Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

TIME SERIES

Party: ES Submission year: 2024

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2022
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2022
PMs: 2000 - 2022

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
NOx	1A3ai(ii)	16143	17825	19671	19348	20652	22608	24487	26123	27780	30368	32576	33194	31928	33498	37137	39391	41419	45839	46825	44118	46717	50457	49397	49188	51047	46582	51893	56236	59859	63794	21243	28564	50926
NOx	1A3bi	288870	306862	336472	288469	268745	241464	240807	226543	225105	212298	199073	186361	190084	196157	193237	194562	196715	199837	189930	184541	181554	175137	164458	162233	160471	161876	164159	162376	161302	154356	121059	127976	122668
NOx	5C2	34825	30692	33751	29658	26668	20550	39174	45874	37069	35116	42691	49617	40165	55601	43319	37698	46579	46502	43547	49526	51234	53541	35021	61828	40175	51508	50709	47908	65356	47008	58069	58077	58077
NMVOC	2D3a	91054	91246	91527	91789	92010	92194	92371	92569	92839	93259	93970	94962	96736	98500	100001	101838	102561	103681	104473	104423	103928	103372	102464	101141	99894	98870	106494	114179	122155	104859	154116	113670	114358
NMVOC	3B1a	28130	27607	26457	25218	24475	26917	26877	26481	27482	25237	26001	26885	26375	25466	24182	24318	22585	21621	21015	19773	25604	25255	26450	26946	27261	27590	27013	26786	26687	26488	28429	28711	28518
NMVOC	3F	41893	40993	29398	35417	29245	22563	37752	33827	38924	29853	11733	3479	4078	4073	228	211	95	79	40	44	58	114	89	70	151	157	104	125	152	133	122	117	117
SOx	1A2b	18490	18729	19554	19125	19211	17906	18018	19409	18470	18434	19186	20198	22312	17228	13942	16092	14111	13720	12746	12446	12895	11310	12605	11005	11441	8431	7971	7668	7965	7735	7484	7757	6777
NH3	3B1a	39372	38085	36379	34538	33708	35675	35721	35088	36477	33819	34137	35213	34390	33344	31632	33223	30765	29467	28607	26899	31647	31009	32342	32795	33175	33956	33269	33034	32926	32692	34285	34617	34317
CO	1A2a	130136	135040	120704	123565	126496	90563	81434	57543	47733	75930	99769	99934	98829	87342	95823	96875	92581	97551	95132	72257	89084	86653	74199	81971	95290	97164	91559	97246	90603	89111	54419	83756	77748
CO	5C2	439393	387377	425963	374277	336454	259210	493783	578242	467232	442581	537978	625228	506124	700636	545876	475038	586952	585987	548751	624084	645608	674677	441308	779107	506252	649062	638996	603695	823561	592361	731737	731841	731841

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
PM2.5	1A1a	10049	9391	10727	9283	9370	9802	8833	9605	4779	3086	2335	3594	4409	4822	5160	4998	3830	4520	3745	2878	2962	3228	3339
PM10	1A1a	22496	20571	24056	20657	20275	19926	17243	17822	7647	4238	3001	4860	6083	6401	6794	6731	5190	5999	4983	3580	3755	4048	4166
TSP	1A1a	35528	31853	37480	31785	31190	29213	24957	25089	10013	5076	3573	5817	7266	7914	8239	8458	6622	7808	6536	4722	5185	5612	5727

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
Pb	1A1a	2860436	2768509	3918091	2225224	2233891	3118410	2371590	5167149	3843512	4500502	4321952	4641226	5645273	3962108	4283042	4440288	3380056	2582683	1929619	1701867	1558802	1714609	2188404	1951561	1862242	2308154	1731851	1733533	1713142	759965	539857	434683	595867
Pb	1A2a	4953294	5398804	3647515	3236139	5806369	6507781	6015148	5522442	4843298	4976485	6356456	6466176	6891648	6695720	7738982	7666755	7769747	8544220	8256403	5437555	6975586	7471504	7207063	6491308	6817116	7227674	7611465	7678294	7716892	7521144	6241552	6714297	6804640
Pb	1A2f	18353054	18100756	17426496	16784628	17913068	32399492	33711189	34256371	33452849	31268500	16054062	4526713	4210957	3866637	3416670	2733564	2044758	1410560	1262718	1132856	1155128	1140663	945450	735892	694195	695326	688288	692205	728811	722300	653392	632173	448761
Pb	1A3aii(ii)	5776938	6302116	4722913	4722911	119	131	4455295	5224681	5426164	4512851	4810927	5432180	5646276	5584555	4926628	4519463	4831915	4652769	4192015	4035420	3487197	3215634	2932840	2740738	1708826	2069430	1899797	2224880	2312305	2647481	2207076	2725400	2497910
Pb	1A3bii	135226607	77996086	45976829	35941122	32216453	23563859	19768060	16164263	13379091	10061107	6445975	3271742	2449405	2459218	2314620	1982873	2023535	2186514	1879886	1629894	1595767	1296623	1223508	1306308	1235366	1178228	1132000	1215336	1264348	1371611	991192	1360446	1406916
Pb	1A3biv	128532999	90078159	49019414	42731159	44088014	31390453	21374251	18065242	14864995	13247851	8912025	3645114	2839769	3413244	3606503	3429424	3983800	4365087	4508732	4788465	4503430	775344	682090	1581759	1805715	95	81	70	234249	1769529	1246475	1341209	1406509
Pb	2C1	36143502	36779021	34249085	35118145	35758225	29730990	27149247	25213420	24858988	30826152	36930945	37801805	37593180	36772800	39322179	37683552	39471768	41171315	39944570	31775255	37327358	35782111	32477150	34717433	37476512	42111274	37306656	33690688	34818090	33357772	23880078	33065612	30307140
Pb	2C7a	2875882	2973832	2804972	2806268	2867276	2617866	4356552	5101996	4943134	4889342	4867182	4520180	4772360	4663960	3763850	4555010	4333366	4242500	4510078	4351803	4234000	3302800	2021259	1261000	1004000	609000	833419	510719	663000	557000	444909	550000	566000
Pb	5C1biv	855606	1016887	1157439	1328732	1920428	1991728	2014300	1821716	1995832	2015055	3487825	2745516	3447328	3842248	1962826	1990302	2057096	4603564	4536632	3085612	3164144	3121954	3764998	2481826	2667650	2783622	2620770	2604892	2555316	2272063	2362900	2431020	2433283
Pb	5C2	4622388	4061719	4468532	3929639	3542303	2734170	5245663	6142139	4965557	4707884	5729954	6661943	5392864	7465431	5816430	5061633	6254104	6243820	5847059	6649746	6879091	7188829	4702229	8301555	5394222	6915893	6808642	6432506	8775225	6311730	7796816	7797929	7797929
Cd	1A1a	1237219	1581996	2399201	1137685	1082328	1650880	1086250	1009879	1534446	2465756	2233030	2543213	3199231	1892496	1892646	2119835	1508493	890592	723805	545467	530153	637435	648457	491529	474550	481298	508970	497638	468349	298377	207821	366140	341535
Cd	1A2e	8326	8337	8062	7911	10755	13329	7545	7004	5982	141468	116979	120352	148216	160914	159647	158174	165150	149716	186642	140095	108762	133995	146665	96994	58777	94529	200697	225516	229243	268082	254155	230990	242161
Cd	1A2f	14798370	13122586	10883338	9618932	10161113	11057987	9971909	9605038	9032139	7976130	5607986	4315782	4040146	3709689	3320453	2242288	1293014	332936	168515	136139	133085	128787	111192	96533	81763	101119	86924	90870	94858	96166	88747	89929	88202
Cd	1A2gviii	675758	517546	342701	363275	350696	343625	355272	278239	394818	251183	242182	257461	280577	339953	339086	339327	249512	284712	300337	238561	199042	236246	249737	180640	108090	193816	234072	266700	265043	326268	298068	280424	306270
Cd	1A4bi	1154100	1169449	1183002	1174084	1172248	1098606	1097872	1097682	1093510	1086619	1086947	1091867	1092115	1090165	1104773	1107851	1109821	1110500	1120863	1328002	1334886	1332913	1350040	1353442	1361082	1349788	976438	975374	977331	983238	983193	984784	983510
Cd	2C1	1042947	1040317	1021805	1041023	1092188	1170544	1064554	1275789	1394804	1478479	1649849	1724422	1724489	1752264	1879545	1764282	1881235	1932460	1859845	1486670	1694378	1560957	1399008	1427674	1464210	1522118	1358961	1384810	1392143	1348098	1101365	1370350	1159342
Cd	2C7a	180840	161823	152636	152708	152181	146464	224255	263269	247119	240297	241005	215430	225590	221220	186290	215500	210244	207440	230098	94100	142700	312910	209500	132200	97000	56000	67300	81800	62000	45000	36183	46000	61000
Cd	2G	103289	103272	103248	103223	103193	103158	110407	44115	73059	233278	113620	216168	221386	298700	542534	550331	500656	609979	563733	667688	411456	696915	260115	431290	431039	381884	331149	346523	396513	369606	316546	300851	323960
Cd	3F	5400524	5430712	4845554	4762836	4129629	3334250	4930695	4620272	4855541	4587018	2057259	664604	720169	681178	402014	370826	166914	138653	70061	77017	101941	200507	156893	123006	265074	276044	183478	219744	267304	234801	215196	206519	206519
Cd	5C1biv	273794	325404	370381	425194	614537	637353	644576	582949	638666	644818	1116104	878565	1103145	1229519	628104	636897	658271	1473141	1451722	987396	1012526	999025	1204799	794184	853648	890759	838646	833565	817701	727060	756128	777926	778651
Cd	5C2	482936	424359	466862	410559	370091	285660	548054	641716	518790	491868	598652	696024	563434	779970	607687	528827	653414	652339	610887	694750	718711	751072	491278	867327	563575	722556	711351	672053	916815	659434	814593	814709	814709
Hg	1A1a	3378737	3677118	4943002	3643320	3507618	4778900	2202014	2287059	2940241	3685280	3555905	3833219	4622314	3346711	3293499	3471585	2715960	2255406	1667993	1362113	1172453	1494271	1874243	1433147	1489073	1645365	1775300	1646147	1617397	627944	383511	284945	338984
Hg	1A2f	1488639	1516553	1530564	1507831	1666707	2954724	3135173	3221724	3248096	3124580	1904092	899054	885591	844316	811664	772082	772425	571897	488063	383712	401415	369343	352438	307995	379404	423551	431761	431106	443547	421308	377382	405534	322218
Hg	2B10a	1880087	1822601	1659437	1659437	1742004	1804666	1797608	1177871	935821	986731	778146	683647	683983	686275	669756	613699	509867	482886	394403	340710	284210	254863	245035	236198	238057	213593	215729	256787
Hg	2C1	837238	845041	816408	843452	878188	825745	774089	821168	854088	895699	993251	1039531	1039973	1060205	1136513	1081528	1153721	1183169	1138034	910969	1033750	949794	849322	863148	880298	907877	810812	840147	842381	816609	674954	832047	698214
Hg	3F	1050874	1051107	901939	920051	789967	632536	956682	888410	950596	863244	379310	120878	132569	126438	63957	58995	26554	22058	11146	12253	16218	31899	24960	19569	42171	43916	29190	34959	42526	37355	34236	32855	32855
Hg	5C1a	662494	444374	459494	363409	370124	147792	152813	28448	30918	41952	41600	41700	41650

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
DIOX	2C1	69814	71329	66633	68963	70437	56118	52867	45953	43562	51611	60667	62457	62202	61483	65829	63003	66374	68905	66752	53075	61978	58712	53155	56156	59827	66026	58615	54396	55830	53629	39740	53499	48089
DIOX	5C2	68991	60623	66695	58651	52870	40809	78293	91674	74113	70267	85522	99432	80491	111424	86812	75547	93345	93191	87270	99250	102673	107296	70183	123904	80511	103222	101622	96008	130974	94205	116370	116387	116387
HCB	1A2gviii	258441	198356	131118	137019	132158	131550	135898	106378	150459	94750	91294	97343	106093	128694	128930	129307	94980	108011	115242	91980	76801	91172	96298	69622	41353	74167	89653	102269	101628	125172	114390	107660	117605
HCB	1A3dii	121656	131846	129570	131799	129104	116835	117165	87195	91965	87460	73127	77058	79980	92753	88239	83641	95114	85239	72742	60354	52435	42888	44579	25779	17852	24292	38570	68233	68707	71682	44730	54268	70240
HCB	3Df	53564096	50435319	47603438	49075944	56192673	55954037	67500631	76259522	80921343	84382652	13448270	13819781	14213486	12431395	13105479	2503741	2571114	2614901	2880491	2527706	10525021	11011397	9702725	6208979	10071341	8570320	10319479	10432479	11052647	11032595	6723230	44653	44653
PCB	2K	2157342588	2162478149	2167320083	2171941113	2174003083	2178059282	2183829322	2189735326	2195739199	2163518227	2016831502	1861210700	1736762761	1630171540	1541133383	1404585749	1267840185	1131270064	941692535	823753905	687399981	649794572	614207153	620589678	599701404	556570996	544966405	520101248	487820544	459517514	416553312	415741261	415741261
PCB	NATIONALTOTAL	2185192155	2195231380	2201612134	2204642760	2210730849	2220714610	2222902687	2222584054	2229352584	2197226821	2053282356	1899480619	1775857750	1670240139	1582997155	1444284037	1310245061	1174542738	983183184	858152914	725211971	684220949	646342800	651100572	630213108	586952361	572490219	549889233	517483692	487701693	440279948	443594172	439045819
PCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	2185192155	2195231380	2201612134	2204642760	2210730849	2220714610	2222902687	2222584054	2229352584	2197226821	2053282356	1899480619	1775857750	1670240139	1582997155	1444284037	1310245061	1174542738	983183184	858152914	725211971	684220949	646342800	651100572	630213108	586952361	572490219	549889233	517483692	487701693	440279948	443594172	439045819
PCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	2185192155	2195231380	2201612134	2204642760	2210730849	2220714610	2222902687	2222584054	2229352584	2197226821	2053282356	1899480619	1775857750	1670240139	1582997155	1444284037	1310245061	1174542738	983183184	858152914	725211971	684220949	646342800	651100572	630213108	586952361	572490219	549889233	517483692	487701693	440279948	443594172	439045819