Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA for CLRTAP

KCA for NECD

Inv. comparison

Time series

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TIME SERIES

Party: CY      Submission year: 2023

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2021
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2021
PMs: 2000 - 2021

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
NOx	1A2f	1621	1529	1652	1806	1886	1807	1944	1870	1769	1777	1831	1791	1852	1829	1978	1940	2022	1991	2125	1807	1582	1464	674	923	1118	1054	1009	1067	992	957	1004	1002
NOx	1A3ai(i)	310	314	318	321	325	329	333	337	341	344	348	352	356	360	364	374	371	379	392	382	381	371	358	341	347	350	406	469	486	474	154	265
NOx	1A3di(i)	4264	4199	4425	3847	4907	5419	6929	7550	7304	11648	14722	14677	10727	9460	3828	22872	21957	20385	18967	16557	14259	15335	14994	18356	17872	18990	22887	19863	21147	21644	21300	18492
NMVOC	1A1a	52	54	62	67	70	64	68	72	78	82	87	86	90	96	100	106	110	113	118	111	101	180	286	64	77	83	85	76	78	76	61	68
NMVOC	1A3biv	1779	1754	1751	1668	1737	1709	1651	1559	1440	1338	1224	1192	1024	1039	937	881	691	862	798	712	657	591	572	496	469	458	392	376	357	323	119	258
NMVOC	1A3biv(fu)	1779	1754	1751	1668	1737	1709	1651	1559	1440	1338	1224	1192	1024	1039	937	881	691	862	798	712	657	591	572	496	469	458	392	376	357	323	119	258
NMVOC	1A3di(i)	184	178	188	160	199	221	288	313	312	491	616	613	442	396	171	937	943	876	805	697	596	635	628	768	745	779	927	820	877	902	892	808
NMVOC	2D3a	122	125	128	132	135	137	140	142	144	145	147	148	150	152	154	156	158	161	165	169	174	178	183	184	182	162	162	146	288	259	324	255
NMVOC	2D3g	222	227	233	240	245	250	254	258	261	264	267	270	273	276	280	284	288	293	300	308	317	325	334	335	332	64	1001	979	312	123	201	187
NMVOC	3B1b	287	284	284	316	328	344	381	329	285	269	273	259	284	284	305	294	286	278	285	275	279	292	292	290	305	291	307	326	346	346	386	387
SOx	1A2f	483	455	493	538	563	539	581	559	529	530	547	535	552	544	587	575	600	591	701	636	607	515	463	638	761	727	681	719	665	636	661	657
SOx	1A3bii	2393	2354	3022	3176	3298	3704	3480	3623	4028	4166	3649	4003	3659	3507	1283	21	20	19	19	4	4	3	3	2	2	3	3	3	3	2	2	3
SOx	1A3bii(fu)	2393	2354	3022	3176	3298	3704	3480	3623	4028	4166	3649	4003	3659	3507	1283	21	20	19	19	4	4	3	3	2	2	3	3	3	3	2	2	3
SOx	1A3biii	1542	1443	1765	1776	1770	1912	1886	2000	1989	2026	2016	2053	1881	1851	680	11	10	12	12	2	2	2	2	2	1	2	2	2	1	2	1	1
SOx	1A3biii(fu)	1542	1443	1765	1776	1770	1912	1886	2000	1989	2026	2016	2053	1881	1851	680	11	10	12	12	2	2	2	2	2	1	2	2	2	1	2	1	1
SOx	1A3di(i)	3156	3320	3504	3296	4548	4920	5950	6498	5810	9903	13069	13237	9581	8064	2538	19118	16202	11695	11045	9792	8869	9422	8603	10590	10360	11470	13429	10798	10922	11084	1821	1632
NH3	3B1b	354	353	355	389	400	419	468	390	341	316	315	312	336	329	349	341	334	327	323	313	316	325	309	302	320	306	324	339	367	360	406	410
NH3	3Da1	884	834	1065	934	953	846	898	687	717	728	514	506	539	479	535	486	658	508	473	455	284	375	386	456	645	459	558	449	507	598	622	622
CO	1A2f	1893	1785	1930	2110	2205	2112	2272	2187	2068	2078	2141	2095	2167	2139	2310	2267	2361	2325	2374	1957	1639	1584	1440	2101	2686	2425	2434	2544	2368	2244	2478	2459
CO	1A3biii	1049	983	1230	1227	1225	1283	1249	1272	1227	1205	1245	1178	1082	1087	1055	1017	941	905	866	832	847	796	705	589	555	512	557	543	432	657	315	399
CO	1A3biii(fu)	1049	983	1230	1227	1225	1283	1249	1272	1227	1205	1245	1178	1082	1087	1055	1017	941	905	866	832	847	796	705	589	555	512	557	543	432	657	315	399
CO	1A3biv	4554	4448	4388	4138	4264	4181	4022	3816	3556	3348	3072	3057	2861	2911	2652	2464	2055	2114	1911	1691	1572	1400	1364	1205	1157	1122	991	947	908	833	563	690
CO	1A3biv(fu)	4554	4448	4388	4138	4264	4181	4022	3816	3556	3348	3072	3057	2861	2911	2652	2464	2055	2114	1911	1691	1572	1400	1364	1205	1157	1122	991	947	908	833	563	690
CO	1A3di(i)	429	414	437	370	459	511	666	725	725	1140	1428	1421	1021	918	400	2161	2190	2034	1865	1611	1378	1465	1451	1774	1719	1792	2124	1886	2014	2074	2055	1878

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
PM2.5	1A3biii	189	176	159	154	145	137	124	103	95	86	85	76	67	57	56	48	52	49	38	56	22	33
PM2.5	1A3biii(fu)	189	176	159	154	145	137	124	103	95	86	85	76	67	57	56	48	52	49	38	56	22	33
PM2.5	1A3di(i)	949	962	713	606	203	1540	1330	1218	1167	1034	923	995	930	1144	1119	1225	1457	1193	1230	1247	1239	1046
PM2.5	2A1	186	181	186	183	196	191	200	197	198	164	136	135	33	49	63	57	57	60	55	52	58	57
PM2.5	2D3b	197	128	105	67	40	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
PM10	1A3biii	189	176	159	154	145	137	124	103	95	86	85	76	67	57	56	48	52	49	38	56	22	33
PM10	1A3biii(fu)	189	176	159	154	145	137	124	103	95	86	85	76	67	57	56	48	52	49	38	56	22	33
PM10	1A3di(i)	1060	1074	797	677	228	1720	1487	1362	1304	1155	1031	1111	1039	1278	1250	1369	1627	1333	1375	1394	1386	1170
PM10	2A1	334	326	335	329	353	345	361	355	357	296	244	243	53	79	101	91	91	95	88	83	93	92
PM10	2D3b	846	551	450	285	171	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0
TSP	1A3di(i)	1060	1074	797	677	228	1720	1487	1362	1304	1155	1031	1111	1039	1278	1250	1369	1627	1333	1375	1394	1386	1170
TSP	2A1	371	362	372	365	392	383	401	394	397	329	271	270	53	79	102	92	92	96	89	84	93	92
TSP	2D3b	3664	2386	1951	1236	742	6	5	5	5	8	11	10	8	4	2	2	2	2	3	2	2	2
TSP	3B4gi	104	114	114	114	154	123	121	110	116	115	105	113	123	122	113	105	109	108	107	117	114	122
BC	1A2f	70	72	70	77	81	84	78	83	96	90	77	55	13	18	24	25	25	31	33	33	40	41
BC	1A2gviii	11	11	11	11	11	13	16	18	3	2	3	2	1	2	2	1	1	2	5	6	2	2
BC	1A3biii	100	94	86	84	81	77	70	62	58	54	53	48	42	36	34	30	33	31	24	36	14	21
BC	1A3biii(fu)	100	94	86	84	81	77	70	62	58	54	53	48	42	36	34	30	33	31	24	36	14	21
BC	1A3di(i)	139	140	104	90	34	222	203	188	177	156	136	147	141	173	170	183	220	187	197	201	198	167

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
Pb	1A3bi	20679578	21680931	21728979	21217252	22540330	22496584	22062485	21550680	20443986	19695809	17809815	17181952	15704614	13838890	5024685	480	513	557	594	610	623	618	596	559	549	560	581	586	577	569	495	533
Pb	1A3bi(fu)	20679578	21680931	21728979	21217252	22540330	22496584	22062485	21550680	20443986	19695809	17809815	17181952	15704614	13838890	5024685	480	513	557	594	610	623	618	596	559	549	560	581	586	577	569	495	533
Pb	1A3bii	2630577	2726581	2583876	2353224	2339304	2247853	2096001	1914060	1663663	1476321	1212313	1079176	853519	680725	192248	117	108	107	108	105	106	100	87	75	70	74	79	80	82	71	74	78
Pb	1A3bii(fu)	2630577	2726581	2583876	2353224	2339304	2247853	2096001	1914060	1663663	1476321	1212313	1079176	853519	680725	192248	117	108	107	108	105	106	100	87	75	70	74	79	80	82	71	74	78
Pb	1A3biv	1190429	1162470	1125984	1045057	1064493	1018909	938929	859379	758954	688293	583220	551139	475461	410244	129537	16	16	18	18	18	17	16	16	14	14	14	13	13	12	12	8	11
Pb	1A3biv(fu)	1190429	1162470	1125984	1045057	1064493	1018909	938929	859379	758954	688293	583220	551139	475461	410244	129537	16	16	18	18	18	17	16	16	14	14	14	13	13	12	12	8	11
Pb	1A3bvi	531728	531868	609079	617322	648321	690468	717305	753659	801186	827296	846678	876441	868592	917946	965007	980493	971250	1035372	1073265	1071412	1095674	1063642	979129	875527	846467	885219	947744	987435	975962	966349	887825	959190
Pb	1A3bvi(fu)	531728	531868	609079	617322	648321	690468	717305	753659	801186	827296	846678	876441	868592	917946	965007	980493	971250	1035372	1073265	1071412	1095674	1063642	979129	875527	846467	885219	947744	987435	975962	966349	887825	959190
Pb	1A3di(i)	9240	9079	9569	8300	10559	11669	14949	16289	15889	25419	32239	32208	23189	20519	8370	49209	47979	44279	40956	35540	30876	32727	31826	38980	37796	39833	46908	40792	43087	44246	44011	40023
Pb	NATIONALTOTAL	25310704	26376604	26354339	25561430	26932729	26777608	26155192	25421420	24020178	23051641	20822215	20051923	18275718	16207700	6676702	1354087	1336589	1405556	1452783	1398944	1340755	1345935	1203489	1009194	988546	1025761	1096396	1135938	1128261	1105158	1024673	1087695
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	25310704	26376604	26354339	25561430	26932729	26777608	26155192	25421420	24020178	23051641	20822215	20051923	18275718	16207700	6676702	1354087	1336589	1405556	1452783	1398944	1340755	1345935	1203489	1009194	988546	1025761	1096396	1135938	1128261	1105158	1024673	1087695
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	25310704	26376604	26354339	25561430	26932729	26777608	26155192	25421420	24020178	23051641	20822215	20051923	18275718	16207700	6676702	1354087	1336589	1405556	1452783	1398944	1340755	1345935	1203489	1009194	988546	1025761	1096396	1135938	1128261	1105158	1024673	1087695
Cd	1A3di(i)	920	920	970	860	1120	1230	1550	1690	1610	2620	3360	3370	2430	2120	810	5170	4860	4458	4159	3624	3195	3378	3229	3960	3842	4092	4789	4081	4262	4365	4359	3943
Cd	2G	5371	5371	5840	1616	1616	4723	5014	5596	5696	7973	14979	4615	4320	3113	4629	4034	2522	2627	2555	2841	3034	2475	2693	2111	841	1563	1464	1635	1444	1496	1268	1361
Hg	1A3di(i)	1400	1320	1390	1140	1360	1530	2050	2230	2310	3540	4360	4310	3090	2840	1350	6510	6980	6538	5920	5086	4255	4540	4613	5631	5450	5594	6692	6113	6625	6847	6748	6210

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
DIOX	1A3biii	25	23	30	29	30	31	31	33	34	34	38	38	36	38	38	38	36	44	43	42	42	40	35	27	25	26	28	29	21	31	15	19
DIOX	1A3biii(fu)	25	23	30	29	30	31	31	33	34	34	38	38	36	38	38	38	36	44	43	42	42	40	35	27	25	26	28	29	21	31	15	19
DIOX	1A3di(i)	19	20	21	19	25	27	34	37	34	57	74	74	54	46	16	114	103	94	89	77	70	73	69	84	82	88	103	85	88	90	90	81
HCB	1A2f	5744	5411	5897	6425	6743	6461	6976	6711	6357	6355	6567	6412	6586	6464	6942	6774	7093	6970	7117	5902	4940	4772	4385	6525	8386	7547	7582	7898	7334	6895	7678	7594
HCB	1A3di(i)	6680	6640	6999	6160	7959	8759	11099	12099	11620	18799	24019	24058	17339	15199	5940	36859	35079	32243	29996	26099	22895	24229	23292	28554	27700	29396	34475	29583	31018	31793	31709	28737
PCB	1A2f	25723	24231	26410	28774	30196	28934	31239	30053	28468	28459	29411	28715	29493	28948	31087	30335	31766	31214	31442	26035	21487	21368	19637	29220	37553	33799	33954	35368	32825	30876	34383	34008
PCB	1A3di(i)	20291	21278	22456	21050	28954	31348	37997	41493	37238	63303	83406	84430	61100	51526	16415	130793	112325	101354	96799	85230	77962	81935	74913	92211	89657	98076	112980	91215	92302	93731	94733	84396
PCB	NATIONALTOTAL	34342	33072	35514	38123	39753	38691	41169	40142	38706	38824	39867	39274	40169	31677	31306	33092	36471	37754	34066	28869	25944	26029	24172	39416	41714	37324	37767	40296	36745	34194	36821	36589
PCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	34342	33072	35514	38123	39753	38691	41169	40142	38706	38824	39867	39274	40169	31677	31306	33092	36471	37754	34066	28869	25944	26029	24172	39416	41714	37324	37767	40296	36745	34194	36821	36589
PCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	34342	33072	35514	38123	39753	38691	41169	40142	38706	38824	39867	39274	40169	31677	31306	33092	36471	37754	34066	28869	25944	26029	24172	39416	41714	37324	37767	40296	36745	34194	36821	36589