Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

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TIME SERIES

Party: DE      Submission year: 2024

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2022
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2022
PMs: 2000 - 2022

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
NOx	1A3ai(ii)	47392	46411	49599	53134	55792	59040	62099	64870	68771	75029	80399	78539	78705	80171	88815	98229	103702	108507	109864	108161	107653	102423	113188	116409	111591	111806	122986	136974	141700	140932	65937	88083	131639
NOx	1A4bi	90287	90995	85074	91473	87601	87375	94348	93078	87961	79434	76735	84342	76719	75612	69301	66614	70154	56403	69059	62424	68442	58991	65039	68617	57375	59247	59710	59913	59479	62864	62684	61604	59790
NMVOC	1A5a	177527	123378	76174	47282	23637	528	167	54	50	46	42	39	39	37	35	35	35	31	33	30	31	34	42	50	58	54	60	68	71	67	75	100	95
CO	1A4cii	110835	95953	85032	85102	88486	103975	103228	102755	101683	97187	104714	92632	91421	92363	92837	92083	94350	99701	86366	63348	94347	94272	85594	87208	84078	83732	78094	76076	80924	82597	86491	87210	84692
CO	2C1	1079557	1015055	927636	883640	949937	968718	903704	964794	937024	856438	903785	855200	826360	818181	830035	808966	823755	838178	788945	557436	734593	733824	702723	707295	716894	722871	693902	738256	713304	697733	597850	689295	641528

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
PM2.5	2C1	9126	8403	7739	7271	6826	6059	5361	4492	2887	2020	2518	2551	2431	2426	2436	2444	2334	2507	2416	2385	2036	2328	2177
PM2.5	2G	5093	4642	5050	4907	4949	4776	4862	4933	4744	4532	4600	4647	4739	4449	4696	4767	4528	4562	4545	4374	2847	2723	3743
PM2.5	5E	3123	3016	3088	3445	2839	2809	2984	2885	3053	2880	2840	3156	3083	2993	3071	3197	3212	3145	3153	3159	3158	3161	3204
PM2.5	NATIONALTOTAL	163912	157961	151512	144194	138417	133330	134051	127385	123976	111621	117797	112715	111428	109775	102085	100963	95331	94075	93587	88800	80779	82980	84291
PM2.5	NTCOMPL(NECD)	163912	157961	151512	144194	138417	133330	134051	127385	123976	111621	117797	112715	111428	109775	102085	100963	95331	94075	93587	88800	80779	82980	84291
PM2.5	NTCOMPLIANCE	163912	157961	151512	144194	138417	133330	134051	127385	123976	111621	117797	112715	111428	109775	102085	100963	95331	94075	93587	88800	80779	82980	84291
PM10	2C1	16790	14828	13206	12019	11005	9588	8444	7159	5071	3538	4478	4521	4313	4309	4336	4351	4172	4451	4301	4212	3610	4131	3852
TSP	2C1	25198	22155	19703	17919	16454	14424	12896	11214	8905	6251	7944	8032	7677	7666	7710	7725	7437	7899	7644	7444	6434	7332	6821
BC	1A3ai(ii)	494	483	485	484	515	559	583	596	592	570	552	517	559	566	532	524	572	634	657	643	292	410	616
BC	5C2	418	415	411	407	404	400	396	393	389	386	382	378	375	371	368	364	360	357	354	336	142	141	342
BC	5E	312	302	309	344	284	281	298	288	305	288	284	316	308	299	307	320	321	314	315	316	316	316	320

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
Pb	1A3bi	1216917124	850881684	596480288	465752233	291718099	215634046	114701713	1389247	49799	50014	47942	46988	46206	44476	42206	40791	40476	38026	38039	37019	35039	35364	33649	34311	33294	35963	35987	35556	34420	34842	30110	30180	31618
Pb	1A4ai	4290013	5669413	3703119	3667275	2864214	9913117	9401156	10531485	8377992	8740705	9420466	9595850	9572173	2360851	2974553	3466728	2517991	4236846	7479596	9214765	14024499	9486244	12497086	15538328	12538098	15663945	16814007	17698323	16639906	18143005	18146233	20885971	20485110
Pb	2C1	345965625	327380934	296738753	276742543	292047971	295230633	269745734	277775611	264352187	239477178	244555671	225846880	198619959	178596151	161608796	137984023	118312963	97437645	69892223	50132879	63699853	64240366	61478828	61711209	62186542	62648257	59693188	64346113	61819566	61502445	52587753	60199849	56255164
Pb	2G	14167306	14394838	20206707	19486839	18428934	28403081	26298575	20001892	8866575	8727974	6729624	3173892	1936007	1417	1442	1420	1432	1444	1441	1443	1457	1480	1482	1495	1529	1553	1577	1597	1604	1615	1430	1436	1464
Cd	1A1a	4915036	3598866	2837490	2200977	1647957	1137916	1205678	1145110	1179218	1138752	1202143	1249716	1232466	1271629	1236006	1211151	1237268	1255822	1183149	1110940	1142154	1127125	1207589	1264698	1223189	1178435	1130494	1022781	979335	762896	621906	743626	803897
Cd	1A1b	1058877	1089940	1158006	1347932	1536161	1167288	1082599	1191613	1001147	1472524	1177210	1227792	1408787	1254557	1298781	1517667	1426788	1358794	1233370	1066512	1268276	1229178	1132965	1186172	1095496	1227737	1199422	1247763	1065554	959987	1108515	1148394	1199512
Cd	1A1c	4062606	2885866	1510164	941064	489721	104964	89211	67024	65770	65826	63951	54997	57898	65479	70364	63990	67665	65405	49033	40087	43521	34100	9502	9238	8615	8461	8585	8610	9250	8589	8204	8027	7371
Cd	1A2gviii	1893828	897444	439685	231578	127513	93526	86057	97815	81989	73030	51164	45756	52456	73456	75102	80863	85116	85729	88853	90436	89481	100935	101744	97435	100779	101806	114113	110813	104270	105978	112589	106238	93458
Cd	2C1	7524830	7182285	6671769	6267991	6704522	6997260	6512575	6950554	6575068	6255912	6222597	5611101	4922485	4374470	3912596	3224619	2701392	2099806	1347153	963936	1256664	1267894	1218077	1219688	1229178	1231186	1192972	1256593	1218508	1176208	1031913	1170874	1083566
Cd	2C6	673617	668710	692863	682411	535829	509577	472123	440702	448418	420195	392499	379279	366397	329225	303332	286536	289231	280551	250140	154041	161146	160665	158024	152759	156130	159831	161031	159246	151783	156260	151405	157749	125879
Cd	2C7a	6435205	6624295	7102481	7416998	7559691	6381665	7719929	6935805	6807419	6467048	6228109	5749878	5810848	4774585	4439492	3794085	4850250	4707060	4704220	4537232	6176901	6164820	5954642	6021523	5978608	6110665	6088101	6278477	6072061	5343384	5665685	5585750	5000771
Cd	2G	1076707	1083173	1025289	970723	1008226	1007351	1022754	1041452	1062444	1115184	1092803	1116115	1155925	1106061	1041745	1011123	984810	1004144	941995	910138	906459	947256	908230	886715	896288	885467	860321	860466	859083	853962	849687	845511	768207
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	29099850	25425081	22686513	21285882	20839630	18782966	19524160	19332355	18607336	18409468	17813747	16816289	16343726	14408580	13493858	12259962	12750214	12020181	11056059	10001322	12453184	12319619	12025875	12210692	11898390	12178084	11978012	12176047	11675614	10567622	10671198	11005155	10324047
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	29099850	25425081	22686513	21285882	20839630	18782966	19524160	19332355	18607336	18409468	17813747	16816289	16343726	14408580	13493858	12259962	12750214	12020181	11056059	10001322	12453184	12319619	12025875	12210692	11898390	12178084	11978012	12176047	11675614	10567622	10671198	11005155	10324047
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	29099850	25425081	22686513	21285882	20839630	18782966	19524160	19332355	18607336	18409468	17813747	16816289	16343726	14408580	13493858	12259962	12750214	12020181	11056059	10001322	12453184	12319619	12025875	12210692	11898390	12178084	11978012	12176047	11675614	10567622	10671198	11005155	10324047
Hg	1A1a	12407793	11185509	10407936	9618424	9147697	8384812	8328744	7773836	7601399	7283798	7658458	7858052	7718401	7714596	7421170	7027009	6880074	6764456	6156515	6057002	6585482	5970888	6112268	5887880	5925540	5834561	5080331	5035081	4954283	3788511	2768257	3386408	3464352
Hg	1A1c	6416924	4764380	2732456	1916272	1237404	719707	584968	432138	362121	338943	319407	280094	298030	329396	357904	326991	336732	336551	264176	218362	311391	283158	184074	159478	137629	133806	130386	140794	144256	134658	119760	113627	102765
Hg	1A2gviii	5221385	2760983	1645982	1126319	813291	727255	640998	719473	582701	544215	368414	361111	374434	382898	317340	302726	319279	313991	343945	297467	325193	300492	276940	265561	273495	322854	365349	350450	313747	301862	370046	293958	284564
Hg	1A4bi	1355633	1040992	771499	739087	674098	584763	599636	525271	448957	439970	441469	488311	454072	371665	339257	334138	365263	318870	386377	350623	430335	377435	392836	390788	326457	353489	317500	316511	317614	304068	293883	310180	298644
Hg	2B10a	3010000	3345000	3244000	2852000	2924000	2935000	2820000	2630000	2705000	2399000	1849000	1564000	1398000	1211000	1248000	1140000	1079000	950000	790000	712000	600000	512000	434000	392000	346000	225000	175000	130000	68400	50300	58700	26400	26400
Hg	2C1	4545616	4409314	4254684	4046857	4410361	4838637	4740758	5240956	5303437	5163240	5531205	5135676	4518872	4021083	3619036	2929224	2463494	1872615	1182814	907959	1065915	1137059	1101564	1078932	1051738	1022327	1012191	1053895	1025938	972626	925033	980908	895665

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
DIOX	1A4ai	12963	13349	11790	11612	10644	11154	11097	10820	10159	9806	9619	9696	9448	2341	2967	3488	2598	4267	7346	9092	14724	10321	12842	16278	13060	15763	17168	18122	16928	18535	18521	21235	20794
DIOX	2C1	193507	178774	154802	140182	141917	138475	125452	124065	115756	99354	95558	84143	73313	66824	60843	53725	46825	40080	30709	21460	25647	25057	23038	22134	21264	20431	18521	19076	17351	16374	13291	15078	14082
DIOX	5C2	4314	4280	4245	4211	4177	4143	4109	4074	4040	4006	3972	3937	3903	3869	3835	3800	3766	3732	3698	3663	3629	3595	3561	3526	3492	3458	3424	3395	3366	3195	1352	1343	3249
DIOX	5E	34714	34809	35027	35204	35107	35160	35217	35237	35229	35250	35303	34086	34892	38923	32069	31726	33700	32577	34479	32525	31988	35548	34722	33713	34590	36004	36166	35410	35507	35570	35565	35600	36080
HCB	1A1a	3769941	3756681	3624323	3584428	3386286	3162142	2988514	2966397	2900785	2959707	2828352	2483326	2113751	1784361	1305896	1333203	1433030	1431263	1427563	1414042	1488912	1459883	1524678	1613441	1617374	1576437	1568111	1425863	1400502	1277735	1156910	1207589	1256829
HCB	2C1	896070	874020	794850	763530	819480	847290	818040	862770	866490	802200	838770	811650	783120	804330	836760	855510	876240	915510	902220	652839	803651	814027	777382	780140	783941	792158	745086	818591	780180	795322	670604	767969	722700
HCB	3Df	109291000	138119000	55862000	29724000	26737000	17985000	26601000	24250000	5013000	44983000	18579000	791000	1004000	9602000	1593000	34287000	36315000	29986000	28869000	21083000	24923000	26156000	21025000	22804000	40240000	35612000	46139000	56958000	8805000	9491000	1523000	565000	652150
HCB	NATIONALTOTAL	2900523550	2854217047	2741718365	2075541311	2222318478	2118360599	2116795772	2189707908	2485427719	2625390177	2883894515	3120805527	5605496	13809523	5386235	38099812	40424024	34167510	33217580	24988843	29340292	30413609	25437466	27356636	44524192	39875802	50302823	61110176	12895599	13420464	5185837	4562926	4632378
HCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	2900523550	2854217047	2741718365	2075541311	2222318478	2118360599	2116795772	2189707908	2485427719	2625390177	2883894515	3120805527	5605496	13809523	5386235	38099812	40424024	34167510	33217580	24988843	29340292	30413609	25437466	27356636	44524192	39875802	50302823	61110176	12895599	13420464	5185837	4562926	4632378
HCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	2900523550	2854217047	2741718365	2075541311	2222318478	2118360599	2116795772	2189707908	2485427719	2625390177	2883894515	3120805527	5605496	13809523	5386235	38099812	40424024	34167510	33217580	24988843	29340292	30413609	25437466	27356636	44524192	39875802	50302823	61110176	12895599	13420464	5185837	4562926	4632378
PCB	1A1a	340878400	356941600	371330400	392278800	397412400	363424753	329040009	330244122	312261307	323343614	299701776	246640837	193710950	138149484	70555890	75315047	83642720	82123150	89486351	95333605	99373805	98727271	99998797	102673150	108318040	107149060	110217840	105688680	107587560	106303240	101635160	101544080	101867000
PCB	2C5	658368000	615648000	589056000	545088000	531200000	452225940	304739960	368687270	339176520	282770650	248167620	180069780	122238400	57794730	753900	718200	676200	745500	871500	820260	851340	901110	888451	840682	797168	792634	720775	749584	657266	689356	700757	641878	480925
PCB	2C6	196560000	235224000	272916000	333594000	355104000	276864760	250294040	210585240	187301240	156150550	123614820	93069260	65824720	33907320	420200	368500	377300	368500	321200	168300	181830	186890	186341	178454	184228	187829	185666	193464	195242	194660	181820	184930	148383
PCB	NATIONALTOTAL	1735783985	1693723964	1669715600	1654956975	1644182255	1483456254	1242605874	1263407090	1187532959	1063979456	948249747	751887563	567218539	382132658	188926460	192363949	208649953	208857384	220932670	200560314	231650729	228679050	226242508	229040723	229843112	230241890	229286809	227450253	226642930	222561346	209196220	218879690	213402113
PCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1735783985	1693723964	1669715600	1654956975	1644182255	1483456254	1242605874	1263407090	1187532959	1063979456	948249747	751887563	567218539	382132658	188926460	192363949	208649953	208857384	220932670	200560314	231650729	228679050	226242508	229040723	229843112	230241890	229286809	227450253	226642930	222561346	209196220	218879690	213402113
PCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	1735783985	1693723964	1669715600	1654956975	1644182255	1483456254	1242605874	1263407090	1187532959	1063979456	948249747	751887563	567218539	382132658	188926460	192363949	208649953	208857384	220932670	200560314	231650729	228679050	226242508	229040723	229843112	230241890	229286809	227450253	226642930	222561346	209196220	218879690	213402113