Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA for CLRTAP

KCA for NECD

Inv. comparison

Time series

Trend graphs

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TIME SERIES

Party: LT      Submission year: 2023

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2021
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2021
PMs: 2000 - 2021

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
NOx	1A1a	19512	20848	12279	5880	9659	10122	9564	9380	7767	9971	7967	6701	6856	7384	7176	7234	6742	6353	5639	5968	7062	6096	6001	5882	5800	6497	6390	6651	6388	5262	5415	6428
NOx	1A3biii	32831	34559	24195	16693	11000	13491	14749	19328	21763	20924	17835	20245	20316	18392	19895	19989	19793	22052	22246	17370	18628	19069	18793	16732	19173	18638	16966	16282	16884	17109	15625	14803
NOx	1A3di(i)	7690	12690	23550	13010	12290	11420	10630	4910	4030	5850	7450	8020	8890	8900	9180	11650	11190	9690	7270	10360	11400	11580	9880	7130	900	6150	12960	14020	16240	15700	15700	15700
NOx	1A4ai	4911	5515	2501	2089	2208	1911	1697	1242	1188	1117	832	741	811	786	779	826	976	891	780	832	862	944	820	902	821	739	818	809	871	762	668	713
NOx	1A4bi	3386	3745	1999	2272	2017	1903	2039	2062	1968	2008	2052	2095	2098	2152	2161	2255	2363	2297	2369	2389	2498	2455	2457	2222	2078	1971	2038	2076	2117	2025	1988	2124
NOx	3Da1	8480	9920	3520	1720	1720	1600	3160	3244	3336	3760	3920	4080	4600	4640	4680	4760	4880	5080	4732	5376	5728	5880	6000	6200	6528	6712	6780	6880	6964	7040	7960	7000
NOx	3Da2a	4265	4036	3334	2659	2341	2165	2091	2077	1989	1793	1639	1586	1651	1715	1743	1727	1774	1770	1715	1694	1697	1657	1620	1586	1606	1607	1576	1543	1521	1478	1449	1447
NOx	NATIONALTOTAL	151439	158804	98540	72922	68108	74129	75868	81569	80434	73049	63055	62793	64349	61521	61965	63533	63301	64300	63012	53964	57133	56062	55562	52909	55670	57477	57337	55649	56403	54882	52674	51877
NOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	151439	158804	98540	72922	68108	74129	75868	81569	80434	73049	63055	62793	64349	61521	61965	56014	63301	64300	63012	53964	57133	56062	55562	52909	55670	57477	57337	55649	56403	54882	42457	42629
NOx	NTCOMPLIANCE	151439	158804	98540	72922	68108	74129	75868	81569	80434	73049	63055	62793	64349	61521	61965	63533	63301	64300	63012	53964	57133	56062	55562	52909	55670	57477	57337	55649	56403	54882	52674	51877
NMVOC	1A3biii	5863	5702	3963	3044	2128	2887	3042	3415	3553	3485	3080	2983	2663	2302	2212	1887	1673	1925	1679	1290	1233	1105	1012	844	901	791	693	613	537	516	480	445
NMVOC	1A4bi	9280	9578	5674	7969	7609	7836	8656	8899	9152	9581	9832	10041	9957	10139	10258	10348	10765	10362	10730	10816	10760	10479	10475	10111	9368	8810	8734	8580	8687	8179	7818	7766
NMVOC	1B2aiv	32239	32870	32867	27650	25760	23750	23460	22430	15410	11540	6730	5670	9360	10000	9970	10110	10270	8610	11380	10030	9750	9930	9820	10190	9110	9520	10120	10710	10630	10690	9488	9493
NMVOC	2D3d	4140	4224	4309	4393	4478	4562	4647	4731	4816	4900	4524	4659	5435	5520	6321	4435	4651	4687	4172	3425	3252	3444	2691	1723	2868	3759	4462	4979	4945	6233	5582	6531
NMVOC	2D3e	2588	2593	2590	2578	2560	2540	2521	2503	2485	2467	2450	2430	2	260	188	267	415	305	302	305	204	210	329	362	309	131	122	184	176	211	152	84
NMVOC	2D3h																334	401	555	475	320	514	329	321	329	468	436	413	2619	601	460	496	583
NMVOC	2H3																13	12	9	6	4	7	7	1466	1391	1527	1218	948	990	989	118	666	1219
SOx	1A1b	16238	16238	8787	5616	3817	2348	3219	7581	9202	9920	10803	6891	6486	5798	7248	11767	11170	9052	5042	5556	3930	4102	3553	2760	2497	4466	4428	3573	2677	2196	2309	1069
SOx	1A2gviii	7574	9700	5799	3476	3004	2249	1530	1456	1389	1036	638	503	513	352	388	437	342	303	231	157	159	119	103	92	88	85	78	85	64	62	53	53
SOx	1A3di(i)	1940	3200	5940	3280	3100	2880	2680	1240	1020	1480	1880	1980	2170	2130	2250	2830	2680	2270	1780	2470	2320	1990	1650	1050	200	1510	3180	3440	4110	3980	3980	3980
SOx	1A4bi	22144	23335	6460	5422	3722	2347	3368	3440	1885	1903	1368	1414	1752	638	612	709	820	824	858	822	1016	1002	990	1020	870	744	795	869	865	754	633	721
NH3	2B1				678	720	1287	645	382	257	197	286	420	447	423	417	426	340	383	471	502	301	433	466	427	468	538	575	489	466	463	460	405
NH3	3Da1	12978	15181	5387	2632	2632	2449	4836	4965	5105	5754	5999	6244	7040	7101	7162	7229	6448	7562	6327	7953	7270	7235	7474	7735	9957	10295	10294	10891	10736	11904	13594	11955
NH3	3Da2a	33734	31909	26489	20951	18300	16808	16280	16252	15621	14102	13005	12533	13015	13539	13804	14151	14576	14622	14208	14000	13963	13673	13403	13089	13301	13274	12958	12644	12486	12194	11936	11931
NH3	NATIONALTOTAL	84940	83376	61818	48400	43222	40726	41281	40945	39449	36604	34485	34002	35998	37187	38063	38952	38901	39946	37981	39026	37856	37247	36906	36583	39207	39749	39241	39177	38415	38737	39611	38094
NH3	NTCOMPL(NECD)	84940	83376	61818	48400	43222	40726	41281	40945	39449	36604	34485	34002	35998	37187	38063	38952	38901	39946	37981	39026	37856	37247	36906	36583	39207	39749	39241	39177	38415	38737	39611	38094
NH3	NTCOMPLIANCE	84940	83376	61818	48400	43222	40726	41281	40945	39449	36604	34485	34002	35998	37187	38063	38952	38901	39946	37981	39026	37856	37247	36906	36583	39207	39749	39241	39177	38415	38737	39611	38094
CO	1A1a	8567	8621	5974	4474	4014	3678	3758	3591	3333	3490	3456	3732	3970	4437	4757	4771	4803	5023	4560	4868	5328	4773	5140	5304	5707	6989	7112	8105	7292	7140	6993	8642
CO	1A3biii	11941	12145	8470	6156	4165	5354	5747	7037	7655	7359	6253	6633	6293	5576	5753	5477	5232	5871	5675	4417	4594	4520	4421	3896	4473	4367	4109	4020	4243	4321	3980	3756
CO	1A4bi	109484	113655	58023	76881	71551	71946	80410	82610	82883	86673	88663	90571	90210	92141	93024	94502	99156	96135	99527	100187	100811	98507	98397	95446	88365	82734	82317	81485	82339	77431	73720	73996
CO	NATIONALTOTAL	385187	434703	246546	226540	197883	219387	233170	230974	226579	201135	183131	179623	181002	174939	172898	174586	180437	179349	175554	165094	159235	152554	147823	139040	130824	124658	123942	122162	123759	116555	110670	111892
CO	NTCOMPL(NECD)	385187	434703	246546	226540	197883	219387	233170	230974	226579	201135	183131	179623	181002	174939	172898	174586	180437	179349	175554	165094	159235	152554	147823	139040	130824	124658	123942	122162	123759	116555	110670	111892
CO	NTCOMPLIANCE	385187	434703	246546	226540	197883	219387	233170	230974	226579	201135	183131	179623	181002	174939	172898	174586	180437	179349	175554	165094	159235	152554	147823	139040	130824	124658	123942	122162	123759	116555	110670	111892

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
PM2.5	1A3bvi	111	122	127	132	147	158	172	208	208	173	176	175	177	166	186	200	214	226	241	252	238	236
PM2.5	1A3di(i)	440	480	540	560	570	750	730	630	450	670	730	730	620	450	30	270	560	610	800	780	780	780
TSP	1A3bvi	273	299	311	323	360	387	421	510	511	424	432	430	434	407	457	489	525	555	592	619	583	580
TSP	1A3bvii	278	303	316	320	357	380	411	496	499	410	421	424	424	397	452	483	513	542	584	612	574	579

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
Pb	1A1a	766373	846900	616520	466507	496652	421313	388237	380932	367179	395871	279811	271524	276644	278600	285385	272042	269681	295290	258450	287776	285693	268805	296114	359244	403771	530041	560016	642601	622287	590556	569898	730286
Pb	1A2f	283088	353888	260163	293393	242219	125324	96471	61663	51483	43037	44054	43538	324332	59285	60518	81621	110088	112769	80822	55102	85441	111070	126419	122615	115656	98617	105924	98614	95047	86294	82476	93088
Pb	1A2gvii	1320241	1078202	787412	690482	750921	787412	423925	557346	508596	423925	320154	286513	252588	96272	96053	119298	69342	65329	61382	37039	1254	1351	1417	1379	1375	1246	1193	1331	1434	1478	1261	1145
Pb	1A3bvi	492920	536227	347170	258436	191539	257347	283021	321036	342092	312119	279688	306653	317097	323853	361311	386007	416741	502383	505148	416595	428098	427752	432545	403233	457231	487188	517044	545331	587081	613977	575320	578110
Pb	1A4ai	2279673	2692515	1414861	1356688	1301740	1185203	962713	676821	681144	523224	354420	293826	340365	337450	328653	363834	477690	370443	286698	345170	345154	406229	293176	341495	300076	228555	269664	277266	307608	242297	167850	197125
Pb	1A4bi	2643496	2773613	956132	999364	819796	704243	851065	879698	748900	777789	727943	743446	770437	810356	803673	847201	934419	936522	968045	955321	1044782	1036658	1028566	1020934	924699	839234	852159	879785	875217	797723	731992	780560
Pb	1B2aiv	465461	569466	196736	246811	176286	153055	179996	244370	310405	212842	227406	319375	315705	346560	422712	448798	391803	231403	451019	410286	438495	439603	416430	439740	365907	414176	455045	479263	472889	464411	382998	388201
Pb	2A3	111764	117771	89745	58035	49491	135825	129165	128348	128425	122086	148171	148234	102474	115198	128666	137312	150794	163860	164950	125158	159502	162328	196926	202720	199288	191437	179205	164411	181294	198522	211772	229133
Pb	2D3i																342686	417323	624064	679022	264522	333906	321675	458091	570517	523555	466010	372243	415442	463501	535472	362616	400586
Pb	NATIONALTOTAL	9608835	10217827	5343391	4875307	4435665	4161265	3696786	3661429	3626064	3238073	2726157	2761126	3044042	2717053	2823656	3378008	3580994	3642700	3793347	3188060	3412853	3465714	3514699	3724233	3567970	3529570	3588888	3807579	3919848	3830387	3406539	3719705
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	9608835	10217827	5343391	4875307	4435665	4161265	3696786	3661429	3626064	3238073	2726157	2761126	3044042	2717053	2823656	3378008	3580994	3642700	3793347	3188060	3412853	3465714	3514699	3724233	3567970	3529570	3588888	3807579	3919848	3830387	3406539	3719705
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	9608835	10217827	5343391	4875307	4435665	4161265	3696786	3661429	3626064	3238073	2726157	2761126	3044042	2717053	2823656	3378008	3580994	3642700	3793347	3188060	3412853	3465714	3514699	3724233	3567970	3529570	3588888	3807579	3919848	3830387	3406539	3719705
Cd	1A4ai	55457	57789	35615	31260	37401	30838	31428	25131	27258	30061	26081	24562	24704	21775	20239	20345	21543	19184	18038	18602	18857	20904	20121	21956	20195	18593	19651	17630	18254	16604	16022	15680
Cd	1A4bi	51591	53367	28990	39722	37407	38232	42465	43467	44224	46278	48042	49109	48719	49594	50153	51716	54255	52727	54620	55245	55693	54433	54462	52847	49297	46884	46540	45907	46503	44162	43241	44027
Cd	1B2aiv	91638	112114	38732	48591	34706	30133	35437	48110	61111	41903	44770	62877	62154	68229	83221	88357	77136	45557	88794	80775	86329	86547	81985	86574	72038	81541	89587	94355	93100	91431	75403	76427
Cd	2A3	8547	9006	6863	4438	3785	10387	9877	9815	9821	9336	11331	11336	7836	8809	9839	6152	6683	7209	7148	5398	6916	7040	8449	8676	8526	8188	7664	7042	7747	8500	9052	9811
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	393415	436653	239994	226207	229995	221189	224011	234683	252449	240652	234213	246624	253966	256264	273538	265978	249734	206074	261598	251640	260345	257253	249261	262190	240740	255934	270971	277955	275427	266495	245537	264553
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	393415	436653	239994	226207	229995	221189	224011	234683	252449	240652	234213	246624	253966	256264	273538	265978	249734	206074	261598	251640	260345	257253	249261	262190	240740	255934	270971	277955	275427	266495	245537	264553
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	393415	436653	239994	226207	229995	221189	224011	234683	252449	240652	234213	246624	253966	256264	273538	265978	249734	206074	261598	251640	260345	257253	249261	262190	240740	255934	270971	277955	275427	266495	245537	264553
Hg	1A4bi	91259	96353	31684	30880	24260	19484	24239	25106	19772	20381	17766	18109	19305	20745	20384	21851	24650	25002	25941	25330	28840	28822	28595	28612	25566	22708	23525	24850	24699	22076	19597	21579
Hg	1B2aiv	101820	124571	43036	53990	38563	33481	39374	53456	67901	46559	49745	69863	69060	75810	92468	98175	85707	50619	98660	89750	95921	96163	91094	96193	80042	90601	99541	104839	103444	101590	83781	84919
Hg	5C1biii	347	347	229	127	502	576	716	1695	7565	3142	120	4851	931	212	1743	11323	8290	22476	30100	32304	30001	16956	1707	616	6	116	132	155	157	242	398	692
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	448092	512406	245788	230045	201936	179272	172509	170040	185067	150994	129955	149783	166917	161474	178505	230656	223990	196239	244385	235868	245187	234936	207262	218146	194828	200530	215885	224812	228939	216748	193583	208003
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	448092	512406	245788	230045	201936	179272	172509	170040	185067	150994	129955	149783	166917	161474	178505	230656	223990	196239	244385	235868	245187	234936	207262	218146	194828	200530	215885	224812	228939	216748	193583	208003
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	448092	512406	245788	230045	201936	179272	172509	170040	185067	150994	129955	149783	166917	161474	178505	230656	223990	196239	244385	235868	245187	234936	207262	218146	194828	200530	215885	224812	228939	216748	193583	208003

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
DIOX	1A3bi	395	473	274	218	183	260	289	298	305	258	244	266	290	326	357	408	468	605	588	498	513	495	512	509	529	582	657	630	558	558	508	490
DIOX	1A4bi	15857	16455	8339	11000	10229	10279	11511	11854	11869	12414	12640	12906	12871	13163	13285	13463	14045	13523	13944	13945	14013	13628	13549	13078	12000	11092	10995	10847	10897	10127	9475	9513
HCB	1A1a	9594	13546	10766	10677	8192	7305	7986	8398	9193	6585	10243	16734	22511	26444	32883	32139	37102	38707	45179	52712	52859	49609	65369	79351	99303	129019	136191	150606	146322	145055	151344	188822
HCB	1A4ai	18789	19136	11566	9936	12470	9966	10816	8704	9502	10949	9761	9288	9318	8210	7634	7718	8061	7321	7038	7208	7377	8178	8089	8804	8200	7685	8104	7258	7541	7041	7201	7122
HCB	1A4bi	54493	55006	49087	77948	77652	83954	90884	92861	99517	104349	110812	113267	111283	112435	114232	117245	121395	116908	121311	123535	121783	118554	119021	114724	107891	103923	102609	99919	101861	97781	97256	97867
HCB	5C1bii	52601	52601	14618	42396	12825	49535	16610	16233	15535	6800	22441	28553	27040	73269	37184	66677	61713	3675	114	353	16453	81154	19599	15047	3847	10777	618	1738	948	2140	2221	1445
PCB	1A2e	59787	76868	68327	46976	34164	25624	17083	12922	51274	36973	29327	23322	27217	25138	18966	20171	17768	16662	10712	15131	18192	19212	18531	19724	21600	14973	17182	19052	15989	12418	16671	12762
PCB	1A4bi	2604667	2745427	776839	654214	459228	292527	416010	442549	258000	262467	156457	157841	202020	242319	223638	258834	330261	354347	370187	343848	457029	469739	463273	480564	408417	332206	359725	408992	397440	328720	249305	303008
PCB	1A4ci	264694	277613	34173	29924	21425	8504	17175	8505	8507	4257	2385	2217	2218	5960	4766	6635	9015	5107	3747	3068	5108	7320	6129	9529	17179	16838	18539	18711	20242	15822	9363	8004
PCB	2K	37	37	37	37	37	36	36	36	35	35	35	35	34	34	34	36000000	19800000	3700000	3600000	3200000	9400000	600000	400000	400000	400000	400000	400000	400000	400000	300000	300000	300000
PCB	NATIONALTOTAL	5995293	6594809	3058415	2680145	2221215	1786623	1632172	1349083	1198039	1010071	699039	639580	1012796	761099	726058	36848406	20874032	4739036	4456010	4044478	10405108	1715461	1421222	1564464	1413886	1244054	1340420	1446479	1460058	1204044	1084303	1246423
PCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	5995293	6594809	3058415	2680145	2221215	1786623	1632172	1349083	1198039	1010071	699039	639580	1012796	761099	726058	36848406	20874032	4739036	4456010	4044478	10405108	1715461	1421222	1564464	1413886	1244054	1340420	1446479	1460058	1204044	1084303	1246423
PCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	5995293	6594809	3058415	2680145	2221215	1786623	1632172	1349083	1198039	1010071	699039	639580	1012796	761099	726058	36848406	20874032	4739036	4456010	4044478	10405108	1715461	1421222	1564464	1413886	1244054	1340420	1446479	1460058	1204044	1084303	1246423