Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA for CLRTAP

KCA for NECD

Inv. comparison

Time series

Trend graphs

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TIME SERIES

Party: BG      Submission year: 2023

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2021
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2021
PMs: 2000 - 2021

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
NOx	1A3bi	31043	14828	18772	22019	22153	24293	20788	16420	20208	20639	21957	21681	23052	22793	21371	21452	22863	21521	21190	20873	19423	18316	18937	17042	18716	19918	19334	17997	17646	17698	16210	17177
NOx	1A3di(ii)	4679	23012	21518	20811	20972	21757	18909	706	5495	629	4867	7393	8031	10493	8783	8352	8019	3749	9206	16013	7513	5753	4827	6988	6242	6590	5954	6177	6380	5926	6618	6714
NOx	1A4bi	4014	3992	4998	5513	4133	3538	4227	3473	3733	2732	2386	1888	2821	3176	2798	2648	2841	2588	2584	2311	2763	3142	3115	2830	2461	2473	2666	2734	2441	2308	2653	2960
NOx	1A4cii	30494	18628	16069	18601	15602	14061	14171	6934	8860	9224	9066	8293	8155	7686	6823	6814	6510	5361	2876	2951	2712	2700	2654	2357	2067	1895	1578	1412	1374	1219	996	1080
NMVOC	1A3ai(ii)	3835	3287	4508	6043	4900	4865	3193	2364	2083	1124	1289	1670	2000	2562	2463	3025	2893	2926	3405	2446	2694	2727	2628	2562	2727	2843	3422	3830	4110	3823	2208	2630
NMVOC	1A3bi	32380	15497	18898	21976	21084	23380	19795	13767	16857	16361	16224	14978	15880	15487	13382	13128	14096	12510	11991	11832	10724	9564	8928	7797	8370	8258	7550	6531	5641	5082	4518	4635
NMVOC	1A3bv	8484	4526	5885	6537	7097	6435	5852	4651	5731	5746	5171	4594	4245	4596	3979	3537	2527	2943	2806	2672	2315	2920	3389	3117	2593	2817	2609	2045	1759	1831	1596	1372
NMVOC	1A4bi	15317	15692	15692	16181	12636	11610	14315	13261	17136	14241	15866	14093	18580	19906	19273	18531	19667	18380	18944	18312	19384	20793	20944	20160	19007	18573	19737	19811	18379	17574	20069	18787
NMVOC	1B2ai	0	0	0		5	3	2	4	1	2179	11083	2032	5	4	3	3	54	32	24	3	10	47	60	31	21	13	12	11	6	6	2	2
NMVOC	1B2av	4521	2139	2541	3270	7049	3600	3107	2123	2735	2667	2964	2032	3980	2036	2319	2105	3154	2286	2368	2438	2367	2211	2153	1895	1886	1988	2033	2059	1954	2167	1161	1479
NMVOC	2D3a	9497	9416	9295	9267	9232	9185	9137	9074	9016	8973	8927	8644	8595	8546	8502	8455	8412	8369	8332	8286	8221	8026	7980	7937	7890	7836	7103	6780	8644	8238	12016	7492
NMVOC	2D3c			7	6	12	40	15	10	11	11	2861	380	3321	2329	3029	3543	2814	11	21	10	11	11	12	6	3	6	5	6	12	6	4	3
NMVOC	2D3e	243193	243193	243193	212102	6484	1208	1115	184	701	764	977	966	705	415	437	322	318	239	71	86	112	124	166	70	90	81	133	139	101	114	103	103
NMVOC	2D3g	3513	3183	3187	2918	2832	3691	827	718	534	452	537	526	511	4504	668	975	1914	488	332	276	316	328	249	226	443	502	520	438	236	212	210	200
NMVOC	3De	6728	6803	7024	6950	6895	6985	6848	6977	7078	6948	6871	6845	7051	7055	6918	7041	7024	7015	7203	7200	7513	7207	7060	6973	6980	6895	6855	6876	6873	6869	6877	6869
SOx	1A3di(ii)	1180	5820	5440	5260	5300	5500	4780	180	1400	160	1240	1883	2046	2673	2238	2128	2043	955	2342	4068	1905	1460	1226	1774	1585	1675	1513	1569	1620	1506	1683	1705
SOx	1A4bi	24976	23919	30625	32569	23641	19181	23990	21826	20875	13782	9251	6016	11040	13126	10032	9107	9755	8322	7778	5473	7532	9320	9051	7456	5293	5350	6014	6322	4650	4172	4126	5550
SOx	1B2aiv	5142	2850	1492	3531	4315	4955	4311	3698	3444	3504	3295	3318	3237	3123	3275	3834	4408	4400	4431	3873	3394	3151	3654	3486	3195	3743	3880	4206	3645	4244	3016	5142
NH3	2B10a	1999	1981	1832	1859	1927	2016	2016	1655	603	452	743	439	41	23	29	28	25	26	23	16	19	28	20	22	23	26	28	28	26	28	28	25
NH3	2B7	942	804	465	234		716	779	757	732	622	832	1011	930	986	1028	1052	1055	1098	1129	752	1985	1256	1324	1247	1384	1328	1366	1386	1390	1317	1120	1334
NH3	3B4gii	3735	3219	2209	1768	830	728	1402	1320	1166	1117	1163	1210	1557	2051	1972	1748	1789	1732	1664	1670	1588	1505	1650	1480	1322	1581	1479	1325	1517	1596	1411	1279
NH3	3Da3	10880	10415	27661	7794	5998	5091	4893	4786	4511	4447	4128	3616	3729	3897	3753	3686	3674	3619	3565	3473	3219	3019	2953	2967	3003	2939	2908	2914	2894	2843	3165	3212
CO	1A3ai(i)	36192	31022	42543	57029	46243	45909	30130	22308	19656	10608	12168	15756	18876	24180	23244	28548	27300	27612	32136	23088	25428	25740	24804	24180	25740	26832	32292	36145	38786	36830	21091	24821
CO	1A3ai(ii)	242208	207607	284714	381657	309471	307234	201641	149292	131544	70992	81432	105444	126324	161820	155556	191052	182700	184788	215064	154512	170172	172260	165996	161820	172260	179568	216108	241896	259564	241436	139443	166112
CO	1A3bi	449657	212109	251606	286306	266200	289822	239727	152693	185514	173139	156781	135239	140341	133088	113639	105828	115600	102445	98183	96427	86995	77161	71245	60903	66030	65677	60740	54792	47770	43485	38906	40712
CO	1A3bii	80369	41077	50735	59749	55949	61968	51776	33166	40972	38035	33780	27992	27969	26708	23606	21527	15009	11454	10051	9135	8008	7057	6508	5118	5523	5569	4778	4298	4015	3821	3685	4139
CO	1A4bi	164415	144072	180588	188081	143289	125313	156481	144773	169020	131294	130848	110502	153783	168136	155833	148443	157775	145397	147779	137525	154007	169120	169302	159049	144518	141809	151741	153222	138447	131525	148429	144164
CO	1A4ci	306	228	135	123	96	94	77	46	26	36	15	20	14	24	25	48	45	88	82	67	69	169167	143315	121	106	153	142	118	110	94	92	124
CO	2B7	9416	8039	4650	2335		7164	7795	7567	7325	6215	8323	10108	9300	9859	10279	10516	10553	10982	11291	7523	19852	12564	13243	12474	13842	13281	13662	13861	13904	13167	11203	13341
CO	NATIONALTOTAL	935681	552409	638656	708552	623203	641676	588297	439300	503905	451361	412961	375786	418988	435531	385382	371508	388007	362141	347755	320532	334026	509690	467226	298700	290041	290659	301027	300955	281250	268425	260169	267206
CO	NTCOMPL(NECD)	935681	552409	638656	708552	623203	641676	588297	439300	503905	451361	412961	375786	418988	435531	385382	371508	388007	362141	347755	320532	334026	509690	467226	298700	290041	290659	301027	300955	281250	268425	260169	267206
CO	NTCOMPLIANCE	935681	552409	638656	708552	623203	641676	588297	439300	503905	451361	412961	375786	418988	435531	385382	371508	388007	362141	347755	320532	334026	509690	467226	298700	290041	290659	301027	300955	281250	268425	260169	267206

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
PM2.5	1A2a	950	668	622	761	691	729	518	600	904	516	683	1637	1033	712	1133	2620	135	156	662	909	363	2
PM2.5	1A4bi	18134	16470	21201	22499	22226	21457	22757	21399	22187	21783	23181	24735	24954	24161	22972	22432	23805	23869	22294	21349	24506	22712
PM2.5	2D3c	1760	234	2044	1433	1864	2180	1732	7	13	6	7	7	7	4	2	3	3	4	7	4	3	2
PM2.5	NATIONALTOTAL	35312	32133	37153	39979	39603	39489	39638	37954	37559	34128	35365	38167	37265	34219	34168	34150	31469	30928	30110	29519	31359	30572
PM2.5	NTCOMPL(NECD)	35312	32133	37153	39979	39603	39489	39638	37954	37559	34128	35365	38167	37265	34219	34168	34150	31469	30928	30110	29519	31359	30572
PM2.5	NTCOMPLIANCE	35312	32133	37153	39979	39603	39489	39638	37954	37559	34128	35365	38167	37265	34219	34168	34150	31469	30928	30110	29519	31359	30572
PM10	1A2a	2080	1126	1107	1241	1175	1246	944	1076	1362	635	709	1734	1085	726	1148	2648	147	236	723	1058	418	2
PM10	1A4bi	18660	16937	21817	23159	22865	22071	23410	22008	22815	22391	23879	25493	25715	24884	23641	23086	24503	24572	22937	21961	25200	23374
PM10	1B1a	968	989	962	1004	1018	940	995	1091	1101	1033	1117	1414	1277	1095	1201	1381	1207	1332	1178	1092	870	1103
PM10	2D3c	8802	1169	10218	7167	9321	10901	8659	35	66	31	34	35	36	19	10	17	16	18	37	19	13	10
PM10	NATIONALTOTAL	62864	53288	63883	66309	67161	68874	66530	62068	59714	51046	49066	56375	51563	46956	49853	51272	43544	43423	43494	44091	44525	43233
PM10	NTCOMPL(NECD)	62864	53288	63883	66309	67161	68874	66530	62068	59714	51046	49066	56375	51563	46956	49853	51272	43544	43423	43494	44091	44525	43233
PM10	NTCOMPLIANCE	62864	53288	63883	66309	67161	68874	66530	62068	59714	51046	49066	56375	51563	46956	49853	51272	43544	43423	43494	44091	44525	43233
TSP	1A4bi	19890	17986	23262	24732	24335	23475	24901	23386	24220	23708	25328	27075	27302	26383	25015	24433	25942	26022	24255	23215	26619	24739
TSP	1B1a	2035	2080	2022	2111	2140	1977	2092	2294	2315	2172	2349	2972	2684	2302	2525	2904	2539	2800	2477	2296	1828	2320
TSP	2D3c	35210	4678	40873	28667	37283	43602	34638	141	263	123	134	140	142	76	41	68	63	71	150	76	52	38
BC	1A4bi	1721	1595	2009	2113	2127	2061	2184	2065	2153	2143	2272	2410	2436	2373	2278	2222	2355	2358	2218	2128	2453	2251

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
Pb	1A1a	10898960	9673654	9068825	9769505	10431232	10594438	10412599	10471078	10780760	9448449	9382540	9090	8432974	9832450	9539431	9438489	9317749	10339728	8345792	7479664	5648433	8770532	1088127	1052920	994658	872834	836279	883655	879088	3019776	2321721	2823349
Pb	1A2a	4192646	1425767	1146935	6248738	9301221	9684585	9143349	10055029	8008006	7096262	7250007	6474436	5584404	7731749	5425990	6730116	6461919	5731859	2446428	203224	79316	1544428	777108	119986	143357	166624	146363	156611	159218	203369	225969	22
Pb	1A3aii(i)	5833333	2500000	1666667	833333	2500000	1666667	833333	833333	833333	2500000	515000	833333	833333	833333	833333	833333	280833	329167	833333	833333	833333	833333	833333	833333	833333	833333	645833	381667	320833	204167	126667	193333
Pb	1A3bi	193871920	90277619	114198453	134716354	136166151	150684157	130511829	85268381	112398773	111014442	93927234	81204737	88601953	85826781	2825047	2750061	3408456	19427	65669	1145	1112	1080	1098	946	1096	1218	1207	1221	1220	1260	1199	1293
Pb	1A3bii	59484130	28865010	37646360	45120267	45215748	49811480	42479853	27706873	36606758	35384182	29506376	25202705	26272686	24792818	793914	776149	545774	2773	8196	239	227	223	236	204	235	266	265	271	287	302	294	323
Pb	1A3biv	20175014	9098574	11101133	12240710	11772716	12419176	10221534	6575195	8142247	7608190	5992465	4939686	5074548	4531626	45613	43169	39505	230	816	14	13	13	13	11	14	15	16	19	20	21	23	26
Pb	1A4bi	4258859	3917473	5037833	5287757	3913412	3225630	4094257	3804326	3854519	2670200	2074817	1511203	2461679	2833280	2339432	2168822	2314793	2043946	1986034	1610639	2141203	2515869	2477029	2167241	1741577	1735445	1903446	1962859	1619064	1500364	1629991	1800955
Pb	2A3	2578559	2194655		1096739	765162	856772	1101703	975283	763571	564358	571903	567562	640134	485669	959021	1187174	1207444	1248186	1749102	1302808	1341504	1624600	1444352	1595395	1574083	1342738	1460526	1584457	1564874	1233424	2222179	1831715
Pb	2C1	67096150	25632737	8672804	10449136	13182680	14390410	12982505	13859560	11370829	10279007	10432873	10237784	8861975	10969991	9399992	8954777	9121537	8090450	5475292	1935769	1979659	2233196	1700075	1407190	1648473	1465766	1427510	1740022	1777132	1498063	1346684	1422200
Pb	2C5	2939180	2500436	1454548	192373984	215475762	217685752	251479052	15531959	15410793	19536916	716209	859452	1478562	1262289	1110031	279024	363768	302846	120643298	2665666	71675911	269944	262939	63778158	312470	278332	303183	272789	78576384	271093	271168	262570
Pb	2C7a	6097552	4775648	3425912	2311106	2781854	3201445	4783108	5084031	4851119	4258024	10026960	9536412	3049032	3456633	3715776	3970295	3968375	3635387	1806042		1577166	326974	326321	377386	365266	365855	325299	402930	404967	362598	385573	320514
Pb	2D3i	867877	860488	849416	846903	843665	839390	835008	829228	823939	819985	841369	1044828	693381	520680	852016	1512654	973396	920423	909935	683505	1820719	397221	599380	1363105	1094074	429355	1000762	1159517	895243	1742280	1053539	1046783
Pb	NATIONALTOTAL	384718025	184969714	203947912	425501044	456559199	479360560	482788201	184153699	217942950	215352319	175901985	145927172	156385073	157617593	41904006	42796269	42576435	36153941	150846640	20310210	90575973	22011572	13268593	76092657	12480053	11725065	12373112	12960386	90765481	14825750	14198061	14951014
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	384718025	184969714	203947912	425501044	456559199	479360560	482788201	184153699	217942950	215352319	175901985	145927172	156385073	157617593	41904006	42796269	42576435	36153941	150846640	20310210	90575973	22011572	13268593	76092657	12480053	11725065	12373112	12960386	90765481	14825750	14198061	14951014
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	384718025	184969714	203947912	425501044	456559199	479360560	482788201	184153699	217942950	215352319	175901985	145927172	156385073	157617593	41904006	42796269	42576435	36153941	150846640	20310210	90575973	22011572	13268593	76092657	12480053	11725065	12373112	12960386	90765481	14825750	14198061	14951014
Cd	1A1a	1295237	1149823	1079484	1169057	1249128	1263114	1243361	1247640	1289611	1130058	1094905	1091	1010328	1178893	1145071	1133298	1114353	1243904	1008077	819100	680650	983555	73040	59905	62940	56446	60555	61819	63654	357898	279878	340887
Cd	1A2a	193031	154764	122442	108364	120175	105334	114888	136804	61467	43748	97263	30038	31150	31670	29791	32802	30282	49026	51528	18311	20390	69190	40098	39535	49017	43075	45435	42154	51486	64357	65756	3
Cd	2C5	10226	8630	9805	506999	565770	574103	662460	54629	51866	62702	13606	13920	13146	30546	27085	7374	7371	8090	338900	14485	192278	7454	7390	171789	8864	7871	8192	7634	209890	7788	7534	7855
Cd	2C6	156346	125400	316271	32409	42265	16589	21850	15400	39784	42462	172670	13916	117960	111840	154454	132984	141120	5798	639445	7247	7165	7393	6459	7711	8111	7192	8899	8650	7906	8186	7859	34806
Cd	2C7a	4892335	3775745	2867766	2134386	2563859	2996316	4477703	4763225	4543021	3988249	973226	921785	2847096	3226278	3450624	3658593	3637652	2538243	351658		325323	238595	231150	274359	270348	269341	230728	290804	279736	243219	262355	71672
Cd	2D3i	133275	139564	115123	114140	125836	130973	133698	126945	108478	106564	105967	118958	114383	119574	116068	111739	84311	111261	89957	81364	58396	62813	71923	84483	79703	96354	116090	83506	64121	59486	57036	45820
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	7470377	5858883	4866310	4528599	5136725	5609223	7161767	6827754	6639510	5855911	3029585	1666256	4751769	5377402	5630133	5774236	5800055	4685347	3233382	1617789	1985973	2126659	1169979	1335538	1168546	1163674	1180596	1265132	1443266	1470404	1496076	1433407
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	7470377	5858883	4866310	4528599	5136725	5609223	7161767	6827754	6639510	5855911	3029585	1666256	4751769	5377402	5630133	5774236	5800055	4685347	3233382	1617789	1985973	2126659	1169979	1335538	1168546	1163674	1180596	1265132	1443266	1470404	1496076	1433407
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	7470377	5858883	4866310	4528599	5136725	5609223	7161767	6827754	6639510	5855911	3029585	1666256	4751769	5377402	5630133	5774236	5800055	4685347	3233382	1617789	1985973	2126659	1169979	1335538	1168546	1163674	1180596	1265132	1443266	1470404	1496076	1433407
Hg	1A1a	2067969	1839344	1725808	1860878	1995410	2029211	1995270	2009102	2072766	1817914	1780845	1751	1623451	1893893	1838765	1819121	1792093	1994700	1608933	1365203	1088535	1626168	167376	152998	157949	137432	143156	147532	140401	581586	441448	536838
Hg	1A2a	186385	160620	133498	135661	149954	137215	151328	181821	81009	67242	148124	38522	41769	36724	37296	40217	46792	50078	52236	8985	6074	134611	66926	7858	12589	22795	15075	19039	15007	16547	24820	990
Hg	1A4bi	156823	145717	186508	197083	145159	119188	149686	136863	134896	91745	67112	47017	79904	93286	75032	69319	74336	65166	62606	49137	63830	76227	74625	64118	50055	50585	55644	57784	46847	43229	46165	57349
Hg	1B2aiv	42299	23445	12271	29044	35491	40759	35465	30416	28330	28820	27101	27290	26627	25689	26943	31538	36261	36190	36445	31860	27922	25923	30059	28672	26285	30789	31916	34600	29987	34908	24812	42299
Hg	2C1	149064	112993	108460	130872	157010	173334	153390	160899	131116	116825	121087	123263	104284	129581	113168	107919	113917	101289	78905	37226	38070	42946	32694	27061	31701	28188	27452	33462	34176	28	25898	27350
Hg	2C6	312937	205749	65315	82409	75489	11	61120	60641	88767	92040	203754	35	159722	162920	200244	154724	164937	53315	351077	50782	48966	47812	37096	35613	37197	37476	32260	34170	34506	36966	38598	38921
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	3039062	2590644	2333730	2548022	2672291	2622348	2671865	2711908	2655617	2334523	2459860	344841	2147985	2547546	2502580	2384498	2393990	2443460	2375513	1666661	1390676	2073654	531040	423634	416773	412154	412313	439607	405944	814379	742799	970782
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	3039062	2590644	2333730	2548022	2672291	2622348	2671865	2711908	2655617	2334523	2459860	344841	2147985	2547546	2502580	2384498	2393990	2443460	2375513	1666661	1390676	2073654	531040	423634	416773	412154	412313	439607	405944	814379	742799	970782
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	3039062	2590644	2333730	2548022	2672291	2622348	2671865	2711908	2655617	2334523	2459860	344841	2147985	2547546	2502580	2384498	2393990	2443460	2375513	1666661	1390676	2073654	531040	423634	416773	412154	412313	439607	405944	814379	742799	970782

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
DIOX	1A1a	2702	2372	2131	2258	2328	2319	2257	2287	2347	2064	2280	2085	2130	2414	2351	2299	2450	2758	2735	3200	2396	3810	2339	2548	2702	2367	2047	2225	1989	2878	2391	3373
DIOX	1A2f	12	11	12984	4	4	4	4	3	3	2	4	3	2	2	3	3	3	180	142	54	35	30	47	36	54	49	39	24	29	38	18	33
HCB	1A3di(ii)	8260	35940	34240	33460	33920	34720	30160	720	5600	700	4960	7594	8184	10693	8950	8511	8172	3821	10328	19693	10379	7579	6043	8957	7900	7959	7192	7691	7999	7034	7682	8399
PCB	1A1a	258464	227129	182652	204254	159494	180478	173418	168867	121375	95297	532595	74378	82989	80809	60024	63051	132820	42841	39739	1342736	61773	1154875		1000139	1038009	31	10317	36609	44836	203513	124911	159810
PCB	1A2a	553231	433549	382244	614065	657725	835664	682758	567641	437610	447348	332433	285694	254125	295466	211199	251798	387867	253384	150085	56690	24519	2353789	1167641	46720	33920	48800	42303	37611	34413	34983	29122	0
PCB	1A4bi	4700168	4399818	5653988	5952011	4325888	3494960	4420530	4109333	3911100	2571601	1703757	1094736	2035501	2428082	1841334	1668874	1787647	1520047	1414471	977260	1363179	1698443	1646662	1346781	938933	951545	1073599	1131171	818033	729809	709428	986294