Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

Recalculations

KCA for CLRTAP

KCA for NECD

Inv. comparison

Time series

Trend graphs

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TIME SERIES

Party: AT      Submission year: 2020

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02, NFR09 and NFR14 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 or NFR09 sectors are available to NFR14 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2018
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2018
PMs: 2000 - 2018

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key
	Indicates a dip in the time series data
	Indicates a jump in the time series data
	Indicates time series data with large sigma

MAIN (Unit = Mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
NMVOC	NTCOMPL(NECD)	329265	317681	298525	280444	260051	244975	236829	223702	213053	203491	179428	172535	165429	161231	148315	113170	155929	151765	146552	133305	133438	128401	126096	120344	113635	110482	108851	109938	106552
SOx	1A2d	4300	4912	2600	2246	2208	1971	1955	2022	1706	1295	1216	1103	1314	1172	1172	1154	1198	1171	1086	1056	1168	1088	997	1064	1097	946	958	960	810
SOx	1A2gviii	1877	1665	1089	1819	1017	1672	2167	3641	2901	2092	1685	1350	1593	1487	1298	2014	2201	2332	2067	2010	2006	2129	2178	2073	1933	1871	1752	1633	1353
SOx	1B2b	2000	1300	2000	2100	1280	1530	1200	67	42	42	43	47	42	49	45	41	48	53	45	56	48	45	45	39	36	39	23	36	23
SOx	NATIONALTOTAL	73697	70722	54194	52817	47191	46811	43933	40398	35631	33742	31578	32455	31391	31175	26597	25954	26788	23441	20328	14795	16041	15228	14861	14442	14543	13984	13317	12844	11765
SOx	NTCOMPL(NECD)	72901	69662	53150	51641	46136	45848	43184	39966	34970	33272	31044	31811	30701	30431	26540	25902	26749	23405	20296	14762	16003	15196	14828	14403	14510	13950	13281	12806	11730
SOx	NTCOMPLIANCE	72901	69662	53150	51641	46136	45848	43184	39966	34970	33272	31044	31811	30701	30431	26540	25902	26749	23405	20296	14762	16003	15196	14828	14403	14510	13950	13281	12806	11730
NH3	3B3	8468	8328	8488	8685	8497	8474	8341	8345	8515	7634	7403	7621	7336	7194	6845	6935	6864	7099	6602	6690	6619	6354	6234	6040	5927	5885	5758	5808	5693

PM (Unit = Mg)

		2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
TSP	NTCOMPL(NECD)	49792	49275	47877	47285	47279	46559	45436	44481	44629	42269	42921	42360	41680	41051	39801	39397	39059	39364	38073
TSP	NTCOMPLIANCE	49792	49275	47877	47285	47279	46559	45436	44481	44629	42269	42921	42360	41680	41051	39801	39397	39059	39364	38073

HM (Unit = g)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
Pb	1A1a	1272645	1171397	1015170	706552	600421	545580	671725	720238	650383	593347	789669	933785	1013838	1151917	1175411	1137701	1337411	1532540	1663617	1648977	2084869	2059246	2091520	2144808	1922391	1991953	1912305	1990806	1906020
Pb	1A2c	206305	238197	268572	180373	179527	201959	259536	227998	187649	228978	256315	250998	340889	473933	569278	155795	202201	157818	318952	283064	374196	332017	346311	274626	293126	281092	310873	291725	265857
Pb	1A2d	648306	644935	642693	707474	716781	726852	678143	609912	622802	700379	625748	707417	621122	650111	669102	803372	819446	818352	832219	802764	865195	861650	852859	875988	859732	813537	835341	847138	976073
Pb	1A2f	4267890	4464200	3691532	3368095	3224413	2846580	2369316	1727883	1210449	765499	302133	308653	302474	282026	267088	310597	310281	361577	308697	274103	284401	284440	306734	339466	312107	332765	297661	304086	302018
Pb	1A2gviii	100756	138071	129012	111576	112462	98588	132060	191888	162320	268615	212831	240803	222155	263728	301373	498170	543626	659480	581473	616900	663534	757599	758086	756164	625693	586014	580973	567174	535061
Pb	1A3bi	162315111	134341205	91887308	58753597	34132887	9929	9290	8927	9484	8932	8777	9023	9947	10419	10371	10232	9892	9845	8974	8937	8863	8612	8409	8293	8210	8377	8441	8468	8588
Pb	1A3bi(fu)	151853406	114035592	83101319	54695517	32994966	9717	9673	9495	9446	9417	9241	8981	8737	8459	8180	7831	7609	7369	6761	6527	6487	6455	6331	6370	6384	6362	6366	6393	6675
Pb	2C1	32091626	27090229	18608240	15144977	12024342	4679299	4259928	4791003	4702700	4906128	5480488	5350192	5649015	5675439	5898690	6492817	6607622	6999941	6974699	5156802	6645315	6859048	6784534	7283849	7152675	6943227	6726375	7439872	6238805
Pb	2C5	3526650	3266910	2513834	2359803	2759868	2624280	2626860	2103552	1579212	1053840	527436	527952	528468	528984	571824	584568	674880	685536	645648	532728	611976	628992	588096	599304	603264	585576	585576	585576	585576
Pb	2G	1221939	1247472	1289762	1374197	1405157	1088338	1158499	1049077	1217600	1987850	1673758	1054814	1655624	1434707	1388175	1565812	1745072	1756786	1751279	1452092	1491417	1645629	1486126	1605877	1382118	750802	1183617	919829	831702
Cd	2G	93280	92653	91950	91248	90479	89059	88409	78758	87069	91559	90412	88311	90239	87222	84675	79537	83200	81885	79763	81051	83626	79560	79434	79885	78718	76731	76445	75168	72106
Cd	NATIONALTOTAL	1754811	1660684	1383578	1249215	1143131	1053842	1053450	1008392	954277	1008401	985287	1001776	976272	999580	995344	1033164	1080801	1105579	1121548	1060705	1185677	1162281	1179234	1202717	1137653	1147203	1136804	1177717	1133716
Cd	NTCOMPL(NECD)	1754428	1660023	1383044	1248694	1142719	1053426	1052715	1007992	953457	1007854	984587	1000779	974816	997760	993438	1031106	1079014	1103755	1119886	1058977	1183804	1160672	1177604	1200840	1135960	1145440	1135040	1175911	1132026
Cd	NTCOMPLIANCE	1754428	1660023	1383044	1248694	1142719	1053426	1052715	1007992	953457	1007854	984587	1000779	974816	997760	993438	1031106	1079014	1103755	1119886	1058977	1183804	1160672	1177604	1200840	1135960	1145440	1135040	1175911	1132026
Hg	1A1a	344770	351974	240880	194236	177201	191564	192184	191876	149851	171571	190464	214247	198413	217880	200106	193756	195487	179493	179542	160196	192904	200787	191928	187718	159620	164649	145687	146387	142848
Hg	1A2f	701094	579675	433984	292874	147621	100790	94439	113936	96614	103602	106982	135932	134118	153542	129783	147366	169843	175133	185250	173803	145906	141286	151768	183777	195347	168898	132576	167036	165693
Hg	2B10a	270117	252107	234099	216105	198103	180077	180079	180078	110082	45083	86	81	85	90	92	88	92	75	88	72	88	89	87	75	88	88	90	80	67
Hg	NATIONALTOTAL	2165088	2058496	1664757	1414066	1200442	1222300	1180770	1152636	968015	950737	909899	972259	941862	982023	947735	990348	1023861	1030193	1043684	925233	1029817	1024593	1037207	1088507	1035869	1010994	952721	1031685	959060
Hg	NTCOMPL(NECD)	2164954	2058265	1664570	1413884	1200298	1222154	1180513	1152496	967728	950545	909654	971910	941353	981386	947068	989627	1023235	1029554	1043103	924628	1029161	1024029	1036637	1087850	1035276	1010377	952104	1031053	958469
Hg	NTCOMPLIANCE	2164954	2058265	1664570	1413884	1200298	1222154	1180513	1152496	967728	950545	909654	971910	941353	981386	947068	989627	1023235	1029554	1043103	924628	1029161	1024029	1036637	1087850	1035276	1010377	952104	1031053	958469

POP (Unit = mg)

		1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
DIOX	1A1a	12117	12148	1041	263	282	324	372	394	398	417	492	528	589	621	673	680	771	876	967	1048	1349	1299	1345	1399	1272	1319	1334	1393	1324
DIOX	5C1bi	11445	11408	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
DIOX	5E	2096	2113	2132	2147	2154	2156	2149	2148	2156	2163	2172	2175	2198	2204	2214	1878	1853	2358	2285	2262	2672	2581	2631	2269	2645	2635	2471	2481	2058
DIOX	NATIONALTOTAL	125170	124813	76547	66631	56352	57662	57892	58169	54948	51631	50409	50682	37662	36912	36119	35769	37101	36851	36470	36318	40997	38181	39038	39740	36656	37699	37246	37184	34410
DIOX	NTCOMPL(NECD)	125170	124812	76547	66631	56352	57661	57891	58169	54948	51631	50408	50681	37662	36912	36119	35769	37100	36850	36470	36317	40997	38181	39038	39740	36656	37699	37246	37184	34410
DIOX	NTCOMPLIANCE	125170	124812	76547	66631	56352	57661	57891	58169	54948	51631	50408	50681	37662	36912	36119	35769	37100	36850	36470	36317	40997	38181	39038	39740	36656	37699	37246	37184	34410
HCB	1A2f	56514	57698	57640	57864	60139	59963	64430	71074	69862	58398	62388	64797	76058	74242	85327	77651	80615	85736	83022	68726	72113	74319	24251588	102462458	107909244	82507	78419	79175	81101
HCB	2C1	8093967	7402228	4551755	3538432	2335420	2597714	2385868	2614454	2473404	2729735	3047935	2951901	3143410	3151403	3274442	3665245	3735374	3952873	3927293	2937905	3787391	3907735	3862325	4128803	4045035	3901348	3791308	4247206	3536555
HCB	NATIONALTOTAL	85503615	86386022	76235352	71192132	58027158	58337846	58941484	55993705	51717387	49470080	43325076	44173655	40547239	39238277	37716662	37735495	38351022	37732816	38070460	37408847	42866682	39414298	64487418	143670135	144487450	37267174	38094918	39400459	35625311
HCB	NTCOMPL(NECD)	85444055	86262082	76160059	71136592	57994058	58309670	58908466	55979706	51671919	49442491	43287306	44118892	40471800	39149901	37628823	37644481	38281628	37666053	38010222	37348793	42799645	39359428	64430737	143598129	144424740	37204737	38034692	39339650	35567589
HCB	NTCOMPLIANCE	85444055	86262082	76160059	71136592	57994058	58309670	58908466	55979706	51671919	49442491	43287306	44118892	40471800	39149901	37628823	37644481	38281628	37666053	38010222	37348793	42799645	39359428	64430737	143598129	144424740	37204737	38034692	39339650	35567589
PCB	1A2d	1493888	1946548	1431592	1391981	1261708	1131753	1024513	1300245	1214087	860580	955834	847234	959258	906296	905961	980503	1003091	770305	701539	741069	669296	717644	704659	781314	743381	762738	767095	769780	717870
PCB	2C5	19161561	6855259	2671447	2671446	57	57	57	57	57	57	57	57	57	57	62	63	73	74	70	58	66	68	64	65	65	63	63	63	63