Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

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TIME SERIES

Party: FR      Submission year: 2024

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2022
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2022
PMs: 2000 - 2022

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
NOx	1A3ai(ii)	29904	28949	32493	33237	34435	35675	38032	39680	43040	47672	51253	52979	53403	53963	58839	62285	65244	68338	70062	66370	67741	72394	72934	74535	76316	78593	78867	81228	84780	88121	36637	42230	66747
NOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	2177197	2220688	2206615	2093057	2012767	1975938	1950774	1885499	1910477	1874927	1816019	1780317	1738917	1695320	1655952	1445443	1520241	1447148	1361884	1285881	1232697	1172808	1149109	1126534	1046384	1021865	971347	937395	884608	831836	572895	600756	561219
NMVOC	3De	146968	138520	140261	143073	153607	156751	131504	144792	138176	151507	144677	137391	137493	171433	142303	149677	157772	132179	127051	139496	135254	143812	137596	139556	142389	146134	145986	151337	160118	153690	153683	137944	168755
NMVOC	6B	1143412	1129594	1128195	1106399	1181180	1197847	1078954	1216212	1122601	1243993	1175035	1149437	1114093	1481207	1172358	1270009	1389119	1105782	1107712	1248224	1150905	1243106	1195079	1210172	1226581	1311089	1263416	1325310	1445069	1372555	1359325	1180888	1570129
NMVOC	NTCOMPL(NECD)	2920457	2944959	2874661	2743890	2588139	2511061	2461071	2356637	2310499	2238185	2149187	2082640	1969366	1948944	1856489	1380659	1722236	1591201	1510902	1439249	1456918	1338291	1296607	1286761	1233240	1203913	1195850	1192513	1153018	1120599	664184	682508	648042
NMVOC	NTCOMPLIANCE	2920457	2944959	2874661	2743890	2588139	2511061	2461071	2356637	2310499	2238185	2149187	2082640	1969366	1948944	1856489	1380659	1722236	1591201	1510902	1439249	1456918	1338291	1296607	1286761	1233240	1203913	1195850	1192513	1153018	1120599	664184	682508	648042
SOx	1A1c	29238	29149	26199	23964	21315	20953	20992	17464	15641	13082	9139	9215	6921	5757	3755	3490	3316	3281	3523	2911	1156	2322	1957	1511	3601	2793	2043	1748	4296	3619	2610	2535	1974
SOx	1A3ai(ii)	2652	2551	2967	3062	3175	3195	3396	3482	3696	4082	4205	4214	4236	4263	4550	4604	4849	5018	5068	4635	4651	4835	4709	4690	4743	5029	4915	4981	5166	5441	2345	2555	3933
SOx	1A3di(i)	144028	144962	136681	134962	114317	115639	117366	131778	150394	151662	146496	124328	116355	137901	161725	147526	130919	131015	87888	93820	87018	94825	129241	118558	99571	85873	78469	86788	99914	87736	8554	9319	10692
SOx	2C3	4157	3649	5327	5436	4899	4679	5031	5355	6146	6197	6838	6734	12106	5438	6043	6314	5777	5539	4650	3751	3268	3442	3481	3507	4697	5565	5427	5591	4737	5058	5154	5067	4927
CO	NATIONALTOTAL	10710912	11042774	10435194	9878492	9172804	9040492	8587335	8028941	7785941	7371962	6776798	6459744	6307927	6111565	6254058	5804238	5238020	4986862	4812147	4358031	4771929	3927055	3672344	3738028	3144145	3131512	3186970	3104380	2947774	2882610	2456094	2676569	2436704
CO	NTCOMPL(NECD)	10710912	11042774	10435194	9878492	9172804	9040492	8587335	8028941	7785941	7371962	6776798	6459744	6307927	6111565	6254058	5804238	5238020	4986862	4812147	4358031	4771929	3927055	3672344	3738028	3144145	3131512	3186970	3104380	2947774	2882610	2456094	2676569	2436704
CO	NTCOMPLIANCE	10710912	11042774	10435194	9878492	9172804	9040492	8587335	8028941	7785941	7371962	6776798	6459744	6307927	6111565	6254058	5804238	5238020	4986862	4812147	4358031	4771929	3927055	3672344	3738028	3144145	3131512	3186970	3104380	2947774	2882610	2456094	2676569	2436704

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
PM2.5	1A3bii	17199	16406	15200	14250	13001	10833	9684	8712	7537	6857	6616	5889	5302	4630	3919	3549	3185	2743	2309	1905	1321	1393	1191
PM10	1A3bii	17199	16406	15200	14250	13001	10833	9684	8712	7537	6857	6616	5889	5302	4630	3919	3549	3185	2743	2309	1905	1321	1393	1191

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
Pb	1A2b	60995877	56437231	54506230	52101088	51549764	51382206	52233749	49653173	51879987	46470896	47598306	39232183	39093859	1308306	1298616	1464037	1334939	1680401	1054052	862039	837035	734066	973762	646316	717798	408478	482057	336151	279506	302814	270627	479239	289826
Pb	1A2gviii	425382	523653	289007	1384997	1369894	1538086	1378354	1725451	1397554	1214012	1272188	940127	836341	421794	743011	1560955	214552	1425592	1272346	2057278	2195094	1139541	1259471	1616761	1098060	1467537	2037869	1797353	2398347	1987058	1963779	2473720	3077847
Pb	1A3bi	3369256096	2168029888	1521927773	1319676263	1151359175	1019412490	872455031	752612514	651421826	463202498	6450401	15887	15466	14886	14296	13489	12736	12073	11028	10927	10458	10074	9535	9330	9441	9463	9801	9786	9903	10319	8659	10258	11026
Pb	1A3bii	456516538	285909535	179536049	140893288	121723272	96649530	82101678	71084779	61302376	42635147	539451	2335	2298	2254	2228	2186	2288	2294	2069	2017	2038	2061	2080	2086	1956	2078	1890	2034	1962	1985	1641	1910	2063
Pb	2G	1896532	1896259	1895838	1895251	1894644	1894052	1957053	2094414	2463905	5032651	3816802	2509150	5182510	6195220	8911516	7853656	4749843	4574453	3306628	3739729	3273277	2732916	3292981	3383567	2855771	2583402	2497812	3001521	3428416	3268853	2132467	827098	2151646
Pb	5C1a	25276990	28611357	31954846	33876381	30667548	24756537	21946962	16343600	14192940	9898037	9298896	4461817	3169949	1671114	351589	270992	107740	83118	89484	57235	32529	33200	30115	21312	18434	14303	11266	7110	5220	4779	3212	3086	1199
Cd	1A1a	4052990	4385603	4646801	4542347	4272362	3790159	3604053	2545408	2117277	1888644	1919417	1704387	1460083	1219453	992089	910268	501629	585599	419822	348605	336733	202078	222653	197068	176908	163623	167245	185514	159993	225318	218411	148353	127731
Cd	1A2a	1363982	1537947	1461506	1361458	1508772	1462161	1378647	1515695	1564612	1529608	1536739	1374108	1495737	1485317	1204595	1031102	770052	764110	1029883	509073	660236	648308	522727	611243	774072	638848	773178	761639	497346	504044	501634	424340	327603
Cd	1A2b	2546072	2484553	2468420	2334207	2258710	1962955	1978762	1940490	1890859	1551562	1440088	1353530	1314387	338005	325637	261198	161781	164826	161393	195193	188153	186730	178720	162344	181177	178315	163256	174560	163692	205237	223929	245195	161117
Cd	1A2f	1718488	1669478	1597443	1471998	1457196	1424848	1353241	1304477	1264372	1199142	1138963	1063471	1054361	1090279	1202249	1274883	1079391	853932	762354	417060	277423	331836	237975	266245	224613	230893	229294	282644	248243	235021	265556	228286	309364
Cd	2C1	4215223	4076588	3813511	3646611	4161989	4362223	4378509	5050154	4929288	4669494	5018050	4821174	4588883	2839157	941192	610356	458310	302643	305214	156834	148048	126871	168340	241227	242075	118201	502934	76512	53405	54732	103400	112170	265772
Cd	2G	250261	257335	269621	272539	278969	282965	284579	292490	297804	315300	308014	316449	326023	332936	343576	341190	337104	342274	333644	348692	358301	358633	355398	355093	368069	379305	381848	384703	382653	396493	322896	360410	410015
Hg	1A1a	7945469	8560729	9002785	8670183	8036553	6996949	6564915	4218314	3379057	2838542	2731539	2321075	2114303	1950039	1720889	2030185	1466133	884417	897908	824803	864107	1047019	836012	885833	714746	634876	521310	581570	702027	552727	465330	529855	470110
Hg	1A2a	515099	572033	486178	436909	456695	365426	353850	393297	389913	387961	494640	324581	342306	368971	355796	378509	413115	398092	338180	190447	403124	393424	206447	279080	247762	261071	222590	278918	300923	267159	201928	196186	171981
Hg	1A2b	2119454	2233786	2293134	2137556	2128904	2297131	2373128	2255317	2273033	2217312	2254695	2215484	2248211	105955	115139	69818	113413	122870	135963	90669	72732	81477	67520	48443	64187	54777	82091	73993	80764	96763	54826	55889	49875
Hg	1A2f	3286843	3401971	2927180	2612107	2499060	2309343	2086862	1876912	1688017	1476304	1272635	1060980	854682	781910	991538	859211	733575	759825	696731	722900	534701	740779	733787	467883	555864	446888	417009	417785	398391	612017	443379	429493	490560
Hg	1A3bi	160612	160550	165990	164451	162070	162231	161494	161053	162271	164606	162419	165856	164969	163257	160198	156055	153503	153251	148702	150511	148194	146067	143799	142619	144595	145410	148115	147330	145481	146575	120622	139082	147310
Hg	2B10a	2848780	2368158	2106000	2045000	2097000	1992000	1983000	1314000	1131000	1083000	1007000	831000	746000	857000	712900	1001706	813120	748690	471156	443018	376770	445640	387783	454230	648380	356260	317520	99320	49280	35631	57463	67482	48273
Hg	2C1	302290	289849	281027	266471	303543	314567	313301	357775	354297	332417	352419	332599	312198	298670	299112	274121	454580	226144	262059	209586	339114	234196	288369	290320	560327	296010	207892	142525	145701	174954	105687	180113	102792
Hg	2D3a	809300	809300	809300	626000	626000	626000	626000	630000	607986	610986	602371	616971	597697	528780	562000	566967	491333	426500	365067	401333	398000	394800	455800	422200	447200	535800	562400	485400	301430	262640	260090	208570	128370
Hg	5C1bii	974363	1007591	1073485	1057544	1208689	1175419	1146830	962694	924641	861843	800152	726010	671490	542334	453313	336810	848290	109100	149630	130859	296635	141689	159239	158672	145996	170129	43577	51848	45343	53594	36964	41565	75023
Hg	5C1biii	1226828	935101	721975	567000	450813	413785	350237	283500	151634	137083	112603	85562	64228	38012	24423	810	3080	1630	6530	1235	8305	7458	1810	1467	3114	2255	1050	3672	3922	2821	1342	3829	3366

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
DIOX	5C2	55893	55894	55895	55896	55897	55898	55899	55900	55901	55902	55903	55905	55906	55907	55908	55909	55911	55912	55913	55930	55933	55936	55942	55948	55967	55940	55936	55926	55935	55946	55917	55941	55906
HCB	1A2b	1125842638	1145996655	1172033084	555628989	2624162	2859086	2734693	2620463	2085646	72700	2234	2005	1664	1	0	0	77	71	130	76	16	17	15	14	13	13	14	13	14	15	13	16	15
HCB	2C1	408759	393241	376565	356508	358428	346402	327906	356664	361828	373749	382660	341469	377894	365996	387616	370470	374252	358081	327508	235833	300527	293046	285216	305841	324619	299566	287793	321847	317948	303902	236185	268130	246679
HCB	2C2	1192988	1192988	1192988	1192988	1192988	1197881	1202774	1207667	1212560	1217453	1251759	1211213	1233986	1233879	1214904	1405212	1576183	1470305	1574360	1143926	1552107	1781817	1568157	1578688	1650584	1544827	1876765	1893869	1854509	1433828	885103	1289227	970657
HCB	3Df	438281080	429002956	434225499	417151049	403999495	397329575	408427289	430742574	435617864	400810652	53129855	49559733	50959158	48965962	50938960	12519702	11985999	11522924	10169910	11359486	51098921	48425768	43726417	47869791	55020815	63387953	72950492	72166717	76414591	59558693	26863460	10387359	311740
HCB	NATIONALTOTAL	1635657489	1647822144	1679717748	1045668062	477764625	468575475	481123402	495679952	494678236	452553997	100472925	87578626	80863839	72894103	69209087	25673860	19320515	18889392	17773163	18621297	59690673	56807249	52341536	56055531	63250250	71852999	81268047	80448665	84580834	68015963	34643262	18494270	7975997
HCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1635657489	1647822144	1679717748	1045668062	477764625	468575475	481123402	495679952	494678236	452553997	100472925	87578626	80863839	72894103	69209087	25673860	19320515	18889392	17773163	18621297	59690673	56807249	52341536	56055531	63250250	71852999	81268047	80448665	84580834	68015963	34643262	18494270	7975997
HCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	1635657489	1647822144	1679717748	1045668062	477764625	468575475	481123402	495679952	494678236	452553997	100472925	87578626	80863839	72894103	69209087	25673860	19320515	18889392	17773163	18621297	59690673	56807249	52341536	56055531	63250250	71852999	81268047	80448665	84580834	68015963	34643262	18494270	7975997
PCB	1A1a	27427820	27941880	28640802	23145330	19493736	20031758	21750863	17054419	23489889	18670642	18411039	14277723	15486554	16547896	16157991	17190959	14206852	14230832	13418841	12850770	12040500	8471011	11328964	12600524	6162801	6224996	5581635	7058742	4714613	2333179	2004509	3772835	3521679
PCB	1A2gviii	1173568	1533539	1078990	1504145	1480442	1676335	1557759	1435911	1083698	1047296	901623	924842	673240	459331	652143	805247	294895	727652	808490	1013406	1180594	701060	785562	826861	622895	705323	886766	828311	1024617	894311	911954	1039320	1172456
PCB	1A3di(i)	1284153	1324838	1268691	1232959	1090622	1118973	1154756	1274194	1416373	1446792	1469557	1243040	1226661	1364652	1594565	1459378	1543595	1603880	1378999	1388335	1335647	1454547	1364914	1251794	1052138	908580	831594	917838	1055612	927074	478958	520298	602502
PCB	1A4ai	3159755	3171485	2598989	2332031	2094833	2126875	2239021	2058477	2247029	2228215	1993299	2039092	1753850	1781962	1764001	1733527	1543524	1492009	1745888	1610545	1381814	1086001	1222860	1365831	1193471	1262093	1225428	1252496	1185758	1167240	1104037	1125423	886794