Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA for CLRTAP

KCA for NECD

Inv. comparison

Time series

Trend graphs

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TIME SERIES

Party: CZ      Submission year: 2021

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2019
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2019
PMs: 2000 - 2019

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019
NOx	1A3bi	38532	35984	45655	41617	46229	44973	46683	42573	40653	39655	39307	36001	35421	37241	36267	35785	34528	34446	32811	32805	30353	30070	28162	27752	28350	27503	28511	28680	29365	29059
SOx	1A2c	124680	109796	91785	62557	71611	66569	64322	53339	39140	13078	13209	13365	14371	15341	16857	15954	14930	13280	11455	11536	12064	10537	11848	8735	8611	8032	5919	6259	4558	3159
NH3	3Da1	13992	13897	13991	14001	13872	13982	18172	14367	14670	14009	17112	21136	18764	20503	20310	19191	19219	21273	18228	15980	21176	23251	18315	27132	29637	37457	29152	25562	23240	22094

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019
TSP	1A1a	4263	5239	4915	4465	4692	4461	4245	6366	3301	3141	3456	3607	3420	3186	2955	2757	2342	2340	2453	2129

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019
Pb	1A2a	75806631	65234629	57140445	48003321	51509493	52139740	49662220	39062656	22603892	11705332	12634054	12976608	13208159	12908159	13480702	12699961	13089241	13331312	11339278	6731148	7557940	5057389	5131130	5442619	5707419	3964693	396119	360686	375260	358966
Pb	1A3aii(i)	13205841	3521558	3521558	2054242	1760779	1173853	1173853	586926	293463	586926	279468	532695	762141	727547	682075	426297	399653	374675	351258	329304	308723	144714	271338	254380	238481	208623	208623	208623	208623	208623
Pb	1A3aii(ii)	118852573	31694019	31694019	18488178	15847010	10564673	10564673	5282337	2641168	5282337	2515212	4794256	6859273	6547919	6138674	3836672	3596880	3372075	3161320	2963737	2778504	1302424	2442044	2289417	2146328	1877608	1877608	1877608	1877608	1877608
Pb	1A3bi	109251163	102004369	131592708	124655112	144529615	150963723	170519520	169815312	167590552	178448533	172366814	53118999	53787037	39247841	19524592	956324	930813	963650	914841	880586	799124	767309	719820	679740	674148	682986	712359	703980	708576	708522
Pb	1A3bii	2841754	2898723	5071080	5986600	7603501	8264752	9186721	8327729	8312603	8638350	8382810	2434999	2347583	1626403	854933	44921	47538	56301	64385	65009	59350	55475	46683	41326	40308	38892	38423	35789	31957	27003
Pb	1A4bi	3686224	3327895	2956508	2735520	2571494	2343630	2501552	2242927	1662569	1324116	1358047	1409249	1318191	1306243	1298353	1142280	1203166	1144472	1133702	1232878	1427714	1440134	1498357	1562233	1450324	1477490	1496856	1591564	1525323	1491478
Pb	2A3	11171281	9578188	9450826	9167113	9911452	11008597	8580553	8489746	5963351	3799486	4800747	5337987	5168942	5871150	5888899	6230848	6013618	5834595	2280465	2206064	1488333	780054	1103087	1435074	902314	261081	356507	163309	166717	161198
Pb	2C1	63881959	41078036	34082309	27445743	20291150	15079049	7032480	7970649	7742091	6174431	5442419	5287312	4605543	5164544	5158585	5209123	5591882	5023243	4794842	3454758	3875315	3946982	3546405	3486025	3701507	3908009	4010132	3415100	3683748	3399372
Pb	2C5	15800000	7700000	6805900	5617000	4814000	5032300	3913030	2334840	1863900	1682570	3770350	3176403	1684875	1279504	515999	787535	888448	602336	430757	173469	240191	716499	215722	1175364	1516738	443711	454549	308673	276887	296115
Pb	2G										1622536	1425270	1280443	1274157	1301341	1698681	1715536	1526279	1387198	2191382	2574297	1003678	2415848	3503546	3454869	3344110	4051077	3980664	4811107	5344866	5532013
Cd	1A2a	559871	493288	439348	380652	412063	411501	401979	368026	317183	260642	283370	290939	301552	303322	316604	304613	307774	311217	256033	154599	171483	118328	119148	125198	131237	94527	19999	17568	18257	17446
Cd	1B2aiv	37200	32700	34000	31600	33600	35400	38800	35900	34700	30800	29900	31000	31800	33500	34200	39500	40100	37700	42100	37600	40300	36200	37000	34000	38200	36800	27700	40100	38367	38367
Cd	2A3	235660	202054	199367	193382	209084	158558	198928	449221	426275	333210	250649	306453	298254	263772	212521	98096	123689	111590	64536	72443	47042	74811	30232	28895	34764	6668	27032	17263	17623	17040
Cd	2C1	1890193	1238346	1007148	816017	627375	509933	294480	312310	277914	225274	287934	292951	277202	324303	335234	303336	318604	281651	233989	202476	200922	207291	137259	111531	119195	141445	146648	123232	132926	122664
Cd	2C3	5021	3645	3224	3124	2669	2548	3242	3504	3711	3587	2981	2787	4897	7393	23210	18335	66503	13474	73642	18053	20367	21764	31913	29135	33328	37279	27950	26014	26569	27659
Cd	2C5											3660	3755	17588	22186	9214	9856	7915	32114	17094	18629	18298	6462	3054	48792	52610	3783	5241	1381	1239	1325
Cd	2C6	1163110	686320	244260	191820	103500	111780	66700	42780	114310	85100	60950	70610	88780	78890	82570	89930	145360	81880	111550	95450	78890	70380	84410	59340	65550	55200	77280	70840	89010	60490
Cd	2G	120439	112768	108730	106697	113830	121782	120524	130918	102904	119062	107027	94128	106705	123328	127000	129173	132759	134075	123234	122362	117241	117339	117178	114606	117281	122199	120966	122410	124648	123512
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	5278461	4022484	3254899	2773470	2488954	2259502	2011727	2145302	2090215	1814631	1767234	1861629	1899286	1937512	1908033	1750484	1893179	1802785	1733658	1504546	1490287	1453441	1367807	1360924	1406880	1333483	1297991	1292505	1333921	1336539
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	5278461	4022484	3254899	2773470	2488954	2259502	2011727	2145302	2090215	1814631	1767234	1861629	1899286	1937512	1908033	1750484	1893179	1802785	1733658	1504546	1490287	1453441	1367807	1360924	1406880	1333483	1297991	1292505	1333921	1336539
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	5278461	4022484	3254899	2773470	2488954	2259502	2011727	2145302	2090215	1814631	1767234	1861629	1899286	1937512	1908033	1750484	1893179	1802785	1733658	1504546	1490287	1453441	1367807	1360924	1406880	1333483	1297991	1292505	1333921	1336539
Hg	1A1a	1533426	1504247	1440947	1446492	1442867	1466537	1490986	1479483	1434876	1320947	1434167	1435185	1522037	1463937	1415033	1398261	1362677	1494275	1326087	1260373	1289476	1272094	1212404	1116385	1103618	1056955	1059760	1090082	1147060	1050774
Hg	1A1c	80847	70721	77199	75935	75294	79810	75292	66280	66916	67272	56794	71587	72778	76154	77923	81798	79090	85135	82671	75917	79919	82232	82605	78546	76297	79215	83641	80478	78650	73267
Hg	1A4bi	1112733	1011499	894193	832347	790247	725393	788925	704231	523703	415585	420685	439220	404208	401222	392529	341560	353055	324467	315678	336774	388450	369848	378098	386644	338607	342001	337991	351215	325899	300847
Hg	2B10a	724890	694909	712000	380000	506900	834500	678400	295820	283350	224400	191320	178990	85943	175180	163078	121353	96317	96022	82490	80245	106604	110446	105051	76185	62160	56010	50730	28119	24000	24000
Hg	2C1	165286	142109	124109	110790	119818	129483	119513	129714	142780	122401	378292	421427	446534	450809	459177	491788	596869	387604	578203	254830	386637	380944	223689	184823	190456	177467	103071	88600	95569	88192
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	5199170	4910478	4649420	4163482	4235211	4377763	4250563	3602312	3317476	2922841	3254393	3296340	3284315	3342523	3308446	3331595	3431637	3299373	3282044	2857179	3114005	3123313	2786179	2574609	2519173	2454845	2378036	2343383	2400216	2260963
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	5199170	4910478	4649420	4163482	4235211	4377763	4250563	3602312	3317476	2922841	3254393	3296340	3284315	3342523	3308446	3331595	3431637	3299373	3282044	2857179	3114005	3123313	2786179	2574609	2519173	2454845	2378036	2343383	2400216	2260963
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	5199170	4910478	4649420	4163482	4235211	4377763	4250563	3602312	3317476	2922841	3254393	3296340	3284315	3342523	3308446	3331595	3431637	3299373	3282044	2857179	3114005	3123313	2786179	2574609	2519173	2454845	2378036	2343383	2400216	2260963

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019
DIOX	2C7a	644	597	641	414	333	300	372	415	380	355	349	263	157	266	499	434	434	424	701	548	551	814	428	855	923	1080	1038	1084	1060	1093
DIOX	5E	3893	3893	4228	4146	4026	3827	4058	3978	3941	3839	3713	3769	3914	4096	3799	3899	4067	3867	3924	4093	4455	3871	3881	3679	3572	3520	3917	3695	3904	3629
PCB	2C1	185209	171404	166877	157369	173932	176132	166361	180935	174087	150339	173461	175063	181468	192664	197052	174222	241447	420806	178156	142361	155411	183865	161896	155380	156903	149798	153248	132507	142930	131896