Review Stage 2: Synthesis and Assessment Country report

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TIME SERIES

Party: FI      Submission year: 2014

The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series data reported by countries. Only data in NFR02 and NFR09 reporting format were analyzed and data for which at least three years were reported. We converted all years where only NFR02 sectors are available to NFR09 and show only the converted sectors in the time series analysis.

The table below shows data, where outliers in the time series were identified based on the following methodology: Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series.

An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included in this dataset for expert review.

Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged. Zero values indicate small numbers rounded to zero.

The test was performed for the following time series (if data was available):
Main pollutants: 1990 – 2012
HMs and POPs: 1990 - 2012
PMs: 2000 - 2012

If there is a number and a notation key reported, the difference is the number

Color Key

 

Indicates a dip in the time series data

 

Indicates a jump in the time series data

 

Indicates time series data with large sigma


MAIN (Unit = Mg)
19901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012
NOx1A2d211002090033100322003500030700346003100035300690019433174711671216462174961519716917161371539713006177311706617384
NOx1A5b21000210002100021000210002100021000210002100021000    204283954234514351421454527
NMVOC1B2aiv6600540065106218 500245674756488749244761459740874381395636883811390336053411488134933829
NMVOC2G13312313192249001291291331001251001098069948783904931413836
SOx1A3di(i)23262222422520718072113684669662111915253167441924117229214352156218242179151946015000128707920588050992755
SOx2A7d          4013369037041782967394562110
SOx2C5a               2564 23801021189100
SOx2C5e                 3204345126323 0
SOx2G50300436003590028600241002300019900188401810019100       137044
SOxFUTOTAL26252219795114413512547311825999076109131103933937669101979336859648029199678839336925084306827387012159137667946103351439
SOxGRIDTOTAL26252219795114413512547311825999076109131103933937669101979336859648029199678839336925084306827387012159137667946103351429
SOxNATIONALTOTAL26252219795114413512547311825999076109131103933937669101979336859648029199678839336925084306827387012159137667946103351439
SOxUNFCCCTOTAL2488672018721579621378311231431046161099271009339311091023806968969588763101645836306828384240821736834358743667286060652104
NH32C5c     10070010001200405080060070060060055942737738919312692152
NH34B1a1261311465110471117011165107061055610802107231075810911109081093310723106841065610478101691003010233103881025010210
NH34B9a1755154114611546155715651613159614841308121812241196116612031196116011551173107713139911047
NH34B9b544558533611649686600722928100413188959471053964940916914109896074310841147
NH34D1a20941856149615421550179216461552155814911534152114741464142113741361136914981251144013451278
CO1A1a56006400660075008600770083008700930094009701108641305119359138691247414356119481362811698135731285913110
CO1A2d4080048400437004320029700313004290043500573003000029524269032633623932250802372726473259722128914963186111944919998
CO1A3di(i)3195306439503423396372812279838620265527853089280428582710211420622260196017901080990881560
CO1A3dii2253423167234962352923581243542443724985256932649525445253712574625280253262598127148276982333023758254291989817195

PM (Unit = Mg)
2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012
PM2.51A4ci1752198620622119212820032225215202218201192
PM101A4ci1935218322312294230872455780745771849852895
TSP1A2d6126506942284448441735813484319026051872233322902329
TSP1A4ci20822327234524052427237571250924072598288930373295

HM (Unit = g)
19901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012
Pb1A1a16936002308700204790016660002517700119560013730001409300159400019810002924000268800027590005987000257287819763362070333192800022720541832575323477033746352975216
Pb1A2a          102900070940008434077500077940274034673798071590267901075567661940673785972735
Pb1A2c          112400010920001690048115600010730769174981865735717119139954448005326554390
Pb1A3bi189000000168000000117999000489990001000000                  
Pb1A3bvi1083397510549657105034191050030410466706105848531073528611069629113293771007898185895217149495563556040399612382722643708650336664394662641654510664749673889670354
Pb1A4ai12223500744550061656001765000271060088860016826001083700796700880500549000640000673015784000299277282087300414303012290189285820319000268379302624
Pb1A4bi          7992000845900085820608428000200383019246201955065192914722117172400944273800023688202561270
Pb1A4ci          95700010550001079128110300036375135138715307375915378725399911429000571364622005
Pb1A5b169000014700001379000132980011400001070000106000010700001074200      15013678   134000  
Pb2C1          75870001707000758100049680005894664182793154468942097408685410160534635619442168328355662
Pb2C5a               863298 16100080603920309037506750
Pb2G115176800622852004033450039707600457368004555250023777500816380079210005431200        2930 2183  
Cd1A2a          320001170001865920001787317070182811665194171620914000185511060
Cd1A2d438900500400338900201900280000321900313000320400501100243800380000336000391741340000397423357463410774331334281895205649253000232459230827
Cd1A4ai2655001683008840080600898002186002511002242022060024520012000150001531117000163531805117145166891670017880199281707119203
Cd2C1          25300050700026830025200044509984072285149 179365125114300012337821830
Cd2C5a               245509  770900100010001000
Cd2G54613002673500227640023318001553700101140079430039290044060015700       30002707 2000  
CdFUTOTAL63421473495135301407828087892191209165069814815478631031257813565643129177816526011275071118481314950491306215129303695767312298031223601141390513213401333176
CdGRIDTOTAL63421473495135301407828087892191209165069814815478631031257813565643129177816526011275071118481314950491306215129303695767312298031223601141390513213401333176
CdNATIONALTOTAL63421473495135301407828087892191209165069814815478631031257813565643129177816526011275071118481314950491306215129303695767312298031223601141390513213401333176
Hg1A2d9710012270013220013190013100013130011790010460013900063500145000184000160740146000141002122743142421126503119523103976118870104419105745
Hg2A1              280001581851600745716312437429095902314290
Hg2C1          33000470003200017700015624134464140414132544829254024093030163069893206657
Hg2C2               400 45050020050069893 
Hg2G402000368900266000840009350021070022500085100134100858000        2197 1454  
Hg6Cb315200550018220048000120001400060003305300330043780900214001720170010201000110055303410 18103170
Hg6Cd                   3912213604308045296
HgFUTOTAL11456678086107959815784886193816909727484335420285247471170029559849746311660898794188743695848934991358831362782139769373859411653098763413
HgGRIDTOTAL11456678086107959815784886193816909727484335420285247471170029559849746311660898794188743695848934991358831362782139769373859411653098763413
HgNATIONALTOTAL11456678086107959815784886193816909727484335420285247471170029559849746311660898794188743695848934991358831362782139769373859411653098763413

POP (Unit = mg)
19901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012
DIOX1A3biii25001524151414921570155015861691172517721764177617821799187818461876196919181722186818831860
DIOX2C1140994441458749035061307432253252325932743243322313201317132890189184139128679961438
DIOX2G131002317161514101917171616151515141413118 99
HCB1A4bi22753802302831231178923265812341029242676525390692545123256992625103552450980255078425878922575000255600025390052577700255000029457823195782364875031764583479357
HCB2B5a2900000029000000290000002900000029000000290000002900000029000000290000002900000029000000819000024800004600001670000023010000266000003070000010300000200000001500000188000001960000
HCB6Cb23840002280752228075222807522565752285075228507523098702313575226005223403746329185528803812304745406497338831414182951418295139314233931423393142339314233931423