Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA for CLRTAP

KCA for NECD

Inv. comparison

Time series

Trend graphs

Add Comments

---

TIME SERIES

Party: DK      Submission year: 2023

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2021
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2021
PMs: 2000 - 2021

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
NOx	1A3ai(ii)	6510	5976	6156	5993	6619	6744	7044	7147	7760	8248	8447	8617	7684	8288	9536	9989	10090	10349	10262	8988	9319	9668	9874	9996	11068	10798	11592	12214	12875	13352	4198	5563
NOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	294287	343991	300223	299133	301331	282481	316185	269311	249334	230753	217957	215047	212492	221750	206505	180782	198514	185245	169320	150318	144831	136759	126609	122003	112787	109051	109287	107095	101448	96648	69515	71007
NMVOC	2D3g	8138	9319	9099	7158	9263	9718	9972	8576	8084	7645	7078	6296	6312	5097	6118	6305	5653	6112	6097	5115	4907	4923	4962	4725	4431	4926	4276	4584	5012	5230	6556	5779
NMVOC	NTCOMPL(NECD)	212371	220667	220620	212449	214005	210034	211801	199796	190554	183273	180877	171651	166360	162695	158291	110634	149300	147012	143703	133864	131029	124908	119814	120967	112530	114788	110531	108668	107826	102811	60180	60190
NMVOC	NTCOMPLIANCE	212371	220667	220620	212449	214005	210034	211801	199796	190554	183273	180877	171651	166360	162695	158291	133567	149300	147012	143703	133864	131029	124908	119814	120967	112530	114788	110531	108668	107826	102811	82536	82175
SOx	1A2e	6144	6378	5452	5557	5989	5242	5170	3910	3589	3280	3302	3446	3131	2948	2939	2472	3139	2296	1436	1355	1510	1395	1092	887	812	572	588	535	565	520	673	421
SOx	1A3ai(ii)	501	460	474	462	510	520	544	552	600	637	652	664	568	598	690	727	733	752	746	653	680	700	708	699	763	745	799	827	862	884	274	359
SOx	1B2aiv	3335	2713	3147	2526	4266	3022	2614	1982	1441	1359	981	672	332	246	119	347	755	746	931	420	981	1150	881	517	397	406	337	809	1172	776	548	360
SOx	2A6	2958	2505	2624	2612	3514	3153	3381	3740	3154	3153	3069	2347	2381	2178	2724	3013	4021	5001	2663	1364	1475	1164	1202	1219	668	732	888	1203	1024	1070	889	610
NH3	3B1b	4638	4643	4683	4512	4218	4144	4107	3972	3818	3788	4357	4516	4405	4292	4431	2815	2967	3556	3600	3464	3372	3480	3470	3553	3481	3434	3407	3255	3225	3126	3105	3078
CO	1A4cii	36585	34392	32139	30115	28263	26714	24930	23298	21518	19852	18301	16936	15503	12177	11772	11658	10557	10825	10939	10884	10631	10265	9850	9356	8826	8243	7734	7292	6848	6433	6034	5887
CO	2A6	11148	11148	11148	11148	11148	8859	11611	9190	13271	12811	11450	10590	10524	11759	15598	11889	9035	6398	6544	2444	11	13	31	10	9	18	11	11	13	11	10	9

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
PM2.5	2A5b	239	179	282	166	232	253	218	163	742	226	268	202	213	208	308	121	94	134	210	110	141	133
PM10	2A5b	2385	1792	2807	1661	2318	2523	2184	1638	7387	2260	2671	2015	2129	2070	3066	1213	944	1345	2097	1103	1409	1332
PM10	NATIONALTOTAL	32506	32146	31463	31371	31951	32648	32936	34741	39069	31909	32544	30048	28835	28525	28003	26901	26598	26436	25666	23350	22412	22363
PM10	NTCOMPL(NECD)	32506	32146	31463	31371	31951	32648	32936	34741	39069	31909	32544	30048	28835	28525	28003	26901	26598	26436	25666	23350	22412	22363
PM10	NTCOMPLIANCE	32506	32146	31463	31371	31951	32648	32936	34741	39069	31909	32544	30048	28835	28525	28003	26901	26598	26436	25666	23350	22412	22363
TSP	2A5b	7914	5925	9344	5500	7692	8391	7245	5421	24663	7505	8900	6714	7089	6895	10225	4025	3123	4463	6983	3654	4684	4426
TSP	NATIONALTOTAL	101741	100477	92779	90586	93412	95405	95010	95695	114596	94698	97261	93173	91227	90304	92472	86601	85565	92076	90983	87814	84274	84157
TSP	NTCOMPL(NECD)	101741	100477	92779	90586	93412	95405	95010	95695	114596	94698	97261	93173	91227	90304	92472	86601	85565	92076	90983	87814	84274	84157
TSP	NTCOMPLIANCE	101741	100477	92779	90586	93412	95405	95010	95695	114596	94698	97261	93173	91227	90304	92472	86601	85565	92076	90983	87814	84274	84157

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
Pb	1A1a	12005915	11545160	9862263	8579662	6664735	4547237	5118103	3815738	3537977	3154605	2954743	2870154	2631302	2232852	2085835	1727168	472595	538261	408038	352972	363196	367051	323477	383305	353677	335156	359888	369459	322506	305853	320873	345225
Pb	1A3aii(i)	1534103	1422540	1377996	1328253	1638789	1788435	1639883	1559182	1398573	1386771	1369482	1343330	1327893	1252396	1304285	1296867	1245300	1328880	1181880	991198	929040	775740	847560	876120	525000	575400	634620	418320	664860	547680	598080	357000
Pb	1A3bi	91750130	71441526	64728611	28062887	72353	72921	73240	75149	76080	76650	77132	76731	79406	83088	86168	86144	88695	94064	95404	95802	97946	102467	106131	109811	113362	118681	121196	123516	127196	127170	115761	117875
Pb	1A3bii	6154369	4697536	4265765	1884185	21432	21378	21650	21965	22446	23345	24066	24760	25241	26877	28905	30387	33377	36928	37272	35135	34688	33353	32297	31112	29974	30107	29803	29876	30046	28650	26659	27443
Pb	1A4bi	483591	595594	564842	578227	535255	494495	465459	468142	429675	425266	485495	557451	572206	645899	683870	793159	874781	1038888	1011775	1008141	1079304	972670	937699	971756	944784	1094257	1155117	1099043	1037925	954270	897403	923382
Pb	2A3	475600	461100	420500	407450	435580	406000	406000	883000	523000	562000	330000	172000	220000	272000	436000	148000	12000	16000	18000	18000	24000	25000	116000	22000	9700	45149	48472	43348	45300	45837	40729	45582
Pb	2C1	3281652	3225420	3220485	3322255	2377340	2021419	1103610	1169442	1104338	1137393	992865	1074127	327963	334221	361163	589895	274739	253867	252998	161810	261908	295697	274000	276203	337947	291570	299883	313648	341664	301202	253499	323172
Pb	2G	2854307	3759612	4075898	3595805	4352248	6638065	6102827	4829329	7805588	14737670	3303515	2609775	3238888	4131911	5840927	2529179	2901378	60568	52574	58017	40999	35702	68872	67695	55035	77285	36309	38462	40056	44876	32806	60792
Pb	5E	2058081	2067945	2072928	2140892	2101537	2108205	2130354	2119631	2138412	2127802	2137627	2134336	2129394	2114720	2100676	2126122	2147459	2006422	2628078	2729733	2366440	2123712	1897341	1985112	1712020	1748036	1958040	2135950	2140902	2153937	2164614	2173581
Cd	1A1b	32183	34008	36613	37688	39833	48436	49496	38768	34612	35743	35656	36236	34917	37343	36086	34439	36037	35843	31876	33665	31783	30628	33476	33097	34094	36152	32177	34775	33261	35591	33670	34581
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	1209251	1242107	1079431	996991	843784	720484	739812	690474	650483	640864	633280	684483	655462	681389	677580	688571	664466	750206	727216	696862	725914	678989	658119	678572	664643	738199	763640	748010	713817	673141	639714	667136
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1209251	1242107	1079431	996991	843784	720484	739812	690474	650483	640864	633280	684483	655462	681389	677580	688571	664466	750206	727216	696862	725914	678989	658119	678572	664643	738199	763640	748010	713817	673141	639714	667136
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	1209251	1242107	1079431	996991	843784	720484	739812	690474	650483	640864	633280	684483	655462	681389	677580	688571	664466	750206	727216	696862	725914	678989	658119	678572	664643	738199	763640	748010	713817	673141	639714	667136
Hg	1A1a	2448469	2528676	2268054	2183983	1939330	1731849	1809324	1343515	1126925	967132	574183	488447	502012	521759	364907	360980	309088	281575	316389	238150	218140	226511	154960	168951	173087	133470	155054	136171	120464	96560	107243	105169
Hg	2C1	250195	249446	249380	269963	147591	147019	219515	207953	154018	123765	67318	40028	4373	4425	4782	17290	3625	3341	3332	2137	3458	3905	3625	3648	4471	3850	3958	4140	4511	3970	3338	4264
Hg	5C1bv	45869	45505	46388	48334	47851	49065	48410	47995	46618	47333	46607	46670	47601	46995	46500	45608	46140	46736	46761	47455	47054	462	458	474	465	484	490	495	519	516	525	548
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	3164093	3280885	2999468	2931593	2545576	2322427	2462815	1979723	1680912	1484654	1004183	873514	844745	866338	725666	690614	615527	602741	596047	451012	428195	394427	307469	330614	334250	284958	331627	281769	272097	228599	233773	236864
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	3164093	3280885	2999468	2931593	2545576	2322427	2462815	1979723	1680912	1484654	1004183	873514	844745	866338	725666	690614	615527	602741	596047	451012	428195	394427	307469	330614	334250	284958	331627	281769	272097	228599	233773	236864
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	3164093	3280885	2999468	2931593	2545576	2322427	2462815	1979723	1680912	1484654	1004183	873514	844745	866338	725666	690614	615527	602741	596047	451012	428195	394427	307469	330614	334250	284958	331627	281769	272097	228599	233773	236864

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
DIOX	2C3	1058	1058	1058	1058	1058	1058	877	1112	1154	997	1151	1168	1125	925	684	820	1096	1229	1268
HCB	1A3biii	233630	230617	223767	219176	237287	240070	245816	246945	248387	253808	243799	249204	252355	274450	286942	294402	305618	320598	304570	275724	286394	300404	283219	275864	297068	300560	314157	319843	328050	322994	314725	323183
HCB	2C3	604700	604700	604700	604700	604700	604700	501220	635700	659560	569560	657440	667580	642580	528340	391140	468600	626300	702360	724400
HCB	3Df	4288822	13250038	7292525	3333132	3666797	3370332	3762780	11712022	7569458	3520630	335835	45138	14648	28275	44495	14685	15182	35725	12672	9790	58955	97050	30725	48445	46712	41972	57022	183322	143527	97378	121005	121005
PCB	2C3	102799	102799	102799	102799	102799	102799	85207	108069	112125	96825	111765	113489	109239	89818	66494	79662	106471	119401	123148