Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

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TIME SERIES

Party: KZ      Submission year: 2023

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2021
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2021
PMs: 2000 - 2021

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key

 

Indicates a dip in the time series data

 

Indicates a jump in the time series data

 

Indicates time series data with large sigma


MAIN (Unit = Mg)
19901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
NOx11B136574180936092720121624300233027421712252420044525599817122906894477027687031753612616874436816738614292941316700
NOx11C390309390390116056202320930033001988034905040395093002910345063402080860630112066031014310227031066002050   
NOx1A2a2521023450325802620018280196301732022380195802502026996333603317034240296903607222780358903073035350315043193433490326596004064940682506957068379131963615323556
NOx1A2b7203658013570131901150011920122901224013540236502250018410187901945019050237583659035880350603039034340351173221924772215302227023600231602321411445 17486
NOx1A3bi16311138531325499108211672156835082489956357651871510245107841170514387167451926919189196131908121187259352224825470205872200219001195212297326940
NOx1A3bi(fu)16311138531325499108211672156835082489956357651871510245107841170514387167451926919189196131908121187259352224825470205872200219001195212297326940
NOx1A3bii19266167051704913907125681088195218897876691541091612257153881685318842237852834834617352493591938079381154433642760443784302446322525855522346217750
NOx1A3bii(fu)19266167051704913907125681088195218897876691541091612257153881685318842237852834834617352493591938079381154433642760443784302446322525855522346217750
NOx1A3biii214981821817234126691042183146884603857236216895310518110261190825047145591686819353191971953618944208782556821781190402001417363164022196413216059040
NOx1A3biii(fu)214981821817234126691042183146884603857236216895310518110261190825047145591686819353191971953618944208782556821781190402001417363164022196413216059040
NOx1A4ai30959    15750    2721    4167    5794536648645646594063304750444041404197930802
NOx1A4ci114126    61060    23145    30431    246043231330040303983705030040328103565035860861053
NMVOC11B3571560477244159671403192637794392721144946615525011865157464494762323480202072422768321405332443195294214219389376052474950100
NMVOC1A3bi1025182697815596650174073334429232714268630373214380139164121489354996325609458885881548457645474561449974954380539732467828780
NMVOC1A3bi(fu)1025182697815596650174073334429232714268630373214380139164121489354996325609458885881548457645474561449974954380539732467828780
NMVOC1A3bii212631820918384148951338711541100329324912493671090312055151191647318297229422715933206336143387336227349633952939054420583942743252503765399454248860
NMVOC1A3bii(fu)212631820918384148951338711541100329324912493671090312055151191647318297229422715933206336143387336227349633952939054420583942743252503765399454248860
NMVOC1A3biii1401711219105487939663953304326375334323317379444244492465147745431598167516334593157765281550949214763403041113876405714915155720
NMVOC1A3biii(fu)1401711219105487939663953304326375334323317379444244492465147745431598167516334593157765281550949214763403041113876405714915155720
NMVOC1A4ai51899    26160    3985    6043    62316068593656816110623059406370577038115482
NMVOC1A4ci20366    15700    5606    7139    54496865645763647360594063506870693032476
NMVOC1A5a11100    1240    27668    14167    4548424815441183823160700728005371050800394404731499195
NMVOC2D3d962376164059222310841222114836619826253528328719542180540068805725352803056036920371203656044400528004564044600458404404546004512295167992091
NMVOC5A53395359539053815351522751355071497648994662487048654870489832633746522953236128590461145598553453765047438953275760573157854035
SOx1A1c7999677460168601277010980110401095012040118601511052423270201015004270658715700698081105300676520812419463538403740120405304642376332245991070
SOx1A2a45831426205818047070328503529031040400203502037160429414548052160565504983056943503705339042310489804593541165464354494263680731507463078310763192279710704334500
SOx1A2b241072201035080340902973030830317903166035010403403203426770282102865027210421845880056220569204964056080575795160643799375304074042110429904306021950 67263
SOx1A2e450643502424022690184701195010370107201051010400865379209080902075207019575068009440715080941965357625072210248028603470308613998141842
SOx1A3biii332726191613119991315151632202326262625273328252522202114214655350
SOx1A3biii(fu)332726191613119991315151632202326262625273328252522202114214655350
SOx1A4ai143159    57050    13745    16924    1288817192144401251213880121401198012620122301363841665
SOx1A5a29181    2650    55479    32296    873961051808389973534107090122770922508498073190327481416
SOxNTCOMPL(NECD)1054451808906759989683685534063632401473783435674413255319301416002351394385216406915427313548242486644473930454165462135606847653227659273636114687396677305648891437244681074265185215755651227981
SOxNTCOMPLIANCE1054451808906759989683685534063632401473783435674413255319301416002351394385216406915427313548242486644473930454165462135606847653227659273636114687396677305648891437244681074265185215755651227981
NH311C28828828828888641851732692525534102259641142938692521642569472115476414708334882343123116902164900153039024213 
CO11C64596459645964591938093680387701550605492093680581508399065770155060484605646010572034064143601054016710109205230640517037850498010970034240   
CO1A2a9550888012310973067707270648084207370811080971055010410106401188012179951015970136801570013820143181489714378280203038032210324703191624231111659138318
CO1A3ai(i)141740041649583175151125125914734183114307613618821618315023431241443255057965871135513969421274850
CO1A3ai(ii)141740041649583175151125125914734183114307613618821618315023431241443255022831171135513969421274850
CO1A3bi844246794164228490034126633487274572399322227300243482561430290311653271938753434154994247928459924604342324437204196142230379653669926986280612512802295940
CO1A3bi(fu)844246794164228490034126633487274572399322227300243482561430290311653271938753434154994247928459924604342324437204196142230379653669926986280612512802295940
CO1A3bii22195618994119165315522113946412020410443997041949269734911315012498415673317071418954623756528110834371434780535023737479136083640715640294043500940687544691552140655958342918668630
CO1A3bii(fu)22195618994119165315522113946412020410443997041949269734911315012498415673317071418954623756528110834371434780535023737479136083640715640294043500940687544691552140655958342918668630
CO1A3biii1161149267287042655905486444067357103092828234271263056735626360773721734642432774744553459498974634345143402764098136919363772973231195297273265012041211446860
CO1A3biii(fu)1161149267287042655905486444067357103092828234271263056735626360773721734642432774744553459498974634345143402764098136919363772973231195297273265012041211446860
CO1A3c8147733244312395483479330045252932057315825114771239176457661777410242584656294106356037801311491261712011250118123801213612570
CO1A3di(i)8811365722255154998670421002392702642612502422322232202081981841681481431501461331342050170 
CO1A4ai513862    259090    39399    59724    6096859411585615559760320614805847062950575801504645767
CO1A4ci109185    108250    37049    46608    34426422264005338819432903474036540393803978025164188
CO1A5a110077    12310    274712    135591    44734824527544004437772560550072673053492050590042930736138432246

PM (Unit = Mg)
2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
PM2.511B12281810143732454301122820846471552260622227385911205332758552968861388254308
PM2.51A3bi45253362566473191110751238124712991253147118721565183814501572138614161090
PM2.51A3bi(fu)45253362566473191110751238124712991253147118721565183814501572138614161090
PM2.51A3bii131166210239279368457554584633640771101188276287486084878100 
PM2.51A3bii(fu)131166210239279368457554584633640771101188276287486084878100 
PM2.51A3biii17220221623862629735240641142841548661952143948640436537811370
PM2.51A3biii(fu)17220221623862629735240641142841548661952143948640436537811370
PM2.51A3c26631637163916612195125212018727558021314121619121324151158515541610
PM2.51A4ai                   2565803
PM2.53Dc972100710651047108211071102113712071032128912651271127612751261128813101314132813551376
PM2.5NATIONALTOTAL1040898231163612112137651236412630131511226212054229802028424347174711704121897278583056928673284222230913143583
PM1011B1500221217563966525615002547783867427471227847011414765233715647312310820
PM1011C98401163011130262408200929017890586024301789316018508801008706400845186005795   
PM101A3c9078557155725646747442614079295125562713141513182113201570166616331690
PM103Dc25265261852770027229281372877428656295693138726843335153288933057331833314232796334993407034163345323522835764
TSP11B231844182704615981242318393612114104237711904297261772281007491105946223480359
TSP11C13600219701771040550126701504027650906037502775488028601370177135099001305267008956   
TSP3Dc25265261852770027229281372877428656295693138726843335153288933057331833314232796334993407034163345323522835764
BC11B110163129159387188188577501856213681148253477  22888
BC11C72010508201930600720132043018013023014065826470661400430   
BC1A1c                   22211438
BC1A3c913151815101517151620231926301913001 7371160
BC1A4ai                   1321030
BC2A1010 3344778817222426262829283328
BC2D3b0000000000011111336874
BCNATIONALTOTAL101108123136140139149160154150171172178190195186305185199420283318611003
BCNTCOMPL(NECD)101108123136140139149160154150171172178190195186305185199131493318611003
BCNTCOMPLIANCE101108123136140139149160154150171172178190195186305185199131493318611003

HM (Unit = g)
19901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Pb1A2a                             3285643157377584990800
Pb1A3di(i)176188210951900104422989106675843374559752293847719036099430532627793149723623477026060118751851037102140113474152211862232421068501116999962980679266484181226152715123103 208 
Pb1A3di(ii)176188210951900104422989106675843374559752293847719036099430532627793149723623477026060118751851037102140113474152211862232421068501116999962980679266484181226152715123103722730347035 
Pb1A3dii15417919629365913554792048567330605091321693240075179605146426112017226852618219101191012040632885174103484006854075909386431961338136346477212607534874384120186417210094434208 
Pb5C1bi                          187202607889180 3265086000
PbNTCOMPL(NECD)88821481101541648786621926185252042998079424017914335274353221062462500645805191868203882673709511094684661123372651208627789766346887635485970875326369565960853818576493296172796853393095511107865690907659565431476716305006713360550069199844859118510364106662127
PbNTCOMPLIANCE88821481101541648786621926185252042998079424017914335274353221062462500645805191868203882673709511094684661123372651208627789766346887635485970875326369565960853818576493296172796853393095511107865690907659565431476716305006713360550069199844859118510364106662127
Cd1A1a                             14481901442955909974
Cd1A1b                             55957336570105083
Cd1A3di(i)1361728430678087468711584305739840271367402778423554215634045501156174828597981651663626889171761732583668725778063202060914052118499574 16 
Cd1A3di(ii)13617284306780874687115843057398402713674027784235542156340455011561748285979816516636268891717617325836687257780632020609140521184995745559526695 
Cd1A3dii118599740720702736092743641465452474618467138161126486171745201414691469157025301339337231656986995333228260102665216354411442954814340161613316 
Cd2C1339924322099304098232958156837155648161385200414168532217201259021254987436743450375485726387212341861377647230150228475211096230770191022184208215175216741164699173937218530214083221761181900
Cd5C1bi                          144020066860 25391200
Cd5C1biii                38541880107198677251612915643069679677105858058785542505600454553230738297200
CdNTCOMPL(NECD)452097855960844098472389376333446423197126326654438729534097096450533448706995061173538829552519955438993504387251193795044648486674638847874030548415371144481054247513362848547554424840733505611352142641254464189681528339502
CdNTCOMPLIANCE452097855960844098472389376333446423197126326654438729534097096450533448706995061173538829552519955438993504387251193795044648486674638847874030548415371144481054247513362848547554424840733505611352142641254464189681528339502
Hg1A1a                             210663020920601346586
Hg1A2a                             202717939326299100
Hg1A3di(i)4043372525216239055205045174711171905120522110004832527022563494107021363415471131621666523279487787959550478509832414525311225831822061109414313488528044 48 
Hg1A3di(ii)404337252521623905520504517471117190512052211000483252702256349410702136341547113162166652327948778795955047850983241452531122583182206110941431348852804416678480085 
Hg1A3dii35579822221612108201827801309221396367423755402414473379125850523560424408440847097589401781116941970942098589968378031799564906312343288643430194848310048 
Hg1A4ai                             345223335000
Hg2C116996201610494152048811647887841857782398069261002068842658108600612951041274936218371322518742428628193606217093031888234115075211423751055482115384895510992104210758751083705823493869683109264810704161108807909600
Hg5C1bi                          80611233842 14219100
Hg5C1bii              51133142109546872981194171143629932318508482862723346236211940721532177403124525 
Hg5C1biii                202291204305638692441522232944030331337452636394331486831596829159630102229322112402161597700
HgNATIONALTOTAL26738106568115217911417616111280325127296311815241348292114735213743101570536147498223884132455320263982021493491941618226656216581351984849196302418382551612097162866117373991817725150518514818001714030642025975520547243175
HgNTCOMPL(NECD)267381065681152179114176161112803251272963118152413482921147352137431015705361474982238841324553202639820214934919416182266562165813519848491963024183825516120971628661173739918177251505185148180017140302124743475520547243175
HgNTCOMPLIANCE267381065681152179114176161112803251272963118152413482921147352137431015705361474982238841324553202639820214934919416182266562165813519848491963024183825516120971628661173739918177251505185148180017140302124743475520547243175

POP (Unit = mg)
19901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
DIOXNTCOMPL(NECD)556375250149508388742640125921267373301428775364634299842430698057171410925482135124207490571546290145160262598240701350567210671182201184568155610172408172395475734673553070469
DIOXNTCOMPLIANCE556375250149508388742640125921267373301428775364634299842430698057171410925482135124207490571546290145160262598240701350567210671182201184568155610172408172395475734673553070469
PCB1A1a                             407684540565393074
PCB1A2a                             4166590199626906329100
PCB1A3di(ii)5095153196083300545259035220933217564152477139200105388886767966912649163841872215835203032871761070100141632746395129980315132812522611769495202043769350932112610144 
PCB1A3dii450677281473826703923152216583517687394033701765250042801327436631765355835583596596135089214147924965326582012626598840101278621471563481122815449161412136 
PCBNATIONALTOTAL466167684927898241475780325275482247753122202929227279982766186023754805299334423521212634601191573578055902668563558789512806084564947450188064318741713159216529496771318375322684553826011001298929193033642023831119249964653057978878069330891152261994646604
PCBNTCOMPL(NECD)4661676849278982414757803252754822477531222029292272799827661860237548052993344235212126346011915735780559026685635587895128060845649474501880643187417131592165294967713183753226845538260110012989291930336420238311192499646530579788159929157891152261994646604
PCBNTCOMPLIANCE4661676849278982414757803252754822477531222029292272799827661860237548052993344235212126346011915735780559026685635587895128060845649474501880643187417131592165294967713183753226845538260110012989291930336420238311192499646530579788159929157891152261994646604