	208651	207561	206427	214391	243429	249423
Hg	1A3bi	6411	7785	4569	3551	2956	4033	4463	4596	4521	3353	2610	2774	2856	3025	3072	3343	3750	4688	4691	3946	3747	3565	3537	3769	3964	4280	4986	5172	5364	5574	5690	5618	6213
Hg	1A3biii	4976	5077	3548	2546	1719	2201	2370	2913	3200	3134	2680	2941	2895	2700	2967	2963	2927	3236	3282	2586	2819	2888	2827	2560	3088	3196	3216	3317	3747	3966	4008	4075	4287
Hg	1A3di(i)	2726	4495	8344	4608	4355	4046	3765	1747	1466	2113	2679	2878	3188	3172	3284	4153	3976	3461	2605	3699	4046	4118	3504	2538	334	2237	4719	5105	5858	5670	5350	5520	4493
Hg	1A4bi	91259	96353	31684	30880	24260	19484	24239	25106	19772	20381	17766	18109	19305	20745	20389	21859	24656	25002	25941	25330	28844	28825	28596	28620	25566	22709	23525	24850	24699	22076	19597	21579	20369
Hg	1A4ci	12987	13611	1935	1667	1308	663	1074	703	730	526	381	447	468	701	556	603	752	636	570	535	659	799	719	862	1221	1168	1277	1363	1433	1237	1012	982	1383
Hg	1B2aiv	5660	6925	2392	3001	2144	1861	2189	2972	3775	2588	2817	3956	3911	4293	5236	5559	4853	2876	5605	5099	5449	5463	5175	5465	4547	5046	5594	5892	5814	5709	4741	4772	4945
Hg	5C1biii	432	432	286	158	625	717	891	2109	9412	3909	150	6036	1159	264	2169	14089	10315	27966	37451	40193	37329	21098	2124	767	928	16981	19300	22752	23001	35465	58249	101318	81108
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	352000	394791	204639	178171	165331	147291	135242	119715	122530	107551	82756	84755	101766	89703	91420	140715	145075	153969	158668	159091	162013	148419	123527	130225	123746	136262	145923	153209	158957	162288	181735	240029	218936
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	352000	394791	204639	178171	165331	147291	135242	119715	122530	107551	82756	84755	101766	89703	91420	140715	145075	153969	158668	159091	162013	148419	123527	130225	123746	136262	145923	153209	158957	162288	181735	240029	218936
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	352000	394791	204639	178171	165331	147291	135242	119715	122530	107551	82756	84755	101766	89703	91420	140715	145075	153969	158668	159091	162013	148419	123527	130225	123746	136262	145923	153209	158957	162288	181735	240029	218936

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
DIOX	1A4bi	15774	16365	8252	10867	10100	10128	11348	11690	11695	12232	12428	12689	12658	12948	13063	13366	13881	13308	13661	13597	13691	13260	13129	12621	11528	10643	10466	10252	10209	9390	8817	8918	8337
DIOX	5C1bii	921	921	256	742	224	867	291	284	272	119	393	500	473	1282	651	1167	1080	64	2	6	288	1420	343	263	673	1886	108	304	166	374	0	253	377
HCB	1A1a	9594	13546	10766	10677	8192	7305	7986	8398	9193	6585	10243	16734	22511	26444	32883	32139	37102	38707	45179	52712	52859	49609	65369	79351	99303	129019	136191	150606	146322	145055	151344	188822	168326
HCB	1A4ai	18789	19136	11566	9936	12470	9966	10816	8704	9502	10949	9761	9288	9318	8210	7634	7718	8061	7321	7038	7208	7377	8178	8089	8804	8200	7685	8104	7258	7541	7041	7201	7122	6724
HCB	1A4bi	54493	55006	49087	77948	77652	83954	90884	92861	99517	104349	110812	113267	111283	112435	114232	117245	121395	116908	121311	123535	121783	118554	119021	114724	107891	103923	102609	99919	101861	97781	97256	97867	93285
PCB	1A2e	59787	76868	68327	46976	34164	25624	17083	12922	51274	36973	29327	23322	27217	25138	18966	20171	17768	16662	10712	15131	18192	19212	18531	19724	21600	14973	17182	19052	15989	12418	16671	12762	9197
PCB	1A4bi	2604663	2745423	776835	654208	459222	292519	416002	442540	257991	262457	156445	157829	202008	242308	223626	258835	330254	354334	370167	343821	457005	469710	463238	480525	408376	332169	359682	408944	397384	328660	249254	302963	284387
PCB	1A4ci	264694	277613	34173	29924	21425	8504	17175	8505	8507	4257	2385	2217	2218	5960	4766	6635	9015	5107	3747	3068	5108	7320	6129	9529	17179	16838	18539	18711	20242	15822	9363	8004	15455
PCB	2K	37	37	40	40	37	36	36	36	35	35	35	35	34	34	34	3600000	1984500	369000	360000	316175	936000	57000	36000	36000	36000	36000	36000	36000	36000	31500	31500	31500	31500