Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA

Inv. comparison

Time series

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TIME SERIES

Party: DK      Submission year: 2022

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2020
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2020
PMs: 2000 - 2020

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
NMVOC	NTCOMPL(NECD)	212932	221240	221191	213054	214544	210511	212329	200327	191057	184318	182269	172772	167424	163765	159555	111538	150093	147549	144240	134321	131981	125319	120173	121259	112975	115369	111082	109049	108080	103205	60393
SOx	1A2e	6089	6318	5397	5501	5936	5230	5161	3901	3580	3269	3292	3434	3119	2939	2929	2461	3129	2287	1430	1349	1505	1392	1090	885	812	571	587	535	564	519	616
SOx	1B2aiv	3335	2713	3147	2526	4266	3022	2614	1982	1441	1359	981	672	332	246	119	347	755	746	931	420	981	1150	881	517	397	406	337	809	1172	776	548
SOx	2A6	2958	2505	2624	2612	3514	3153	3381	3740	3154	3153	3069	2347	2381	2178	2724	3013	4021	5001	2663	1364	1475	1164	1202	1219	668	732	888	1203	1024	1070	889
SOx	2B10a	1073	1029	1143	996	1047	1005	836	845	620	690	621	632	594	477	507	615	380	96	108	113	116	193	230	170	141	156	36	21	337	21	84
NH3	3B1b	4638	4643	4683	4512	4218	4144	4107	3972	3818	3788	4357	4516	4405	4292	4431	2810	2956	3530	3571	3432	3340	3436	3423	3505	3428	3379	3354	3232	3201	3103	3081
CO	2A6	11148	11148	11148	11148	11148	8859	11611	9190	13271	12811	11450	10590	10524	11759	15598	11889	9035	6398	6544	2444	11	13	31	10	9	18	10	11	12	10	10

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
PM2.5	2A5b	239	179	282	166	232	253	218	163	742	226	268	202	213	208	308	121	94	132	208	107	133
PM10	2A5b	2385	1792	2807	1661	2318	2523	2184	1638	7387	2260	2671	2015	2129	2070	3066	1213	939	1318	2080	1077	1327
PM10	NATIONALTOTAL	32862	32507	31771	31725	32287	32967	33234	34930	39244	32136	32753	30184	28977	28670	28146	27063	26740	26568	25805	23496	22599
PM10	NTCOMPL(NECD)	32862	32507	31771	31725	32287	32967	33234	34930	39244	32136	32753	30184	28977	28670	28146	27063	26740	26568	25805	23496	22599
PM10	NTCOMPLIANCE	32862	32507	31771	31725	32287	32967	33234	34930	39244	32136	32753	30184	28977	28670	28146	27063	26740	26568	25805	23496	22599
TSP	2A5b	7914	5925	9344	5500	7692	8391	7245	5421	24663	7505	8900	6714	7089	6895	10225	4025	3106	4373	6927	3570	4414
TSP	NATIONALTOTAL	102079	100823	93076	90930	93737	95714	95299	95872	114763	94920	97462	93308	91363	90444	92611	86762	85694	92141	91077	87904	84326
TSP	NTCOMPL(NECD)	102079	100823	93076	90930	93737	95714	95299	95872	114763	94920	97462	93308	91363	90444	92611	86762	85694	92141	91077	87904	84326
TSP	NTCOMPLIANCE	102079	100823	93076	90930	93737	95714	95299	95872	114763	94920	97462	93308	91363	90444	92611	86762	85694	92141	91077	87904	84326

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
Pb	1A1a	12005915	11545159	9862263	8579662	6664734	4547237	5118103	3815738	3537977	3154605	2954743	2870154	2631302	2232852	2085835	1727168	472595	538261	408038	352972	363180	367042	323473	380491	353567	335125	359901	369475	322969	305867	320813
Pb	1A2f	147327	163935	145254	160974	195669	199052	259657	244212	266326	329832	201790	199370	149293	353436	397489	354847	383237	426270	292402	178981	189899	204846	185957	190074	200369	198227	207288	246181	250840	213109	200304
Pb	1A3aii(i)	1534103	1422540	1377996	1328253	1638789	1788435	1639883	1559182	1398573	1386771	1369482	1343330	1327893	1252396	1304285	1296867	1245300	1328880	1181880	991198	929040	775740	847560	876120	525000	575400	634620	418320	664860	547680	598080
Pb	1A3bi	91957135	71598165	64869379	28123100	72616	73211	73557	75500	76453	77041	77549	77179	79882	83564	86741	86791	89438	94645	96066	96555	99441	103423	106732	110335	114100	119631	122221	124391	128101	128124	116797
Pb	1A3bii	6088004	4647540	4220860	1864914	21615	21577	21866	22199	22700	23618	24362	25069	25571	27418	29556	31104	34190	37370	37784	35674	35358	33864	32548	31298	30236	30423	30118	30125	30291	28880	26863
Pb	1A4bi	483591	595594	564842	578227	535255	494495	465459	468142	429675	425266	485495	557451	572206	645899	683870	793159	874781	1038888	1011775	1008141	1079304	972670	937699	971754	944784	1094257	1155117	1099043	1037924	954269	897403
Pb	2A3	475600	461100	420500	407450	435580	406000	406000	883000	523000	562000	330000	172000	220000	272000	436000	148000	12000	16000	18000	18000	24000	25000	116000	22000	9700	45149	48472	43348	45300	45837	40729
Pb	2C1	3281652	3225420	3220485	3322255	2377340	2021419	1103610	1169442	1104338	1137393	992865	1074127	327963	334221	361163	589895	274739	253867	252998	161810	261908	295697	274000	276203	337947	291570	299883	313648	341664	301202	253484
Pb	2C5	1451242	1451242	1451242	1451725	1451725	1451725	1451242	1451242	1451242	1451242	1451242	1452484	1450964	1450147	1451196	1451589	1451150	1451541	1451339	1451794	1451460	1452157	1450948	1451226	1451438	1451714	1451092	1451392	1450800	1450741	1450446
Pb	2G	2854307	3759612	4075898	3595805	4352248	6638065	6102827	4829329	7805588	14737670	3303515	2609775	3238888	4131911	5840927	2529179	2901378	60568	52574	58017	40999	35702	68872	67695	55035	77285	36309	38399	39904	47600	33535
Pb	5E	2058081	2067945	2072928	2140892	2101537	2108205	2130354	2119631	2138412	2127802	2137627	2134336	2129394	2114720	2100676	2126122	2147459	2006422	2628078	2729733	2366440	2123712	1897341	1985112	1712020	1748036	1958040	2135950	2140902	2153937	2164614
Cd	1A1b	32183	34008	36613	37688	39833	48436	49496	38768	34612	35743	35656	36236	34917	37343	36086	34439	36037	35843	31876	33665	31783	30628	33476	33097	34094	36152	32177	34775	33261	35591	33670
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	1226419	1260194	1097439	1016507	862494	741830	761034	713045	680010	668885	660675	713560	679069	710742	708466	719968	696482	777129	751613	726141	746641	699264	681705	704300	689824	760326	785553	772938	744145	706482	672833
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1226419	1260194	1097439	1016507	862494	741830	761034	713045	680010	668885	660675	713560	679069	710742	708466	719968	696482	777129	751613	726141	746641	699264	681705	704300	689824	760326	785553	772938	744145	706482	672833
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	1226419	1260194	1097439	1016507	862494	741830	761034	713045	680010	668885	660675	713560	679069	710742	708466	719968	696482	777129	751613	726141	746641	699264	681705	704300	689824	760326	785553	772938	744145	706482	672833
Hg	1A1a	2448434	2528641	2268019	2183948	1939296	1731849	1809330	1343518	1126928	967136	574193	488450	502016	521762	364910	360991	309092	281575	316389	238150	218165	226531	154978	168816	173065	133463	155049	136165	120527	96573	107239
Hg	2B10a	12272	15865	15119	14984	13153	15933	12611	14238	14374	13696	13492	11933	12195	11469	9287	11124	9229	11136	12100	504	1490	1400	10000	1000	1000	1000	13000	137	909	176	132
Hg	2C1	250195	249446	249380	269963	147591	147019	219515	207953	154018	123765	67318	40028	4373	4425	4782	17290	3625	3341	3332	2137	3458	3905	3625	3648	4471	3850	3958	4140	4511	3970	3338
Hg	5C1bv	45869	45505	46388	48334	47851	49065	48410	47995	46618	47333	46607	46670	47601	46995	46500	45608	46140	46736	46761	47455	47054	462	458	474	465	484	490	495	519	516	525
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	3166812	3283779	3002341	2934680	2548524	2325756	2466107	1983233	1685488	1489028	1008391	877961	848283	870760	730314	695319	620316	606784	599665	455188	431193	397365	310951	334508	337981	289199	335837	286475	277663	233712	236888
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	3166812	3283779	3002341	2934680	2548524	2325756	2466107	1983233	1685488	1489028	1008391	877961	848283	870760	730314	695319	620316	606784	599665	455188	431193	397365	310951	334508	337981	289199	335837	286475	277663	233712	236888
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	3166812	3283779	3002341	2934680	2548524	2325756	2466107	1983233	1685488	1489028	1008391	877961	848283	870760	730314	695319	620316	606784	599665	455188	431193	397365	310951	334508	337981	289199	335837	286475	277663	233712	236888

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
DIOX	2C3	1058	1058	1058	1058	1058	1058	877	1112	1154	997	1151	1168	1125	925	684	820	1096	1229	1268
HCB	1A3biii	235156	232270	225547	221065	239331	242282	248207	249498	251110	256696	246771	252340	255573	278109	290913	298545	310010	323654	307658	278891	289485	303894	285215	277844	299191	303290	316877	321971	330163	325034	316596
HCB	2C3	604700	604700	604700	604700	604700	604700	501220	635700	659560	569560	657440	667580	642580	528340	391140	468600	626300	702360	724400
HCB	3Df	4288822	13250038	7292525	3333132	3666797	3370332	3762780	11712022	7569458	3520630	335835	45138	14648	28275	44495	14685	15182	35725	12672	9790	58955	97050	30725	48445	46712	41972	57022	183322	143527	97378	97378
PCB	2C3	102799	102799	102799	102799	102799	102799	85207	108069	112125	96825	111765	113489	109239	89818	66494	79662	106471	119401	123148