Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA for CLRTAP

KCA for NECD

Inv. comparison

Time series

Trend graphs

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TIME SERIES

Party: FR      Submission year: 2023

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2021
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2021
PMs: 2000 - 2021

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
NOx	1A3ai(ii)	34231	32972	36825	37480	38638	39830	42251	43862	47339	52173	55814	57406	57578	57892	62809	66157	68955	71865	73312	69103	70169	72393	72932	74527	76306	78540	78844	81227	84784	88094	36629	42237
NOx	1A3di(i)	198967	206471	200030	194001	172550	177705	187071	205668	226798	229393	237117	199297	191569	206340	233794	212095	218995	223162	192914	191631	184571	196658	184610	166975	141142	124688	117745	123817	138864	121115	67446	73941
NOx	3Da1	105275	103056	101230	94457	87515	90600	94913	96592	96230	97319	99294	98666	95531	91962	92659	94846	90187	87224	92467	90480	83583	88254	87146	83375	86695	87982	88588	89368	90033	85006	80671	78339
NOx	3Da3	39308	38926	38783	38573	38689	38969	39104	38805	38613	38698	39926	40212	39073	37939	37264	36903	36938	37169	37041	36933	36767	35510	35228	35509	35929	36193	36102	35655	34973	34316	33661	32864
NOx	NATIONALTOTAL	2182493	2226858	2211876	2099346	2019527	1981717	1956305	1889359	1913515	1875454	1815875	1776190	1732176	1682068	1635871	1586784	1498228	1429012	1351352	1280556	1236433	1179221	1152627	1133700	1057786	1035204	986354	956296	901723	849189	736594	755610
NOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	2182493	2226858	2211876	2099346	2019527	1981717	1956305	1889359	1913515	1875454	1815875	1776190	1732176	1682068	1635871	1420450	1498228	1429012	1351352	1280556	1236433	1179221	1152627	1133700	1057786	1035204	986354	956296	901723	849189	588420	610804
NOx	NTCOMPLIANCE	2182493	2226858	2211876	2099346	2019527	1981717	1956305	1889359	1913515	1875454	1815875	1776190	1732176	1682068	1635871	1586784	1498228	1429012	1351352	1280556	1236433	1179221	1152627	1133700	1057786	1035204	986354	956296	901723	849189	736594	755610
NMVOC	2D3a	121824	125740	129635	125780	130120	128192	131991	134182	139512	131565	127509	121669	126648	127454	121834	120008	123862	129746	133501	126844	142890	122865	112292	108537	127782	111447	115684	121344	125094	124640	120072	120387
NMVOC	2D3g	82535	80699	78266	73781	74278	74076	74960	72774	71298	73125	75769	73433	69536	66549	71823	73918	76014	73922	77303	70051	75029	76194	65613	69633	69044	72321	68140	73373	71145	60165	115138	115877
NMVOC	3De	146968	138520	140261	143073	153607	156751	131504	144792	138176	151507	144677	137391	137493	171433	142303	149677	157772	132179	127051	139496	135254	143812	137596	139556	142389	146134	145986	151337	160118	153690	153683	137944
NMVOC	6B	1143412	1129594	1128195	1106399	1181180	1197847	1078954	1216212	1122601	1243993	1175035	1149437	1114093	1481207	1172358	1270009	1389119	1105782	1107712	1248224	1150905	1243106	1195079	1210172	1226581	1311089	1263416	1325310	1445069	1372555	1359325	1180888
NMVOC	NTCOMPL(NECD)	2928043	2952411	2884036	2753422	2596288	2517841	2466985	2359714	2311593	2237346	2149275	2081089	1965015	1940595	1847827	1372207	1695252	1572845	1514094	1431541	1465482	1352039	1304011	1295767	1239933	1211014	1203678	1203383	1164859	1129014	708282	769717
NMVOC	NTCOMPLIANCE	2928043	2952411	2884036	2753422	2596288	2517841	2466985	2359714	2311593	2237346	2149275	2081089	1965015	1940595	1847827	1372207	1695252	1572845	1514094	1431541	1465482	1352039	1304011	1295767	1239933	1211014	1203678	1203383	1164859	1129014	708282	769717
SOx	1A1b	126967	122388	121542	123364	122660	118832	119297	114292	117132	113174	82502	81729	79204	72691	67954	55705	54963	49197	45504	36271	28202	23165	16080	13621	12279	9894	10538	9837	8949	5962	2388	2694
SOx	1A1c	29238	28928	26199	23964	21315	20953	20992	17464	15641	13082	9139	9215	6921	5757	3755	3490	3316	3281	3523	2911	1156	2322	1957	1511	3601	2793	2043	1748	4296	3619	2610	2535
SOx	1A3ai(ii)	2429	2335	2757	2858	2970	2978	3170	3261	3480	3868	3995	4028	4067	4115	4410	4477	4736	4914	4975	4555	4581	4838	4713	4693	4743	5031	4915	4981	5159	5434	2365	2360
SOx	1A3di(i)	143912	144842	136564	134851	114223	115568	117293	131704	150314	151582	146416	124260	116288	137827	161642	147451	130842	130937	87855	93789	86988	94795	129212	118532	99548	85852	78449	86768	99892	87716	8540	9305
SOx	2C3	4157	3649	5327	5436	4899	4679	5031	5355	6146	6197	6838	6734	12106	5438	6043	6314	5777	5539	4650	3751	3268	3442	3481	3507	4697	5565	5427	5591	4737	5058	5154	5067
NH3	3Da3	97534	96721	96538	96107	96449	97236	97658	96992	96563	96874	100129	100883	98062	95146	93458	92517	92650	93288	93029	92762	92311	89189	88473	89241	90331	91003	90763	89665	87856	86209	84562	82570
CO	NATIONALTOTAL	10711106	11042983	10424154	9869765	9164420	9026893	8567623	7993419	7735962	7307035	6709798	6377839	6212585	6010609	6141699	5686930	5131246	4880416	4716692	4277298	4706605	3859974	3593738	3655483	3054900	3035231	3104473	3025173	2878933	2819152	2462679	2707310
CO	NTCOMPL(NECD)	10711106	11042983	10424154	9869765	9164420	9026893	8567623	7993419	7735962	7307035	6709798	6377839	6212585	6010609	6141699	5686930	5131246	4880416	4716692	4277298	4706605	3859974	3593738	3655483	3054900	3035231	3104473	3025173	2878933	2819152	2462679	2707310
CO	NTCOMPLIANCE	10711106	11042983	10424154	9869765	9164420	9026893	8567623	7993419	7735962	7307035	6709798	6377839	6212585	6010609	6141699	5686930	5131246	4880416	4716692	4277298	4706605	3859974	3593738	3655483	3054900	3035231	3104473	3025173	2878933	2819152	2462679	2707310

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
PM2.5	1A3bii	16917	16188	15013	13990	12528	10238	9060	8130	7106	6584	6437	5742	5198	4545	3861	3486	3125	2678	2239	1826	1264	1320
PM2.5	1A3di(i)	18837	15966	15227	17561	20521	18740	17815	18093	13632	14135	13358	14528	16810	15409	12959	11214	10292	11328	13015	11428	3058	3336
PM10	1A3bii	16917	16188	15013	13990	12528	10238	9060	8130	7106	6584	6437	5742	5198	4545	3861	3486	3125	2678	2239	1826	1264	1320
PM10	1A3bvi	7741	8162	8382	8548	8587	8753	8794	8830	8675	8835	9015	9233	9123	9103	9099	9330	9333	9497	9566	9550	8388	8825
PM10	1A3di(i)	18837	15966	15227	17561	20521	18740	17815	18093	13632	14135	13358	14528	16810	15409	12959	11214	10292	11328	13015	11428	3058	3336
BC	1A3bii	10583	10386	9842	9366	8587	7193	6541	6016	5366	5053	4998	4530	4151	3659	3139	2851	2575	2213	1857	1518	1052	1099
BC	NATIONALTOTAL	77720	77928	75410	75227	72950	67456	63127	60065	58812	57529	58344	51167	51301	51007	44255	42823	41483	38196	35509	33953	29164	31993
BC	NTCOMPL(NECD)	77720	77928	75410	75227	72950	67456	63127	60065	58812	57529	58344	51167	51301	51007	44255	42823	41483	38196	35509	33953	29164	31993
BC	NTCOMPLIANCE	77720	77928	75410	75227	72950	67456	63127	60065	58812	57529	58344	51167	51301	51007	44255	42823	41483	38196	35509	33953	29164	31993

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
Pb	1A2b	61017834	56456742	54549903	52127568	51588141	51418482	52276765	49691534	51896295	46514028	47635735	39270150	39126907	1350634	1323707	1484144	1380458	1721174	1092355	893299	868129	746371	976698	661100	738185	432893	505357	348044	279514	302820	290025	493837
Pb	1A3ai(ii)	2924743	3135669	3211378	2828820	2978897	2740975	2498009	2615065	2587887	2986979	3149703	2921276	2846085	2496540	2457554	2764944	2775238	2781054	2599628	3667292	3052022	5744670	4698276	4383244	2362490	2438478	1818254	1397998	1255874	982324	2100709	3341423
Pb	1A3bi	3373282040	2170178120	1523500866	1320839279	1151490014	1019884898	872215456	752232261	651457264	463436631	6456789	15880	15470	14899	14319	13539	12814	12167	11121	10890	10423	10030	9493	9280	9394	9415	9753	9738	9855	10305	8591	10141
Pb	1A3bii	452674143	283881287	177994915	139262385	121013166	95628299	81470100	70271494	60188151	41686368	522492	2272	2223	2172	2135	2084	2156	2146	1929	2001	2019	2039	2069	2081	1961	2081	1892	2033	1954	1965	1700	2006
Pb	1A3bvi	18635546	19148101	19941108	20032435	20211713	20305390	20529162	21360881	21450727	22475127	21557195	23022883	23861378	24466561	24657282	25469464	25590333	25667386	25309499	25766053	26368241	26893764	26423899	26331818	26011441	26782483	26587102	27018040	27536517	27319796	24454658	24475680
Pb	2G	1896452	1896174	1895765	1895182	1894578	1893978	1956974	2094333	2463834	5032585	3816739	2509091	5182470	6195147	8911452	7853600	4749801	4574389	3306565	3739620	3273222	2732875	3292930	3383524	2855717	2582369	2500335	3001482	3428379	3268824	2132556	828378
Pb	5C1a	25276990	28611357	31954846	33876381	30667548	24756537	21946962	16343600	14192940	9898037	9298896	4461817	3169949	1671114	351589	270992	107740	83118	89484	57235	32529	33200	30115	21312	18434	14303	11266	7110	5220	4779	3212	3086
Cd	1A1a	4052990	4385603	4646801	4542347	4272362	3790145	3604022	2545371	2117240	1888573	1919344	1704324	1459956	1219296	991956	909982	501411	585353	419115	348010	335939	201323	221541	194913	174813	161203	163611	181160	155205	221450	215260	132521
Cd	1A2a	1362020	1536603	1461506	1363390	1508767	1462167	1378645	1515489	1564634	1529592	1536540	1374080	1495450	1484533	1203815	1030831	769158	763931	1029688	508910	660095	646987	521795	610962	773858	638649	773035	761268	497345	503556	501308	431156
Cd	1A2b	2549051	2487190	2474322	2337786	2263895	1967857	1984575	1945674	1893063	1557391	1445146	1358661	1318853	343725	329028	263915	167932	170336	166569	199417	192355	188393	179116	164342	183932	181614	166405	176167	163693	205237	226549	247167
Cd	1A2f	1712760	1664573	1594412	1469587	1455133	1422753	1349853	1302083	1264955	1194955	1135922	1057732	1050806	1086485	1200916	1272154	1073262	847717	756688	411944	271115	329130	236055	261176	221271	226390	221499	279910	247481	233156	261449	217821
Cd	1A3bvi	82741	85005	88530	88960	89806	90384	91401	94921	95491	99869	96243	102372	105799	108299	109036	112169	112700	113078	111373	113396	115944	118402	116524	116148	115131	118367	117737	119656	121460	120662	107234	108699
Cd	2C1	4215223	4076588	3813511	3646611	4161989	4362223	4378509	5050154	4929288	4669494	5018050	4821174	4588883	2839157	941192	610356	458310	302643	305214	156834	151666	127283	168340	241227	242075	118201	502934	76484	53405	54732	103400	112170
Cd	2G	251344	258155	270406	273561	279518	283434	285539	293087	298693	315853	309223	317233	326989	333197	341312	338419	335715	337151	332022	340997	356358	357602	353274	353563	365803	377497	380407	384024	381769	395375	327937	363526
Hg	1A1a	7945469	8560729	9002785	8670183	8036553	6996922	6564854	4218240	3378984	2838402	2731396	2320950	2114052	1951173	1722922	2029828	1468822	885574	896514	823630	862181	1045530	833820	881583	710614	630103	514142	572922	692501	545022	459028	461765
Hg	1A2a	512598	569883	486178	440000	456687	365436	353363	392969	389947	387935	494320	324537	341847	367252	352241	377867	408550	396155	337867	190187	403274	391272	205083	278718	247495	260811	222356	278281	300921	266377	190408	182485
Hg	1A2b	2123593	2238004	2302577	2143281	2137202	2304975	2382429	2263611	2276559	2226638	2262787	2223694	2255357	115107	120564	74165	123255	131686	144245	97428	79455	84133	68149	51634	68590	60055	87129	76563	80764	96762	59017	59048
Hg	1A2f	3295124	3420781	2941269	2622899	2514773	2330492	2098762	1881231	1696394	1472637	1267770	1051817	849001	775840	989405	854852	723784	749895	687691	714737	524638	736363	731172	460200	551011	440298	405251	413394	397833	609518	437391	413071
Hg	1A3bi	160348	160222	165642	164111	161607	161775	160979	160555	161821	164162	162013	165474	164665	163002	160008	155942	153614	153499	148920	149684	147386	145255	142780	141457	143516	144321	147089	146240	144441	146276	120677	138948
Hg	2B10a	2848780	2368158	2106000	2045000	2097000	1992000	1983000	1314000	1131000	1083000	1007000	831000	746000	857000	712900	1001706	813120	748690	471156	443018	376770	445640	387783	454230	648380	356260	317520	99320	49280	35631	57463	67482
Hg	2C1	302290	289849	281027	266471	303543	314567	313301	357775	354297	332417	352419	332599	312198	298670	299112	274121	454580	226144	262059	209586	352324	234262	288369	290320	560327	296010	207892	142466	145701	174954	105687	180113
Hg	2D3a	809300	809300	809300	626000	626000	626000	626000	630000	607986	610986	602371	616971	607173	544113	585000	589967	514333	449500	389600	464200	379600	367200	336200	357800	401200	508200	553200	448600	264630	170640	110130	42970
Hg	5C1bii	974363	1007591	1073485	1057544	1208689	1175419	1146830	962694	924641	861843	800152	726010	671490	542334	453313	336810	848290	109100	149630	130859	296635	141689	159239	158672	145996	170129	43577	51848	45343	53594	36964	40336
Hg	5C1biii	1226828	935101	721975	567000	450813	413785	350237	283500	151667	137149	110190	83595	62705	38175	24612	810	3080	1630	6530	1235	8305	7458	1810	1467	3114	2255	1050	3672	3922	2821	1342	3829

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
DIOX	5C2	55893	55894	55895	55896	55897	55898	55899	55900	55901	55902	55903	55905	55906	55907	55908	55909	55911	55912	55913	55930	55933	55936	55942	55948	55967	55940	55936	55926	55935	55946	55928	55963
HCB	1A2b	1125842601	1145996655	1172033084	555628989	2624162	2859086	2734693	2620463	2085646	72700	2234	2005	1664	1	0	0	77	71	130	76	16	17	15	14	13	13	14	13	14	15	13	16
HCB	1A3di(i)	334058	345738	333196	323471	286940	295008	307836	339090	375276	381280	391094	330878	323028	354377	408793	373755	391709	404303	349905	351096	339234	366563	345288	315486	266892	234137	218773	236112	268932	236159	127485	139765
HCB	2C1	408759	393241	376565	356508	358428	346402	327906	356664	361828	373749	382660	341469	377894	365996	387616	370470	374252	358081	327508	235833	300527	293046	285216	305841	324619	299566	287793	321847	317948	303902	236185	268130
HCB	2C2	1192988	1192988	1192988	1192988	1192988	1197881	1202774	1207667	1212560	1217453	1251759	1211213	1233986	1233879	1214904	1405212	1576183	1470305	1574360	1143926	1552107	1781817	1568157	1578688	1650584	1544827	1876765	1893869	1854509	1433828	885103	1289227
HCB	NATIONALTOTAL	1197376917	1218819645	1245492602	628517219	73765307	71245976	72696150	64937406	59060383	51743351	47343002	38018830	29904624	23928117	18270125	13154167	7334835	7366780	17773317	18621466	21699554	20752048	19711256	20296259	22040629	24314224	26542963	26316548	27262282	23273889	16984530	17168287
HCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1197376917	1218819645	1245492602	628517219	73765307	71245976	72696150	64937406	59060383	51743351	47343002	38018830	29904624	23928117	18270125	13154167	7334835	7366780	17773317	18621466	21699554	20752048	19711256	20296259	22040629	24314224	26542963	26316548	27262282	23273889	16984530	17168287
HCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	1197376917	1218819645	1245492602	628517219	73765307	71245976	72696150	64937406	59060383	51743351	47343002	38018830	29904624	23928117	18270125	13154167	7334835	7366780	17773317	18621466	21699554	20752048	19711256	20296259	22040629	24314224	26542963	26316548	27262282	23273889	16984530	17168287
PCB	1A1a	27427820	27941880	28640802	23145330	19493736	20031758	21750863	17054419	23489889	18670642	18411039	14277723	15486554	16555013	16169303	17191975	14222226	14238923	13418841	12850770	12038726	8471011	11328964	12600524	6162801	6224996	5581635	7059099	4714962	2333435	2005270	3773634
PCB	1A2a	5391363	5412245	4859314	4837392	4920376	4231520	4011562	4437597	4411676	4377953	4853369	3747141	4035909	4327544	4158374	4431152	4148855	4447817	4858147	2726038	3981674	3169882	3023657	3044530	3336453	3441920	3196093	3452454	3391359	2804750	2007145	2598237
PCB	1A3di(i)	1273086	1313375	1257617	1222391	1080800	1108848	1144405	1263652	1404819	1435277	1458157	1233238	1217112	1354089	1582750	1448748	1532634	1592753	1369542	1379321	1327159	1445949	1356781	1244348	1045492	902551	825824	912061	1049359	921454	475205	516514
PCB	1A4ai	3163566	3175445	2602693	2334877	2099360	2126863	2239008	2058465	2247018	2228204	1993287	2039081	1753839	1781951	1763991	1733517	1543515	1492000	1745879	1610536	1381806	1082356	1240632	1414446	1227845	1276496	1245033	1270380	1210299	1188605	1172648	1166466