Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA for CLRTAP

KCA for NECD

Inv. comparison

Time series

Trend graphs

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TIME SERIES

Party: EE      Submission year: 2020

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09 and NFR14 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2018
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2018
PMs: 2000 - 2018

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
NOx	1A3bi	12991	13105	5116	5760	9044	8085	8604	9097	8493	7674	7591	8410	7015	5865	5231	5220	5364	5144	4198	3908	3499	3358	3244	3125	2991	3300	3294	3169	3152
NOx	1A3dii	550	550	392	392	314	314	550	471	471	413	550	550	864	706	628	628	864	1334	1570	628	628	392	345	347	502	504	426	514	392
NMVOC	11B	58	17	536	194	137	56	174	344	16	331	205	19	625	62	114	26	929	88	384	18	7	6	1	24	23	25	37	10	101
NMVOC	1A2gviii	620	610	280	250	290	230	470	330	390	390	112	387	891	928	883	575	621	547	879	412	632	524	378	517	470	810	572	757	411
NMVOC	1A3bi	10330	10594	3958	4599	7181	6238	7144	7472	7338	6582	6659	7019	5764	4692	3946	3912	3820	3486	2839	2568	2234	1829	1681	1370	1134	1102	1096	981	898
NMVOC	NATIONALTOTAL	63737	60841	41151	32854	35689	39932	40872	42404	39127	36150	36475	35365	34699	33182	33575	31784	30607	28067	26383	23720	23206	23136	23524	22856	22901	22556	22387	23388	22385
NMVOC	NTCOMPL(NECD)	63737	60841	41151	32854	35689	39932	40872	42404	39127	36150	36475	35365	34699	33182	33575	27630	30607	28067	26383	23720	23206	23136	23524	22856	22901	22556	22387	23388	22385
NMVOC	NTCOMPLIANCE	63737	60841	41151	32854	35689	39932	40872	42404	39127	36150	36475	35365	34699	33182	33575	31784	30607	28067	26383	23720	23206	23136	23524	22856	22901	22556	22387	23388	22385
SOx	1A2f											940	264	2339	3265	2495	1973	1970	1061	1086	289	1006	1017	1048	836	529	271	223	325	263
NH3	3Da2c	10	10	11	11	12	13	9	16	3	9	28	26	24	99	96	137	142	281	262	300	285	195	217	268	188	219	298	247	317
CO	11B	582	174	5361	1941	1369	558	1737	3440	162	3310	2051	185	6245	620	1137	260	9287	877	3839	178	74	58	8	236	233	249	369	99	1015
CO	1A3bi	100953	104274	37349	43582	66720	56654	66902	70425	72936	65127	60178	63945	52691	43345	35946	35127	33790	30843	25362	22961	20317	16579	15538	12790	10858	10526	10669	9722	8948
CO	NATIONALTOTAL	236242	228783	134814	128291	162523	212158	244813	247855	218735	202987	198538	200394	189856	182694	173718	152717	141534	157392	156319	155830	156671	131511	141615	134284	128762	128855	140029	138205	129802
CO	NTCOMPL(NECD)	236242	228783	134814	128291	162523	212158	244813	247855	218735	202987	198538	200394	189856	182694	173718	152717	141534	157392	156319	155830	156671	131511	141615	134284	128762	128855	140029	138205	129802
CO	NTCOMPLIANCE	236242	228783	134814	128291	162523	212158	244813	247855	218735	202987	198538	200394	189856	182694	173718	152717	141534	157392	156319	155830	156671	131511	141615	134284	128762	128855	140029	138205	129802

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
PM2.5	11B	931	85	2921	287	526	122	4422	423	1904	90	38	29	4	119	116	124	183	49	462
PM2.5	1A1a	7307	7047	6406	4051	4966	4309	2537	5406	3198	2896	6315	11720	3131	5961	3703	3029	2308	2325	1824
PM2.5	1A1c	360	280	310	243	160	290	230	300	200	305	536	220	218	148	189	120	150	126	107
PM2.5	NATIONALTOTAL	15324	16246	16619	14280	15419	12964	9765	12659	11868	9615	13904	18262	8731	12114	8898	9728	7909	9356	6807
PM2.5	NTCOMPL(NECD)	15324	16246	16619	14280	15419	12964	9765	12659	11868	9615	13904	18262	8731	12114	8898	9728	7909	9356	6807
PM2.5	NTCOMPLIANCE	15324	16246	16619	14280	15419	12964	9765	12659	11868	9615	13904	18262	8731	12114	8898	9728	7909	9356	6807
PM10	11B	1138	104	3570	351	643	149	5405	518	2327	110	46	36	5	145	142	151	224	60	564
PM10	1A1a	20577	19747	14486	10776	10556	8529	4967	11356	6135	5201	12674	25096	5918	11286	7391	5205	3648	4049	2993
PM10	1A1c	820	730	730	663	420	550	460	590	380	606	924	437	459	309	401	258	321	270	226
PM10	NATIONALTOTAL	32072	31982	28040	24327	24881	21174	16311	22754	18970	15492	23369	34481	14162	20402	15374	14661	12233	14229	11270
PM10	NTCOMPL(NECD)	32072	31982	28040	24327	24881	21174	16311	22754	18970	15492	23369	34481	14162	20402	15374	14661	12233	14229	11270
PM10	NTCOMPLIANCE	32072	31982	28040	24327	24881	21174	16311	22754	18970	15492	23369	34481	14162	20402	15374	14661	12233	14229	11270
TSP	11B	1759	160	5517	543	994	230	8353	800	3596	169	71	55	7	224	220	234	346	92	872
TSP	1A1c	1870	1810	1740	1840	1100	1030	870	1030	543	845	1234	573	616	410	537	344	428	359	289
TSP	2A6	645	993	1117	1285	1390	1280	1379	1500	1067	26	14	23	25	23	20	19	19	29	32
BC	11B	84	8	263	26	47	11	398	38	171	8	3	3	0	11	10	11	16	4	42
BC	1A1a	889	858	780	493	604	551	308	658	389	352	769	1427	332	602	346	393	390	329	281
BC	1A3bii	116	70	85	76	84	82	71	68	58	43	44	40	39	34	30	28	28	26	25
BC	1A4cii	27	20	75	77	71	65	64	66	65	59	64	85	82	72	105	106	85	76	73

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
Pb	1A2gviii	62460004	61070004	40790002	29950002	42650001	25340002	7770002	837002	753002	613001	278717	714337	797338	949158	1047008	875608	710132	798158	1351613	825167	722184	481111	323396	416584	406921	669615	379860	697472	369502
Pb	1A3bi	49403659	49864309	19110718	21827507	34751202	20898392	18357927	7617429	5591588	5626831	4152212	5042505	4654641	1744971	1681034	1765156	1125993	1186714	1185071	1093810	34503	32556	31291	29323	459	466	486	502	514
Pb	1A3biii	17414360	10675300	8005013	7847188	5740962	1686832	1227598	671450	553416	558441	343350	290632	224806	55928	26835	20524	18689	15493	12368	7738	332	251	225	202	98	96	90	89	87
Pb	5C2	794873	794873	899766	773282	983090	1085962	1174584	1233977	1158887	1173670	1186811	829317	897883	938321	489685	484055	489067	411117	380255	322797	301000	304425	288939	306509	317029	330126	337844	340739	357990
Cd	1A1a	1130009	1000009	870005	660002	650003	620004	630004	610004	550004	530004	500004	470004	480004	560003	540003	520783	510004	610004	522615	425439	612585	610727	532433	708794	631498	492250	548514	534029	484207
Cd	1A2f											26870	27190	25480	9330	1000	400	2807	1930	9629	717	1032	1660	2729	5694	4634	3369	2267	549	1879
Cd	1A2gviii	3230001	3160001	2110000	1540000	2200000	1310000	390000	430000	430000	390000	3131	12811	24521	20671	9001	12106	7194	28071	47394	20581	19431	11217	11180	11063	12011	17600	10216	19785	11517
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	4561117	4358618	3155882	2382078	3079247	2257542	1385562	1424734	1305011	1240738	863840	836604	854760	921227	856337	820233	809496	980101	899833	780394	966139	929991	864635	1038086	969892	819439	882259	876540	812682
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	4561117	4358618	3155882	2382078	3079247	2257542	1385562	1424734	1305011	1240738	863840	836604	854760	921227	856337	820233	809496	980101	899833	780394	966139	929991	864635	1038086	969892	819439	882259	876540	812682
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	4561117	4358618	3155882	2382078	3079247	2257542	1385562	1424734	1305011	1240738	863840	836604	854760	921227	856337	820233	809496	980101	899833	780394	966139	929991	864635	1038086	969892	819439	882259	876540	812682
Hg	1A1a	1013581	903675	761980	590796	581118	551430	561716	561611	501456	481473	471472	461520	461401	551311	521365	501536	501500	611437	520726	417742	607097	610114	532534	642909	629571	494281	561938	531353	481565
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	1200709	1094093	909105	727779	736186	698285	696928	703835	637688	617401	618513	602686	603365	691218	632752	608867	613104	743703	657355	525609	709916	714067	636977	747861	738805	600503	668187	639892	599485
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1200709	1094093	909105	727779	736186	698285	696928	703835	637688	617401	618513	602686	603365	691218	632752	608867	613104	743703	657355	525609	709916	714067	636977	747861	738805	600503	668187	639892	599485
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	1200709	1094093	909105	727779	736186	698285	696928	703835	637688	617401	618513	602686	603365	691218	632752	608867	613104	743703	657355	525609	709916	714067	636977	747861	738805	600503	668187	639892	599485

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
DIOX	1A3bi	188	189	79	92	146	136	134	145	136	134	138	178	176	181	188	202	233	251	223	226	220	227	227	222	214	232	221	212	206
DIOX	1A4bi	3130	3231	1446	1114	1094	2283	2858	2911	2173	2500	2273	1988	2013	1784	1908	1599	1418	1469	1472	1388	1390	1226	1215	1125	1048	923	855	847	789
DIOX	5C1bi	53	53	52	51	50	49	49	26	55	41	116	136	134	129	160	117	13	263	426	508	255	295	140	220	250	638	639	802	348
HCB	NATIONALTOTAL	196513	190883	167120	144447	215871	334492	370944	383549	331591	316399	319087	325605	300479	312682	344479	283285	261575	322358	334592	307840	347730	313823	328736	335468	280411	279669	283641	309774	317509
HCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	196513	190883	167120	144447	215871	334492	370944	383549	331591	316399	319087	325605	300479	312682	344479	283285	261575	322358	334592	307840	347730	313823	328736	335468	280411	279669	283641	309774	317509
HCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	196513	190883	167120	144447	215871	334492	370944	383549	331591	316399	319087	325605	300479	312682	344479	283285	261575	322358	334592	307840	347730	313823	328736	335468	280411	279669	283641	309774	317509
PCB	1A4bi	600585	637963	206486	119458	24087	106261	190188	198702	144229	257739	208936	160785	186088	129986	185545	165886	131012	76397	82001	53794	61775	79010	69502	69461	62469	39327	15197	18930	9568
PCB	NATIONALTOTAL	8375782	8539320	5609069	5048215	5149540	4122681	4724907	4317272	4350256	3773184	2620688	4197539	4002832	4752608	3709929	3456511	3045442	1806422	2801797	3056841	4175035	3618225	3479834	3939589	4222076	4232330	4193541	5042371	5100842
PCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	8375782	8539320	5609069	5048215	5149540	4122681	4724907	4317272	4350256	3773184	2620688	4197539	4002832	4752608	3709929	3456511	3045442	1806422	2801797	3056841	4175035	3618225	3479834	3939589	4222076	4232330	4193541	5042371	5100842
PCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	8375782	8539320	5609069	5048215	5149540	4122681	4724907	4317272	4350256	3773184	2620688	4197539	4002832	4752608	3709929	3456511	3045442	1806422	2801797	3056841	4175035	3618225	3479834	3939589	4222076	4232330	4193541	5042371	5100842