Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA for CLRTAP

KCA for NECD

Inv. comparison

Time series

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TIME SERIES

Party: FI      Submission year: 2017

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09 and NFR14 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2015
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2015
PMs: 2000 - 2015

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
NOx	1A2d	21100	20900	33100	32200	35000	30700	34600	31000	35300	6900	19433	17471	16712	16462	17496	15197	16917	16137	15397	13006	17731	17066	17384	17310	17108	16768
NOx	1A3dii	9130	9148	8486	9284	10616	9597	10407	11112	8827	9102	9040	7806	8355	8596	8185	8294	8898	9089	7726	8113	9098	8827	8193	7899	6714	5660
NOx	3Da1	14018	12422	10015	10320	10378	11993	11015	10390	10426	9983	10264	10162	9842	9773	9492	9177	9091	9129	9995	8345	9604	8970	8522	8476	9042	8803
NOx	3Da2a	4381	4154	4088	4132	4209	4097	4154	4291	4208	4153	4148	4086	4216	4289	4271	4337	4304	4295	4226	4331	4387	4352	4329	4295	4340	4375
NMVOC	1B2aiv	6600	5400	6510	6218		5002	4567	4756	4887	4924	4761	4597	4087	4381	3956	3688	3811	3903	3605	3411	4881	3493	3829	3743	3026	3008
NMVOC	2D3d	27500	26000	22000	20500	32500	19000	18000	18000	18000	17900	17900	17000	15800	14663	14494	14007	14517	14633	12558	10575	10320	8719	8190	7512	7260	6771
NMVOC	2L	13	312	313	192	24900	129	129	133	100	125	100	109	80	69	94	87	83	90	49	31	41	38	36	26	26	4
NMVOC	3B1a	7368	6795	6543	6673	6705	6502	6441	6593	6524	6479	6606	6558	6559	6419	6356	6281	6209	6075	5975	6071	6161	6102	6103	6136	6381	6463
NMVOC	3Da2a	3096	2931	2887	2942	3007	2917	2961	3056	3011	2981	3017	2983	3077	3100	3095	3126	3054	2982	2870	2884	2898	2829	2776	2772	2998	2552
SOx	1A2c											2206	2411	3123	2638	2795	1942	1417	1283	1131	569	3752	3372	2576	2039	2913	2971
SOx	1A4ai	44000	37100	26400	21500	14600	16600	11200	11800	9400	12300	1143	1292	1296	2110	2282	1905	2119	1868	1915	2243	2554	2013	2234	1198	1154	1061
SOx	1B2aiv											692	653	118	1321	1354	852	2749	3952	4233	4801		0
SOx	2A3											4013	3690	3704	17	82	96	73	94	56	2	1	1	0	0	0
SOx	2C1											5474	3908	2793	6261	3689	1268	4549	1713	2192	1474	188	101	41	0	3	3
SOx	2C7a																2564		23	80	102	11	89	100	123	0	0
SOx	2C7c																		3204	3451	2632	3	0	0	0	0	0
SOx	2L	50300	43600	35900	28600	24100	23000	19900	18840	18100	19100								1	3	7	0	4	4	27	0	0
SOx	NATIONALTOTAL	263032	198433	144492	125984	119000	99612	109710	104683	94531	91769	79988	86371	80769	98045	84329	69614	84523	82930	70135	59378	66957	61111	51434	47375	43174	42060
NH3	2C7b						100	700	1000	1200	4050	800	600	700	600	600	559	427	377	389	193	126	92	152	80	122	70
NH3	3B1a	5310	4878	4752	4857	4908	4759	4738	4895	4906	4968	5087	5136	5200	5152	5186	5226	5157	5025	4978	5103	5208	5180	5180	5143	4994	5052
NH3	3Da2a	8433	8056	7956	8108	8311	8102	8260	8590	8488	8472	8547	8614	9009	9287	9418	9682	9503	9349	9104	9165	9202	8988	8805	8745	8869	7514
CO	1A1a	5600	6400	6600	7500	8600	7700	8300	8700	9300	9400	9701	10864	13051	19359	13869	12474	14356	11948	13628	11698	13573	12859	13110	13396	12122	12928
CO	1A2d	40800	48400	43700	43200	29700	31300	42900	43500	57300	30000	29524	26903	26336	23932	25080	23727	26473	25972	21289	14963	18611	19449	19998	22301	22058	19406
CO	1A3biv	8291	8352	8410	8310	8214	8408	8580	8832	9303	9792	10460	11144	11909	12160	12672	13274	13931	14461	14424	13814	13510	13504	12871	11987	11344	10374
CO	1A3dii	22554	23187	23289	23099	22934	23464	23330	23654	24095	24644	23473	23193	23347	22743	22598	22947	23764	24001	19831	19836	21110	16328	17480	18904	19479	19796
CO	1A4ci											8586	9813	10205	10461	10471	10573	93	11061	10600	11704	12990	12117	13243	16614	1401	1257

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
PM2.5	1A4ci	1752	1986	2062	2119	2128	200	32	225	215	202	218	201	192	225	172	147
PM2.5	2C1	127	658	1280	1164	955	992	721	383	624	213	234	368	200	151	230	123
PM2.5	2H2	866	873	882	896	1044	1092	1068	1079	1068	1126	1021	1078	1048	1028	1025	388
PM10	1A4ci	1935	2183	2231	2294	2308	724	55	780	745	771	849	852	895	1066	372	279
PM10	2C1	133	903	1796	1718	1892	1436	1586	783	1041	628	788	783	232	154	240	144
PM10	2H2	870	876	886	896	1097	1172	1134	1127	1105	1212	1042	1129	1072	1045	1047	407
TSP	1A4ci	2082	2327	2345	2405	2427	2375	71	2509	2407	2598	2889	3037	3295	3964	1004	694
TSP	3Da1	2240	2191	2284	2278	2152	2265	2197	2161	2280	2164	1817	1990	1979	2120	2228	1943

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
Pb	1A1a	1694000	2309000	2048000	1666000	2518000	1196000	1373000	1409000	1594000	1981000	2924000	2688000	2759000	5987000	2572878	1976336	2070333	1928000	2272054	1832575	3234770	3374635	2975216	3284478	2893973	1501064
Pb	1A2a											1029000	7094000	843407	75000	779402	740346	737980	715902	679010	755676	619406	737859	72735	19355	31499	29611
Pb	1A2c											1124000	1092000	1690048	1156000	1073076	91749	81865	73571	71191	39954	44800	53265	54390	45316	49365	39853
Pb	1A2f																								1627916	2126688	1530590
Pb	1A2gviii											3975000	6653000	5988334	3102000	3991419	4064955	3963601	3729000	3952890	2275840	3371000	3272404	3464428	1167333	1163570	1583762
Pb	1A3bi	166077000	140076000	94075000	37071000	493000	71000	69000	72000	72000	72000	71000	72000	74000	76000	78000	79000	80000	83000	82000	83000	84000	85000	85000	85000	86000	85883
Pb	1A3bvi	10834000	10550000	10503000	10500000	10467000	10585000	10735000	11070000	11329000	10079000	8589521	7149495	5635560	4039961	2382722	643708	650336	664394	662641	654510	518375	525504	522748	517604	524579	529466
Pb	1A4ai	12224000	7446000	6166000	1765000	2711000	889000	1683000	1084000	797000	881000	549000	640000	673015	784000	299277	282087	300414	303012	290189	285820	319000	268379	302624	216739	116480	89570
Pb	1A4bi											7992000	8459000	8582060	8428000	2003830	1924620	1955065	1929147	2211717	2400944	2738000	2368820	2561270	2398322	579167	544365
Pb	1A4ci											957000	1055000	1079128	1103000	363751	351387	15307	375915	378725	399911	429000	571364	622005	708772	427168	298545
Pb	1A5b	1690000	1470000	1379000	1330000	1140000	1070000	1060000	1070000	1074000							1501	3678				134000
Pb	2C1											7587000	1707000	7581000	4968000	5894664	1827931	5446894	2097408	685410	1605346	3561944	2168328	355662	259969	472146	244908
Pb	2C7a																863298		161000	8060	3920	3090	3750	6750	2650	1250	600
Pb	2C7c																		566232	170652	271610	251835	260460	197980	225410	608685	269250
Pb	2L	115177000	62285000	40335000	39708000	45737000	45553000	23778000	8164000	7921000	5431000									2930		2183
Cd	1A2a											32000	117000	18659	2000	17873	17070	18281	16651	9417	16209	14000	18551	1060	1323	1646	1696
Cd	1A2d	439000	500000	339000	202000	280000	322000	313000	320000	501000	244000	380000	336000	391741	340000	397423	357463	410774	331334	281895	205649	253000	232459	230827	272041	252433	283109
Cd	1A4ai	266000	168000	88000	81000	90000	219000	251000	22000	221000	245000	12000	15000	15311	17000	16353	18051	17145	16689	16700	17880	19928	17071	19203	16017	10648	9411
Cd	1A4ci											22000	25000	25552	26000	26210	26313	222	27694	26986	29540	32464	32937	36014	44274	24979	23170
Cd	2C1											253000	507000	268300	252000	445099	84072	285149		17936	51251	143000	123378	21830	18330	17320	20303
Cd	2C7a																245509			770	900	1000	1000	1000	1540	1000	600
Cd	2C7c																			57958	54880	57000	51484	32837	8147	161	80
Cd	2L	5461000	2674000	2276000	2332000	1554000	1011000	794000	393000	441000	16000								3000	2707		2000
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	6413193	3627158	3077354	2877112	2258908	1715835	1548410	931044	1322236		1361024	1719218	1344253	1252884	1563658	1373490	1331059	1026310	1297069	1287538	1474259	1384942	1395655	1280039	945105	924639
Hg	1A2d	97000	123000	132000	132000	131000	131000	118000	105000	139000	64000	145000	184000	160740	146000	141002	122743	142421	126503	119523	103976	118870	104419	105745	115850	111760	112064
Hg	1A3biii	5250	190	4761	4713	4952	4890	5083	5514	5646	5862	5913	6012	6162	6272	6500	6507	6646	6963	6848	6236	43904	7025	6803	6855	6783	6715
Hg	1A3biv	127	76638	130	128	127	130	133	137	145	157	174	192	214	237	261	287	317	348	376	384	11056	432	441	446	449	433
Hg	1A4ai	75000	33000	17000	17000	25000	24000	38000	28000	24000	26000	2000	2000	2015	4000	2723	2693	2926	1652	2763	2461	3000	2314	2671	2265	15964	1869
Hg	1A4bi											21000	22000	22666	22000	22066	21588	21925	21660	24798	26929	31000	26400	28433	26614	265522	25478
Hg	1A4ci											4000	4000	4145	4000	3989	4021	176	4205	4304	4737	5000	7513	8313	9204	37120	6695
Hg	2A1															28000	15818	51600	7457	1631	24374	29095	9023	14290	9448	9649	12431
Hg	2C1											33000	47000	32000	177000	156241	344641	404141	325448	292540	240930	301630	69893	206657	158620	166520	120820
Hg	2C2																400		450	500	200	500	69893		700	700	600
Hg	2L	402000	369000	266000	84000	94000	211000	225000	85000	134000	858000									2197		1454
Hg	5C1bi	171000	55000	82000	48000	12000	14000	6000	3000	3000	3000	3780	900	21400	1720	1700	1020	1000	1100	5530	3410		1810	3170	5402	1790	3510
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	1056903	944014	852184	637159	678009	750430	809746	603586	584443		614544	792272	708394	842051	791952	896807	1037806	879578	828686	776723	946216	656734	763312	705004	952078	636733

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
DIOX	2C1	4553	4099	4441	4587	4903	5061	3074	3225	3252	3259	3274	3243	3223	1320	1317	1328	901	891	841	391	2867	996	1438	747	1566	537
DIOX	5E	84	84	84	78	75	72	67	61	56	50	46	42	37	38	28	27	27	23	19	19	19	19	19	20	20	1078
HCB	1A4bi	2275000	2303000	2312000	2327000	2341000	2427000	2539000	2545000	2570000	2510000	2450980	2550784	2587892	2575000	2556000	2539005	2577700	2550000	2945782	3195782	3648750	3176458	3479357	3262962	265285	250420
HCB	2B10a	29000000	29000000	29000000	29000000	29000000	29000000	29000000	29000000	29000000	29000000	29000000	8190000	2480000	460000	16700000	23010000	26600000	30700000	10300000	20000000	1500000	18800000	1960000	10200000	13970000	8930000
HCB	5C1bi	2280752	2281000	2281000	2281000	2566000	2851000	2851000	3099000	3136000	2601000	3403746	3291855	2880381	2304745	4064973	3883141	4182951	4182951	3931423	3931423	3931423	3931423	3931423	3931423	3931423	3931423
PCB	1A4bi	5112000	5004000	5040000	4972000	4743000	4566000	4695000	4686000	4742000	4633000	4360884	4588882	4530360	4387586	4230380	4067641	4258000	4012462	4141688	4579130	4652151	3775809	4043399	3702278	6882398	4154453
PCB	1B2aiv	9884000	10233000	10144000	9615000	11399000	11000000	11917000	10935000	12694000	12387000	12180000	11347000	12482000	12587000	12932000	12190000	13221000	13221200	14302490	14179167	13271361	14160215	13672119	13672119	13724201	12170410
PCB	5C1bi	20111665	20112000	20008000	20148000	22520000	25088000	25098000	27195000	36210000	22863000	29868000	28994500	25501250	20422900	35773160	34281640	36797555	36692555	34485695	34486135	34483365	34482435	34484945	34470165	34479365	34489290