Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA

Inv. comparison

Time series

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TIME SERIES

Party: BG      Submission year: 2022

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2020
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2020
PMs: 2000 - 2020

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
NOx	1A3bi	31660	15132	19147	22456	22572	24759	21174	16712	20545	20967	22312	22024	23402	23117	21630	21685	23069	21672	21306	20962	19477	18345	18957	17054	18713	19901	19295	17947	17575	17614	16114
NOx	1A3di(ii)	4679	23012	21518	20811	20972	21757	18909	706	5495	629	4867	7393	8031	10493	8783	8352	8019	3749	9206	16013	7513	5753	4827	6988	6242	6590	5954	6177	6380	5926	6618
NMVOC	1A3ai(ii)	3835	3287	4508	6043	4900	4865	3193	2364	2083	1124	1289	1670	2000	2562	2463	3025	2893	2926	3405	2446	2694	2727	2628	2562	2727	2843	3422	3830	4110	3903	2235
NMVOC	1A3bi	30822	14670	17912	20785	20019	22093	18640	12969	15887	15439	15302	14105	14930	14471	12487	12187	13028	11561	11021	10820	9757	8661	8097	7065	7561	7428	6727	5732	4905	4362	3818
NMVOC	1A3bii	6654	3380	4158	4861	4564	4994	4137	2671	3280	3048	2634	2181	2105	2026	1815	1692	1238	959	876	798	717	660	639	511	550	568	509	454	431	412	383
NMVOC	1A3bv	7718	4234	5471	6056	6565	5935	5443	4403	5376	5398	4922	4398	4055	4420	3827	3409	2389	2801	2684	2559	2224	2829	3291	3045	2526	2746	2549	1998	1723	1797	1568
NMVOC	1B2ai	0	0	0		5	3	2	4	1	2179	11083	2032	5	4	3	3	54	32	24	3	10	47	60	31	21	13	12	11	6	6	2
NMVOC	1B2av	4521	2139	2541	3270	7049	3600	3107	2123	2735	2667	2964	2032	3980	2036	2319	2105	3154	2286	2368	2438	2367	2211	2153	1895	1886	1988	2033	2059	1954	2167	1161
NMVOC	2D3c					12	40	15	10	11	11	2861	380	3321	2329	3029	3543	2814	11	21	10	11	11	12	6	3	6	5	6	12	6	4
NMVOC	2D3e	243193	243193	243193	212102	6484	1208	1115	184	701	764	977	966	705	415	437	322	318	239	71	86	112	124	166	70	90	81	133	139	101	114	103
NMVOC	2D3g	3513	3183	3187	2918	2832	3691	827	718	534	452	537	526	511	4504	668	975	1914	488	332	276	316	328	249	226	443	502	520	438	236	212	210
NMVOC	2H2	15318	15441	15757	19672	88217	23113	79087	12333	14201	12726	10277	10277	10105	4278	5424	8528	3972	4410	4485	14831	5090	6382	7195	8867	4590	6092	5209	5866	5295	5797	5587
SOx	1A2a	260877	199435	142189	145784	136264	137427	127110	147644	109025	71708	113859	39957	35698	27874	25136	23685	21802	12044	9727	17291	3868	52327	16815	1501	1478	1739	1338	3053	1853	2500	1457
SOx	1A4bi	24976	23919	30625	32569	23641	19181	23990	21826	20875	13782	9251	6016	11040	13126	10032	9107	9755	8322	7778	5473	7542	9330	9061	7467	5303	5359	6024	6332	4663	4184	4126
SOx	1B2aiv	5142	2850	1492	3531	4315	4955	4311	3698	3444	3504	3295	3318	3237	3123	3275	3834	4408	4400	4431	3873	3394	3151	3654	3486	3195	3743	3880	4206	3645	4244	3016
NH3	2B10a	1999	1981	1832	1859	1927	2016	2016	1655	603	452	743	439	41	23	29	28	25	26	23	16	19	28	20	22	23	26	28	28	26	28	28
NH3	2B7	942	804	465	234		716	779	757	732	622	832	1011	930	986	1028	1052	1055	1098	1129	752	1985	1256	1324	1247	1384	1328	1366	1386	1390	1317	1120
NH3	3Da3	10880	10415	27661	7794	5998	5091	4893	4786	4511	4447	4128	3616	3729	3897	3753	3686	3674	3619	3565	3473	3219	3019	2953	2967	3003	2939	2908	2914	2894	2843	3165
CO	1A3ai(i)	36192	31022	42543	57029	46243	45909	30130	22308	19656	10608	12168	15756	18876	24180	23244	28548	27300	27612	32136	23088	25428	25740	24804	24180	25740	26832	32292	36145	38786	36830	21091
CO	1A3ai(ii)	242208	207607	284714	381657	309471	307234	201641	149292	131544	70992	81432	105444	126324	161820	155556	191052	182700	184788	215064	154512	170172	172260	165996	161820	172260	179568	216108	241896	259564	246479	141147
CO	1A3bi	419540	196735	233889	265671	248217	268938	221756	141305	171887	160689	145554	125456	130097	122808	104947	97439	106107	94171	89883	87971	79088	69919	64693	55322	59840	59460	54767	49085	42820	38981	34805
CO	1A3bii	74758	37998	46988	55217	51945	57238	47678	30563	37794	35154	31335	25936	25801	24569	21804	19863	13896	10649	9339	8475	7432	6559	6078	4787	5137	5160	4406	3913	3636	3442	3279
CO	1A4bi	164415	144072	180588	188081	143289	125313	156481	144773	169020	131294	130848	110502	153783	168136	155833	148443	157775	145397	147779	137525	157872	173231	173452	163079	148366	145563	155722	157210	143412	136287	151043
CO	1A4ci	306	228	135	123	96	94	77	46	26	36	15	20	14	24	25	48	45	88	82	67	69	169167	143315	121	106	153	142	118	110	94	92
CO	2B7	9416	8039	4650	2335		7164	7795	7567	7325	6215	8323	10108	9300	9859	10279	10516	10553	10982	11291	7523	19852	12564	13243	12474	13842	13281	13662	13861	13904	13167	11203
CO	NATIONALTOTAL	839775	503480	590658	652660	574901	592674	542535	413388	472526	420486	384898	350449	392955	409923	362435	348448	364165	341200	331486	303528	321395	497697	455415	288309	279501	279526	291882	291661	272524	259055	249781
CO	NTCOMPL(NECD)	839775	503480	590658	652660	574901	592674	542535	413388	472526	420486	384898	350449	392955	409923	362435	348448	364165	341200	331486	303528	321395	497697	455415	288309	279501	279526	291882	291661	272524	259055	249781
CO	NTCOMPLIANCE	839775	503480	590658	652660	574901	592674	542535	413388	472526	420486	384898	350449	392955	409923	362435	348448	364165	341200	331486	303528	321395	497697	455415	288309	279501	279526	291882	291661	272524	259055	249781

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
PM2.5	1A4bi	18134	16470	21201	22499	22226	21457	22757	21399	22187	21783	24198	25872	26087	25205	23892	23337	24780	24857	23394	22391	25136
PM2.5	2D3c	1760	234	2044	1433	1864	2180	1732	7	13	6	7	7	7	4	2	3	3	4	7	4	3
PM10	1A2a	2080	1126	1107	1241	1175	1246	944	1076	1362	635	709	1734	1085	726	1148	2648	147	236	723	1058	418
PM10	1A4bi	18660	16937	21817	23159	22865	22071	23410	22008	22815	22391	24880	26606	26825	25912	24555	23985	25469	25550	24040	23008	25825
PM10	2D3c	8802	1169	10218	7167	9321	10901	8659	35	66	31	34	35	36	19	10	17	16	18	37	19	13
PM10	NATIONALTOTAL	63110	53644	64239	66699	67407	69017	66509	62238	59606	50863	49954	57431	52526	47886	50657	51979	44315	44125	44334	44859	44761
PM10	NTCOMPL(NECD)	63110	53644	64239	66699	67407	69017	66509	62238	59606	50863	49954	57431	52526	47886	50657	51979	44315	44125	44334	44859	44761
PM10	NTCOMPLIANCE	63110	53644	64239	66699	67407	69017	66509	62238	59606	50863	49954	57431	52526	47886	50657	51979	44315	44125	44334	44859	44761
TSP	1A4bi	19890	17986	23262	24732	24335	23475	24901	23386	24220	23708	26384	28250	28474	27468	25979	25381	26961	27054	25418	24319	27280
TSP	2D3c	35210	4678	40873	28667	37283	43602	34638	141	263	123	134	140	142	76	41	68	63	71	150	76	52

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
Pb	1A1a	10898960	9673654	9068825	9769505	10431232	10594438	10412599	10471078	10780760	9448449	9382540	9090	8432974	9832450	9539431	9438489	9317749	10339728	8345792	7479664	5648433	8770532	1088127	1052920	994658	872834	836279	883655	879088	3019776	2321721
Pb	1A2a	4192646	1425767	1146935	6248738	9301221	9684585	9143349	10055029	8008006	7096262	7250007	6474436	5584404	7731749	5425990	6730116	6461919	5731859	2446428	203224	79316	1544428	777108	119986	143357	166624	146363	156611	159218	203369	225969
Pb	1A3aii(i)	5833333	2500000	1666667	833333	2500000	1666667	833333	833333	833333	2500000	515000	833333	833333	833333	833333	833333	280833	329167	833333	833333	833333	833333	833333	833333	833333	833333	645833	381667	320833	204167	126667
Pb	1A3bi	193626734	90148405	114056581	134562323	136042810	150536597	130387637	85188244	112312941	110941063	93865165	81152701	88562548	85792564	2825820	2750785	3409156	19429	65679	1143	1110	1078	1096	953	1109	1244	1234	1243	1244	1287	1222
Pb	1A3bii	59334249	28785561	37550832	45007710	45115032	49691899	42375916	27638434	36522877	35306808	29445567	25150126	26200555	24723261	792233	774423	544511	2766	8172	238	226	222	235	205	236	269	267	273	289	305	297
Pb	1A3biv	20663713	9333831	11381573	12555317	12058390	12734392	10486924	6744862	8347127	7794992	6138210	5060536	5199233	4646860	46773	44280	40509	236	836	14	14	13	13	11	14	16	17	20	21	22	24
Pb	1A3bvi	605654	336376	367402	419362	393827	430250	434655	448291	559772	582701	548263	570574	608414	689416	735049	810738	862380	841496	898834	902026	888638	889208	956159	861238	977729	1092950	1117932	1130835	1169165	1219952	1156173
Pb	1A4bi	4258859	3917473	5037833	5287757	3913412	3225630	4094257	3804326	3854519	2670200	2074817	1511203	2461679	2833280	2339432	2168822	2314793	2043946	1986034	1610639	2021066	2361392	2328382	2049988	1666894	1658773	1815201	1868475	1564900	1454298	1554331
Pb	2A3	2578559	2194655		1096739	765162	856772	1101703	975283	763571	564358	571903	567562	640134	485669	959021	1187174	1207444	1248186	1749102	1302808	1341504	1624600	1444352	1595395	1574083	1342738	1460526	1584457	1564874	1233424	2222179
Pb	2C1	67096150	25632737	8672804	10449136	13182680	14390410	12982505	13859560	11370829	10279007	10432873	10237784	8861975	10969991	9399992	8954777	9121537	8090450	5475292	1935769	1979659	2233196	1700075	1407190	1648473	1465766	1427510	1740022	1777132	1498063	1346686
Pb	2C5	2939180	2500436	1454548	192373984	215475762	217685752	251479052	15531959	15410793	19536916	716209	859452	1478562	1262289	1110031	279024	363768	302846	120643298	2665666	71675911	269944	262939	63778158	312470	278332	303183	272789	78576384	271093	271168
Pb	2C7a	6097552	4775648	3425912	2311106	2781854	3201445	4783108	5084031	4851119	4258024	10026960	9536412	3049032	3456633	3715776	3970295	3968375	3635387	1806042		1577166	326974	326321	377386	365266	365855	325299	402930	404967	362598	385573
Pb	2G	860488	860488	849416	846903	843665	839390	835008	829228	823939	819985	841369	1044828	693381	520680	852016	1512654	973396	920423	909935	683505	1820719	397221	599380	1363105	1094074	429355	1000762	1159517	895243	1742280	733348
Pb	NATIONALTOTAL	382544067	184036679	202987530	424365889	455392114	478207441	481616374	182953088	216563470	213841374	174519999	144428742	154811740	155892510	40025544	40720572	40306609	33931989	148461591	17875035	88078529	19544076	10573028	73656395	9805322	8716100	9263949	9757964	87486216	11401613	10519991
Pb	NTCOMPL(NECD)	382544067	184036679	202987530	424365889	455392114	478207441	481616374	182953088	216563470	213841374	174519999	144428742	154811740	155892510	40025544	40720572	40306609	33931989	148461591	17875035	88078529	19544076	10573028	73656395	9805322	8716100	9263949	9757964	87486216	11401613	10519991
Pb	NTCOMPLIANCE	382544067	184036679	202987530	424365889	455392114	478207441	481616374	182953088	216563470	213841374	174519999	144428742	154811740	155892510	40025544	40720572	40306609	33931989	148461591	17875035	88078529	19544076	10573028	73656395	9805322	8716100	9263949	9757964	87486216	11401613	10519991
Cd	1A1a	1295237	1149823	1079484	1169057	1249128	1263114	1243361	1247640	1289611	1130058	1094905	1091	1010328	1178893	1145071	1133298	1114353	1243904	1008077	819100	680650	983555	73040	59905	62940	56446	60555	61819	63654	357898	279878
Cd	2C5	10226	8630	9805	506999	565770	574103	662460	54629	51866	62702	13606	13920	13146	30546	27085	7374	7371	8090	338900	14485	192278	7454	7390	171789	8864	7871	8192	7634	209890	7788	7534
Cd	2C6	156346	125400	316271	32409	42265	16589	21850	15400	39784	42462	172670	13916	117960	111840	154454	132984	141120	5798	639445	7247	7165	7393	6459	7711	8111	7192	8899	8650	7906	8186	7859
Cd	2C7a	4892335	3775745	2867766	2134386	2563859	2996316	4477703	4763225	4543021	3988249	973226	921785	2847096	3226278	3450624	3658593	3637652	2538243	351658		325323	238595	231150	274359	270348	269341	230728	290804	279736	243219	262355
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	7448927	5845819	4849978	4507159	5111681	5582161	7139703	6802457	6632213	5843139	3029567	1664784	4750804	5374275	5625525	5763763	5782625	4672075	3211032	1599144	1978612	2125206	1152835	1327721	1171445	1165549	1173189	1228518	1395630	1427628	1432656
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	7448927	5845819	4849978	4507159	5111681	5582161	7139703	6802457	6632213	5843139	3029567	1664784	4750804	5374275	5625525	5763763	5782625	4672075	3211032	1599144	1978612	2125206	1152835	1327721	1171445	1165549	1173189	1228518	1395630	1427628	1432656
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	7448927	5845819	4849978	4507159	5111681	5582161	7139703	6802457	6632213	5843139	3029567	1664784	4750804	5374275	5625525	5763763	5782625	4672075	3211032	1599144	1978612	2125206	1152835	1327721	1171445	1165549	1173189	1228518	1395630	1427628	1432656
Hg	1A1a	2067969	1839344	1725808	1860878	1995410	2029211	1995270	2009102	2072766	1817914	1780845	1751	1623451	1893893	1838765	1819121	1792093	1994700	1608933	1365203	1088535	1626168	167376	152998	157949	137432	143156	147532	140401	581586	441448
Hg	1A2a	186385	160620	133498	135661	149954	137215	151328	181821	81009	67242	148124	38522	41769	36724	37296	40217	46792	50078	52236	8985	6074	134611	66926	7858	12589	22795	15075	19039	15007	16547	24820
Hg	1A4bi	156823	145717	186508	197083	145159	119188	149686	136863	134896	91745	67112	47017	79904	93286	75032	69319	74336	65166	62606	49137	62887	74953	73413	63216	49572	50075	55033	57110	46652	43102	45400
Hg	1B2aiv	42299	23445	12271	29044	35491	40759	35465	30416	28330	28820	27101	27290	26627	25689	26943	31538	36261	36190	36445	31860	27922	25923	30059	28672	26285	30789	31916	34600	29987	34908	24812
Hg	2C1	149064	112993	108460	130872	157010	173334	153390	160899	131116	116825	121087	123263	104284	129581	113168	107919	113917	101289	78905	37226	38070	42946	32694	27061	31701	28188	27452	33462	34176	28	41
Hg	2C6	312937	205749	65315	82409	75489	11	61120	60641	88767	92040	203754	35	159722	162920	200244	154724	164937	53315	351077	50782	48966	47812	37096	35613	37197	37476	32260	34170	34506	36966	38598
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	3016727	2580690	2328145	2538699	2662104	2613081	2662436	2698011	2652340	2326167	2457670	341532	2144278	2543684	2498870	2380118	2388712	2438761	2367900	1661101	1385420	2072723	528236	420194	414421	407403	405206	431976	398673	807242	681789
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	3016727	2580690	2328145	2538699	2662104	2613081	2662436	2698011	2652340	2326167	2457670	341532	2144278	2543684	2498870	2380118	2388712	2438761	2367900	1661101	1385420	2072723	528236	420194	414421	407403	405206	431976	398673	807242	681789
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	3016727	2580690	2328145	2538699	2662104	2613081	2662436	2698011	2652340	2326167	2457670	341532	2144278	2543684	2498870	2380118	2388712	2438761	2367900	1661101	1385420	2072723	528236	420194	414421	407403	405206	431976	398673	807242	681789

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
DIOX	1A1a	2702	2372	2131	2258	2328	2319	2257	2287	2347	2064	2280	2085	2130	2414	2351	2299	2450	2758	2735	3200	2396	3810	2339	2548	2702	2367	2047	2225	1989	2878	2391
DIOX	1A2f	12	11	12984	4	4	4	4	3	3	2	4	3	2	2	3	3	3	180	142	54	35	30	47	36	54	49	39	24	29	38	18
DIOX	2C7a	2043	1738	854	115	419	166	112	124	235	172	21513	20541	515	611	1527	3064	4026	2156	3316		2856	3264	3572	3741	3354	3481	3520	4055	4638	4561	4712
HCB	1A3di(ii)	8260	35940	34240	33460	33920	34720	30160	720	5600	700	4960	7594	8184	10693	8950	8511	8172	3821	10328	19693	10379	7579	6043	8957	7900	7959	7192	7691	7999	7034	7682
PCB	1A1a	258464	227129	182652	204254	159494	180478	173418	168867	121375	95297	532595	74378	82989	80809	60024	63051	132820	42841	39739	1342736	61773	1154875		1000139	1038009	31	10317	36609	44836	203513	124911
PCB	1A2a	553231	433549	382244	614065	657725	835664	682758	567641	437610	447348	332433	285694	254125	295466	211199	251798	387867	253384	150085	56690	24519	2353789	1167641	46720	33920	48800	42303	37611	34413	34983	29122
PCB	1A4bi	4700168	4399818	5653988	5952011	4325888	3494960	4420530	4109333	3911100	2571601	1703757	1094736	2035501	2428082	1841334	1668874	1787647	1520047	1414471	977260	1363232	1698499	1646718	1346837	938987	951598	1073655	1131227	818105	729878	709461