Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA for CLRTAP

KCA for NECD

Inv. comparison

Time series

Trend graphs

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TIME SERIES

Party: EE      Submission year: 2023

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2021
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2021
PMs: 2000 - 2021

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
NOx	1A3bi	13400	13427	5381	6111	9151	8246	8951	9321	8705	7859	6845	8609	7189	6001	5341	5322	5391	5162	4300	3936	3544	3360	3248	3118	2968	3287	3284	3116	3066	3014	3018	2699
NOx	1A3dii	550	471	392	392	314	314	550	471	471	392	550	550	864	706	628	628	864	1334	1570	628	628	392	314	314	471	471	392	514	504	418	503	463
NOx	1A4cii	3158	3146	2441	2180	1145	973	1182	1115	1202	527	817	2037	2276	2358	2000	1927	1642	1586	1464	1275	1224	1511	1516	1405	1554	1378	1210	1185	1126	1014	882	631
NMVOC	11B	58	17	536	194	137	56	174	344	16	331	205	19	625	62	114	26	929	88	384	18	7	6	1	24	23	25	37	10	101	15	36	10
NMVOC	11C	35438					34730					39621					38348	38166	38281	38163	37567	37313	37821	37889	38541	39312	39840	40616	40616	40975	41130	41130
NMVOC	1A3bi	10660	10858	4166	4885	7267	6366	7435	7658	7523	6742	5537	7190	5915	4811	4044	4006	3839	3496	2867	2586	2281	1831	1685	1389	1146	1168	1235	1168	1191	1196	956	1018
NMVOC	1A3biii	2553	1693	1221	1246	1013	700	682	808	897	773	716	715	670	499	439	388	389	356	345	230	227	217	192	169	151	142	121	109	94	87	68	73
NMVOC	2H2	1788	1541	1097	899	837	839	713	745	742	646	619	650	715	734	768	724	779	808	799	747	720	766	740	720	653	655	671	694	709	725	702	725
NMVOC	3B1b	3534	3504	2905	1911	1628	1438	1359	1255	1164	1047	968	1009	1084	1088	1050	1093	1088	1101	1072	1092	1077	1056	1086	1153	1166	1106	1113	1122	1153	1173	1187	1226
SOx	1A1a	233784	211333	169060	133874	133034	98139	105683	102396	94704	89684	88283	84052	78083	92118	81437	70701	64961	85034	66390	52672	80416	69440	39659	38843	41520	33707	33014	36541	28403	15334	8386	9457
SOx	NATIONALTOTAL	278247	252166	192704	156222	151428	116543	125283	118340	106662	99387	97035	90633	85645	99626	88510	76546	69872	87975	69371	54695	83217	72547	42648	41654	44085	36173	35156	38967	30935	18929	11080	11867
SOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	278247	252166	192704	156222	151428	116543	125283	118340	106662	99387	97035	90633	85645	99626	88510	76546	69872	87975	69371	54695	83217	72547	42648	41654	44085	36173	35156	38967	30935	18929	11080	11867
SOx	NTCOMPLIANCE	278247	252166	192704	156222	151428	116543	125283	118340	106662	99387	97035	90633	85645	99626	88510	76546	69872	87975	69371	54695	83217	72547	42648	41654	44085	36173	35156	38967	30935	18929	11080	11867
CO	11B	582	174	5361	1941	1369	558	1737	3440	162	3310	2051	185	6245	620	1137	260	9287	877	3839	178	74	58	8	236	233	249	369	99	1015	150	357	98
CO	1A3bi	104183	106887	39312	46291	67512	57810	69622	72167	74760	66676	51794	65476	54035	44392	36782	35912	33868	30861	25479	23008	20657	16491	15363	12836	10848	10640	10855	9813	9257	9162	6978	6341
CO	NATIONALTOTAL	246267	235812	144579	137355	167873	214762	251190	249161	215459	196974	181245	192321	175818	177140	159081	142141	131615	150784	147486	148892	146900	123220	136764	126321	121105	116354	124015	126067	123295	122466	120423	109394
CO	NTCOMPL(NECD)	246267	235812	144579	137355	167873	214762	251190	249161	215459	196974	181245	192321	175818	177140	159081	142141	131615	150784	147486	148892	146900	123220	136764	126321	121105	116354	124015	126067	123295	122466	120423	109394
CO	NTCOMPLIANCE	246267	235812	144579	137355	167873	214762	251190	249161	215459	196974	181245	192321	175818	177140	159081	142141	131615	150784	147486	148892	146900	123220	136764	126321	121105	116354	124015	126067	123295	122466	120423	109394

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
PM2.5	11B	865	78	2635	259	477	109	3940	375	1666	78	33	26	3	109	108	115	171	46	465	68	160	44
PM2.5	1A1a	4555	4462	4829	3744	2759	2560	2137	5268	1361	1639	5252	11040	2599	4816	3631	2254	1644	1808	1479	829	683	478
PM2.5	2B10a	89	71	43	67	179	146	126	99	245	25	4	4	4	92	4	1	1	0	1	1	1	1
PM2.5	NATIONALTOTAL	10814	10696	11096	9947	9230	8495	7809	11402	7521	7258	10811	16016	7651	9537	8235	6652	5983	6224	5872	5076	5135	4840
PM2.5	NTCOMPL(NECD)	10814	10696	11096	9947	9230	8495	7809	11402	7521	7258	10811	16016	7651	9537	8235	6652	5983	6224	5872	5076	5135	4840
PM2.5	NTCOMPLIANCE	10814	10696	11096	9947	9230	8495	7809	11402	7521	7258	10811	16016	7651	9537	8235	6652	5983	6224	5872	5076	5135	4840
PM10	11B	1057	95	3220	317	583	134	4816	458	2036	96	41	32	4	133	132	141	209	56	568	83	196	54
PM10	1A1a	17714	17219	12943	10498	7940	6604	4341	11489	3568	3676	11501	24444	5593	10253	7670	4491	3145	3503	2811	1419	1087	755
PM10	NATIONALTOTAL	27398	26778	22885	20798	19709	17907	15434	23623	16335	14841	22136	34720	16868	20833	17626	14569	12814	13534	13528	11780	12664	12169
PM10	NTCOMPL(NECD)	27398	26778	22885	20798	19709	17907	15434	23623	16335	14841	22136	34720	16868	20833	17626	14569	12814	13534	13528	11780	12664	12169
PM10	NTCOMPLIANCE	27398	26778	22885	20798	19709	17907	15434	23623	16335	14841	22136	34720	16868	20833	17626	14569	12814	13534	13528	11780	12664	12169
TSP	11B	1634	147	4977	489	901	206	7443	708	3147	148	63	50	6	206	204	218	323	87	878	129	303	83
TSP	1A1a	49487	47853	27148	23043	18241	11237	5838	13479	7411	5605	13847	28736	7735	11531	8596	5037	3563	3997	3294	1885	1440	1025
TSP	2A6	645	993	1117	1285	1390	1280	1379	1500	1067	26	14	23	25	23	20	19	19	29	32
BC	11B	78	7	237	23	43	10	355	34	150	7	3	2	0	10	10	10	15	4	42	6	14	4
BC	1A1a	140	147	159	124	108	109	91	156	62	64	148	267	78	143	108	83	89	89	85	64	67	43
BC	1A2gviii	30	36	45	53	53	55	34	32	40	26	30	30	20	21	19	21	3	2	3	2	3	2

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
Pb	1A1a	57818651	50807245	42970578	32673825	32148816	29889643	30864008	28460318	25230660	20851513	20548366	16682510	14767614	10710902	6961492	3599400	1360286	4325008	2003890	1259438	4572243	7245013	2236590	2779602	2441659	1716648	1881031	2076786	1890297	1220232	1004974	835909
Pb	1A2f	61841357	60454276	40482464	29579963	42193759	25087050	7460822	541675	552816	499771	527742	585175	506415	479542	555184	87867	110343	174076	181476	94337	46822	38790	49527	52232	93757	28775	22465	9615	38997	126101	53032	5853
Pb	1A3bi	50589167	50828725	19909884	22963816	34862467	20977773	18693583	7614689	5585763	5623229	4150212	5040269	4652784	1744351	1679785	1760196	1122528	1183092	1187901	1090772	35242	32565	31129	29168	458	465	484	503	526	534	459	437
Pb	1A3biii	17847868	10890402	8353125	8268863	5770254	1697186	1253143	672762	554490	559555	344312	291528	225445	56104	26920	20557	18732	15534	12471	7766	339	257	225	203	97	96	90	89	87	84	75	93
Pb	1A3bvi	875979	789942	395497	440997	559071	526785	549626	595610	597804	556256	568715	711017	728094	704953	737253	763078	824830	875640	868509	782162	803831	826187	841104	831593	848751	880774	915667	948757	992197	997955	953812	1001525
Pb	2G	2030	3099	4728	7267	11177	17179	23177	53198	70624	86594	54118	65645	77367	100063	150042	260541	304899	386168	245510	100125	217169	230059	308903	344770	405685	288080	333555	339406	412884	385001	83634	303491
Cd	1A1a	988288	868157	740388	570221	583374	529431	549702	522006	470323	406438	392664	340182	319939	265850	221621	171684	126609	192137	143131	117343	201685	236842	155307	230075	221096	194892	211707	232000	228702	174692	154372	117785
Cd	1A2f	3216509	3144922	2103267	1538625	2192727	1301282	386505	27691	28444	25880	27362	28255	26168	24753	27812	2917	4108	4946	5587	2837	2713	2966	4337	7922	5567	2973	2557	2088	1637	1864	1862	1176
Cd	1A4ai	31517	32401	24471	17940	26630	5313	5957	9609	9081	12086	12833	16601	13730	16079	18030	23725	19434	19359	22019	19424	18428	25403	22959	21982	16255	17384	14603	17705	14975	14765	16476	13504
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	4455786	4267143	3063015	2334389	3038037	2176296	1338048	951630	835923	766772	758984	715991	686059	657192	603398	512053	452860	577186	527094	501316	587409	600261	529942	601808	583731	558555	568399	592986	583141	522100	508874	457556
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	4455786	4267143	3063015	2334389	3038037	2176296	1338048	951630	835923	766772	758984	715991	686059	657192	603398	512053	452860	577186	527094	501316	587409	600261	529942	601808	583731	558555	568399	592986	583141	522100	508874	457556
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	4455786	4267143	3063015	2334389	3038037	2176296	1338048	951630	835923	766772	758984	715991	686059	657192	603398	512053	452860	577186	527094	501316	587409	600261	529942	601808	583731	558555	568399	592986	583141	522100	508874	457556
Hg	1A1a	1018997	901291	749963	570273	560753	508767	525390	488897	432135	360872	354569	292949	269977	204778	145595	88372	50579	106363	64179	51144	116354	159584	78444	133983	134030	116901	126542	132839	125687	99072	106831	115532
Hg	1A2f	70736	68878	50392	33966	47562	33734	13232	4710	4998	4708	5142	8671	5127	4753	6874	3329	4435	8454	8240	3491	1309	469	1049	203	952	355	706	1599	10964	10205	1523	183
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	1204402	1088346	888541	687852	693095	643002	646088	596818	536065	464630	461040	400418	372672	304948	246519	182240	145139	207618	166010	146079	209913	253259	173236	229274	229926	213222	222139	230325	233351	206031	208297	217472
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1204402	1088346	888541	687852	693095	643002	646088	596818	536065	464630	461040	400418	372672	304948	246519	182240	145139	207618	166010	146079	209913	253259	173236	229274	229926	213222	222139	230325	233351	206031	208297	217472
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	1204402	1088346	888541	687852	693095	643002	646088	596818	536065	464630	461040	400418	372672	304948	246519	182240	145139	207618	166010	146079	209913	253259	173236	229274	229926	213222	222139	230325	233351	206031	208297	217472

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
DIOX	11B	27	8	241	88	63	26	82	165	8	151	96	9	293	29	53	12	438	42	185	9	4	3	0	12	12	13	19	5	52	8		5
DIOX	1A3bi	167	167	66	76	117	109	123	132	126	121	129	162	156	163	157	173	210	231	216	215	212	218	221	217	211	230	219	210	204	200	199	167
DIOX	1A4ai	248	241	187	159	245	28	25	105	101	108	104	137	122	130	183	160	144	154	141	104	113	113	87	101	75	60	61	52	65	71	82	56
DIOX	1A4bi	5292	5298	3139	2435	2052	3452	4121	3550	2495	2505	2285	1987	1946	1785	1885	1603	1418	1470	1475	1381	1392	1213	1219	1123	1035	915	852	835	789	738	729	696
DIOX	NATIONALTOTAL	10414	10278	7051	5786	5920	6952	7901	7216	7677	7553	7260	7042	7517	6801	6595	6483	5609	5361	6643	6096	5993	6842	5272	4295	4433	4141	4163	4331	4365	4212	4193	3770
DIOX	NTCOMPL(NECD)	10414	10278	7051	5786	5920	6952	7901	7216	7677	7553	7260	7042	7517	6801	6595	6483	5609	5361	6643	6096	5993	6842	5272	4295	4433	4141	4163	4331	4365	4212	4193	3770
DIOX	NTCOMPLIANCE	10414	10278	7051	5786	5920	6952	7901	7216	7677	7553	7260	7042	7517	6801	6595	6483	5609	5361	6643	6096	5993	6842	5272	4295	4433	4141	4163	4331	4365	4212	4193	3770
HCB	5C1biii	1190	1188	1178	1145	1119	1097	1080	1625	1602	1076	1575	1264	1511	1929	1864	2270	279	1059	4888	14186	12586	12585	12957	3316	13982	16150	16474	20849	21764	21825	55022	51486
PCB	1A4ai	10913	5473	26	23	5475	5442	2721	48966	49305	44206	39445	48968	42508	45228	44215	52200	31972	35033	23983	19219	16500	11911	14287	23636	14285	5106	8505	6	7485	6806	7317	7212