Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

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TIME SERIES

Party: HR      Submission year: 2024

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2022
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2022
PMs: 2000 - 2022

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
NOx	11B	380	380	96	820	372	63	255	402	1085	498	1466	163	292	1378	289	63	299	1263	345	279	194	328	567	200	19	606	673	4854	151	218	2399	600	2423
NOx	1A3ai(ii)	1544	304	243	605	871	819	871	790	853	820	698	699	663	657	729	895	910	946	1107	1070	1014	1091	1145	1278	1270	1201	1261	1507	1906	2073	557	865	1934
NOx	1A3biii	10308	6124	6973	8697	9250	7674	9373	10230	9305	10412	8916	8737	11182	11421	11942	10300	11075	10569	9270	9428	10032	9311	7726	11015	9473	9155	8408	10112	9434	9684	7176	7220	7233
NOx	1A3di(i)	2764	1816	1975	2925	3534	2598	2931	1882	2060	1662	1454	2273	1863	1756	1865	2015	1557	1940	1721	554	499	1934	316	316	395	134	331	504	1629	1943	1272	1507	934
NOx	1A3dii	2971	2390	3376	2861	1409	2174	3439	2721	2074	1983	1917	2043	2483	2456	1928	2082	2138	2198	2662	2899	2302	2306	2182	2316	2326	2192	2277	2396	2533	2614	2127	2471	2507
NOx	1A4cii	7777	6210	2583	1760	5257	4192	4539	4096	6217	6538	8189	8824	7988	7596	7000	6679	6515	6156	6069	5467	4979	4668	4067	3709	3467	3099	2818	2568	2397	2198	2089	1894	1790
NOx	3Da1	2793	2827	3245	2375	2520	2429	2558	3207	2476	2746	3068	3337	3132	2954	3057	3154	3221	3392	4424	2361	2843	3250	2779	2026	1916	2273	1880	2559	2585	2536	2573	2657	2299
NMVOC	11B	1142	1142	289	2459	1117	190	765	1208	3256	1494	4398	489	876	4136	867	189	896	3788	1035	837	583	983	1700	600	57	1819	2020	14563	452	654	7198	1798	7268
NMVOC	1B2av	3604	1865	2348	2352	2642	2953	3039	3127	3256	3608	3441	3390	3363	3331	3350	3169	3136	3392	3013	3239	2908	2679	2402	2360	2088	2275	2254	2033	2166	1818	1611	1653	1633
NMVOC	2D3a	11076	7207	4719	4554	5237	4666	4799	4410	4076	3675	3637	3834	4086	3543	3928	3861	3402	3052	3467	2792	2819	2664	2336	1996	1828	2095	2118	3349	4386	7916	8939	10489	4289
NMVOC	2H2	22358	19506	11599	10439	7309	4	9421	7955	7331	7159	6769	6277	7004	6547	7009	7967	7699	5619	5429	4706	4840	5534	5048	4900	5604	4422	5382	5383	3405	4006	3223	3118	3481
SOx	11B	76	76	19	164	74	13	51	80	217	100	293	33	58	276	58	13	60	253	69	56	39	66	113	40	4	121	135	971	30	44	480	120	485
SOx	1A2c	6422	3901	2002	5601	6021	4286	2619	2960	5272	2836	3738	4158	3649	3625	4506	2832	3757	2242	2425	1006	187	162	56	59	95	9	52	6	6	4	7	5	11
SOx	1A2e	6664	3442	3106	3504	3866	3763	2663	3079	3188	3504	2313	2303	3228	2441	1857	2552	2302	2310	2194	1815	1818	1612	1238	823	855	801	947	952	752	620	426	171	225
SOx	1A3bi	1110	875	2031	1185	1093	1202	2027	1720	1680	1857	2382	2092	1900	2713	2578	2169	2299	1820	1663	1392	1043	291	16	16	17	19	20	22	21	0	0	0	0
SOx	1A3biii	2497	1370	1611	2509	1835	1179	2325	1678	1674	1924	1782	1217	1659	1961	1678	1174	1166	784	697	604	543	142	4	6	6	6	6	8	8	0	0	0	0
SOx	2B10a	710	500	600	469	658	661	640	580	513	551	758	698	813	614	677	681	855	788	716	210			5	4	9	56	200	174	116	179	242	517	33
NH3	11B	76	76	19	164	74	13	51	80	217	100	293	33	58	276	58	13	60	253	69	56	39	66	113	40	4	121	135	971	30	44	480	120	485
NH3	3Da1	10263	10477	12570	9732	9305	8988	9942	12567	8788	10525	11925	15021	13560	12471	13043	12763	12783	13840	18479	9644	11986	14575	13126	8513	7580	9386	8019	11042	11992	10996	11874	11838	10907
NH3	3Da2a	12061	11705	9271	9105	8764	8283	7847	7655	7406	7582	7320	7176	7185	7290	7284	6872	6938	6604	6234	6363	6089	5809	5731	5532	5611	5404	5405	5472	5148	5265	5213	5028	4665
NH3	3Da3	2381	2245	1762	1690	1523	1398	1314	1307	1256	1289	1305	1319	1346	1372	1475	1553	1446	1380	1350	1320	1305	1265	1297	1230	1209	1185	1203	1212	1172	1192	1186	1185	1151
CO	11B	11415	11415	2892	24588	11169	1899	7650	12075	32556	14943	43983	4887	8757	41355	8667	1887	8961	37884	10347	8367	5832	9831	17004	5997	573	18192	20199	145629	4518	6540	71982	17985	72678
CO	2B10a	30624	18783	13479	17123	21468	27185	26735	24214	24088	20627	30004	24018	26794	28450	17779	17240	39110	34869	9037	52	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
PM10	3Dc	1823	1838	1843	1865	1835	1889	1919	1875	2011	2027	2081	2069	2076	2447	2354	2399	2412	2335	2318	2347	2350	2303	2259
TSP	3Dc	1823	1838	1843	1865	1835	1889	1919	1875	2011	2027	2081	2069	2076	2447	2354	2399	2412	2335	2318	2347	2350	2303	2259
BC	2D3b	58	46	88	135	160	143	132	131	171	129	87	102	100	110	92	86	88	86	101	105	93	108	103

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
Pb	1A1a	500595	439526	586425	452983	378970	424742	420580	515079	645408	674167	400176	453475	493352	652543	426276	499926	477932	508475	491443	439512	287517	333831	275089	266963	252953	276361	300600	226668	278322	285617	309492	353214	409972
Pb	1A3bi	415125657	296602373	239058880	237625723	259498117	242597951	192816974	174173510	166417633	162010904	131254205	99781475	54145200	17887571	11097664	6213778	3604297	3721235	3546954	3540392	3336080	3276324	3116120	3017672	2809701	2850136	2888626	2799942	2719456	1130	997	1100	1449
Pb	1A3bii	16207013	12787753	10184274	6727993	9216968	7057449	5628607	5094139	5361691	4157542	4033881	1825937	1360518	506819	348008	244783	170520	168110	163260	155685	145474	137850	118432	105059	105116	106630	104048	128998	127101	114	106	128	110
Pb	1A4bi	1785183	1687254	1282927	1331241	1181274	1236142	1382287	1266375	1291322	1279930	1133345	1211290	1172332	1360400	1309428	1410132	1278934	1214329	1222836	1266076	1378232	1332992	1328190	1325783	1162260	1327016	1289383	1250532	1187539	1152171	1165334	1263959	1143148
Pb	1B2aiv	410044	286375	223376	302640	276703	289903	230771	230220	294605	340675	451828	398147	408945	406199	439616	452865	372858	446516	346375	431107	337216	271701	294895	244946	204224	216736	215716	243019	187322	131504	134058	132449	112247
Pb	2A3	468333	429991	244637	228502	275771	283577	261394	216449	252158	231647	236395	255580	269516	317854	358112	387277	388744	393518	410973	402579	393669	418130	386359	427690	470155	404262	470478	473172	479671	483360	429236	497056	534599
Pb	2C1	76393384	28560824	265054	192613	164723	117962	118960	181727	268330	197280	181067	146039	85251	106449	223873	191464	209342	198254	361050	120286	268910	249358	2696	288624	380810	315987		10026	353015	179727	117709	481371	439752
Pb	2G	555856	555856	555856	555856	555856	951776	1401008	1384544	938448	762832	554288	1300656	6500928	9005808	4861584	2174032	1636992	1153264	802816	357504	141904	122304	8542	1140554	812224	784000	1001952	1057616	1277136	1354752	1835344	2085440	1718528
Cd	1A2c	1887	1560	82	1243	1415	1275	379	327	18317	17352	49316	45090	36666	45339	53303	67346	92194	10394	13847	15505	2887	247	1197	1887	3209	278	2	2	1	4	6	5	22
Cd	2A3	35814	32882	18708	17474	21088	21685	19989	16552	19283	17714	18077	19544	20610	24306	27385	29615	29727	30093	31427	30785	30104	31975	29545	32706	35953	30914	35978	36184	36681	36963	32824	38010	40881
Cd	2C1	236756	99279	20389	14816	12671	9074	9151	13979	20641	15175	13928	11234	6558	8188	17221	14728	16103	15250	27773	9253	20685	19181	207	22202	29293	24307		771	27155	13825	9055	37029	33827
Cd	2G	66341	61702	68161	61913	27272	65760	63811	63013	66383	76171	74114	97895	111362	119979	86160	83128	80969	80990	84703	61884	71974	63222	60194	53982	46769	45528	45966	51120	67439	66404	62349	51332	49105
Cd	3F	70353	86043	48885	60236	60714	62489	67841	78548	71377	115121	64297	93500	105535	69024	104204	118979	104374	68388	105108	78556	74403	52039	31180	33762	24582	10353	795	514	599	307	150	114	18
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	1203274	1114432	877284	920074	815440	888650	949694	915881	955223	993999	929179	1013775	1008682	1086495	1100966	1160688	1107477	985829	1013856	992004	1017010	949659	911651	912485	819497	870729	818629	819654	828938	785602	779292	850997	791109
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1203274	1114432	877284	920074	815440	888650	949694	915881	955223	993999	929179	1013775	1008682	1086495	1100966	1160688	1107477	985829	1013856	992004	1017010	949659	911651	912485	819497	870729	818629	819654	828938	785602	779292	850997	791109
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	1203274	1114432	877284	920074	815440	888650	949694	915881	955223	993999	929179	1013775	1008682	1086495	1100966	1160688	1107477	985829	1013856	992004	1017010	949659	911651	912485	819497	870729	818629	819654	828938	785602	779292	850997	791109
Hg	1A1a	54801	38202	51460	43349	11880	22323	15079	50148	50045	42954	118309	119273	164496	184823	174454	185601	170430	183493	188890	135078	183289	196224	176175	190560	186661	177886	198611	110858	123303	95627	108231	114580	122086
Hg	1B2b	701040	768250	804490	2280	2040	2350	2800	1990	2930	1980	1930	2090	730	750	780	760	710	710	50	42	39	41	41	41	41	41	41	41	41	41	41	41	41
Hg	3F	11193	13689	7777	9583	9659	9941	10793	12496	11355	18315	10229	14875	16790	10981	16578	18928	16605	10880	16722	12498	11837	8279	4961	5371	3911	1647	126	82	95	49	24	18	3
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	1079936	1045262	1064422	266494	240818	235472	226696	273121	296428	328581	427735	439272	486046	506600	517776	539031	511653	539116	518320	449588	472908	450870	421969	436971	425179	413351	420612	357726	359791	313756	319974	344097	336815
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1079936	1045262	1064422	266494	240818	235472	226696	273121	296428	328581	427735	439272	486046	506600	517776	539031	511653	539116	518320	449588	472908	450870	421969	436971	425179	413351	420612	357726	359791	313756	319974	344097	336815
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	1079936	1045262	1064422	266494	240818	235472	226696	273121	296428	328581	427735	439272	486046	506600	517776	539031	511653	539116	518320	449588	472908	450870	421969	436971	425179	413351	420612	357726	359791	313756	319974	344097	336815

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
DIOX	1A1a	154	112	175	139	215	190	97	191	174	177	208	237	274	317	265	283	266	285	288	222	250	315	291	308	300	343	439	363	487	608	598	706	821
DIOX	5E	2745	1906	3439	1895	2372	2876	2897	2696	2817	2938	2921	2738	2576	2939	2456	2533	2522	2418	2351	2198	2082	2285	2201	2017	1352	1494	1510	1638	1387	1587	1459	1443	1628
PCB	1A1a	1083200	774784	1109488	823875	165534	417567	239842	996615	994640	855262	2470090	2751338	3510116	3749471	3443091	3708144	3499862	3731082	3852625	2671082	3715328	4128811	3616221	3956756	3889411	3715401	4106906	2259562	2132853	2493821	1827140	2262562	2405527
PCB	1A2c	175531	144960	6146	115102	131424	117881	33099	28281	204		4855				6610	997	0	15239	0	0	5054	0	0
PCB	1A2e	358492	266900	184429	189781	195468	278984	275001	272752	180523	122802	106630	182587	168763	144301	198793	197850	200645	199404	178436	142006	154758	153568	142908	121687	130420	118198	137450	149379	108217	85619	55240	9490	13151
PCB	2C1	846461	350761	254860	185205	158388	113425	114385	174738	258010	189692	174102	140423	81972	102355	215262	184100	201291	190629	347164	115660	258567	239767	2593	277523	366163	303834		9640	339438	172815	113182	462857	422838