Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

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TIME SERIES

Party: BE      Submission year: 2024

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2022
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2022
PMs: 2000 - 2022

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key

 

Indicates a dip in the time series data

 

Indicates a jump in the time series data

 

Indicates time series data with large sigma


MAIN (Unit = Mg)
199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
NOx2C1526153404605650057765058516955525158480054554208491846835187505657064931454833615174501043384183424241784458421039933986345547514590
NMVOCNTCOMPL(NECD)373697368498361564354519336301326894318920305861296935282032256264250058234350223254211966161863201098191708183654171780170829159069156186152166145411144631140898139053137009135973921289055182430
SOx1A2c18171238142247121264128489652494550764388374837825501320725412728254320772011174111538591362969288305394408377405421335336296
SOx1B2c24706085882472252582697201228621494152516551863144917861696118530422707209114361791110716281485152718021563202810211824
SOx2B10a1739015727131671119493638977846491339286804376346844702443834031457041395408414523083200332924662454234424632605279125852530227321912007
SOx2C110628109789441896592948584766862076280682580586130664560176618636956785923571438415007536058076026542146985609521063185870354339963973
SOx2C7c726968454478489046473701389426042727317636093697330232733698324128093464310412291928212924162476303228912732229520951990161213951300
CO1A3ai(ii)13051370133414421536180823553318586074229680112911401218610185071333517086151742395832562402324493535387222712530429553441184036086125163369024466953499
CO2A2196821369512113124311405112282106611237312717148843410633651392983668517462365813360517195256051920836796267531516170365266731547148312591303128610539321077

PM (Unit = Mg)
20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
PM2.51A3bvii544560571584610594610630632625621615591583598626631620621613536596609
PM2.51A3bvii(fu)504514522526536539551567547541548550549543552558566577597603503523572
PM2.52A5b559537518503512524546488367306970391396395411376391389477291490531469
PM2.52C1625755645015508651484377458234653741779136211029436248021051965623468539492514394
PM101A3bvii1008103710571081113011001130116711711158115111381094108011081159116911481151113599211031128
PM101A3bvii(fu)934952967974993999102110501012100110151019101710061022103410471068110511179319681059
PM102A5b55955372517650255116523854564881367130599704390639613952411137603914388547722912490253084691
PM102C1890579916986719272066117623445694935973164213251204791104913471229843660719656690570
PM105E625626629632635638642647652659669673732750580722695831722951920695782
TSP1A3bvii20152075211321622259220122602334234123162301227621882161221623172338229723022270198422062255
TSP1A3bvii(fu)18681903193519481985199820412100202420022029203720352013204520682095213522112234186219362117
TSP2A5a43994399439943994399443543994487448744874290439145924611456545214600456044494601466553055021
TSP2A5b1866917935172881679017091174991822816302122491020632448130371322213193137261254913066129701592816128163571771315655
BC1A1c28025319891949391681000000        
BC1A2e6162654459604550363442353245393735383432258051
BC1A3bvi274283289296310302310320321318315312301296304318321316317314272293304
BC1A3bvi(fu)253258263266272274280287277275278280280276281284288294304308255260287

HM (Unit = g)
199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Pb1A1a3753660733330914433920513365562322527494698926796811589836930309551209547146135312353631069938107536911958481318335745832557041640011944190513760607974514171354498342166299557403166312850344831361338303035249362273329
Pb1A2a1428361165296915811261535560147307411391741133349111942311644109936461106695817479119990371620886182282671661498482707381766080005512668481229790113240310337941016613951373960727217122154377148124143725141297143375
Pb1A3bi10760718310289596710255917088726561812699997777855673156657665979006590091659184874474724646081164379229440972040263725661752293493974537139083778370235953545364738183943396040884289345540874439
Pb1A3bi(fu)94973862918765868488960673969568660967746116582257756461547638505328934548020258390241137062663478828340327832175855025044869416533846933463309328833253287334134353630380739344128318835154085
Pb1A3bvi(fu)612041663978506496601644510167938496851934694686271415247384144762390376923187814361792539179630048099973810560982196488352730811324480983198181767823463782612818094605821115082730928351297844531986302348700883703243968534377646856
Pb1A4bi2182716253644723284932278230150604414931661712043144465712825601193792104150211239429429399912679477079487329501969103661091790123852910368018165268887161022279778918828326839188785607766069729698665692807468741581
Pb2A2461309433992419216419421439755447393431554430594454050463822443330425962441157418820172455115930385259441345165647106769234688395037696488768210123144355888112676155473666379529567693829305
Pb2A3320236727307873151397161191916677680183755171782829417539230153025812627781051731118168914644691621794189689513947621030716266050824403611740437499110376199335460363681399847341577368829290107270194270889270273343346338967
Pb2C13931335238116911342927242749128226254288294509376284982993192979504195977163588466565215446350655415803252960713623506725141635752387056409821725399077314743516220531841525479116306089133597601162518016686056157702111496734429195124789271250414118502922178965
Pb2C7c311733342758559837423715412664022028600033544878310821093053148317330408207175791061191410128661998985886522058642737958976142602834671267270483422481662503823246977519217022054525209489528239152081080201408023068162134913268040220132902799755
Pb2G1664241166404316634901662768166322116643361766209183048716392551784993147038510739497562026854422814724480287129051079477147441218129801846160183269215537971297342968174867086751153696124621446680560618083418538488701
Pb2L   707415503227865807252141103439121713411547041121000856254457035807029286194323102201946553166441319220008200002460001318501050009450042000473904739047390473904739047390
Pb5C1a158284851497156610025570317131169269287125158505844435397173231126512250048139116200215125800153758160163785614843106137671648877913971283278287515072066375816681070
Cd1A1a12495291146480139322534571834418541498077388628234427224510728215007896442151499161071198197127152845721051652521001212491358231435481156159121164180783439505910044913333010924112250110866596683
Cd1A1b11000110001100011000110001118313200143003290117795109841093966771003488865298990911447479271933467377774173932841373243937535421387264425644744382853828538235
Cd1A2a522295313253946504085658753282518834486353671459664572144117394933296937500358326687331028880325426274423538113049133926232591811016910392429472902259724032441
Cd1A2c3383036154332763062529186293331757714831194401674066787669385883858273613466237760095561245913958975637016937859541533695962158919944227505435866448327523965646453461
Cd1A3bvi(fu)270002825228724285983010430399308453168832808339093423234811353373553836180362593682337507363833626036649368743699136287368273713137523380153894839307319343142634984
Cd2A143467438014548041103413954099337649377753719236687334112671124248299525821822110283321380311457502344317270919711437135155256975281571438917904134126988614705
Cd2A335338318813297632894338815436809467713385113518918466375676796288040399913144012135571123270148760143818115644107840685127144866400786977187474995574915105140193420464861248793
Cd2C1636045587983536360466153467505503471627628707685594132615481917790614970828666836250115618367849790443176765788438430173355012842669320391919248114620647466550685924851668374123573709945194148044
Cd2C7c22831082293636310855135920271730000235809511869651945262457807580942290066386550232115247898196259259564116284110846537215245749039569876617253260632939313768094584097443058257576833439730483
Cd5C1a806527780426572911951727888427175136165326199926109347080539021409670412173169236186853098189266214840593671124143081784528331091271
CdNATIONALTOTAL602592858377996612616544792338664784901231403413041952592264961222659525891732301787238480324881913006189239045125167642293081264550317601401972732169300814867891476456126063916412072579928135166011992031186325109583211762511057324
CdNTCOMPL(NECD)602276558357276609643544469238631044897785403047341915612261245222340025856972297775238065724833273000489238644925124272288450263944717541091967539168844114838611473697125743716365782575506134879611974971185491109350111725941055512
CdNTCOMPLIANCE602276558357276609643544469238631044897785403047341915612261245222340025856972297775238065724833273000489238644925124272288450263944717541091967539168844114838611473697125743716365782575506134879611974971185491109350111725941055512
Hg1A1a24506852299974247983910876019679421100792936399108214785150744505555722050372013471601293159984207217329105109233208360808226240265459145634106133153763123709159755115518146143106580110186995748544485207
Hg1A1c376406333204292671252117237779238379238142213270184976178275179742182465152762151948163104158500777505923817576170001700016240250002500012000        
Hg1A2a5148603354555101519950805117423281439447241418615728256512571325116206851605321445550493702146460444933308035376300972809927613558157015661556557355332
Hg1A2c374635930541784393353653932203224151879418926122976979668677626536083864227652676434961680657516398768200718247047265666670826928862554590986312757343608066340861719
Hg1A3bi299533028731910319303230832430323463145631956317263129031451311793166031609298732986630141305483093630310298942900028462290493023730669302133008830537241642801829665
Hg1A3bi(fu)266292758327639276362773127456274512730527676278812753027314269672682126818268382648526553262702661026643266852693026507267632718928006287482893729625224332427527560
Hg1B2aiv          22364423203123931123929623981929241473712429630459246732132312180293802916034718340873230628322256403214725039311747035
Hg2A1326189325276335153331462343022348874326788334388333969331441310300290861367045410714563506236981228889392677441841537714227821251292248466237799286475186500367366121546201086201538250800209446339832
Hg2A346588373714195343217443284986647542480655168946831504805642354293552434913528121319843439431114285402804030091483793609332775294803543951042881421466276663609342612
Hg2B10a98144798300810245531065395172205058422557079289218939804749839668485549836234613530604634530027104229175321698622120121922920126921369418934330483027342415329615045814684533687103985042775179
Hg2C12584092410052124191821942607782457712058173507013879389795285533004190437436095784186033326731166003561601013186739518207239036525025215049710224119395497212118438695144446998225989821147170106599
Hg2C7c28702390475987163232 1150230310 1422250014232714262613919215938117769411209711658911003611922953621558715755160303540432723630463862346225265387116218889288475976049
Hg5C1a10703119808547557771831699995128818838690234062532524307771830720509111331088011015191810412321651953418141576804401150252260273468649174
Hg5C1bi53531836266613820621012426286613987814532012630100090018010001000170025004030720440380530092032301060325090006640196929700500700
HgNATIONALTOTAL6059541579483457171423703251412724333183943262589373353826824073043978320084428234153867970367098035985792216631199266331860463642371176233517199421449635128824713722811357301106607412869739256871248449891382920673918227971413
HgNTCOMPL(NECD)6055115579169157126593698382412235333133893257461372879626776913039942319650628185233862897366499735918902211972198757731806283635515175555417141081444559128495413691331353655106100412822299227371246620890387917896912156968142
HgNTCOMPLIANCE6055115579169157126593698382412235333133893257461372879626776913039942319650628185233862897366499735918902211972198757731806283635515175555417141081444559128495413691331353655106100412822299227371246620890387917896912156968142

POP (Unit = mg)
199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
DIOX1A2a1751581571351531581531331491461481201331251191011472353812880212711071262723252681972141741241222221
DIOX5C1bi789278927892845112507829199788316161115181706194011113343    10413386929756661235444
DIOX5E612661526175620562266245625362756285629863136328635763886415644864906536659066436697676273737556585772446973805871788643884277547784
HCB2A18671990876515093759109290940962278092719508579370904005090014308864320934160089298708371980782617077344108368340870874086506708369240759711071111506042740600088025019202851140936330547890293209801254340490960149810485910395380
HCB2C1939326684704367176606754717661343667038646593819866202117207003716197677026288105351873829485730517620996636404065134676286405674409885675622002021830704377196792765432602572250612331841332755336777206753787333225577223803
HCB5C1biii21025521025521025516982012782514857214457814628664922570927954476014551026200269063     1204626961167732204744217626235334228190221027251541259255247969294842294842
HCBNATIONALTOTAL4014049239320967386394815809864186393393114925518926908498239445456225122411462042105079920702183207302631978172619788495192421071999498520228860190815461079231210657857256400501496857041248414425190256289421480313205625629780652033676229005020533411937370
HCBNTCOMPL(NECD)4014033739320838386392475809840986393120114925216926905358239413656224794411459252105047520701809207298821978127719787901192416601999450820228352190808141079159110657270256395941496832241246454424990256262121478043205613329780122033669229000520532581937348
HCBNTCOMPLIANCE4014033739320838386392475809840986393120114925216926905358239413656224794411459252105047520701809207298821978127719787901192416601999450820228352190808141079159110657270256395941496832241246454424990256262121478043205613329780122033669229000520532581937348
PCB1A1a1965220310199442029820615206982241119918194881791517651201862342227416211712118247905662628532269642522925504150612449215740179092103262127352435142198052388822285542119402
PCB1A4bi3223419375817933681523268600195793619251532203455186401415851651457886116174712385951008125907685764952789278758161708035736433876562501915476406417866481625411161332036225501206016187994147660130123146416123264
PCB2A13260770320463033127303250070340197033606103157380327954032423603168920339534032020703064550290583028654603064050317534031682203074720271698070799230453761903751490267440080607401301520331285091569028150502828250182196055547601985650
PCB2A319000013150019432019829022581019300018883019470021492013140097100126000147000235000205000205000247000253000215000202000104000250000206000800010007000500053600680001900005600052210008103000
PCB2C1903288807712806069647310642188606992167075961940649878807086281083859590754837408200332084777540875718808374788079444140645339607519771058957020593861101049958022812490104271004816380166982026213601021190124936012355409898608871809018501534500595420
PCB2K2110817921099679210660402104805820987792209379942091583320847943208139872076557320606050204759492030844920263207202144492018427220113343200993462008392820492197216067552087790023852588321116832325509237616080467822544646803413809096106738165027986887516290816