Technical Annual Status Report (Stage 2) for the CLRTAP Inventory Review: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

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TIME SERIES

Party: AZ      Submission year: 2026

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden changes in time series data reported by countries. The analysis was limited to data provided in NFR02, NFR09, NFR14 and NFR19 reporting format. Only data reported for at least three years were considered. Years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors were available have been converted to NFR14/NFR19. Only the converted sectors are in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) is more than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals in the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. more than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2024
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2024
PMs: 2000 - 2024

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number.

Color Key

 

Indicates a dip in the time series data

 

Indicates a jump in the time series data

 

Indicates time series data with large sigma


MAIN (Unit = Mg)
19901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
NOx1A3bi     65404975519345132631317340174058487052256153734074488295873691751025111087106691126510643102241070310896110361055311555128181337313658
NMVOC1A3bi     7796590960475265297436634617466355335899701984668732992610420109481222313227126261335112637121621268012867130201248213681151941570115963
NMVOC2H214695874871724941870374446124386443349715166533451705192520754148170104419401100491020510138101951116910799102211103892119388126511161212610127241124812117
CO1A3bi     625094726347686415882295428713360823642142858454845454766320692007978783582878349801510610410181510766810191298089102259103756104988100654110323122534126738128867

PM (Unit = Mg)
2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
BC1A2f       252717866534961420104332
BC1A2gviii       1171108912112713012110090242725251817222
BC1A3c       29252587715161610211520552734
BC2D3b3433588162037261413262522161315251218263341

HM (Unit = g)
19901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
Pb1A1a                 83104793066329085204124603134221863487410523030128276015608126609274302143679534233602339619067
Pb1A3bi     23859178861716015048759010098125401263914388149821854623265253513072331944335973743240567403724262240266386744049841237417663993543722484985062551719
Pb2A3          383173125271683131817445678268895470332075048247036506342445848161183981259226105078305830589869410
PbNATIONALTOTAL9885392882875648133175548962318977688821105298116665121215130494133903136177138509195366279951708687739311663939829669862408855143815500751221884346832288713113601489615813582246656765588594583503590367
PbNTCOMPL(NECD)9885392882875648133175548962318977688821105298116665121215130494133903136177138509195366279951708687739311663939829669862408855143815500751221884346832288713113601489615813582246656765588594583503590367
PbNTCOMPLIANCE9885392882875648133175548962318977688821105298116665121215130494133903136177138509195366279951708687739311663939829669862408855143815500751221884346832288713113601489615813582246656765588594583503590367
CdNATIONALTOTAL575605419350986473584399042141418604172752550635136450868595705467077971582102292148580327088331436334182373706359757351097345121316978309421238183228865225818222835200586201618183307171715165211
CdNTCOMPL(NECD)575605419350986473584399042141418604172752550635136450868595705467077971582102292148580327088331436334182373706359757351097345121316978309421238183228865225818222835200586201618183307171715165211
CdNTCOMPLIANCE575605419350986473584399042141418604172752550635136450868595705467077971582102292148580327088331436334182373706359757351097345121316978309421238183228865225818222835200586201618183307171715165211
Hg1A2c                 30935197365642804656532353295445548280053706875504558835440831374486532
Hg1A2f                 417245844211303947805862583966506503807270146390670686979687106801212511906