Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA for CLRTAP

KCA for NECD

Inv. comparison

Time series

Trend graphs

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TIME SERIES

Party: DK      Submission year: 2021

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2019
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2019
PMs: 2000 - 2019

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019
NOx	1A3dii	12457	13995	13608	11968	10920	11497	12686	11843	10615	8736	10049	10915	12647	12583	10766	12720	11948	10538	13443	12626	11059	10905	11745	12190	9955	10880	12084	12379	12066	9501
NMVOC	NTCOMPL(NECD)	215368	223629	223472	215342	216769	212678	214369	202600	193454	186265	185308	175244	170181	162148	158383	75615	113324	110250	106719	96951	94396	87965	82566	83326	74712	77746	72930	70356	69144	64892
SOx	1A2e	6005	6232	5327	5435	5882	5216	5153	3894	3574	3263	3287	3429	3115	2935	2925	2456	3125	2283	1737	1348	1550	1434	1090	918	812	570	605	582	619	445
SOx	1B2aiv	3335	2713	3147	2526	4266	3022	2614	1982	1441	1359	981	672	332	246	119	347	755	746	931	420	981	1150	881	517	397	406	337	809	1172	776
NH3	3B1b	4716	4715	4751	4573	4269	4190	4148	4009	3850	3819	4385	4542	4427	4313	4449	2831	2982	3594	3629	3481	3390	3480	3464	3546	3464	3412	3383	3258	3225	3124
CO	2A6	11381	11381	11381	11381	11381	11317	10920	10551	12058	12056	11430	10590	11582	11161	15598	12517	9290	6398	6544	2444	11	13	31	10	9	15	12	12	14	5

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019
PM2.5	2A5b	229	165	299	179	225	270	213	168	716	234	259	211	211	213	299	108	78	105	184	86
PM10	2A5b	2288	1648	2986	1786	2244	2694	2134	1683	7130	2345	2580	2103	2103	2122	2980	1076	785	1046	1839	857
PM10	NATIONALTOTAL	33073	32630	32177	32048	32405	33321	33351	35105	39074	32259	32695	30300	28967	28721	28027	26944	26593	26226	25489	23200
PM10	NTCOMPL(NECD)	33073	32630	32177	32048	32405	33321	33351	35105	39074	32259	32695	30300	28967	28721	28027	26944	26593	26226	25489	23200
PM10	NTCOMPLIANCE	33073	32630	32177	32048	32405	33321	33351	35105	39074	32259	32695	30300	28967	28721	28027	26944	26593	26226	25489	23200
TSP	2A5b	7594	5450	9932	5913	7447	8954	7078	5568	23813	7784	8600	7005	7005	7065	9940	3573	2599	3476	6131	2842
TSP	NATIONALTOTAL	102065	100613	93890	91538	93681	96459	95300	96150	113829	95193	97194	93625	91291	90612	92249	86332	85206	90921	89741	86816
TSP	NTCOMPL(NECD)	102065	100613	93890	91538	93681	96459	95300	96150	113829	95193	97194	93625	91291	90612	92249	86332	85206	90921	89741	86816
TSP	NTCOMPLIANCE	102065	100613	93890	91538	93681	96459	95300	96150	113829	95193	97194	93625	91291	90612	92249	86332	85206	90921	89741	86816

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019
Pb	1A1a	12005915	11545159	9862263	8579662	6664734	4546567	5118103	3815738	3537977	3154605	2954743	2870154	2631302	2232852	2085835	1705747	473475	538122	408039	352973	361150	366971	323473	379068	350872	334974	359818	367578	319863	302503
Pb	1A2f	147321	163929	145250	160969	195665	199049	259652	244207	266322	329831	201789	199369	149292	353435	397487	354846	383144	426386	209437	167642	138908	163146	129931	133692	200133	176996	187245	167084	181144	211579
Pb	1A3aii(i)	1534103	1422540	1377996	1328253	1638789	1788435	1639883	1559182	1398573	1386771	1369482	1343330	1327893	1252396	1304285	1296867	1245300	1328880	1181880	991198	929040	775740	847560	876120	525000	575400	634620	418320	664860	547680
Pb	1A3bi	91660616	71383527	64685211	28045875	72417	73017	73368	75316	76269	76857	77359	76976	79671	83316	86457	86510	89101	94278	95662	96137	98981	102929	106242	109856	113636	119167	121769	123924	127656	127663
Pb	1A3bii	6225298	4754506	4317604	1908039	21551	21513	21799	22131	22629	23542	24282	24985	25484	27328	29437	30979	34043	37213	37616	35520	35201	33716	32410	31171	30120	30308	30007	30007	30186	28783
Pb	1A4bi	483591	595594	564842	578227	535255	494495	465459	468142	429675	425266	485495	557451	572206	645899	683870	793159	874781	1038888	1011775	1008141	1079304	972670	937699	971754	944787	1094323	1155162	1099085	1037924	954268
Pb	2A3	475600	461100	420500	407450	435580	406000	406000	883000	523000	562000	330000	172000	220000	272000	436000	148000	12000	16000	18000	18000	24000	25000	116000	22000	9700	45149	48472	43348	45300	45837
Pb	2C1	3281652	3225420	3220485	3322255	2377340	2021419	1103610	1169442	1104338	1137393	992865	1074127	327963	334026	360962	589709	274580	253636	252767	161621	261557	295331	273493	275660	337245	290520	298656	312052	341364	302387
Pb	2C5	1451242	1451242	1451242	1451725	1451725	1451725	1451242	1451242	1451242	1451242	1451242	1452484	1450964	1450147	1451196	1451589	1451150	1451541	1451339	1451794	1451460	1452157	1450948	1451226	1451438	1451714	1451092	1451392	1450800	1450741
Pb	2G	2854307	3759612	4075898	3595805	4352248	6638065	6102827	4829329	7805588	14737670	3303515	2609775	3238888	4131911	5840927	2529179	2901378	60568	52574	58017	40999	35702	68872	67695	55035	77285	36309	38475	39019	47743
Pb	5E	2026921	2038425	2045048	2115472	2076937	2085245	2111494	2101591	2123652	2116322	2129427	2129416	2127754	2120460	2107236	2136782	2159759	2006422	2628078	2729733	2366440	2123712	1897341	1973632	1699720	1734096	1943280	2120370	2125322	2138357
Cd	1A1b	32183	34008	36613	37688	39833	48436	49496	38768	34612	35743	35656	36236	34917	37343	36086	34439	36037	35843	31876	33665	31783	30628	33476	33097	34094	36152	32177	34655	33261	35591
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	1227420	1261143	1098267	1017288	863263	742504	761585	713621	680461	669329	661055	713921	679418	711038	708776	720297	696665	777268	751740	726178	746693	699328	681736	704377	689812	760863	786165	773092	744891	707337
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1227420	1261143	1098267	1017288	863263	742504	761585	713621	680461	669329	661055	713921	679418	711038	708776	720297	696665	777268	751740	726178	746693	699328	681736	704377	689812	760863	786165	773092	744891	707337
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	1227420	1261143	1098267	1017288	863263	742504	761585	713621	680461	669329	661055	713921	679418	711038	708776	720297	696665	777268	751740	726178	746693	699328	681736	704377	689812	760863	786165	773092	744891	707337
Hg	1A1a	2448434	2528641	2268019	2183948	1939296	1731799	1809330	1343518	1126928	967136	574193	488450	502016	521762	364910	359229	309377	281530	316393	238159	217511	226525	154978	168355	172191	133414	155042	135598	119471	95558
Hg	1A2f	105471	129056	140828	143375	145380	147497	159733	166645	171782	156887	144274	139735	128171	124863	133884	117267	115253	112352	80159	49219	37745	29066	17124	47294	41193	39784	50299	37762	39841	36012
Hg	2C1	250195	249446	249380	269963	147591	147019	219515	207953	154018	123765	67318	40028	4373	4422	4779	17287	3622	3338	3329	2135	3453	3901	3618	3641	4462	3836	3942	4119	4507	3987
Hg	5C1bv	45869	45505	46388	48334	47851	49065	48410	47995	46618	47333	46607	46670	47601	46995	46500	45608	46140	46736	46761	47455	47054	462	458	474	465	484	490	495	519	519
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	3166871	3283837	3002402	2934743	2548613	2325828	2466189	1983345	1685618	1489189	1008606	878166	848497	870966	730520	695532	619324	589869	592906	452136	430743	380581	298116	334543	325587	287554	331294	286966	273524	233927
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	3166871	3283837	3002402	2934743	2548613	2325828	2466189	1983345	1685618	1489189	1008606	878166	848497	870966	730520	695532	619324	589869	592906	452136	430743	380581	298116	334543	325587	287554	331294	286966	273524	233927
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	3166871	3283837	3002402	2934743	2548613	2325828	2466189	1983345	1685618	1489189	1008606	878166	848497	870966	730520	695532	619324	589869	592906	452136	430743	380581	298116	334543	325587	287554	331294	286966	273524	233927

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019
DIOX	2C3	1058	1058	1058	1058	1058	1058	877	1112	1154	997	1151	1168	1125	925	684	820	1096	1229	1268
HCB	1A3biii	234507	231572	224867	220379	238634	241581	247467	248748	250339	255891	245953	251483	254723	277274	289851	297466	308818	322499	306463	277833	288395	302803	284182	276853	298256	302348	315941	321154	329233	324154
HCB	2C3	604700	604700	604700	604700	604700	604700	501220	635700	659560	569560	657440	667580	642580	528340	391140	468600	626300	702360	724400
HCB	3Df	4288822	13250038	7292525	3333132	3666797	3370332	3762780	11712022	7569458	3520630	335835	45138	14648	28275	44495	14685	15182	35725	12672	9790	58955	97050	30725	48445	46712	41972	57022	183322	143527	143518
PCB	2C3	102799	102799	102799	102799	102799	102799	85207	108069	112125	96825	111765	113489	109239	89818	66494	79662	106471	119401	123148