Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

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TIME SERIES

Party: HR      Submission year: 2022

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2020
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2020
PMs: 2000 - 2020

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key

 

Indicates a dip in the time series data

 

Indicates a jump in the time series data

 

Indicates time series data with large sigma


MAIN (Unit = Mg)
1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
NOx11B3803809682037263255402766481403350180827366329812633452791943285672001960667348541512182399
NOx1A3biii1030761246972869792507674937310230930510412891687371118211421119421030011075105699270942310021929769711014389628707850510224887589437120
NOx1A3di(i)27641816197529253534259829311882206016621454227318631756186520151557194017215544991934316316395134331504162919431272
NOx1A3dii2971239033762861140921743439272120741983191720432483245619282082213822082662289923022306218223162326219222772396253326142127
NOx1A4cii7777621025831760525741924539409662176538818988247988759670006679651561566069546749794668406737093467309928182568239721982089
NOx3Da12793282732452375252024292558320724762746306833373132295430573154322133924424236128433250277920261916227318802559258525362573
NMVOC1B2av3604186523482352264229533039312732563608344133903363333133503169313633923013323929082679240223602088227522542194232219811722
NMVOC2D3a11076720747194554523746664799441040763675363538344086354339283861340230523467279228192664233619961828209521183349438679168939
SOx11B7676191647413518015310281703616571360253695639661134041211359713044480
SOx1A1a7663147812594715749147482403422897242813571995719922225233711917722665144492049518438255712304625832896810399779762063793503033091738370256515
SOx1A3bi110687320241184109112012025171816791856238020921900271325782169230018201664139210432911515171920232100
SOx1A3biii24971370161125091835117923251678167419241782121716591961167811741166784697604543142366668800
SOx2B10a710500600469658661640580513551758698813614677681855788716210  54956200174116179242
NH311B7676191647413518015310281703616571360253695639661134041211359713044480
NH33B1b100215286646885635154915065315524925465285737577177487107316846767447718209279119459868088551003
NH33Da2a106621033182078056775472996916674865276678648163616367646664286109613758645546567154165178509149114942483548274871469947984739
CO2B10a306241878313479171232146827185267352421424088206273000424018267942845017779172403911034869903752000000000 0

PM (Unit = Mg)
200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
PM103Dc182318381843186518351889191918752011202720812069207624472354239924122335231823472350
TSP3Dc182318381843186518351889191918752011202720812069207624472354239924122335231823472350

HM (Unit = g)
1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Pb1A1a500595439526586425452983378970424742420580515079645408674167400176453475493352652543426276499926477932508475491443439512287517333831275089266963252953276361300600226668278322285617309492
Pb1A3aii(i)3286041506082738541073810953982157115477427393328595273915477327391328593301215301215301213301214273835273834164303164303136920136919136920109538136920136920136921136921109533
Pb1A3bi413234387295120810237950726236833212258415559241864031192274081173729940165998299161713059131009034997184115411641317883487110976096215178360595637235713549551354355133395783279877303010329423752738104277659229009432813595264086210921108
Pb1A3bii18144372143087921132117675384171032054578071536185187555097557913874462575428577218907281390034511021348065243332168800165683160542152380141810134132105157946488281484879881501103081041549295
Pb1A3bvi529424398614390602424953453253462008505514570274590543636770639527569635637656694851720239747157799397854432827810836486805564786224709218767214738719780167838432935978865363928750891104
Pb1A4bi1785183168725412829271331241118127412361421382287126637512913221279930113334512112901172332136040013094281410132127893412143291222836126607613782321332992132819013257831162260132701612893831250532118753911521711165334
Pb1B2aiv410044286375223376302640276703289903230771230220294605340675451828398147408945406199439616452865372858446516346375431107337216271701294895244946204224216736215716243019187322131504134058
Pb2A3468333429991244637228502275771283577261394216449252158231647236395255580269516317854358112387277388744393518410973402579393669418130386359427690470155404262470478473172479671483360429236
Pb2C17639338428560824265054192613164723117962118960181727268330197280181067146039852511064492238731914642093421982543610501202862689102493582696288624380810315987 10026353015179727117709
Pb2G5558565558565558565558565558569517761401008138454493844876283255428813006566500928900580848615842174032163699211532648028163575041419041223048542114055481222478400010019521057616127713613547521835344
Cd1A2c1887156082124314151275379327183171735249316450903666645339533036734692194103941384715505288724711971887320927822114
Cd2A335814328821870817474210882168519989165521928317714180771954420610243062738529615297273009331427307853010431975295453270635953309143597836184366813696332824
Cd2C12367569927920389148161267190749151139792064115175139281123465588188172211472816103152502777392532068519181207222022929324307 77127155138259055
Cd2G6634161702681616191327272657606381163013663837617174114978951113621199798616083128809698099084703618847197463222601945398246769455284596651120674396640462349
Cd3F7035386043488856023660714624896784178548713771151216429793500105535690241042041189791043746838810510878556744035203931180337622458210353795514599307150
CdNATIONALTOTAL1201970111300487523391775081268588561094630391182395091198921892447310096571004103108146310957421155282110147397920510074459855561009913942668904682905063812100862864810766810702819923775956770974
CdNTCOMPL(NECD)1201970111300487523391775081268588561094630391182395091198921892447310096571004103108146310957421155282110147397920510074459855561009913942668904682905063812100862864810766810702819923775956770974
CdNTCOMPLIANCE1201970111300487523391775081268588561094630391182395091198921892447310096571004103108146310957421155282110147397920510074459855561009913942668904682905063812100862864810766810702819923775956770974
Hg1A1a5480138202514604334911880223231507950148500454295411830911927316449618482317445418560117043018349318889013507818328919622417617519056018666117788619861111085812330395627108231
Hg3F111931368977779583965999411079312496113551831510229148751679010981165781892816605108801672212498118378279496153713911164712682954924
HgNATIONALTOTAL113653810994111117972322162296347292748284010331632354337388391484276496517543147565471576830599260571401598369578616510452532839509540478920492797479332467496475553411871412569366030373917
HgNTCOMPL(NECD)113653810994111117972322162296347292748284010331632354337388391484276496517543147565471576830599260571401598369578616510452532839509540478920492797479332467496475553411871412569366030373917
HgNTCOMPLIANCE113653810994111117972322162296347292748284010331632354337388391484276496517543147565471576830599260571401598369578616510452532839509540478920492797479332467496475553411871412569366030373917

POP (Unit = mg)
1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
DIOX5E2745190634391895237228762897269628172938292127382576293924562533252224182351219820822285220120171352149415101638138715871459