Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

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KCA

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TIME SERIES

Party: BG      Submission year: 2024

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2022
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2022
PMs: 2000 - 2022

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
NOx	1A2a	25981	20713	15231	16034	15195	16051	16205	19247	10494	7948	7824	4587	4364	4911	4599	4881	4277	4920	4907	2413	1592	5223	3503	2178	2483	2902	2624	4161	3425	1881	2316	139	145
NOx	1A3bi	31048	14837	18789	22043	22182	24326	20808	16418	20202	20621	21899	21592	22932	22646	21218	21264	22633	21291	20966	20634	19197	18111	18734	16936	18497	19691	19099	17772	17415	17466	15983	16950	16312
NOx	1A3di(i)	3250	16226	15140	14625	14727	15303	13300	518	4029	458	3568	5417	5888	7693	6439	5886	5651	2642	6441	11432	5174	4315	3515	5136	4591	4723	4300	4555	4815	4426	4777	4948	3951
NOx	1A4cii	30494	18628	16069	18601	15602	14061	14171	6934	8860	9224	9066	8293	8155	7686	6823	6814	6510	5361	2876	2951	2712	2700	2654	2357	2067	1895	1578	1412	1374	1219	996	1080	1080
NMVOC	1A3bi	32379	15495	18889	21954	21052	23332	19738	13693	16761	16243	16024	14721	15557	15098	12991	12646	13532	11972	11444	11233	10132	9007	8393	7281	7796	7658	6925	5914	5046	4473	3896	3960	3602
NMVOC	1A3bv	8484	4527	5887	6538	7097	6434	5849	4646	5723	5735	5157	4579	4229	4575	3956	3514	2506	2915	2778	2644	2290	2885	3348	3082	2565	2785	2578	2015	1732	1800	1568	1348	1326
NMVOC	1B2av	4521	2139	2541	3270	7049	3600	3107	2123	2732	2667	2964	2032	3980	2036	2319	2105	3154	2286	2368	2438	2367	2211	2153	1895	1886	1988	2033	2059	1954	2167	1161	1479	1524
NMVOC	2D3a	6864	6864	6864	6864	6864	6864	6864	6864	6864	5834	1979	4111	4566	5534	13133	13248	12185	13417	10365	6711	7071	6084	5005	5647	7425	12643	13381	13290	13344	13527	13230	13580	15409
NMVOC	2D3c			7	6	12	40	15	10	11	11	2861	380	3321	2329	3029	3543	2814	11	21	10	11	11	12	6	3	6	5	6	12	6	4	3	3
NMVOC	2D3e	243193	243193	243193	212102	6484	1208	1115	184	701	764	977	966	705	415	437	322	318	239	71	86	112	124	166	70	90	81	133	139	101	114	103	119	119
NMVOC	2D3g	3514	3183	3187	2918	2832	3692	827	718	534	452	537	526	511	4504	668	975	1914	488	332	276	316	328	249	226	443	502	520	438	244	212	210	230	279
SOx	1A2a	260877	199435	142189	117784	136264	137427	127110	147644	109025	71708	113859	39957	35698	27874	25136	23685	21802	12044	9727	17291	3868	52327	16815	1501	1478	1739	1338	3053	1853	2500	1447	1	1
SOx	1B2aiv	5142	2850	1492	3531	4312	4955	4311	3698	3444	3504	3295	3318	3237	3123	3275	3834	4408	4400	4431	3873	3393	3151	3654	3486	3195	3743	3880	4206	3642	4244	3016		4361
NH3	2B10a	1999	1981	1832	1859	1927	2016	2016	1655	603	452	743	439	41	23	29	28	25	26	23	16	19	28	20	22	23	26	28	28	26	28	28	25	23
NH3	3B4gii	5324	4380	3078	2486	1178	1042	2026	1924	1715	1657	1741	1827	2371	3149	3053	2730	2817	2749	2664	2695	2582	2467	2727	2465	2201	2633	2464	2206	2526	2657	2349	2130	2390
CO	1A3aii(ii)	29748	8600	5733	2867	8600	5733	2867	19296	16080	39396	16080	34572	20100	17688	14472	85	131	74	85	67	63	67	58	36	38	37	40	43	41	43	48	30	32
CO	1A3bi	449565	211949	251157	285429	264992	288084	237872	151435	183718	171354	155387	134282	139391	132351	113051	105634	115183	102089	97929	96406	87178	77475	71622	61594	66774	66376	61498	55221	47915	43407	38742	40537	38345
CO	1A3bii	80365	41071	50714	59704	55885	61873	51673	33089	40865	37925	33668	27892	27861	26598	23503	21430	14936	11400	10006	9095	7975	7031	6486	5126	5473	5478	4658	4123	3801	3582	3413	3839	3667
CO	1A4ci	306	228	135	123	96	94	77	22	26	36	15	20	14	24	25	48	30	88	82	67	69	169167	143315	121	106	153	142	118	110	94	92	124	210
CO	2B7	9416	8039	4650	2335	4059	7164	7795	7567	7325	6215	8323	10108	9300	9859	10279	10516	10553	10982	11291	7523	11261	13071	13037	12158	13626	13055	13434	13861	13904	13167	11203	13341	12834
CO	NATIONALTOTAL	817469	546937	631167	705740	620799	634836	588985	430793	494500	437365	409821	371615	417065	432729	384762	339434	351485	318258	297776	288453	297704	474102	440494	270733	256348	254617	254749	250015	233688	223331	231038	237525	200458
CO	NTCOMPL(NECD)	817469	546937	631167	705740	620799	634836	588985	430793	494500	437365	409821	371615	417065	432729	384762	339434	351485	318258	297776	288453	297704	474102	440494	270733	256348	254617	254749	250015	233688	223331	231038	237525	200458
CO	NTCOMPLIANCE	817469	546937	631167	705740	620799	634836	588985	430793	494500	437365	409821	371615	417065	432729	384762	339434	351485	318258	297776	288453	297704	474102	440494	270733	256348	254617	254749	250015	233688	223331	231038	237525	200458

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
PM2.5	1A1c	1110	1331	1177	1297	981	876	784	619	321													3	0
PM2.5	1A2a	950	668	622	761	691	729	518	600	904	516	683	1637	1033	712	1133	2620	134	156	662	909	363	2	2
PM2.5	1A2d	3	2	3	2	2	3	2	2	3	1	3	4	2	3	3	3	3	2	2	4	1	763	1020
PM2.5	2D3c	1760	234	2044	1433	1864	2180	1732	7	13	6	7	7	7	4	2	3	3	4	7	4	3	2	2
PM2.5	NATIONALTOTAL	35635	32482	37759	40676	40399	39905	40240	37649	36163	33937	35512	37996	36902	33897	32709	32358	30809	30166	29261	28401	30432	29960	28018
PM2.5	NTCOMPL(NECD)	35635	32482	37759	40676	40399	39905	40240	37649	36163	33937	35512	37996	36902	33897	32709	32358	30809	30166	29261	28401	30432	29960	28018
PM2.5	NTCOMPLIANCE	35635	32482	37759	40676	40399	39905	40240	37649	36163	33937	35512	37996	36902	33897	32709	32358	30809	30166	29261	28401	30432	29960	28018
PM10	1A1c	1757	2108	1864	2054	1553	1388	1231	980	509													4	0
PM10	1A2a	2080	1126	1107	1241	1175	1246	944	1076	1362	635	709	1734	1085	726	1148	2648	147	236	723	1058	418	2	2
PM10	1B1a	968	989	962	1004	1018	940	995	1091	1101	1033	1117	1414	1277	1095	1201	1381	1207	1332	1178	1092	870	1103	1385
PM10	2D3c	8802	1169	10218	7167	9321	10901	8659	35	66	31	34	35	36	19	10	17	16	18	37	19	13	10	11
PM10	NATIONALTOTAL	66321	57035	68481	70552	71483	73097	70892	64889	61243	54523	53557	59947	54231	50441	51610	52461	46419	46233	46447	46152	46801	46536	42448
PM10	NTCOMPL(NECD)	66321	57035	68481	70552	71483	73097	70892	64889	61243	54523	53557	59947	54231	50441	51610	52461	46419	46233	46447	46152	46801	46536	42448
PM10	NTCOMPLIANCE	66321	57035	68481	70552	71483	73097	70892	64889	61243	54523	53557	59947	54231	50441	51610	52461	46419	46233	46447	46152	46801	46536	42448
TSP	1B1a	2035	2080	2022	2111	2140	1977	2092	2294	2315	2172	2349	2972	2684	2302	2525	2904	2539	2800	2477	2296	1828	2320	2912
TSP	2D3c	35210	4678	40873	28667	37283	43602	34638	141	263	123	134	140	142	76	41	68	63	71	150	76	52	38	43

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
Pb	1A1a	10898960	9673654	9068825	9769505	10431232	10594438	10412599	10471078	10780760	9448449	9382540	9090	8432974	9832270	9539431	9438489	9317749	10339728	8332792	7479664	5648433	8770532	1088127	1052920	994658	872834	836279	883655	879088	3019776	2321721	2823349	3613304
Pb	1A2a	4192646	1425767	1146935	6248738	9301221	9681985	9143349	10055029	8008006	7096262	7250007	6474436	5584404	7731749	5425990	6730116	6461919	5731859	2446428	203224	79316	1544428	777108	119986	143357	166624	146363	156611	159218	203369	225969	22	21
Pb	1A3aii(i)	11526000	1800000	1200000	600000	1800000	1200000	600000	5352000	4560000	11502000	3960000	9114000	5550000	4956000	4164000	1490671	903679	1026655	1912508	1911395	1798631	2118849	1986499	1648059	1587160	1611574	1037677	1578457	1567123	1431693	837348	1017102	1114639
Pb	1A3bi	193875400	90283654	114219292	134761625	136234498	150783927	130623725	85355410	112525921	111150757	94057107	81324893	88737305	85965554	2829427	2754520	3412162	19446	65726	1146	1113	1081	1099	951	1097	1219	1207	1221	1220	1261	1200	1294	1319
Pb	1A3bii	59481515	28860432	37630618	45085732	45163389	49734502	42393343	27639819	36507673	35277600	29404371	25108079	26165793	24683121	790072	772224	542574	2757	8150	239	227	222	236	206	235	266	264	270	286	302	294	323	324
Pb	1A3biv	20174127	9097132	11096491	12231341	11759084	12399984	10200718	6559283	8120208	7585273	5971749	4921140	5053901	4511576	45393	42951	39273	229	811	14	13	13	13	11	14	15	16	19	20	21	22	26	28
Pb	1A4bi	1225768	4243953	5177405	5504847	4119118	3369847	4425741	3804326	3854522	2670203	2152689	1647613	2625680	3096545	2638821	2354039	2512194	2136952	1792248	1788116	2438010	2617295	2713859	2354925	1675850	1692604	1744344	1799335	1631528	1457548	1574116	1742080	985595
Pb	2A3	2578559	2194655		1096739	765162	856772	1101703	975283	763571	564358	571903	567562	640134	485669	959021	1187174	1207444	1248186	1749102	1302808	1341504	1624600	1444352	1595395	1574083	1342738	1460526	1584417	1564874	1233424	2222179	1831715	2243297
Pb	2C1	67096150	25632737	8672804	10449136	13182680	14390410	12982505	13859560	11370829	10279007	10432873	10237784	8861975	10969991	9399992	8954777	9121537	8090450	5475292	1887600	1942200	2171000	1645800	1359800	1591200	1411800	1370200	1695200	1731600	1599169	1346684	1512461	1314040
Pb	2C5	3741158	3159669	2984103	3202998	3597401	3380305	4204742	4084616	4494313	4690035	4534993	4677635	3811048	3981001	4076091	4902567	4897909	4867970	5069087	4753706	4606777	3995784	3874975	4119250	4211664	3970798	3980340	382644	391187	386909	410745	400952	631907
Pb	2C7a	15883133	12266474	9292529	8281515	9842019	11174831	15187424	16219275	15613668	14003591	13756225	12573644	11150693	12609280	8404630	8318630	11491965	10218160	2092353	1846410	1656945	2253801	1592500	1323268	1153577	1139797	1168002	1411159	1827598	1715985	1746454	1246856	1338232
Pb	2D3i	691454	691454	691454	691454	691454	691454	691454	691454	691454	534665	841369	1044828	693381	520680	852016	1512654	973396	920423	909935	683505	1820719	397221	599380	1363105	1094074	429355	1000762	1159517	895243	1742280	1053539	1046783	1149687
Cd	1A1a	1295237	1149823	1079484	1169057	1249128	1263114	1243361	1247640	1289611	1130058	1094905	1091	1010328	1178893	1128071	1133298	1114353	1243904	1008077	819100	680650	983555	73040	59905	62940	56446	60555	61819	63654	357898	279878	340887	440688
Cd	2C7a	7954400	6130249	4681202	4223633	4996941	5698458	7693055	8222576	7907339	7106885	6975787	6368080	5658121	6395896	4173509	4006112	5550991	5049873	2940419	2887196	2234804	3276047	1837357	1236729	1043689	967329	1008639	1294461	1907531	1712069	1715421	762075	887184
Hg	1A1a	2067969	1839344	1725808	1860878	1995410	2029211	1995270	2009102	2072766	1817914	1780824	1751	1623261	1893893	1838765	1819121	1792093	1994700	1608933	1365203	1088535	1626168	167376	152998	157949	137432	143156	147532	140401	581586	441448	536838	686659
Hg	1A2a	186385	160620	133498	135661	149954	137215	151328	181821	81009	67242	148124	38522	41769	36724	37296	40217	46792	50078	52236	8985	6074	134611	66926	7858	12589	22795	15075	19039	15007	16547	24820	990	1046
Hg	1B2aiv	42299	23445	12271	29042	35491	40759	35465	30416	28330	28820	27101	27290	26627	25689	26943	31538	36261	36190	36445	31860	27922	25923	30059	28672	26285	30789	31916	34600	29987	34908	24812		35874
Hg	5C1biii	27757	27757	27757	27757	27848	28172	28172	28156	28152	28844	29231	28756	28799	52721	66736	79174	76745	65099	61226	54542	54712	57410	61949	48175	40194	40535	38614	42552	33811	29283	63228	171791	54256
Hg	5C1bv	6705	6705	6705	6705	6705	6705	6705	6705	6705	6705	6705	6705	6705	6705	7282	8150	8092	8560	8864	8761	9104	9722	10631	10600	11704	12282	13546	16935	15882	17323	20718	27678	22094
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	2770240	2513109	2371870	2561662	2714184	2733021	2742170	2769684	2708322	2383681	2413296	520614	2141815	2490546	2436263	2423498	2430921	2611664	2178412	1796794	1525127	2197198	647051	539771	525942	520086	522680	518620	489236	939403	838971	1018288	1060588
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	2770240	2513109	2371870	2561662	2714184	2733021	2742170	2769684	2708322	2383681	2413296	520614	2141815	2490546	2436263	2423498	2430921	2611664	2178412	1796794	1525127	2197198	647051	539771	525942	520086	522680	518620	489236	939403	838971	1018288	1060588
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	2770240	2513109	2371870	2561662	2714184	2733021	2742170	2769684	2708322	2383681	2413296	520614	2141815	2490546	2436263	2423498	2430921	2611664	2178412	1796794	1525127	2197198	647051	539771	525942	520086	522680	518620	489236	939403	838971	1018288	1060588

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
DIOX	1A1a	2702	2372	2131	2258	2328	2319	2257	2287	2347	2064	2280	2085	2130	2414	2351	2299	2300	2758	2735	3200	2396	3810	2339	2548	2702	2367	2047	2225	1989	2878	2391	3373	3623
DIOX	1A2a	6808	949	743	12260	19214	20259	18964	20901	17214	15346	14824	14266	12217	17133	11864	14819	14223	12601	5132	324	190	1851	969	343	406	389	394	371	439	493	473	1	1
DIOX	5E	4370	4333	4277	4264	4248	3423	3304	3136	3655	3668	5243	4153	3436	3842	3634	3497	3911	4723	4539	3865	3437	4287	4429	3811	3547	3862	3918	4060	3664	3798	3549	3526	3689
HCB	1A1a	1514205	1373260	1269793	897601	1442760	1430199	1395225	1426932	1489592	1313407	1309771	1347081	1373701	1563409	1531004	1497426	1576439	1814815	1794931	1627672	1343893	2143740	1859665	1535411	1670786	1718608	1514110	1561395	1416104	1353125	1091716	1378863	1685467
HCB	1A2a	211288	183385	118966	123894	353517	359811	366227	407511	263844	229931	278772	191610	72023	74085	65633	195044	202336	198554	129662	9568	72345	131284	67198	23658	22863	51196	43881	115724	115982	42358	56787	0
HCB	NATIONALTOTAL	2067425	1862270	1625632	1227595	2039320	2056667	2026338	2088827	2079589	1836826	2070331	1946723	1881912	2142678	2281476	2321474	2712387	2815250	2728516	2273770	2130051	3156707	2741921	2162365	2273304	2350140	1797694	1984554	1842328	1674103	1680831	1817106	2462480
HCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	2067425	1862270	1625632	1227595	2039320	2056667	2026338	2088827	2079589	1836826	2070331	1946723	1881912	2142678	2281476	2321474	2712387	2815250	2728516	2273770	2130051	3156707	2741921	2162365	2273304	2350140	1797694	1984554	1842328	1674103	1680831	1817106	2462480
HCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	2067425	1862270	1625632	1227595	2039320	2056667	2026338	2088827	2079589	1836826	2070331	1946723	1881912	2142678	2281476	2321474	2712387	2815250	2728516	2273770	2130051	3156707	2741921	2162365	2273304	2350140	1797694	1984554	1842328	1674103	1680831	1817106	2462480
PCB	1A1a	258464	227129	182652	204254	159494	180478	173418	168867	121375	95297	532595	74378	82989	80809	60024	63051	132820	42841	39739	1342736	61773	1154875		1000139	1038009	31	10317	36609	44836	203513	124911	159810	163215
PCB	1A2a	553231	433549	382244	614065	657725	835664	682758	567641	437610	447348	332433	285694	254125	295466	211199	251798	387867	253384	150085	56690	23419	2353789	1167641	46720	33920	48800	42303	37611	34413	34983	29122	0