Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA

Inv. comparison

Time series

Trend graphs

Add Comments

---

TIME SERIES

Party: KZ      Submission year: 2022

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2020
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2020
PMs: 2000 - 2020

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
NOx	11B	136	574	180	93	609	2720	1216	24300	2330	2742	1712	2524	2004	4525	5998	1712	2906	8944	770	276	870	317	536	126	168	744	36	816	7386	14292	9413
NOx	11C	390	309	390	390	1160	5620	2320	9300	3300	19880	3490	5040	3950	9300	2910	3450	6340	2080	860	630	1120	660	310	14	310	2270	310	6600	2050
NOx	1A1c	79990	77850	17490	12520	11690	11750	11650	12820	12630	18540	14602	8700	16010	21790	27170	38106	50820	34300	30710	26470	29685	28177	26947	39490	28070	33880	37950	29220	30160	60567	57247
NOx	1A2a	25210	23450	32580	26200	18280	19630	17320	22380	19580	25020	26996	33360	33170	34240	29690	36072	22780	35890	30730	35350	31504	31934	33490	32659	60040	64940	68250	69570	68379	13196	36153
NOx	1A3bi	16311	13853	13254	9910	8211	6721	5683	5082	4899	5635	7651	8715	10245	10784	11705	14387	16745	19269	19189	19613	19081	21187	25935	22248	25470	20587	22002	19001	19521	229	73
NOx	1A3bi(fu)	16311	13853	13254	9910	8211	6721	5683	5082	4899	5635	7651	8715	10245	10784	11705	14387	16745	19269	19189	19613	19081	21187	25935	22248	25470	20587	22002	19001	19521	229	73
NOx	1A3bii	19266	16705	17049	13907	12568	10881	9521	8897	8766	9154	10916	12257	15388	16853	18842	23785	28348	34617	35249	35919	38079	38115	44336	42760	44378	43024	46322	52585	55223	46	21
NOx	1A3bii(fu)	19266	16705	17049	13907	12568	10881	9521	8897	8766	9154	10916	12257	15388	16853	18842	23785	28348	34617	35249	35919	38079	38115	44336	42760	44378	43024	46322	52585	55223	46	21
NOx	1A3biii	21498	18218	17234	12669	10421	8314	6884	6038	5723	6216	8953	10518	11026	11908	25047	14559	16868	19353	19197	19536	18944	20878	25568	21781	19040	20014	17363	16402	21964	132	160
NOx	1A3biii(fu)	21498	18218	17234	12669	10421	8314	6884	6038	5723	6216	8953	10518	11026	11908	25047	14559	16868	19353	19197	19536	18944	20878	25568	21781	19040	20014	17363	16402	21964	132	160
NOx	1A3c	4550	4095	15579	13862	12185	10533	8870	7328	5677	5587	4450	2917	2978	3073	3848	2221	2273	1798	1577	1675	512	583	492	668	783	487	506	611	587	60628	59432
NOx	1A4ci	114126					61060					23145					30431					24604	32313	30040	30398	37050	30040	32810	35650	35860	8	6
NOx	1A5a	9456					1450					21429					26155					54201	32306	33371	42097	45970	58720	54080	56120	62818	2974	18612
NMVOC	11B	357	1560	477	244	1596	7140	3192	63779	4392	7211	4494	6615	5250	11865	15746	4494	7623	23480	2020	724	2276	832	1405	332	443	1952	94	2142	19389	37605	24749
NMVOC	1A3bii	21263	18209	18384	14895	13387	11541	10032	9324	9124	9367	10903	12055	15119	16473	18297	22942	27159	33206	33614	33873	36227	34963	39529	39054	42058	39427	43252	50376	53994	54	24
NMVOC	1A3bii(fu)	21263	18209	18384	14895	13387	11541	10032	9324	9124	9367	10903	12055	15119	16473	18297	22942	27159	33206	33614	33873	36227	34963	39529	39054	42058	39427	43252	50376	53994	54	24
NMVOC	1A3biii	14017	11219	10548	7939	6639	5330	4326	3753	3432	3317	3794	4424	4492	4651	4774	5431	5981	6751	6334	5931	5776	5281	5509	4921	4763	4030	4111	3876	4057	149	151
NMVOC	1A3biii(fu)	14017	11219	10548	7939	6639	5330	4326	3753	3432	3317	3794	4424	4492	4651	4774	5431	5981	6751	6334	5931	5776	5281	5509	4921	4763	4030	4111	3876	4057	149	151
NMVOC	1A4ai	51899					26160					3985					6043					6231	6068	5936	5681	6110	6230	5940	6370	5770	38	11
NMVOC	1A4ci	20366					15700					5606					7139					5449	6865	6457	6364	7360	5940	6350	6870	6930	3	2
NMVOC	2D3d	9623	7616	4059	2223	1084	1222	1148	366	198	2625	3528	3287	1954	2180	5400	6880	5725	35280	30560	36920	37120	36560	44400	52800	45640	44600	45840	44045	46004	51229	51679
NMVOC	5A	5339	5359	5390	5381	5351	5227	5135	5071	4976	4899	4662	4870	4865	4870	4898	3263	3746	5229	5323	6128	5904	6114	5598	5534	5376	5047	4389	5327	5760	5731	5785
SOx	1A1a	623671	613150	508490	475440	390940	401280	353120	310390	293330	180790	206939	220980	233550	248350	278800	273630	288080	286020	285810	290980	304943	318117	347101	350354	339470	329090	331780	352140	376397	1044694	1039973
SOx	1A1b	7915	9410	12440	11440	8910	8600	8590	7610	6910	12840	11464	13070	23910	23260	19730	47129	28810	25110	14400	19530	16178	17178	18766	18031	14280	9380	7710	6780	7738	230448	1093
SOx	1A1c	79996	77460	16860	12770	10980	11040	10950	12040	11860	15110	5242	3270	2010	1500	4270	6587	15700	6980	8110	5300	6765	2081	2419	4635	3840	3740	12040	530	464	237633	224599
SOx	1A2a	45831	42620	58180	47070	32850	35290	31040	40020	35020	37160	42941	45480	52160	56550	49830	56943	50370	53390	42310	48980	45935	41165	46435	44942	63680	73150	74630	78310	76319	22797	107043
SOx	1A2e	4506	4350	24240	22690	18470	11950	10370	10720	10510	10400	8653	7920	9080	9020	7520	7019	5750	6800	9440	7150	8094	1965	3576	2507	2210	2480	2860	3470	3086	1399	814
SOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1054451	808906	759989	683685	534063	632401	473783	435674	413255	319301	416002	351394	385216	406915	427313	548242	486644	473930	454165	462135	606847	653227	659273	636114	687396	677305	648891	437244	681074	2651852	1575565
SOx	NTCOMPLIANCE	1054451	808906	759989	683685	534063	632401	473783	435674	413255	319301	416002	351394	385216	406915	427313	548242	486644	473930	454165	462135	606847	653227	659273	636114	687396	677305	648891	437244	681074	2651852	1575565
NH3	11C	288	288	288	288	886	4185	1732	6925	2553	4102	2596	4114	2938	6925	2164	2569	4721	1547	641	470	833	488	234	31	231	1690	216	4900	1530	3902	4213
CO	11C	6459	6459	6459	6459	19380	93680	38770	155060	54920	93680	58150	83990	65770	155060	48460	56460	105720	34064	14360	10540	16710	10920	5230	640	5170	37850	4980	109700	34240
CO	1A3ai(i)	1417	4004	1649	583	175	151	125	125	91	47	34	18	31	14	30	76	136	188	216	183	150	234	312	414	432	550	579	658	711	355139	69421
CO	1A3ai(ii)	1417	4004	1649	583	175	151	125	125	91	47	34	18	31	14	30	76	136	188	216	183	150	234	312	414	432	550	228	311	711	355139	69421
CO	1A3aii(i)	9011	10041	9264	9457	5653	5555	4748	4949	3760	1137	1245	469	629	284	567	733	1447	1838	2240	2192	1846	2138	2480	2705	2533	2826	2672	3033	3336	205017	178511
CO	1A3aii(ii)	9011	10041	9264	9457	5653	5555	4748	4949	3760	1137	1245	469	629	284	567	733	1447	1838	2240	2192	1846	2138	2480	2705	2533	2826	2672	3033	3336	205017	178511
CO	1A3bi	84424	67941	64228	49003	41266	33487	27457	23993	22227	300	24348	25614	30290	31165	32719	38753	43415	49942	47928	45992	46043	42324	43720	41961	42230	37965	36699	26986	28061	2512	802
CO	1A3bi(fu)	84424	67941	64228	49003	41266	33487	27457	23993	22227	300	24348	25614	30290	31165	32719	38753	43415	49942	47928	45992	46043	42324	43720	41961	42230	37965	36699	26986	28061	2512	802
CO	1A3bii	221956	189941	191653	155221	139464	120204	104439	97041	94926	97349	113150	124984	156733	170714	189546	237565	281108	343714	347805	350237	374791	360836	407156	402940	435009	406875	446915	521406	559583	429	186
CO	1A3bii(fu)	221956	189941	191653	155221	139464	120204	104439	97041	94926	97349	113150	124984	156733	170714	189546	237565	281108	343714	347805	350237	374791	360836	407156	402940	435009	406875	446915	521406	559583	429	186
CO	1A3biii	116114	92672	87042	65590	54864	44067	35710	30928	28234	27126	30567	35626	36077	37217	34642	43277	47445	53459	49897	46343	45143	40276	40981	36919	36377	29732	31195	29727	32650	1204	1211
CO	1A3biii(fu)	116114	92672	87042	65590	54864	44067	35710	30928	28234	27126	30567	35626	36077	37217	34642	43277	47445	53459	49897	46343	45143	40276	40981	36919	36377	29732	31195	29727	32650	1204	1211
CO	1A3c	8147	7332	44312	39548	34793	30045	25293	20573	15825	11477	12391	7645	7661	7774	10242	5846	5629	4106	3560	3780	131	149	126	171	201	125	0	1	18	12380	12136
CO	1A3di(i)	881	1365	722	255	154	99	86	70	42	100	239	270	264	261	250	242	232	223	220	208	198	184	168	148	143	150	146	133	134	205017	0
CO	1A4ai	513862					259090					39399					59724					60968	59411	58561	55597	60320	61480	58470	62950	57580	150	46
CO	1A4ci	109185					108250					37049					46608					34426	42226	40053	38819	43290	34740	36540	39380	39780	25	16

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
PM2.5	1A3bi	452	533	625	664	731	911	1075	1238	1247	1299	1253	1471	1872	1565	1838	1450	1572	1386	1416	1	0
PM2.5	1A3bi(fu)	452	533	625	664	731	911	1075	1238	1247	1299	1253	1471	1872	1565	1838	1450	1572	1386	1416	1	0
PM2.5	1A3bii	131	166	210	239	279	368	457	554	584	633	640	771	1011	882	762	874	860	848	781	0	0
PM2.5	1A3bii(fu)	131	166	210	239	279	368	457	554	584	633	640	771	1011	882	762	874	860	848	781	0	0
PM2.5	1A3biii	172	202	216	238	626	297	352	406	411	428	415	486	619	521	439	486	404	365	378	1	1
PM2.5	1A3biii(fu)	172	202	216	238	626	297	352	406	411	428	415	486	619	521	439	486	404	365	378	1	1
PM2.5	1A3c	2663	1637	1639	1661	2195	1252	1201	872	755	802	13	14	12	16	19	12	13	24	151	1585	1554
PM2.5	3Dc	972	1007	1065	1047	1082	1107	1102	1137	1207	1032	1289	1265	1271	1276	1275	1261	1288	1310	1314	1328	1355
PM2.5	NATIONALTOTAL	10408	9823	11636	12112	13765	12364	12630	13151	12262	12054	22980	20284	24347	17471	17041	21897	27858	30569	28673	284222	230913
PM10	11B	1500	2212	1756	3966	5256	1500	2547	7838	674	274	712	278	470	114	147	652	33	715	6473	1	2
PM10	11C	9840	11630	11130	26240	8200	9290	17890	5860	2430	1789	3160	1850	880	100	870	6400	845	18600	5795
PM10	1A3c	9078	5571	5572	5646	7474	4261	4079	2951	2556	2713	14	15	13	18	21	13	20	157	0	1666	1633
PM10	3Dc	25265	26185	27700	27229	28137	28774	28656	29569	31387	26843	33515	32889	33057	33183	33142	32796	33499	34070	34163	34532	35228
TSP	11B	2318	4418	2704	6159	8124	2318	3936	12114	1042	377	1190	429	726	177	228	1007	49	1105	9462	2	3
TSP	11C	13600	21970	17710	40550	12670	15040	27650	9060	3750	2775	4880	2860	1370	177	1350	9900	1305	26700	8956
TSP	3Dc	25265	26185	27700	27229	28137	28774	28656	29569	31387	26843	33515	32889	33057	33183	33142	32796	33499	34070	34163	34532	35228
BC	11B	110	163	129	159	387	188	188	577	50	18	56	21	36	8	11	48	2	53	477
BC	11C	720	1050	820	1930	600	720	1320	430	180	130	230	140	65	8	26	470	66	1400	430
BC	1A3c	9	13	15	18	15	10	15	17	15	16	20	23	19	26	30	19	130	0	1		737
BC	2A1	0	1	0		3	3	4	4	7	7	8	8	17	22	24	26	26	28	29	28	33
BC	2D3b	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	3	3	6	8	7
BC	NATIONALTOTAL	101	108	123	136	140	139	149	160	154	150	171	172	178	190	195	186	305	185	199	42028	33186
BC	NTCOMPL(NECD)	101	108	123	136	140	139	149	160	154	150	171	172	178	190	195	186	305	185	199	13149	33186
BC	NTCOMPLIANCE	101	108	123	136	140	139	149	160	154	150	171	172	178	190	195	186	305	185	199	13149	33186

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
Pb	1A3di(i)	1761882	10951900	1044229	891066	758433	745597	522938	477190	360994	305326	277931	49723	62347	70260	60118	75185	103710	214011	347415	221186	223242	106850	111699	99629	80679	266484	181226	152715	123103		208
Pb	1A3di(ii)	1761882	10951900	1044229	891066	758433	745597	522938	477190	360994	305326	277931	49723	62347	70260	60118	75185	103710	214011	347415	221186	223242	106850	111699	99629	80679	266484	181226	152715	123103	722730	347035
Pb	1A3dii	1541791	9629365	913554	792048	567330	605091	321693	240075	179605	146426	112017	22685	26182	19101	19101	20406	32885	174103	484006	854075	909386	431961	338136	346477	212607	534874	384120	186417	210094	434	208
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	88821481	101541648	78662192	61852520	42998079	42401791	43352743	53221062	46250064	58051918	68203882	67370951	109468466	112337265	120862778	97663468	87635485	97087532	63695659	60853818	57649329	61727968	53393095	51110786	56909076	59565431	47671630	50067133	60550069	199844859	118510364
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	88821481	101541648	78662192	61852520	42998079	42401791	43352743	53221062	46250064	58051918	68203882	67370951	109468466	112337265	120862778	97663468	87635485	97087532	63695659	60853818	57649329	61727968	53393095	51110786	56909076	59565431	47671630	50067133	60550069	199844859	118510364
Cd	1A3di(i)	136172	843067	80874	68711	58430	57398	40271	36740	27784	23554	21563	4045	5011	5617	4828	5979	8165	16636	26889	17176	17325	8366	8725	7780	6320	20609	14052	11849	9574		16
Cd	1A3di(ii)	136172	843067	80874	68711	58430	57398	40271	36740	27784	23554	21563	4045	5011	5617	4828	5979	8165	16636	26889	17176	17325	8366	8725	7780	6320	20609	14052	11849	9574	55595	26695
Cd	1A3dii	118599	740720	70273	60927	43641	46545	24746	18467	13816	11264	8617	1745	2014	1469	1469	1570	2530	13393	37231	65698	69953	33228	26010	26652	16354	41144	29548	14340	16161	33	16
Cd	2C1	339924	322099	304098	232958	156837	155648	161385	200414	168532	217201	259021	254987	436743	450375	485726	387212	341861	377647	230150	228475	211096	230770	191022	184208	215175	216741	164699	173937	218530	214083	221761
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	4520978	5596084	4098472	3893763	3344642	3197126	3266544	3872953	4097096	4505334	4870699	5061173	5388295	5251995	5438993	5043872	5119379	5044648	4866746	3884787	4030548	4153711	4448105	4247513	3628485	4755442	4840733	5056113	5214264	9537058	8968152
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	4520978	5596084	4098472	3893763	3344642	3197126	3266544	3872953	4097096	4505334	4870699	5061173	5388295	5251995	5438993	5043872	5119379	5044648	4866746	3884787	4030548	4153711	4448105	4247513	3628485	4755442	4840733	5056113	5214264	12544641	8968152
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	4520978	5596084	4098472	3893763	3344642	3197126	3266544	3872953	4097096	4505334	4870699	5061173	5388295	5251995	5438993	5043872	5119379	5044648	4866746	3884787	4030548	4153711	4448105	4247513	3628485	4755442	4840733	5056113	5214264	12544641	8968152
Hg	1A3di(i)	404337	2525216	239055	205045	174711	171905	120522	110004	83252	70225	63494	10702	13634	15471	13162	16665	23279	48778	79595	50478	50983	24145	25311	22583	18220	61109	41431	34885	28044		48
Hg	1A3di(ii)	404337	2525216	239055	205045	174711	171905	120522	110004	83252	70225	63494	10702	13634	15471	13162	16665	23279	48778	79595	50478	50983	24145	25311	22583	18220	61109	41431	34885	28044	166784	80085
Hg	1A3dii	355798	2222161	210820	182780	130922	139636	74237	55402	41447	33791	25850	5235	6042	4408	4408	4709	7589	40178	111694	197094	209858	99683	78031	79956	49063	123432	88643	43019	48483	100	48
Hg	2C1	1699620	1610494	1520488	1164788	784185	778239	806926	1002068	842658	1086006	1295104	1274936	2183713	2251874	2428628	1936062	1709303	1888234	1150752	1142375	1055482	1153848	955109	921042	1075875	1083705	823493	869683	1092648	1070416	1108807
Hg	5C1bii															5113	3142	10954	68729	81194	17114	36299	32318	50848	28627	23346	23621	19407	21532	17740	31245	25
Hg	5C1biii																	202	29120	43056	386924	415222	329440	303313	374526	363943	314868	315968	291596	301022	293221	1240216
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	2673810	6568115	2179114	1761611	1280325	1272963	1181524	1348292	1147352	1374310	1570536	1474982	2388413	2455320	2639820	2149349	1941618	2266562	1658135	1984849	1963024	1838255	1612097	1628661	1737399	1817725	1505185	1481800	1714030	6420259	7552054
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	2673810	6568115	2179114	1761611	1280325	1272963	1181524	1348292	1147352	1374310	1570536	1474982	2388413	2455320	2639820	2149349	1941618	2266562	1658135	1984849	1963024	1838255	1612097	1628661	1737399	1817725	1505185	1481800	1714030	21247434	7552054
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	2673810	6568115	2179114	1761611	1280325	1272963	1181524	1348292	1147352	1374310	1570536	1474982	2388413	2455320	2639820	2149349	1941618	2266562	1658135	1984849	1963024	1838255	1612097	1628661	1737399	1817725	1505185	1481800	1714030	21247434	7552054

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
DIOX	NATIONALTOTAL	55637	52501	49508	38874	26401	25921	26737	33014	28775	36463	42998	42430	69805	71714	109254	82135	124207	490571	546290	145160	262598	240701	350567	210671	182201	184568	155610	172408	172395	399018	467355
DIOX	NTCOMPL(NECD)	55637	52501	49508	38874	26401	25921	26737	33014	28775	36463	42998	42430	69805	71714	109254	82135	124207	490571	546290	145160	262598	240701	350567	210671	182201	184568	155610	172408	172395	47573	467355
DIOX	NTCOMPLIANCE	55637	52501	49508	38874	26401	25921	26737	33014	28775	36463	42998	42430	69805	71714	109254	82135	124207	490571	546290	145160	262598	240701	350567	210671	182201	184568	155610	172408	172395	47573	467355
PCB	1A3di(ii)	509515	3196083	300545	259035	220933	217564	152477	139200	105388	88676	79669	12649	16384	18722	15835	20303	28717	61070	100141	63274	63951	29980	31513	28125	22611	76949	52020	43769	35093	21126	10144
PCB	1A3dii	450677	2814738	267039	231522	165835	176873	94033	70176	52500	42801	32743	6631	7653	5583	5583	5965	9613	50892	141479	249653	265820	126265	98840	101278	62147	156348	112281	54491	61412	13	6
PCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	46616768	49278982	41475780	32527548	22477531	22202929	22727998	27661860	23754805	29933442	35212126	34601191	57357805	59026685	63558789	51280608	45649474	50188064	31874171	31592165	29496771	31837532	26845538	26011001	29892919	30336420	23831119	24996465	30579788	159929157	89115226
PCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	46616768	49278982	41475780	32527548	22477531	22202929	22727998	27661860	23754805	29933442	35212126	34601191	57357805	59026685	63558789	51280608	45649474	50188064	31874171	31592165	29496771	31837532	26845538	26011001	29892919	30336420	23831119	24996465	30579788	159929157	89115226