Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA for CLRTAP

KCA for NECD

Inv. comparison

Time series

Trend graphs

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TIME SERIES

Party: BE      Submission year: 2023

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14/NFR19 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2021
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2021
PMs: 2000 - 2021

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
NOx	1A3bi	119756	120356	127707	121445	112408	105104	96916	86948	82727	76583	69944	67682	65742	64870	64142	57758	57477	57029	57647	56877	54396	52243	49466	46796	46071	46977	44382	40698	35640	31814	22468	23645
NOx	1A3bi(fu)	107356	110176	109776	104735	95390	87243	80806	74434	70220	65829	60719	58176	56668	54889	53839	51241	50572	50011	48674	48244	47347	46404	45871	43879	42811	42062	39813	37912	34145	31471	21238	20616
NOx	2C1	5261	5340	4605	6500	5776	5058	5169	5552	5158	4800	5455	4208	4918	4683	5187	5056	5706	4931	4548	3361	5174	5010	4338	4183	4242	4178	4458	4210	3993	3986	3455	4751
NOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	402433	408287	403605	397278	397266	392637	378635	365670	368679	345684	346826	334486	324531	318923	325501	299824	300394	290758	259685	230767	234850	219868	212601	204314	193500	190652	179461	171764	167641	158273	122950	122388
NMVOC	NTCOMPL(NECD)	342175	336824	330068	322669	304603	294802	287379	274639	265998	250424	227254	221215	206099	195673	184751	151434	174509	164472	156492	144429	143476	131907	128879	125146	118482	117772	117598	117034	116910	116568	86097	88942
SOx	1A2c	18171	23814	22471	21264	12848	9652	4945	5076	4388	3748	3782	5501	3207	2540	2728	2543	2076	2011	1741	1153	860	1362	970	288	305	394	408	377	406	421	335	339
SOx	1B2c	247	0	60	85	88	247	225	258	2697	2012	2862	1494	1525	1655	1863	1449	1786	1696	1185	3042	2707	2091	1436	1791	1107	1628	1485	1527	1802	1563	2028	1021
SOx	2A2	5709	5333	5164	5661	5603	5789	5642	5946	6368	6496	5874	5568	5772	5482	3155	3143	3087	3131	2272	661	1011	119	252	209	352	305	305	273	225	192	91	129
SOx	2B10a	17390	15727	13167	11194	9363	8977	8464	9133	9286	8043	7634	6844	7024	4383	4031	4570	4137	5408	4145	2308	3200	3329	2466	2454	2344	2463	2605	2791	2585	2530	2273	2191
SOx	2C1	10628	10978	9441	8965	9294	8584	7668	6207	6280	6825	8058	6130	6645	6017	6618	6369	5678	5923	5714	3841	5007	5360	5807	6026	5421	4698	5609	5210	6318	5870	3543	3996
SOx	2C7c	7269	6845	4478	4890	4647	3701	3894	2604	2727	3176	3609	3697	3302	3273	3698	3241	2809	3464	3104	1229	1928	2129	2416	2476	3032	2891	2732	2295	2095	1990	1612	1395
CO	1A3ai(ii)	1302	1367	1332	1440	1534	1807	2354	3317	5859	7421	9680	11290	14011	18608	18505	13334	17085	15173	23957	32561	40231	44935	35387	22271	25304	29253	43846	40040	8236	4809	36724	44159
CO	2A2	19682	13695	12113	12431	14051	12282	10661	12373	12717	14884	34106	33651	39298	36685	17462	36581	33605	17195	25605	19208	36796	26753	1516	170365	2667	31547	1483	1259	1303	1286	1053	932

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
PM2.5	1A2gviii	391	406	305	447	463	457	443	473	352	350	355	341	311	307	296	294	323	311	295	269	499	332
PM2.5	1A3bvi	1203	1238	1260	1290	1341	1302	1331	1368	1374	1364	1352	1339	1292	1267	1301	1359	1372	1346	1345	1331	1142	1197
PM2.5	1A3bvii	543	558	568	580	604	587	602	621	623	615	611	604	580	572	587	613	619	607	611	603	525	585
PM2.5	1A3bvii(fu)	503	511	519	522	531	534	544	559	539	533	540	541	540	537	545	550	558	569	589	595	494	512
PM2.5	2C1	6257	5564	5015	5086	5148	4377	4582	3465	3741	779	1362	1102	943	624	802	1051	965	623	468	539	492	514
PM2.5	5E	636	637	640	643	646	650	654	658	664	671	680	684	732	750	580	722	695	831	722	951	920	898
PM10	1A3bvii	1006	1034	1051	1074	1119	1088	1114	1150	1153	1140	1132	1119	1074	1059	1086	1135	1146	1125	1131	1117	972	1083
PM10	1A3bvii(fu)	931	947	961	966	983	989	1008	1036	999	987	1000	1003	1000	994	1009	1019	1033	1053	1090	1102	915	948
PM10	2C1	8905	7991	6986	7192	7206	6117	6234	4569	4935	973	1642	1325	1204	791	1049	1347	1229	843	660	719	656	690
PM10	5E	636	637	640	643	646	650	654	658	664	671	681	685	732	750	580	722	695	831	722	951	920	898
TSP	1A3bvi	2961	3047	3101	3174	3301	3202	3274	3364	3380	3355	3326	3294	3178	3117	3199	3342	3374	3308	3306	3273	2806	2937
TSP	1A3bvii	2013	2068	2102	2149	2237	2176	2229	2300	2307	2279	2263	2237	2148	2119	2173	2271	2291	2250	2263	2235	1944	2166
TSP	1A3bvii(fu)	1863	1894	1922	1933	1966	1978	2015	2072	1997	1973	1999	2005	2000	1987	2018	2039	2066	2106	2181	2203	1831	1896
BC	1A1c	280	253	198	91	94	93	91	68	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
BC	1A2gviii	90	91	77	87	85	89	85	88	52	44	48	51	42	41	37	37	46	47	48	42	109	55
BC	1A3bvi	280	289	295	302	315	307	315	325	326	322	320	316	305	300	308	322	325	320	321	318	275	296

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
Pb	1A1a	37536607	33330914	43392051	3365562	3225274	9469892	6796811	5898369	3030955	1209547	1461415	1235456	1069958	1075384	1195860	1318344	745842	557041	640011	944191	513760	607974	514171	354498	341538	298870	403166	312849	344831	361337	303034	249359
Pb	1A2a	1428361	1652968	1581125	1535559	1473074	1139174	1133349	1119423	1164410	993646	1106846	817479	1199903	716207	861821	826715	614983	827072	817659	800055	1266848	1229790	1132403	1033794	1016613	951373	960727	217122	154377	148124	143725	141309
Pb	1A3bi	107608074	102897595	102560892	88727236	81270536	77779151	73156073	66597192	65900186	59183672	4747164	4607965	4378954	4409496	4026246	56613	52288	49392	45366	3906	3776	3700	3593	3532	3634	3805	3930	3949	4084	4295	3457	4097
Pb	1A3bi(fu)	94973862	91876586	84889606	73969568	66096774	61165822	57756461	54763850	53289345	48020258	3902411	3706266	3478828	3403278	3217585	50250	44869	41653	38469	3346	3309	3288	3325	3287	3341	3435	3630	3807	3938	4143	3210	3531
Pb	1A3bvi	7009487	7049084	7330210	7318156	7697200	7753587	7885532	8093411	8327629	8441884	8558864	8780595	8902972	9086104	9402055	9065009	9220828	9410887	9483151	9465321	9373134	9296204	8976568	8783470	9007367	9397010	9459240	9230909	9164292	9059921	7650143	7624249
Pb	1A3bvi(fu)	6355186	6635353	6728920	6670168	7015809	7063659	7148367	7334769	7569410	7796294	7853986	7965532	8064217	8098314	8224551	8234996	8327948	8459928	8216296	8199545	8284009	8339551	8367543	8255448	8378600	8446638	8546631	8655366	8819621	8900794	7197848	6907329
Pb	1A4bi	2211761	2567301	2353529	2298824	1520666	1505391	1722430	1452200	1287203	1197129	1045738	1127011	943813	991306	950757	948795	951508	909844	1089216	1235048	1034604	820587	894320	1021732	780509	830499	837944	780920	764466	726444	660808	806036
Pb	2A2	461309	433992	419216	419421	439755	447393	431554	430594	454050	463822	443330	425962	441157	418820	172455	115930	385259	441345	165647	106769	2346883	95037	69648	87682	101231	44355	88811	267615	54736	66379	52956	76938
Pb	2A3	3202367	2730787	3151397	1611919	16677680	18375517	17828294	17539230	1530258	1262778	1051731	1181689	1464469	1621794	1896895	1394762	1030716	2660508	2440361	1740437	499110	376199	335460	363681	399847	341577	368829	290107	270194	270889	270273	342625
Pb	2C1	39313352	38116911	34292724	27491282	26254288	29450937	62849829	93192979	50419597	71635884	66565215	44635065	54158032	52960713	62350672	51416357	52387056	40982172	53990773	14743516	22053184	15254791	16306089	13359760	11625180	16686056	15770211	14967344	2919512	4789271	2504141	1850292
Pb	2G	1664248	1664048	1663499	1662793	1663245	1664336	1766224	1830494	1639242	1784951	1470384	1073949	756201	685442	281471	448028	712904	1079477	1474412	1812979	1846159	1832692	1553797	1297340	968172	867084	751151	696122	621445	680559	618919	418374
Pb	2L				707	415	503	227865	80725	214110	3439	1217134	1154704	1121000	856254	457035	807029	2861943	2310220	1946553	1664413	1922000	820000	246000	131850	105000	94500	42000	47390	47390	47390	47390	47390
Pb	5C1a	15828485	14971566	10025570	31713116	926928	7125158	505844	435397	173231	126512	250048	139116	200215	125800	153758	160	163	7856	148	4310	613	767	1648	8779	1397	1283	2782	875	1507	2066	3758	1668
Cd	1A1a	1253331	1151444	1398237	349901	346563	417996	777618	283580	273169	110757	152722	98298	151975	161383	198198	127153	85320	105168	252100	121249	135823	143548	115888	91255	64103	78258	95059	100491	133361	109264	122512	107821
Cd	1A2a	52599	53390	54136	50630	56835	53662	52424	45191	54223	46597	46905	44550	39898	33475	37714	36076	66943	31213	88340	54301	74423	53811	30491	33926	23259	18131	16910	3924	2947	2902	2597	2407
Cd	1A2c	33830	36557	33707	30907	29243	29696	18029	15197	19993	17523	67765	68040	60151	59620	62561	63126	60428	56571	59511	59334	63968	69550	59541	53369	59787	59034	944227	50543	58664	48328	52396	55657
Cd	1A3bvi	30885	31077	32331	32415	34029	34310	34931	35851	36936	37483	38048	39073	39662	40518	41995	40573	41338	42284	42567	42410	42012	41649	40207	39369	40385	42153	42470	41513	41304	40851	34671	35139
Cd	1A3bvi(fu)	27990	29257	29710	29558	31054	31309	31717	32529	33621	34675	34956	35494	35973	36161	36761	36862	37341	38023	36878	36736	37128	37358	37471	36995	37560	37887	38366	38917	39762	40158	32631	31674
Cd	2A3	35338	31881	32976	32894	338815	436809	467713	385113	51891	84663	75676	79628	80403	99913	144012	135571	123270	148760	143818	115644	107840	68512	71448	66400	78697	71874	74995	57491	51051	40193	42046	48371
Cd	2C1	636045	587983	536360	466153	467505	503471	627628	707685	594132	615481	917790	614970	828666	836250	1156183	678497	904431	767657	884384	301733	550128	426693	203919	192481	146206	474665	506859	248516	68374	123573	70994	51941
Cd	2C7c	2283108	2293636	3108551	3592027	1730000	2358095	1186965	1945262	457807	580942	290066	386550	232115	247898	196259	259564	116284	110846	53721	52457	49039	56987	66172	53260	63293	93137	68094	58409	74430	58257	57683	29504
Cd	5C1a	806527	780426	572911	95172	78884	271751	36165	32619	9926	10934	7080	5390	21409	6704	12173	16	9	236	18685	3098	189	266	214	8405	936	711	2414	308	178	452	833	1091
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	6038134	5851911	6627151	5462433	3876816	4913555	4047285	4202557	2268746	2231727	2594242	2305287	2387204	2490087	3009079	2394962	2523125	2298727	2650049	1763050	1956593	1674102	1466485	1459621	1242520	1620298	2559897	1328074	1173709	1159982	1073209	1147873
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	6034888	5849772	6624026	5459077	3873289	4909927	4043462	4198743	2264904	2228416	2590677	2301180	2382965	2485113	3003317	2390973	2518790	2294094	2643997	1757021	1951417	1669552	1463586	1457090	1239515	1615847	2555670	1325429	1172097	1159207	1071031	1144065
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	6034888	5849772	6624026	5459077	3873289	4909927	4043462	4198743	2264904	2228416	2590677	2301180	2382965	2485113	3003317	2390973	2518790	2294094	2643997	1757021	1951417	1669552	1463586	1457090	1239515	1615847	2555670	1325429	1172097	1159207	1071031	1144065
Hg	1A1a	2451115	2300559	2480388	1088058	968670	1102053	937553	1083220	852500	446798	558832	504955	1348377	1294547	985951	218793	190883	234857	362116	228304	267900	244821	107209	155010	125119	161100	218227	274274	211539	219855	173501	86360
Hg	1A1c	376406	333204	292671	252117	237779	238379	238142	213270	184976	178275	179742	182465	152762	151948	163104	158500	77750	59238	17576	17000	17000	16240	25000	25000	12000
Hg	1A2c	37463	59305	41784	39335	36539	32208	22415	18794	18926	12297	69929	69056	63005	61190	64588	65626	64699	62026	66172	64396	68615	72202	70819	66010	67429	69641	62895	59448	63476	57683	61141	63050
Hg	1A3bi	29946	30280	31902	31920	32298	32419	32335	31444	31943	31714	31278	31438	31164	31645	31593	29857	29849	30122	30529	30917	30292	29875	28982	28315	28913	30107	30543	30096	30042	30580	24177	28126
Hg	1B2aiv											223644	232031	239311	239296	239819	29241	47371	24296	30459	24673	21323	12180	29380	29160	34718	34087	32306	28322	25640	32147	25039	31174
Hg	2A1	326189	325276	335153	331462	343022	348874	326788	334388	333969	331441	310300	290861	367045	410714	563506	236981	228889	392677	441841	537714	227821	251292	248466	237799	286475	186500	367366	121546	201086	201538	250800	209446
Hg	2A3	46588	37371	41953	43217	44328	49866	47542	48065	51689	46831	50480	56423	54293	55243	49135	28121	31984	34394	31114	28540	28040	30091	48379	36093	32775	29480	35439	5104	28814	21466	27666	35825
Hg	2B10a	981447	983008	1024553	1065395	1722050	584225	570792	892189	398047	498396	684855	498362	346135	306046	345300	271042	291753	216986	221201	219229	201269	213694	189343	304830	273424	153296	150458	146845	33687	1039	850	1637
Hg	2C1	258409	241005	212419	182194	260778	245771	205817	350701	387938	979528	553300	419043	743609	578418	603332	673116	600356	1601013	1867395	182072	390365	250252	150497	102241	193954	97212	118438	69514	444699	82259	89821	147170
Hg	2C7c	28702	39047	59871	63232		11502	30310		142	22500	142327	142626	139192	159381	177694	112097	116589	110036	119229	53621	55871	57551	60303	54043	27236	30463	86234	62252	65387	116218	88928	84759
Hg	5C1a	1070311	980854	755777	183169	99951	288188	386902	340625	32524	30777	18307	20509	11133	10880	11015	19	18	104	1232	165	195	34	181	4157	680	440	1150	252	260	273	468	649
Hg	5C1bi	53	53	1836	2666	13820	6210	12426	28661	39878	145320	12630	1000	900	180	1000	1000	1700	2500	4030	720	440	380	5300	920	3230	1060	3250	9000	6640	1969	29700	500
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	6070825	5806733	5728873	3715009	4136853	3331406	3274588	3741645	2687604	3050042	3206866	2829690	3873897	3677298	3605383	2223531	2083837	3192509	3649245	1769756	1724687	1548839	1289699	1375633	1358738	1067486	1390481	1054143	1353179	1000191	994657	916025
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	6066418	5803612	5724415	3710168	4131994	3326435	3269493	3736935	2682922	3046039	3202561	2824832	3868860	3671351	3598731	2218911	2078791	3187134	3642427	1763010	1718890	1543798	1286440	1372735	1355325	1062634	1385954	1051406	1351462	999297	992085	909918
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	6066418	5803612	5724415	3710168	4131994	3326435	3269493	3736935	2682922	3046039	3202561	2824832	3868860	3671351	3598731	2218911	2078791	3187134	3642427	1763010	1718890	1543798	1286440	1372735	1355325	1062634	1385954	1051406	1351462	999297	992085	909918

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
DIOX	1A2a	182	165	164	142	161	167	162	143	159	156	162	131	143	134	129	110	1482	3548	12889	2132	1115	133	34	28	30	274	202	220	180	130	127	27
DIOX	5C1bi	7892	7892	7892	8451	12507	8291	9978	8316	1611	1518	1706	1940	111	133	43					81	80	219	164	176	185	147	150	106	93	92	98	98
DIOX	5E	6151	6177	6201	6230	6251	6270	6279	6300	6310	6323	6338	6353	6384	6414	6441	6476	6518	6565	6617	6672	6727	6792	7373	7556	5857	7244	6973	8058	7178	8643	8842	8857
HCB	2A1	8671990	8765150	9375910	9290940	9622780	9271950	8579370	9040050	9001430	8864320	9341600	8929870	8371980	7826170	7734410	8368340	8708740	8650670	8369240	7597110	7111150	6042740	6000880	2501920	2851140	936330	547890	29320980	1254340	490960	149810	485910
HCB	2C1	9393266	8470436	7176606	7547176	6134366	7038646	5938198	6620211	7207003	7161976	7702628	8105351	8738294	8573051	7620996	6364040	6513467	6286405	6744098	856756	2200202	18307043	7719679	276543	260257	225061	233184	1332755	336777	206753	787333	225577
HCB	5C1bi	16442	16442	16442	17606	26056	17273	20788	17326	16106	15178	17059	19396	22273	26637	8562					1079670	1050300	1173436	1197361	1354560	1408788	1454298	1328812	1472196	1422709	1415079	1475426	1475426
HCB	NATIONALTOTAL	40140668	39321331	38639945	58099202	86393923	114926108	92691509	82395084	56225637	41146707	21051662	20703010	20730843	19782461	19789911	19243202	19996845	20230552	19082720	11722965	11600074	26671738	15878198	5140342	5456260	3599981	3065406	33107844	3979327	3015047	3321849	3115714
HCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	40140514	39321202	38639711	58098970	86393651	114925807	92691196	82394768	56225312	41146431	21051341	20702639	20730466	19782015	19789323	19242760	19996372	20230049	19081993	11722249	11599492	26671285	15877953	5140169	5456078	3599723	3065192	33107731	3979279	3015042	3321808	3115629
HCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	40140514	39321202	38639711	58098970	86393651	114925807	92691196	82394768	56225312	41146431	21051341	20702639	20730466	19782015	19789323	19242760	19996372	20230049	19081993	11722249	11599492	26671285	15877953	5140169	5456078	3599723	3065192	33107731	3979279	3015042	3321808	3115629
PCB	1A1a	19652	20310	19944	20298	20615	20698	22411	19918	19488	17915	17651	20186	23162	27326	21171	18342	41465	58422	75342	61632	52292	55042	50612	44922	57401	74932	95502	117632	427212	189782	383322	285532
PCB	1A4bi	3223247	3757824	3367700	3268053	1957419	1924577	2202810	1863398	1584661	1457393	1161181	1237999	1007516	907106	764390	788661	757419	707200	735575	875652	501002	475586	417168	480572	409474	331077	224537	204777	186509	145689	127903	145022
PCB	2A1	3260770	3204630	3312730	3250070	3401970	3360610	3157380	3279540	3242360	3168920	3395340	3202070	3064550	2905830	2865460	3064050	3175340	3168220	3074720	2716980	70799230	45376190	3751490	2674400	8060740	1301520	3312850	915690	2815050	2828250	1821960	5554760
PCB	2A3	190000	131500	194320	198290	225810	193000	188830	194700	214920	131400	97100	126000	147000	235000	205000	205000	247000	253000	215000	202000	104000	250000	206000	8000	1000	7000	5000	53600	68000	190000	56000	5221000
PCB	2C1	90328880	77128060	69647310	64218860	69921670	75961940	64987880	70862810	83859590	75483740	82003320	84777540	87571880	83747880	79444140	64533960	75197710	58957020	59386110	10499580	22812490	10427100	4816380	1669820	2621360	1021190	1249360	1235540	989860	887180	901850	1534500
PCB	NATIONALTOTAL	118957072	106178064	98272659	92603578	96910746	102773471	91847826	97422772	110041075	101267953	107568770	110121524	112445382	108419687	103882115	89226643	99928323	83710473	84125189	35283725	116171338	77698676	33301611	37236455	34662763	40693577	52529492	49284895	19279746	15341058	8707611	14026316
PCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	118957030	106178033	98272607	92603523	96910684	102773403	91847755	97422701	110041002	101267891	107568700	110121444	112445300	108419591	103881992	89226552	99928225	83710370	84125041	35283579	116171221	77698585	33301562	37236420	34662726	40693525	52529449	49284873	19279737	15341057	8707602	14026299
PCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	118957030	106178033	98272607	92603523	96910684	102773403	91847755	97422701	110041002	101267891	107568700	110121444	112445300	108419591	103881992	89226552	99928225	83710370	84125041	35283579	116171221	77698585	33301562	37236420	34662726	40693525	52529449	49284873	19279737	15341057	8707602	14026299