Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

TIME SERIES

Party: FR Submission year: 2025

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2023
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2023
PMs: 2000 - 2023

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023
NOx	1A3ai(ii)	34230	32971	36824	37480	38637	39830	42250	43862	47339	52173	55814	57406	57578	57891	62809	66156	68955	71865	73312	69103	70179	72394	72934	74534	76316	78590	78865	81225	84699	88106	36637	42125	66177	76807
NMVOC	2D3a	132833	136765	140677	136836	141188	139272	143267	144358	149282	142391	138881	133906	138747	139481	136203	136720	142915	151137	157228	151851	169176	150430	135455	134271	153956	139820	141757	149402	152056	146030	182553	155042	175167	160507
NMVOC	6B	1143412	1129594	1128195	1106399	1181180	1197847	1078954	1216212	1122601	1243993	1175035	1149437	1114093	1481207	1172358	1270009	1389119	1105782	1107712	1248224	1150905	1243106	1195079	1210172	1226581	1311089	1263416	1325310	1445069	1372555	1359325	1180888	1570129	1470054
SOx	1A1c	29238	29149	26199	23964	21315	20953	20992	17464	15641	13082	9139	9215	6921	5757	3755	3490	3316	3281	3523	2911	1156	2322	1957	1511	3601	2793	2043	1748	4296	3619	2610	2535	1974	1895
SOx	1A3ai(ii)	2643	2546	2961	3055	3168	3187	3389	3475	3690	4075	4199	4211	4234	4261	4548	4602	4848	5017	5067	4634	4649	4834	4709	4690	4743	5029	4914	4980	5166	5440	2344	2554	4033	4663
SOx	2C3	4157	3649	5327	5436	4899	4679	5031	5355	6146	6197	6838	6734	12106	5438	6043	6314	5777	5539	4650	3751	3268	3442	3481	3507	4697	5565	5427	5591	4737	5058	5154	5067	4927	4262
CO	11B	96552	14112	22477	23072	31704	26949	18818	31280	28093	20910	32566	26164	50650	94064	18238	30050	9710	8577	6420	19227	11276	10040	11279	3447	6063	12129	17425	28615	5340	17397	16469	15282	106212	7536
CO	1A3bii	629531	639326	587540	538160	505457	457441	446635	424727	416329	399922	326798	313277	279880	255551	236445	202212	189249	173158	137147	123954	112569	95044	89828	81063	65588	65983	53139	50574	38393	32296	21739	25648	26869	26645
CO	NATIONALTOTAL	10164915	10480245	9919262	9412117	8750597	8649157	8182559	7653802	7414742	7022842	6479784	6149864	5992704	5796733	5938639	5509114	4981520	4760412	4629463	4224173	4667588	3869116	3632669	3711001	3111802	3079205	3120086	3005791	2840014	2764493	2344289	2555489	2321934	2131760
CO	NTCOMPL(NECD)	10164915	10480245	9919262	9412117	8750597	8649157	8182559	7653802	7414742	7022842	6479784	6149864	5992704	5796733	5938639	5509114	4981520	4760412	4629463	4224173	4667588	3869116	3632669	3711001	3111802	3079205	3120086	3005791	2840014	2764493	2344289	2555489	2321934	2131760
CO	NTCOMPLIANCE	10164915	10480245	9919262	9412117	8750597	8649157	8182559	7653802	7414742	7022842	6479784	6149864	5992704	5796733	5938639	5509114	4981520	4760412	4629463	4224173	4667588	3869116	3632669	3711001	3111802	3079205	3120086	3005791	2840014	2764493	2344289	2555489	2321934	2131760

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023
PM2.5	11B	2739	2201	4260	7912	1534	2528	817	721	540	1617	948	844	949	290	510	1020	1466	2407	449	1463	1385	1285	8934	634
PM2.5	2B10a	5907	6219	6148	5826	6161	6245	5932	5894	5840	5370	5967	6022	6016	6089	6302	5966	6204	6280	5965	5808	5823	5883	5724	6581
PM10	11B	3348	2690	5207	9670	1875	3089	998	882	660	1977	1159	1032	1160	354	623	1247	1791	2942	549	1788	1693	1571	10919	775
PM10	2B10a	7873	8285	8191	7757	8206	8317	7890	7846	7769	7153	7935	8019	8012	8109	8405	7944	8257	8363	7950	7734	7758	7851	7635	8771
BC	11B	767	616	1193	2215	430	708	229	202	151	453	266	236	266	81	143	286	410	674	126	410	388	360	2501	177

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023
Pb	1A2b	60995388	56436668	54505599	52101088	51549764	51381979	52233491	49653173	51879987	46470766	47598306	39232183	39093859	1308306	1298618	1464041	1334942	1680403	1054053	862039	837035	734066	973762	646317	717798	408479	481384	335982	279506	302814	270627	478851	293777	402650
Pb	1A2gviii	425148	523423	288807	1384113	1369660	1537841	1378122	1725035	1397019	1213797	1272140	940092	835279	421420	742750	1560899	214431	1425593	1272349	2057095	2195095	1059834	1187314	1723303	1447754	1792699	2084283	1732957	2187196	1834246	1857275	2293727	2737412	3191762
Pb	1A3bi	3331617314	2143519357	1506433450	1307214958	1139967974	1010449567	864455389	745732097	646022320	459608898	6412034	15862	15460	14901	14327	13555	12842	12197	11154	10928	10466	10088	9523	9318	9430	9452	9786	9773	9884	10302	8652	10230	10992	11170
Pb	1A3bii	494202873	310392432	194967669	152764182	132356926	105004350	89176658	76854853	65616765	45481088	566854	2340	2285	2224	2182	2123	2184	2174	1947	2020	2034	2053	2077	2084	1953	2074	1890	2030	1962	1987	1637	1928	2076	2087
Pb	2G	1916045	1916420	1913344	1912504	1910423	1911248	1975594	2112726	2480548	5047912	3832377	2523169	5193238	6211529	8922078	7861501	4756887	4580379	3317658	3751034	3281812	2740212	3300771	3390581	2863931	2592077	2507430	3008979	3435044	3275849	2140001	832700	2189161	3104040
Pb	5C1a	25276990	28611357	31954846	33876381	30667548	24756537	21946962	16343600	14192940	9898037	9298896	4461817	3169949	1671114	351589	270992	107740	83118	89484	57235	32529	33200	30115	21312	18434	14303	11266	7110	5220	4779	3212	3934	2077	3658
Cd	1A1a	4052990	4385603	4646801	4542347	4272362	3790159	3604053	2545408	2117277	1888644	1919417	1704387	1460083	1219453	992089	910268	501629	585599	419822	348605	336680	202078	222653	197068	176908	163623	167245	185514	159993	225317	218408	147921	126801	262812
Cd	1A2a	1363964	1537926	1461483	1361424	1508745	1462158	1378621	1515662	1564595	1529583	1536664	1374101	1495658	1485129	1204404	1030916	769944	763869	1029642	508912	660048	647945	522404	610923	773678	638569	772958	761458	497140	494816	497813	419346	312775	243944
Cd	1A2b	2546044	2484521	2468384	2334207	2258710	1962942	1978747	1940490	1890859	1551555	1440089	1353530	1314387	338005	325637	261198	161781	164826	161393	195193	188153	186730	178720	162344	181177	178315	163165	174537	163692	205237	223929	245142	161648	182200
Cd	1A2f	1707412	1658658	1586975	1461841	1447372	1414030	1342498	1293770	1253588	1188743	1128861	1054222	1045199	1081222	1192553	1265587	1070762	844824	753768	410344	270551	324661	231420	259477	217666	222558	220920	274936	240440	228672	258132	221625	302277	247769
Cd	2C1	4215223	4076588	3813511	3646611	4161989	4362223	4378509	5050154	4929288	4669494	5018050	4821174	4588883	2839157	941192	610356	458310	302643	305214	156834	148048	126871	168340	241227	242075	118201	502934	76512	53405	54732	103400	112170	265772	110910
Cd	2G	256204	263520	274168	277257	283145	287801	290001	297467	302787	318524	311974	319068	327059	335482	342350	338185	336012	337562	333102	344552	359954	361239	357146	356531	370528	382068	384839	387099	384628	398541	324368	361613	410005	403244
Cd	3F	474979	489722	479986	448289	482842	469665	518932	502173	560933	548357	545101	423910	432665	313296	321242	253116	252881	246138	268842	272556	267046	243591	235581	213434	202734	197289	137516	139292	97981	75176	40572	40247	38665	40398
Cd	5C1biii	2181027	1662402	1283511	1008000	801445	735617	622644	504000	268729	241478	188657	137700	88921	61751	37268	3650	3940	1620	1240	1693	3213	2518	846	407	326	233	76	166	35	73	76	85	1	12
Hg	1A1a	7945469	8560729	9002785	8670183	8036553	6996949	6564915	4218314	3379057	2838542	2731539	2321075	2114303	1950039	1720889	2030185	1466133	884417	897908	824803	860177	1047019	836012	885833	714746	634876	521310	581570	702027	552726	465329	527660	444870	391305
Hg	1A2a	513699	570491	484461	434339	454694	365210	351901	390839	388632	386061	488972	324062	336328	354839	341505	364526	405001	380003	320092	178385	388965	379330	193329	267845	232156	248056	206588	263747	285647	238127	182234	194567	160976	142161
Hg	1A2b	2117359	2231374	2290431	2137556	2128904	2296158	2372025	2255317	2273033	2216756	2254695	2215484	2248211	105955	115140	69819	113414	122870	135963	90669	72732	81477	67520	48443	64188	54777	81946	73957	80764	96763	54825	55803	50981	52856
Hg	1A2e	320410	430538	327935	266897	332421	376781	333579	312242	302311	306078	221390	217780	209967	202924	225834	254318	241628	232073	175350	174589	160250	164950	164697	164250	168607	148855	154998	151377	133290	127165	108331	119405	34180	36766
Hg	1A2f	3267757	3383779	2910609	2596486	2484317	2294331	2072353	1862646	1673677	1462957	1259194	1048578	844518	771862	981717	849236	722758	751136	688649	713313	527378	729557	723131	461213	549181	438490	408648	410236	389294	607248	434692	417716	493931	477064
Hg	1A3bi	159497	159500	165128	163830	161500	161899	161231	160912	162298	164717	162782	166413	165702	164147	161228	157243	155040	154984	150488	151270	149041	146973	143642	142444	144447	145252	147889	147060	145090	146232	120704	138608	146712	145130
Hg	2B10a	2848780	2368158	2106000	2045000	2097000	1992000	1983000	1314000	1131000	1083000	1007000	831000	746000	857000	712900	1001706	813120	748690	471156	443018	376770	445640	387783	454230	648380	356260	317520	99320	49280	35631	57463	67482	48273	42572
Hg	2C1	302290	289849	281027	266471	303543	314567	313301	357775	354297	332417	352419	332599	312198	298670	299112	274121	454580	226144	262059	209586	339114	234196	288369	290320	560327	296010	207892	142525	145701	174954	105687	180113	102792	72367
Hg	2D3a	809300	809300	809300	626000	626000	626000	626000	630000	607986	610986	602371	616971	597697	528780	562000	566967	491333	426500	365067	401333	398000	394800	455800	422200	447200	535800	562400	485400	301430	262640	260090	208570	105760	22100
Hg	5C1bii	974363	1007591	1073485	1057544	1208689	1175419	1146830	962694	924641	861843	800152	726010	671490	542334	453313	336810	848290	109100	149630	130859	296635	141689	159239	158672	145996	170129	43577	51848	45343	53594	36964	41767	75170	38012
Hg	5C1biii	1226828	935101	721975	567000	450813	413785	350237	283500	151667	137149	108072	80051	58427	38175	24612	810	3080	1630	6530	1235	8305	7458	1810	1467	3114	2255	1050	3672	3922	2821	1342	3829	3144	637

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023
DIOX	5C2	55893	55894	55895	55896	55897	55898	55899	55900	55901	55902	55903	55905	55906	55907	55908	55909	55911	55912	55913	55930	55933	55936	55942	55948	55967	55940	55936	55926	55935	55946	55917	55941	55906	55906
HCB	1A2b	1125842523	1145996522	1172032936	555628989	2624162	2859034	2734634	2620463	2085646	72670	2234	2005	1664	1	0	0	77	71	130	76	16	17	15	14	13	13	14	13	14	15	13	16	31	34
HCB	2C1	408759	393241	376565	356508	358428	346402	327906	356664	361828	373749	382660	341469	377894	365996	387616	370470	374252	358081	327508	235833	300527	293046	285216	305841	324619	299566	287793	321847	317948	303902	236185	268130	246679	192391
HCB	3Df	442825488	433451161	438727856	421476366	408188447	401449368	412662151	435208817	440134657	404966540	53680743	50073603	51487539	49473676	51467131	12649515	12110279	11642402	10169910	11359486	51098921	48425768	43726417	47869791	55020815	63387953	72950492	72166717	76414591	59548953	26852697	10386269	437884	393858
HCB	NATIONALTOTAL	1639079476	1651149692	1683093272	1048869949	480826160	471563286	484221686	499004040	498045035	455553455	99840915	86945431	80221412	72229933	68570666	24443896	17915704	17581014	16249468	17517198	58186594	55106358	50852353	54557669	61676848	70380797	79468135	78638218	82806455	66641267	33808037	17300142	6863382	6741255
HCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1639079476	1651149692	1683093272	1048869949	480826160	471563286	484221686	499004040	498045035	455553455	99840915	86945431	80221412	72229933	68570666	24443896	17915704	17581014	16249468	17517198	58186594	55106358	50852353	54557669	61676848	70380797	79468135	78638218	82806455	66641267	33808037	17300142	6863382	6741255
HCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	1639079476	1651149692	1683093272	1048869949	480826160	471563286	484221686	499004040	498045035	455553455	99840915	86945431	80221412	72229933	68570666	24443896	17915704	17581014	16249468	17517198	58186594	55106358	50852353	54557669	61676848	70380797	79468135	78638218	82806455	66641267	33808037	17300142	6863382	6741255
PCB	1A2gviii	1168756	1528795	1074871	1485965	1475615	1671291	1552998	1427359	1067613	1042819	900627	924094	618626	447352	638608	802168	288496	727653	808490	1003952	1180594	673637	760964	825977	729775	815299	902314	807104	959323	828386	875274	967693	1140526	1341263
PCB	1A4ai	3246580	3258311	2685814	2418856	2181659	2213701	2325846	2145303	2333855	2315041	2080124	2125918	1840675	1868787	1850826	1820352	1630350	1578835	1832714	1697371	1468639	1121474	1296380	1502087	1440924	1410424	1246864	1352447	1229165	1202899	1187101	1092104	1169201	963496