Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

TIME SERIES

Party: ES Submission year: 2025

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2023
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2023
PMs: 2000 - 2023

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023
NOx	1A3ai(ii)	16143	17825	19671	19348	20652	22608	24487	26123	27780	30368	32576	33194	31928	33498	37137	39391	41419	45839	46825	44118	46717	50457	49397	49188	51047	46582	51893	56236	59859	63794	21243	28564	50926	60166
NOx	1A3bi	288870	306862	336472	288469	268745	241464	240807	226543	225105	212298	199073	186361	190084	196157	193237	194562	196715	199837	189930	184541	181554	175137	164458	162233	160471	161876	164159	162376	161302	154356	121086	127873	125031	121966
NOx	1A3dii	75402	79400	78913	81411	77988	74614	72427	54560	58227	52726	43555	45694	46461	53270	48959	46282	51150	44848	38243	31711	27662	21645	22612	12572	8621	11685	17991	30225	30892	31448	20195	24035	30521	25770
NOx	5C2	38895	35187	36925	29699	27862	21540	43852	56545	46847	48267	46943	54082	44417	59285	49461	43167	47645	46454	42548	48271	50516	54758	36533	61257	44267	52557	49978	47889	65277	48240	57335	58486	36559	36559
NMVOC	2D3a	66074	66214	66417	66608	66768	66902	67030	67174	67370	67675	68190	68910	70198	71478	72567	73900	75842	78129	80219	81700	82851	83966	84799	85283	88724	92342	61435	62960	83177	86926	123232	100669	80908	81834
NMVOC	2D3e	33275	33351	34820	32015	31951	34525	39863	47819	34005	37467	40835	39197	47184	12747	15867	17180	16083	14276	15963	22266	18368	16833	15205	11208	11680	11087	9937	12300	11017	10500	9808	4095	10275	9839
NMVOC	3B1a	27824	27325	26202	24989	24264	26667	26643	26269	27278	25063	25823	26719	26232	25345	24083	24224	22515	21571	20983	19757	25604	25255	26450	26946	27261	27590	27013	26786	26687	26488	28429	28711	28518	27696
SOx	1A2b	18490	18729	19554	19125	19211	17906	18018	19409	18470	18434	19186	20198	22312	17228	13942	16092	14111	13720	12746	12446	12895	11310	12605	11011	11441	8427	7965	7669	7966	7743	7494	7775	6795	7129
SOx	1A2c	47298	56298	50343	53659	71433	95442	60380	40760	35011	25449	20727	21193	25771	16015	11593	10112	8452	7583	8668	7518	7467	6993	7483	6187	6641	8000	7078	7255	7305	6218	5379	5805	5608	4416
SOx	1A3ai(ii)	938	1036	1142	1124	1199	1312	1422	1517	1613	1763	1891	1927	1854	1945	2156	2287	2388	2608	2653	2473	2599	2785	2694	2698	2792	2818	3122	3373	3615	3817	1255	1696	3019	3509
SOx	2B10a	9738	8772	9972	9538	9603	9488	7462	7946	7909	7727	6986	6931	6759	6227	5308	5516	5869	5690	5378	4168	4894	3578	2706	2509	2484	2712	3111	3203	3185	3104	3035	3363	3046	2538
NH3	3B1a	42463	40915	38934	36822	35800	37635	37548	36750	38068	35166	35317	36305	35335	34144	32281	33764	31165	29753	28791	26985	31647	31009	32342	32795	33175	33956	33269	33034	32926	32692	34285	34617	34317	33357
CO	1A2a	130136	135040	120704	123565	126496	90563	81434	57543	47733	75930	99770	99935	98829	87342	95824	96875	92581	97551	95132	72260	89084	86653	74199	81971	95291	97104	91508	97195	90562	89068	54369	83742	77722	62602
CO	1A3bii	127603	124986	127306	117062	115696	108620	113149	105560	107447	97102	91506	90112	67007	61954	54431	43323	39968	40795	33270	27141	26602	25699	24269	23460	17687	18248	16715	18116	16772	14652	7939	8431	4778	4642
CO	5C2	490682	444011	465964	374789	351493	271684	552734	712712	590445	608293	591562	681500	559703	747064	623268	543957	600382	585372	536159	608271	636567	690018	460361	771917	557814	662276	629787	603456	822568	607887	722489	736991	460686	460686

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023
PM2.5	1A1a	10049	9391	10727	9283	9370	9802	8833	9605	4779	3086	2335	3594	4409	4824	5158	4999	3827	4502	3727	2861	2945	3217	3291	2698
PM2.5	1A2gviii	3325	3555	3886	4750	4449	4349	3178	3727	3738	2869	2514	2734	2886	2152	1308	2322	2757	3074	3059	3717	3366	3150	3488	4281
PM10	1A1a	22496	20571	24056	20657	20275	19926	17243	17822	7647	4238	3001	4860	6083	6403	6792	6732	5187	5980	4967	3563	3738	4037	4104	3365
TSP	1A1a	35528	31853	37480	31785	31190	29213	24957	25089	10013	5076	3573	5817	7266	7915	8238	8459	6618	7789	6523	4705	5168	5601	5637	4661
BC	1A2gviii	796	856	933	1142	1113	1104	810	933	992	780	677	758	797	586	339	611	732	826	821	1006	915	858	955	1186

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023
Pb	1A1a	2860436	2768509	3918091	2225224	2233891	3118410	2371590	5167149	3843512	4500502	4321952	4641226	5645273	3962108	4283042	4440288	3380056	2582683	1929619	1701867	1558802	1714609	2188404	1951561	1862242	2308154	1731851	1733533	1713142	759965	539857	434598	598075	362248
Pb	1A2a	4953294	5398804	3647515	3236139	5806369	6507781	6015148	5522442	4843298	4976485	6356453	6466174	6891644	6695570	7738976	7666750	7769742	8544216	8256398	5437980	6975586	7471585	7207063	6491308	6817180	7227655	7611449	7678278	7716879	7521131	6241536	6714282	6804617	6917077
Pb	1A2f	18353054	18100756	17426496	16784628	17913068	32399492	33711189	34256371	33452849	31268500	16054060	4526709	4210950	3866631	3416665	2733558	2044749	1410548	1262706	1132856	1155128	1140663	945450	783067	694195	695282	688244	692158	728776	722260	653343	632137	451082	483543
Pb	1A3aii(ii)	5776938	6302116	4722913	4722911	119	131	4455295	5224681	5426164	4512851	4810927	5432180	5646276	5584555	4926628	4519463	4831915	4652769	4192015	4035420	3487197	3215634	2932840	2740738	1708826	2069430	1899797	2224880	2314084	2650012	2209740	2729761	2498330	2724725
Pb	1A3bii	135226607	77996086	45976829	35941122	32216453	23563858	19768059	16164263	13379090	10061106	6445973	3271739	2449402	2459214	2314616	1982870	2023531	2186509	1879881	1629890	1595763	1296620	1223505	1306305	1235363	1281694	1226703	1321199	1264347	1371609	991369	1359301	1344727	1394171
Pb	1A3biv	128532999	90078159	49019414	42731159	44088014	31390453	21374251	18065242	14864995	13247851	8912024	3645113	2839766	3413239	3606495	3429416	3983794	4365078	4508721	4788454	4503421	775335	682082	1581753	1805709	1679872	1760330	1835993	234247	1769528	1246468	1341209	1346472	2935637
Pb	2C7a	2875882	2973832	2804972	2806268	2867276	2617866	4356552	5101996	4943134	4889342	4867182	4520180	4772360	4663960	3763850	4555010	4333366	4242500	4510078	4351803	4234000	3302800	2021259	1261000	1004000	534600	703819	537119	677400	708200	641709	902800	918800	1057800
Pb	5C1biv	855606	1016887	1157439	1328732	1920428	1991728	2014300	1821716	1995832	2015055	3487825	2745516	3447328	3842248	1962826	1990302	2057096	4603564	4536632	3085612	3164144	3121954	3764998	2481826	2667650	2783622	2620770	2604892	2555316	2272063	2362900	2431020	2370667	2377231
Pb	5C2	5168887	4665168	4894743	3935096	3702551	2867083	5873795	7574951	6278410	6473580	6300898	7261527	5963754	7960131	6641055	5795978	6397196	6237261	5712889	6481263	6782759	7352292	4905244	8224943	5943632	7056690	6710515	6429950	8764645	6477172	7698273	7852794	4908707	4908707
Cd	1A1a	1237219	1581996	2399201	1137685	1082328	1650880	1086250	1009879	1534446	2465756	2233030	2543213	3199231	1892496	1892646	2119835	1508493	890592	723805	545467	530153	637435	648457	491529	474550	481298	508970	497638	468349	298377	207821	366137	342598	216783
Cd	1A2e	8326	8337	8062	7911	10755	13329	7545	7004	5982	141468	116979	120352	148216	160913	159646	158173	165150	149716	186641	140161	108762	134011	146665	96994	58785	94526	200694	225513	229240	268080	254152	230985	247310	264446
Cd	1A2f	14798370	13122586	10883338	9618932	10161113	11057987	9971909	9605039	9032139	7976130	5607986	4315782	4040145	3709689	3320453	2242288	1293014	332935	168515	136139	133085	128787	111192	97417	81763	101115	86920	90866	94855	96162	88743	89926	89068	93398
Cd	1A2gviii	675758	517546	342701	363275	350696	343625	355272	278239	394818	251183	242181	257460	280575	339952	339084	339326	249511	284711	300336	238632	199042	236262	249737	180684	108096	193812	234068	266696	265040	326265	298064	280422	312798	391797
Cd	1A4bi	1154100	1169449	1183002	1174084	1172248	1098606	1097872	1097682	1093510	1086619	1086947	1091867	1092115	1090165	1104773	1107851	1109821	1110500	1120863	1328002	1334890	1332965	1350095	1353544	1361170	1349889	976552	975591	977311	981715	981403	978028	978658	983069
Cd	2C1	1042947	1040317	1021805	1041023	1092188	1170544	1064554	1275789	1394804	1478479	1649849	1724422	1724489	1752264	1879545	1764282	1881235	1932460	1859845	1486670	1694378	1560957	1399008	1427674	1464210	1522118	1358961	1384810	1392143	1348098	1101365	1370350	1159342	1146801
Cd	2C7a	180840	161823	152636	152708	152181	146464	224255	263269	247119	240297	241005	215430	225590	221220	186290	215500	210244	207440	230098	94100	142700	312910	209500	132200	97000	48870	54880	84330	63380	59490	55043	79810	94810	73810
Cd	2G	103289	103272	103248	103223	103193	103158	110407	44115	73059	233278	113620	216168	221386	298700	542534	550331	500656	609979	563733	667688	411456	696915	260115	431290	431039	381884	331149	346523	396513	369606	316546	300851	323960	323129
Cd	3F	6800550	6846542	6104952	5985164	5231882	4387189	5962587	5076565	5432482	5048230	2214661	370213	484599	435992																		15162		16205
Cd	5C1biv	273794	325404	370381	425194	614537	637353	644576	582949	638666	644818	1116104	878565	1103145	1229519	628104	636897	658271	1473141	1451722	987396	1012526	999025	1204799	794184	853648	890759	838646	833565	817701	727060	756128	777926	758613	760714
Cd	5C2	540033	487406	511391	411129	386834	299546	613680	791413	655953	676344	658303	758667	623079	831655	693842	605550	668364	651654	596869	677147	708646	768150	512488	859322	620976	737266	701099	671786	915709	676719	804297	820441	512850	512850
Hg	1A1a	3378737	3677118	4943002	3643320	3507618	4778900	2202014	2287059	2940241	3685280	3555905	3833219	4622314	3346711	3293499	3471585	2715960	2255406	1667993	1362113	1172453	1494271	1874243	1433147	1489073	1645365	1775300	1646147	1617397	627944	383511	284957	339019	247688
Hg	1A2f	1488639	1516553	1530564	1507831	1666708	2954724	3135173	3221724	3248096	3124580	1904099	899055	885591	844320	811664	772083	772425	571897	488063	383712	401415	369343	352438	308585	379404	422999	431213	430533	443101	420811	376778	405085	321585	312652
Hg	2B10a	1880087	1822601	1659437	1659437	1742004	1804666	1797608	1177871	935821	986731	778146	683647	683983	686275	669756	613699	509867	482886	394403	340710	284210	254863	245035	236198	238057	213593	215729	256787
Hg	2C1	837238	845041	816408	843452	878188	825745	774089	821168	854088	895699	993251	1039531	1039973	1060205	1136513	1081528	1153721	1183169	1138034	910969	1033750	949794	849322	863148	880298	907877	810812	840147	842381	816609	674954	832047	698214	696462
Hg	3F	1305416	1307114	1123284	1143968	987821	816118	1149630	984978	1071607	957773	413093	76257	97952	90309																		2412		2578
Hg	5C1a	662494	444374	459494	363409	370124	147792	152813	28448	30918	41952	41600	41700	41650

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023
DIOX	2C1	69814	71329	66633	68963	70437	56118	52867	45953	43562	51611	60667	62457	62202	61483	65829	63003	66374	68905	66752	53075	61978	58712	53155	56156	59827	66026	58615	54396	55830	53629	39740	53499	48089	44504
DIOX	5C2	77148	69629	73056	58733	55262	42792	87669	113059	93708	96621	94043	108381	89011	118808	99120	86507	95481	93093	85267	96735	101235	109736	73213	122760	88711	105324	100157	95969	130816	96674	114900	117206	73264	73264
HCB	1A2gviii	258441	198356	131118	137019	132158	131550	135898	106378	150459	94750	91293	97343	106093	128694	128930	129307	94980	108011	115242	92003	76801	91176	96298	69688	41355	74167	89653	102269	101628	125172	114390	107660	120119	150593
HCB	1A3dii	121656	131846	129570	131799	129104	116835	117165	87195	91965	87460	73127	77058	79980	92753	88239	83641	95114	85239	72742	60354	52435	42888	44579	25779	17987	24856	39604	68150	68707	71682	44730	54268	70240	59759
HCB	3Df	53564096	50435319	47603438	49075944	56192673	55954037	67500631	76259522	80921343	84382652	13448270	13819781	14213486	12431395	13105479	2503741	2571114	2614901	2880491	2527706	10525021	11011397	9702725	6208979	10071341	8570320	10319479	10432479	11052647	11032354	6723230	44105	46551	46126
PCB	2K	2157342588	2162478149	2167320083	2171941113	2174003083	2178059282	2183829322	2189735326	2195739199	2163518227	2016831502	1861210700	1736762761	1630171540	1541133383	1504264318	1467109796	1430057947	1230469132	1091161659	786410075	716714396	679579700	612659870	578619730	556377592	534135451	516235298	487820544	459517514	416553312	350874089	284699674	284699674
PCB	NATIONALTOTAL	2185192155	2195231380	2201612134	2204642760	2210730849	2220714610	2222902687	2222584054	2229352584	2197226821	2053282356	1899480619	1775857750	1670240139	1582997155	1543962606	1509514672	1473175887	1271805049	1125500713	824067329	751057895	711637933	643093320	609054046	586681779	561556496	545868408	517354653	487598484	440177063	378364626	307741179	308042656
PCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	2185192155	2195231380	2201612134	2204642760	2210730849	2220714610	2222902687	2222584054	2229352584	2197226821	2053282356	1899480619	1775857750	1670240139	1582997155	1543962606	1509514672	1473175887	1271805049	1125500713	824067329	751057895	711637933	643093320	609054046	586681779	561556496	545868408	517354653	487598484	440177063	378364626	307741179	308042656
PCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	2185192155	2195231380	2201612134	2204642760	2210730849	2220714610	2222902687	2222584054	2229352584	2197226821	2053282356	1899480619	1775857750	1670240139	1582997155	1543962606	1509514672	1473175887	1271805049	1125500713	824067329	751057895	711637933	643093320	609054046	586681779	561556496	545868408	517354653	487598484	440177063	378364626	307741179	308042656