Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA

Inv. comparison

Time series

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TIME SERIES

Party: LT      Submission year: 2022

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2020
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2020
PMs: 2000 - 2020

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
NOx	1A1a	20865	22561	13381	10687	11189	9857	10788	9566	10793	7963	6533	6986	6927	6988	6999	6891	6644	6392	5725	6006	6974	5770	6266	5521	5558	6157	6115	6463	6222	5486	5618
NOx	1A3biii	32831	34559	24195	16693	11000	13491	14749	19328	21763	20924	17835	20245	20316	18392	19895	19989	19793	22052	22246	17370	18628	19069	18793	16732	19173	18638	16966	16282	16884	17109	15625
NOx	1A4ai	4664	5244	2339	1937	2049	1772	1570	1145	1085	1019	745	663	729	711	709	748	884	817	720	762	787	854	744	812	742	673	740	738	797	700	629
NOx	1A4bi	3386	3745	1999	2272	2017	1903	2039	2062	1968	2008	2052	2095	2098	2152	2161	2255	2363	2297	2369	2389	2498	2455	2457	2222	2078	1971	2038	2076	2117	2025	1988
NOx	3Da1	8480	9920	3520	1720	1720	1600	3160	3244	3336	3760	3920	4080	4600	4640	4680	4760	4880	5080	4732	5376	5728	5880	6000	6200	6528	6712	6780	6880	6964	7040	7960
NOx	NATIONALTOTAL	150777	158898	98196	76326	68349	72700	76026	80735	82315	70156	60806	62357	63375	60538	61103	63663	62736	64100	62784	53536	56722	55622	55890	52546	55529	57414	57456	56044	56692	56059	54037
NOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	150777	158898	98196	76326	68349	72700	76026	80735	82315	70156	60806	62357	63375	60538	61103	56675	62736	64100	62784	53536	56722	55622	55890	52546	55529	57414	57456	56044	56692	56059	44068
NOx	NTCOMPLIANCE	150777	158898	98196	76326	68349	72700	76026	80735	82315	70156	60806	62357	63375	60538	61103	63663	62736	64100	62784	53536	56722	55622	55890	52546	55529	57414	57456	56044	56692	56059	54037
NMVOC	1A3biii	5863	5702	3963	3044	2128	2887	3042	3415	3553	3485	3080	2983	2663	2302	2212	1887	1673	1925	1679	1290	1233	1105	1012	844	901	791	693	613	537	516	480
NMVOC	1A4bi	9280	9578	5674	7969	7609	7836	8656	8899	9152	9581	9832	10041	9957	10139	10258	10348	10765	10362	10730	10816	10760	10479	10475	10111	9368	8810	8734	8580	8687	8179	7818
NMVOC	1B2ai	1389	1181	415	993	1076	1235	1419	1577	1717	1569	1990	2582	2171	2245	1895	22	1420	1104	981	849	1007	1011	1009	971	882	899	863	874	812	803	3
NMVOC	1B2aiv	32239	32870	32870	27650	25760	23750	23460	22430	15410	11540	6730	5670	9360	10000	9970	10110	10270	8610	11380	10030	9750	9930	9820	10190	9110	9520	10120	10710	10630	10690	9484
NMVOC	2D3e	2588	2593	2590	2578	2560	2540	2521	2503	2485	2467	2450	2430	2	260	188	267	415	305	302	305	204	210	329	362	309	131	122	184	176	211	152
SOx	1A1a	82170	98247	61115	58068	60677	45858	49514	42372	59274	40533	18068	20796	17943	10976	9543	6171	3738	4798	2415	3123	2978	1492	1573	1083	965	825	567	675	691	486	505
SOx	1A1b	16240	16240	8787	5620	3820	2350	3220	7580	9200	9920	10800	6890	6490	5800	7248	11770	11173	9050	5040	5560	3930	4100	3553	2760	2500	4470	4430	3570	2680	2200	2309
SOx	1A2gviii	7444	9546	5650	3377	2813	2102	1523	1532	1311	1012	714	539	552	400	440	477	327	341	318	192	230	182	124	120	108	120	108	120	70	70	41
SOx	1A4bi	22144	23335	6460	5422	3721	2347	3368	3440	1885	1903	1368	1414	1752	638	612	681	800	822	858	822	1003	989	987	991	869	742	795	869	865	754	633
NH3	3Da1	12986	15191	5390	2634	2634	2450	4839	4968	5109	5758	6003	6248	7044	7106	7167	7239	6454	7572	6334	7966	7275	7240	7474	7741	9971	10301	10301	10896	10736	10820	12234
NH3	3Da2a	30510	28500	23051	17841	15310	14140	13770	14015	13601	12036	11490	11200	11690	12191	12507	14074	13590	13650	13180	12990	13010	12780	12560	12220	12410	12330	11760	11400	12726	12391	12107
NH3	NATIONALTOTAL	80069	77999	56396	42567	37361	35723	36495	36490	35617	32874	31466	31475	33511	34575	35334	38954	36219	37514	35611	36873	35866	35295	35038	34628	37298	37639	36848	36820	37838	37187	39057
NH3	NTCOMPL(NECD)	80069	77999	56396	42567	37361	35723	36495	36490	35617	32874	31466	31475	33511	34575	35334	38954	36219	37514	35611	36873	35866	35295	35038	34628	37298	37639	36848	36820	37838	37187	39057
NH3	NTCOMPLIANCE	80069	77999	56396	42567	37361	35723	36495	36490	35617	32874	31466	31475	33511	34575	35334	38954	36219	37514	35611	36873	35866	35295	35038	34628	37298	37639	36848	36820	37838	37187	39057
CO	1A1a	6417	6900	4271	3315	3097	2977	3318	3094	3079	2718	2913	3223	3386	3777	4273	4354	4382	4222	4315	4643	5109	4500	5020	4665	5483	6883	6927	7614	7305	7132	7005
CO	1A3biii	11941	12145	8470	6156	4165	5354	5747	7037	7655	7359	6253	6633	6293	5576	5753	5477	5232	5871	5675	4417	4594	4520	4421	3896	4473	4367	4109	4020	4243	4321	3980
CO	1A4ai	13631	15037	8725	7865	8573	7074	6425	4839	5096	4973	3603	3305	3469	3178	3039	2833	3249	2831	2545	2753	2488	2808	2488	2734	2507	1992	2162	2074	2234	1959	1762
CO	1A4bi	109484	113655	58023	76881	71551	71946	80410	82610	82883	86673	88663	90571	90210	92141	93024	94502	99156	96135	99527	100187	100811	98507	98397	95446	88365	82734	82317	81485	82339	77431	73720
CO	NATIONALTOTAL	373111	419918	238658	215295	189649	211053	226569	225719	219854	195475	176970	175734	175153	172023	169353	173132	177605	177005	174345	163842	157791	150418	146683	136513	128885	121711	119805	118000	119070	113241	107421
CO	NTCOMPL(NECD)	373111	419918	238658	215295	189649	211053	226569	225719	219854	195475	176970	175734	175153	172023	169353	173132	177605	177005	174345	163842	157791	150418	146683	136513	128885	121711	119805	118000	119070	113241	107421
CO	NTCOMPLIANCE	373111	419918	238658	215295	189649	211053	226569	225719	219854	195475	176970	175734	175153	172023	169353	173132	177605	177005	174345	163842	157791	150418	146683	136513	128885	121711	119805	118000	119070	113241	107421

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
PM10	NATIONALTOTAL	11317	11443	11790	11466	11602	28185	19021	19096	19148	18294	18281	18717	18775	18756	18539	19491	18701	18238	29065	27051	26475
PM10	NTCOMPL(NECD)	11317	11443	11790	11466	11602	28185	19021	19096	19148	18294	18281	18717	18775	18756	18539	19491	18701	18238	29065	27051	26475
PM10	NTCOMPLIANCE	11317	11443	11790	11466	11602	28185	19021	19096	19148	18294	18281	18717	18775	18756	18539	19491	18701	18238	29065	27051	26475
TSP	2A5b						20670	20143	20507	20573	20433	19643	20870	19942	19763	19011	22878	19921	18540	21595	19132	19124
TSP	2I						1107	1107	1110	1107	1107	1209	1209	1164	1178	1352	1301	1393	1361	1955	1340	1340

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
Pb	1A1a	819793	898770	584020	552594	502549	391859	405273	357255	423692	316177	200915	252971	254256	240507	265208	243212	261672	293715	285453	326354	321249	287986	381680	437956	507475	648675	663166	762155	739856	718475	713336
Pb	1A2f	559875	572047	331203	291128	263018	176141	144930	124336	118054	97872	89905	85902	98425	165040	117631	126616	169363	172400	144307	90563	112721	141107	161127	165981	157765	161336	160007	150680	158423	163612	162017
Pb	1A2gvii	960717	805424	805424	805424	805424	805424	805424	805424	805424	805424	805424	805424	805424	309779	309779	309779	185867	185867	185867	185867	6196	6196	6196	6196	6196	6196	6196	6196	6196	6196	6196
Pb	1A3bvi	492920	536227	347170	258436	191539	257347	283021	321036	342092	312119	279688	306653	317097	323853	361311	386007	416741	502383	505148	416595	428098	427752	432545	403233	457231	487188	517044	545331	587081	613977	575320
Pb	1A4ai	1995330	2353542	1238627	1181009	1135756	1033462	857605	599764	597148	463546	329718	274443	317221	314866	308119	353363	462594	362141	285075	341081	348011	410157	301655	349605	310046	239367	280535	289788	322820	256132	188111
Pb	1A4bi	2643496	2773613	956132	999364	819796	704243	851065	879698	748900	777789	727943	743446	770437	810356	803673	847201	934419	936522	968045	955321	1044782	1036658	1028566	1020934	924699	839234	852159	879785	875217	797723	731992
Pb	1A4ci	134312	131666	44940	49872	59193	42261	54294	57651	70000	74167	50751	69336	75982	96092	60385	52268	54059	66326	73710	78084	83359	96088	91877	87867	97908	86452	96794	121840	127176	121696	140300
Pb	1B2aiv	465461	569466	196736	246811	176286	153055	179996	244370	310405	212842	227406	319375	315705	346560	422712	448798	391803	231403	451019	410286	438495	439603	416430	439740	365907	414176	455045	479263	472889	464411	382998
Pb	2D3i							53100	178703	143802	151827	303486	132653	218501	172010	336806	369276	429310	657476	691444	269976	334345	321679	458086	570593	523482	466927	372212	415486	476853	558733	377822
Pb	NATIONALTOTAL	10143855	10571407	5241277	4919501	4385864	4087349	4118816	4079080	4198938	3742858	3501036	3463687	3599719	3191755	3417700	3584757	3682583	3770342	3947640	3371855	3409230	3481547	3575466	3783927	3632027	3624166	3686373	3922442	4057439	3988654	3561180
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	10143855	10571407	5241277	4919501	4385864	4087349	4118816	4079080	4198938	3742858	3501036	3463687	3599719	3191755	3417700	3584757	3682583	3770342	3947640	3371855	3409230	3481547	3575466	3783927	3632027	3624166	3686373	3922442	4057439	3988654	3561180
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	10143855	10571407	5241277	4919501	4385864	4087349	4118816	4079080	4198938	3742858	3501036	3463687	3599719	3191755	3417700	3584757	3682583	3770342	3947640	3371855	3409230	3481547	3575466	3783927	3632027	3624166	3686373	3922442	4057439	3988654	3561180
Cd	1A2d	305	390	268	283	510	412	287	275	249	261	86	401	334	102	0	5	0	13	0	1105	1664	1826	1123	2821	2847	2093	2536	3356	10135	10327	10528
Cd	1A2f	30740	28676	13513	9296	9509	7590	7194	7992	8028	8578	6553	6434	8982	12354	12328	10509	11922	12474	11023	7308	7411	9290	10157	10392	9421	9969	9377	8416	11061	11857	14548
Cd	1A4ai	43018	42992	27693	23574	30154	24140	26319	21454	23628	27600	24692	23625	23612	20699	19286	19291	19921	18288	17811	18077	18215	20039	20060	21439	20354	19315	20082	17998	18724	17623	18862
Cd	1A4bi	51591	53367	28990	39722	37407	38232	42465	43467	44224	46278	48042	49109	48719	49594	50153	51716	54255	52727	54620	55245	55693	54433	54462	52847	49297	46884	46540	45907	46503	44162	43241
Cd	1B2aiv	91638	112114	38732	48591	34706	30133	35437	48110	61111	41903	44770	62877	62154	68229	83221	88357	77136	45557	88794	80775	86329	86547	81985	86574	72038	81541	89587	94355	93100	91431	75403
Cd	5C2	5252	5097	4942	4778	4626	4473	4591	4797	5162	4345	3994	3767	3720	3508	3657		4470	4391	4438	4930	5093	10000	5511	5573	5735	5279	5259	5145	5089	10000	10000
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	343757	382521	199225	218639	204917	179231	194654	200229	250109	205156	187677	227362	246566	258741	286246	293326	278479	235647	287952	272615	284019	284680	282903	286456	262478	281980	303641	314695	307326	306009	299234
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	343757	382521	199225	218639	204917	179231	194654	200229	250109	205156	187677	227362	246566	258741	286246	293326	278479	235647	287952	272615	284019	284680	282903	286456	262478	281980	303641	314695	307326	306009	299234
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	343757	382521	199225	218639	204917	179231	194654	200229	250109	205156	187677	227362	246566	258741	286246	293326	278479	235647	287952	272615	284019	284680	282903	286456	262478	281980	303641	314695	307326	306009	299234
Hg	1A1b	10000	10000	4435	10000					10000			10000	10000	10000	7539	10000	8313	10000	10000	10000	10000	10000	6584	10000	10000	10000	10000	10000	10000	10000	5199
Hg	1A2f	158983	154798	82106	46761	45588	32963	32910	35104	39425	33156	28848	27587	28724	34482	34640	39765	52551	53106	45986	28076	31063	35934	42796	48343	43537	52562	47999	46632	51699	57304	55474
Hg	1A4bi	91259	96353	31684	30880	24260	19484	24239	25106	19772	20381	17766	18109	19305	20745	20384	21851	24650	25002	25941	25330	28840	28822	28595	28612	25566	22708	23525	24850	24699	22076	19597
Hg	1B2aiv	101820	124571	43036	53990	38563	33481	39374	53456	67901	46559	49745	69863	69060	75810	92468	98175	85707	50619	98660	89750	95921	96163	91094	96193	80042	90601	99541	104839	103444	101590	83781
Hg	2K	37020	37063	36939	36713	36430	36152	35880	35623	35364	35121	34870	34546	34315	33989	33552	32898	32500	30000	31839	31420	30526	30036	29719	29435	29213	28886	28886	28886	28886	28886	28886
Hg	5C1biii	347	347	229	127	502	576	716	1695	7565	3142	120	4851	931	212	1743	11323	8290	22476	30100	32304	30001	16956	1707	616	6	116	132	155	157	242	398
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	626880	679861	342725	308047	264091	230289	226524	228677	260083	203130	179770	211225	213961	227936	242604	270819	278206	253515	293092	269845	283593	278365	253784	271508	244748	258486	271094	281408	288163	280414	265459
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	626880	679861	342725	308047	264091	230289	226524	228677	260083	203130	179770	211225	213961	227936	242604	270819	278206	253515	293092	269845	283593	278365	253784	271508	244748	258486	271094	281408	288163	280414	265459
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	626880	679861	342725	308047	264091	230289	226524	228677	260083	203130	179770	211225	213961	227936	242604	270819	278206	253515	293092	269845	283593	278365	253784	271508	244748	258486	271094	281408	288163	280414	265459

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
DIOX	1A3bi	395	473	274	218	183	260	289	298	305	258	244	266	290	326	357	408	468	605	588	498	513	495	512	509	529	582	657	630	558	558	508
DIOX	1A4bi	15857	16455	8339	11000	10229	10279	11511	11854	11869	12414	12640	12906	12871	13163	13285	13463	14045	13523	13944	13945	14013	13628	13549	13078	12000	11092	10995	10847	10897	10127	9475
DIOX	5C1bii	921	921	256	742	224	867	291	284	272	119	393	500	473	1282	651	1167	1080	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
DIOX	5C2	525	510	494	478	463	447	459	480	5	434	399	377	372	351	366	450	447	439	444	493	509	530	551	557	574	528	526	515	509	510	510
DIOX	NATIONALTOTAL	23032	24176	13941	17073	15800	16030	17124	18133	23026	20209	17138	22107	20292	20479	19254	20349	21164	19461	19700	19413	19589	19044	19237	18696	18148	17480	17555	18266	18723	17515	16628
DIOX	NTCOMPL(NECD)	23032	24176	13941	17073	15800	16030	17124	18133	23026	20209	17138	22107	20292	20479	19254	20349	21164	19461	19700	19413	19589	19044	19237	18696	18148	17480	17555	18266	18723	17515	16628
DIOX	NTCOMPLIANCE	23032	24176	13941	17073	15800	16030	17124	18133	23026	20209	17138	22107	20292	20479	19254	20349	21164	19461	19700	19413	19589	19044	19237	18696	18148	17480	17555	18266	18723	17515	16628
HCB	5C1bii	5260	5260	1462	4240	1283	4954	1661	1623	1553	680	2244	2855	2704	7327	3718	6668	6171	368	11	35	1645	8115	1960	1505	3847	10777	618	1738	948	2140	2221
PCB	1A4bi	2604667	2745427	776839	654214	459228	292527	416010	442549	258000	262467	156457	157841	202020	242319	223638	258834	330261	354347	370187	343848	457029	469739	463273	480564	408417	332206	359725	408992	397440	328720	249305
PCB	1A4ci	148262	149866	42752	49725	57718	39619	50576	53223	65126	69037	47335	65621	72082	91131	55051	47089	50145	59762	66734	70561	74522	86805	82017	78249	87844	78082	88227	112314	118293	110046	121747
PCB	NATIONALTOTAL	6114571	6695750	3191773	2751673	2312953	1857581	1714056	1451175	2150455	1140464	805309	752247	830442	1011807	857886	36958740	21059501	4879377	4615682	4125295	10492418	1832555	1535022	1677953	1531074	1365516	1468173	1588506	1619900	1122403	933937
PCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	6114571	6695750	3191773	2751673	2312953	1857581	1714056	1451175	2150455	1140464	805309	752247	830442	1011807	857886	36958740	21059501	4879377	4615682	4125295	10492418	1832555	1535022	1677953	1531074	1365516	1468173	1588506	1619900	1122403	933937
PCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	6114571	6695750	3191773	2751673	2312953	1857581	1714056	1451175	2150455	1140464	805309	752247	830442	1011807	857886	36958740	21059501	4879377	4615682	4125295	10492418	1832555	1535022	1677953	1531074	1365516	1468173	1588506	1619900	1122403	933937