Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

TIME SERIES

Party: HU Submission year: 2024

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2022
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2022
PMs: 2000 - 2022

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
NOx	1A4ai	6096	6443	4482	6192	6602	6356	6959	6724	5818	6059	6265	6736	6083	6447	7897	7418	6427	4967	4684	5092	5546	5599	4686	4681	4261	4559	4433	4176	4009	3811	3851	3984	3355
NOx	1A4bi	19017	19269	13986	14279	12811	12137	12695	12026	9903	10270	11442	12443	11292	13479	12200	12891	12381	10939	10793	11743	12569	12727	12463	12201	10474	11482	11868	12148	10775	10283	10721	11443	10376
NOx	3Da2a	7555	7034	6034	5293	4763	4702	4583	4418	4511	4577	4606	4523	4601	4612	4470	4245	4173	4153	4021	3839	3847	3807	3911	3956	4083	4164	4085	3965	3940	3916	3865	3876	3836
NMVOC	2D3a	15562	15560	15560	15548	15525	15505	15482	15452	15420	15380	15332	15281	15238	15194	15161	15131	15107	15084	15057	15034	15000	14958	14881	14840	14800	14765	14721	14682	14663	14063	19052	14933	14715
NMVOC	2D3g	2872	2439	2284	2137	2183	2141	2146	2190	2377	2578	2618	2527	4093	5043	8373	11813	7150	8660	8376	8321	5167	7951	9384	6541	5202	6277	6809	7351	7426	8563	7707	8455	9499
SOx	1A1b	21488	19737	19174	20145	18757	18883	21452	21057	15919	18237	9737	5646	1780	2171	1191	1582	897	915	133	368	310	390	399	222	215	265	344	283	231	369	336	238	235

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
Pb	1A3bi	696385810	605212659	233920190	202292486	160551302	114686463	86507400	71319388	66398995	9317150	2065	2167	2250	2292	2358	2458	2535	2658	2669	2702	2382	2196	2203	1988	2259	2348	2424	2511	2674	2921	2664	2861	3051
Pb	1A3bii	59482745	55836329	14496402	10162401	6902566	5029187	4045156	4060758	4851099	761905	265	288	320	324	329	370	440	474	506	497	441	433	326	311	333	352	348	354	363	349	314	353	386
Pb	1A4bi	14291979	13923114	6985751	7116346	5100139	4428339	4904015	4620594	2387736	2335046	2618390	2793163	2424489	2950055	2750074	2748286	2757794	2176554	2154145	2528436	2799981	3244540	3292087	3224615	2574397	2648987	2776287	2813993	2186313	1915704	1820673	1800943	1769746
Pb	1B1b	255360	254980	256880	340480	377340	392540	374680	354160	367080	349220	356060	259160	164160	225340	252320	233320	349980	386460	379620	283480	386840	398620	389880	351120	350740	364800	338580	362900	361380	338960	315780	291460	198360
Pb	2A3	722101	515829	363861	433677	512946	555378	949423	745410	588087	579967	633691	647665	1882166	1829296	1069777	1103819	1154499	1318076	935086	670647	559800	904561	574697	582213	604542	690052	705771	845693	748921	887895	777357	849436	672152
Pb	2C1	14592139	9505060	7589274	8633353	9544460	9165242	9219416	8323084	8943622	8928847	9214491	9623258	10105898	9795630	9613408	1435369	1067016	806407	2842132	1063593	272431	744401	1035906	654172	641744	736240	750454	236622	300992	564635	2013650	3246343	2916496
Pb	2C7a	1296000	864000	768000	744000	720000	720000	720000	720000	720000	720000	720000	720000	720000	720000	720000	132000	132000	132000	60936	42264	52152	56832	48264	57768	71016	72096	63480	64848	60648	57216	43824	104808	190104
Pb	2G	2859	2849	2847	10201	12065	4845	27159	7173	32666	64855	112962	162758	147017	419723	532246	545094	557937	570777	657232	409889	442745	475618	508498	541381	574290	607197	640088	672988	705893	861067	23802	141522	193960
Pb	5C1biii	600513	600513	600513	600513	600513	600513	600513	600513	600513	600513	600513	600513	600513	600513	600513	587454	7045	6773	5390	3809	7624	5849	5595	4406	4930	3434	3669	3419	3784	360	510	487	242
Pb	NATIONALTOTAL	817554004	714203674	278739548	242230630	194883599	144748660	115937962	99068707	92989225	30966371	21121967	21802317	23064586	23694042	22657080	14011819	13607496	13392328	15222388	13080134	11926313	12881468	12567994	11746441	11729618	12511726	12641405	12536466	12358962	12876480	12477091	14469751	14413790
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	817554004	714203674	278739548	242230630	194883599	144748660	115937962	99068707	92989225	30966371	21121967	21802317	23064586	23694042	22657080	14011819	13607496	13392328	15222388	13080134	11926313	12881468	12567994	11746441	11729618	12511726	12641405	12536466	12358962	12876480	12477091	14469751	14413790
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	817554004	714203674	278739548	242230630	194883599	144748660	115937962	99068707	92989225	30966371	21121967	21802317	23064586	23694042	22657080	14011819	13607496	13392328	15222388	13080134	11926313	12881468	12567994	11746441	11729618	12511726	12641405	12536466	12358962	12876480	12477091	14469751	14413790
Cd	1A2d	169	89	314	185	966	74	106	113	71	70	26	29	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	3	3	536	29	1304	4	289	20841	17905	22810	36582	43649	48796	49233
Cd	1A2e	5338	5521	4274	2887	2502	16366	18247	21882	14431	13963	13813	8720	11439	12615	11870	15527	18018	16191	15742	23754	19961	19114	20307	26872	28292	27457	27589	31202	33571	42044	41876	44723	45110
Cd	1A2gviii	7793	6542	3375	2417	1899	8669	8632	8075	12342	11983	16310	16535	16452	13290	13619	14227	15823	20926	16530	4512	3545	3418	6856	17105	24277	26982	28476	35962	47798	44580	42673	55651	47340
Cd	1A4bi	512993	482820	387489	407227	382557	377701	373711	356679	333316	340498	626123	716745	416885	620942	566321	540151	578833	611576	512068	760403	867539	1006685	1093691	1121303	908681	969661	947326	897359	745191	694358	694575	721482	700453
Cd	5C1biii	77486	77486	77486	77486	77486	77486	77486	77486	77486	77486	77486	77486	77486	77486	77486	75801	410	394	314	222	444	340	326	256	287	200	214	199	220	21	30	28	14
Hg	1A4bi	492866	482167	245749	249668	180931	157214	174032	163909	86647	85368	86635	91140	87443	101781	94616	96845	94768	71523	74071	79400	86158	96187	94116	90210	72971	75071	80851	84327	66389	58315	56018	55801	53338
Hg	2B10a	655704	655704	655704	655704	655704	353807	275942	230862	214470	206274	193979	181685	152998	155730	148899	75406	88793	54642	87427	101088	79910	72050	115280	81220	109000	97000	96700	161130	37000	34846	31433	34623	27907
Hg	2C1	160984	105451	84319	95798	106079	101672	102365	91240	98257	98505	101611	106118	110733	107519	105817	106259	112327	120612	112542	76309	91710	94378	84429	47811	62394	91169	69075	102886	107618	95432	81741	59197	46199
Hg	5C1biii	416485	416485	416485	416485	416485	416485	416485	416485	416485	416485	416485	416485	416485	416485	416485	407428	198	191	152	107	214	165	157	124	139	97	103	96	106	10	14	14	7
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	2787412	2708925	2395680	2392278	2321695	1975179	1905940	1832343	1741318	1727168	1689629	1679684	1615034	1591973	1510356	1348193	964980	939035	981219	900007	881384	873442	906050	814485	854638	893766	869832	975168	841069	819523	795266	771892	698987
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	2787412	2708925	2395680	2392278	2321695	1975179	1905940	1832343	1741318	1727168	1689629	1679684	1615034	1591973	1510356	1348193	964980	939035	981219	900007	881384	873442	906050	814485	854638	893766	869832	975168	841069	819523	795266	771892	698987
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	2787412	2708925	2395680	2392278	2321695	1975179	1905940	1832343	1741318	1727168	1689629	1679684	1615034	1591973	1510356	1348193	964980	939035	981219	900007	881384	873442	906050	814485	854638	893766	869832	975168	841069	819523	795266	771892	698987

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
DIOX	1B1b	2016	2013	2028	2688	2979	3099	2958	2796	2898	2757	2811	2046	1296	1779	1992	1842	2763	3051	2997	2238	3054	3147	3078	2772	2769	2880	2673	2865	2853	2676	2493	2301	1566
DIOX	2C1	12682	11198	11943	11820	12121	12712	13162	12589	11967	12343	13199	14264	13297	8772	10348	10645	9500	6720	7510	14060	13529	10572	9414	5387	7028	11677	11797	1346	3478	11932	9015	5064	1303
HCB	2C1	88888	57900	46230	52590	58140	55830	56160	50700	54480	54390	56130	58620	61560	59670	58560	58890	62520	67230	62880	42030	50340	51990	46260	26490	34560	50250	38370	57000	59670	53070	45551	33291	25974
HCB	2C3	250000000	325000000	400000000	475000000	550000000	625000000	617240800	590250200	511128000	370846000	360846000	301723800	115282000	24561500	1441175	531046	552714	570894	529020	404732	496886	499360	467670	123150	374296	510548	547224	546658	531000	529928	456076	550904	496686
HCB	NATIONALTOTAL	257172192	334271711	407008181	480198342	555260901	630455173	622391522	595400595	516026886	376208122	366564308	307199393	120696086	28973996	4979046	3260623	2182159	2120670	1806544	1741696	2219361	2482855	2642380	2414714	3033801	3151582	3206217	3228719	2855873	3226872	2109360	1640558	1604354
HCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	257172192	334271711	407008181	480198342	555260901	630455173	622391522	595400595	516026886	376208122	366564308	307199393	120696086	28973996	4979046	3260623	2182159	2120670	1806544	1741696	2219361	2482855	2642380	2414714	3033801	3151582	3206217	3228719	2855873	3226872	2109360	1640558	1604354
HCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	257172192	334271711	407008181	480198342	555260901	630455173	622391522	595400595	516026886	376208122	366564308	307199393	120696086	28973996	4979046	3260623	2182159	2120670	1806544	1741696	2219361	2482855	2642380	2414714	3033801	3151582	3206217	3228719	2855873	3226872	2109360	1640558	1604354
PCB	1A2d	15371	8190	9122	9377	3098	6132	9334	10131	6214	5988	2036	2258	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6	0	1	547653	606968	487483	478537	352433	244169	257128
PCB	2C1	7407325	4825000	3852500	4382500	4845000	4652500	4680000	4225000	4540000	4532500	4677500	4885000	5130000	4972500	4880000	4907500	5210000	5602500	5240000	3502500	4195000	4332500	3855000	2207500	2880000	4187500	3197500	4750000	4972500	4422500	3795906	2774256	2164475
PCB	2C6	388543	835098	757074	742684	548637	549312	627110	780459	1036789	985073	1067819	1216895	1225440	1148091	4712883	4169642	4246092	3907016	3923205	2721600	3124800	3668400	3438000	3530826	3354285	5551200	4784400	1728000	2095200	262800	100800	1083600	223200